That's Debatable: Who will win the AL Central?

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Welcome to The Show! On Tuesday, ESPN.com senior MLB writer Jerry Crasnick will drop by at 1 p.m. ET for another installment of "That's Debatable," a weekly feature in which we break down a hot topic you have suggested.

Tuesday's topic, courtesy of John in Herndon, Va.:
'With the Twins taking three of four from the White Sox over the weekend, and Chicago's ballooning ERA, who will win the AL Central: Chicago, Minnesota, or possibly Detroit?''


We'll take a pass on the ''Who would win a Prince Fielder-Manny Parra smackdown'' questions and focus on the AL Central race, where the White Sox and Twins are tied entering Tuesday's action. Just to minimize the clutter, we'll rule out the Tigers, who are 6.5 games behind both clubs and mired in a four-game losing streak.

THE CASE FOR THE WHITE SOX

They have a bunch of veterans still around from the 2005 World Series season, so they know what it takes to fight through the tough times. The bullpen is strong (in theory) with Octavio Dotel and Scott Linebrink in the seventh and eighth innings and Bobby Jenks in the ninth. Jose Contreras is about to come off the disabled list and rejoin the rotation, and Linebrink has begun a throwing program in his recovery from a shoulder problem. The Ken Griffey Jr. acquisition adds another power bat to an offense that ranks second in the majors in slugging percentage. Chicago's biggest edge might lie in the schedule: The White Sox have 30 games left at U.S. Cellular Field, where they're an impressive 35-16.

THE CASE FOR THE TWINS

After hearing for more than a month that they're destined to fade, the Twins are starting to believe they're for real. Joe Mauer and Justin Morneau are marvelous young players, and Joe Nathan belongs in the discussion with Mariano Rivera and Jonathan Papelbon as one of the three most dominant closers in the game. Despite hitting only 79 homers -- a little more than half Chicago's total of 154 -- the Twins have scored 553 runs, exactly the same as the White Sox. The decision to jettison Livan Hernandez for Francisco Liriano upgrades the rotation, and the Twins will add a right-handed bat shortly when Michael Cuddyer returns from a rehab assignment with Triple-A Rochester. Minnesota also hasn't ruled out a return by second baseman Alexi Casilla, who's out with a torn ligament in his thumb.

THE VERDICT

Yes, Minnesota's rotation is young and inexperienced, and the Twins' inability to replace injured setup man Pat Neshek could come back to haunt them. The schedule also works in Chicago's favor. But there's something to be said for karma, fresh legs and good arms, and the Twins have the edge in each of those commodities. This is one of those 51 vs. 49 percent calls, but we'll go with the underdog and take Minnesota.


Every week, we'll give you the topic and then we'll have one of our writers stopping by to debate the issue with you. To suggest a topic for "That's Debatable," go here. Or check out the full archive.

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