Chat with Brad Edwards
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Brad Edwards (12:04 PM)
I'll try to rush through as many as I can. I have a meeting in 30 minutes, so my time is limited today. Let's get going.
Jeff (Seattle, WA)
I don't think Penn State should be worried about TT or Ala staying unbeaten, but how likely is it that PSU is the only unbeaten team and still misses the BCS championship to 2 1-loss teams?
Brad Edwards (12:07 PM)
Penn State should be okay if it's the only major undefeated team, but if they are one of two major unbeatens, they could be in trouble. Look at this week's standings, and you'll see that even if Penn State is ranked ahead of a team in both polls, that team can still jump them in the BCS by having vastly superior computer numbers. Even with a loss, Texas is still ranked ahead of Penn State in the computers, so that has to make PSU fans nervous about what might happen down the line.
Darren Hughes, Iowa Park, Texas
How are some of the voters able to put OU over Texas when Texas has more quality wins and beat OU heads up?
Brad Edwards (12:09 PM)
I'm rarely suprised by the ineptitude of voters, but this one really caught me off guard yesterday. Fortunately for Texas, I believe it's just a case of voters not paying attention to detail at this stage of the season. If both teams finish with one loss, I think they'll realize their error and move Texas back in front of OU.
Randy (Austin, Tx)
Hey Brad, How much will playing a bad FCS school (The Citadel) team hurt Florida with respect to SOS and the computer rankings as they look to gain on Texas and stay ahead of Oklahoma?
Brad Edwards (12:12 PM)
Texas Tech played 2 FCS schools and SMU, and they're tied for the best computer average this week. Go figure. What will help Florida is that FSU is strong enough this season to give them a boost the following week.
Josh (Knoxville, TN)
Won't the fact that Texas's remaining schedule is weaker than Penn State's hurt their computer numbers, even if they win out?
Brad Edwards (12:13 PM)
When you throw in a potential Big 12 title game against a 10-2 Missouri, Texas probably has a stronger remaining schedule than Penn State.
Penn State has played a stronger SOS than Alabama so far (56th v 59th) and that gap will only grow with the last 3 remaining regular season games. Only the SEC champ game will MAYBE move Alabam's SOS harder than Penn State's. In other words there's really no difference, and Penn State has looked far more impressive than Alabama.
Brad Edwards (12:18 PM)
I'm of the belief that in any normal set of circumstances, Penn State would be ranked ahead of Alabama right now. But this is not normal. When you see Michigan and Wisconsin at the bottom of the Big Ten standings (and Northwestern and Minnesota in the upper half), it's obviously a down year for the conference. And this just supports the opinions that had already developed after the Big Ten's results in BCS games the last two years, along with Ohio State's blowout loss at USC earlier this season. I think there's just a strong feeling among voters that the SEC is way above the Big Ten, and that's why Alabama-Penn State hasn't seemed to be much of a debate.
What are the chances a one-loss Texas team could play in the BCS championship w/o playing in their conference championship? Would Texas be ahead of USC with one loss?
Brad Edwards (12:21 PM)
I believe any team that doesn't win its conference title will be penalized by the voters. Texas (or Oklahoma) needs to win the Big 12 South to stay in the BCS race.
If Oklahoma beats Texas Tech, UT, OU, and T Tech are in a 3 way tie. With each 1-1 against each other. Who goes to the big 12 championship?
Brad Edwards (12:23 PM)
You're assuming Texas Tech beats Oklahoma State, but if that three-way tie happens, the winner of the South is the team with the highest BCS ranking. My belief is that Tech would be out of the mix by having the latest loss, and that Texas would be ranked ahead of OU because of the head-to-head result on a neutral field.
So you're saying there is no chance of a Texas/Texas Tech or Texas/Oklahoma rematch in the championship game?
Brad Edwards (12:24 PM)
I think there was an outside shot at a Texas-OU rematch if Texas had gone undefeated. I don't think the nation wants to see a rematch of Texas Tech and anyone.
i want to see the best two teams whomever they may be rematch or not
Brad Edwards (12:28 PM)
I don't think any of the voters want to see a rematch unless there's not a worthy one-loss team from another conference. Odds are that USC or the SEC would provide a better alternative.
Do you think usc has a chance of getting back to number one in the nation!!!!
Brad Edwards (12:29 PM)
It's amazing to me that USC has allowed 10 points in its last four games, and nobody is even talking about them. It sure seems that the Trojans need total chaos over the next few weeks to have a chance to get into the championship game.
Brad Edwards (12:30 PM)
Gotta run to a meeting. I'll be back same time next week. Thanks!
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