Chat with Jerry Crasnick
Welcome to SportsNation! On Friday, ESPN.com baseball writer Jerry Crasnick will drop by to take your questions.
Crasnick is the author of "License to Deal: A Season on the Run With a Maverick Baseball Agent," which chronicles the ins and outs of what happens off the field.
Send your questions now and join Crasnick Friday at noon ET!
Jerry Crasnick (12:00 PM)
Hi everybody, It's nice to settle in back home after the All-Star break. Let's talk ball.
Eric (Greencastle, IN)
Does B.J. Ryan have anything left to help the Cubs?
Jerry Crasnick (12:02 PM)
Eric, He sure didn't show much in Toronto -- throwing only in the mid-80s on the gun. But he's left-handed, so he's got a shot to re-invent himself in the National League. As long as you don't have to pay his salary, why not take a shot?
Liam (Pleasanton, California)
Do you think it would be realistic for the Giants to trade for Halladay? I don't. They would have to sign him to an extention to justify giving up young talent. Then how would they tell Lincicum and Cain they will have to wait their turn (when they are close to Free Agency) to get their big paydays? When they have Zito
Jerry Crasnick (12:03 PM)
Liam, No, I don't think it's very realistic. The Giants are building their team around young pitching, with Lincecum and Cain already there and Bumgarner and Alderson on the way. And they're still stuck with $80 million and something on Zito. There are a lot more natural fits for Halladay than San Francisco.
ben (los angeles)
Can the Dodgers with their present pitiching staff make it to the WS and if so can they win it all?
Jerry Crasnick (12:05 PM)
Ben, Hey, the Phillies won it last year with a rotation of Hamels, Myers, Blanton and Moyer, so the Dodgers' rotation might be good enough. But it would look a heck of a lot better with Roy Halladay or Cliff Lee in it. Problem is, they'd have to give up Clayton Kershaw, and I know they're extremely reluctant to do that.
Jerry, if you were assembling a baseball roster, who would you rather have long-term: Matt Kemp or Adam Jones?
Jerry Crasnick (12:05 PM)
Max, I'll take Adam Jones. Younger and a higher ceiling all-around.
Skyler (Orange, Ca)
With the recent emergence of Kendry Morales, a career year for Juan Rivera, and Lackey and Santana back to being solid pitchers will the angels have a enough firepower to finally get past the red sox in the playoffs?
Jerry Crasnick (12:06 PM)
Skyler, I don't think so. Then again, I picked the Angels to go all the way last year and they crapped out on me.
RYAN (CROFTON, MD)
Jerry, where do you rate the Braves minor league system? They talk about them trying to pick-up a bat, but what is left in the tank after the Teixera, Vazquez,
Jerry Crasnick (12:07 PM)
Ryan, They lost some depth when they sent Morton, Locke and Hernandez to Pittsburgh in the McLouth deal. They have a couple of big time hitters in Jason Heyward and Freddy Freeman, but they have no interest in trading those guys.
Halladay for Hughes/Joba, Austin Jackson, and Jesus Montero. Who says no first?
Jerry Crasnick (12:08 PM)
Josh, That offer is good enough to keep J.P. Ricciardi on the phone a good long while. But I don't think it's going to happen.
Chris (Staten Island, NY)
Jerry, Don't you think the Yankees should be able to get Roy Halladay for much less than market value if they take on the $100 million contract of Vernon Wells? No other team in baseball can afford that contract especially with the miserable production of Wells and the Jays aren't going to be able to rebuild with 1 player taking up 25% of their payroll.
Jerry Crasnick (12:11 PM)
Chris, Maybe I'm out of the loop on this, but when I made some calls before the All-Star break, I was given no indication that Vernon Wells would be part of a Halladay deal. It's a complicated enough deal for the Jays to pull off without adding Wells and his $90-million something obligation to the mix.
J.M. (Fayetteville, AR)
The Rangers moved Derek Holland back into the rotation under the guise that the Twins and Royals are lefty heavy. What are the chances that they're doing it to showcase him, prior to using him as the centerpiece in a Halladay offer? Would Holland, Beavan/Kiker, Teagarden and an add-on get it done?
Jerry Crasnick (12:12 PM)
J.M., The latest reports out of Texas are that a Halladay deal is a "longshot" for the Rangers. There are a lot of reasons to think he'd fit there, but Tom Hicks' financial issues have to factor into the discussion. I don't care what the people in Texas are saying.
Would it be possible for the Giants to trade for Halladay and Wells with Zito and three or four stud prospects going the other way? I'm not sure what the consensus would be on who's contract is better, but I thought it would be interesting...
Jerry Crasnick (12:14 PM)
Josh, Boy, that's an awful lot of salary for the Giants to absorb. And Zito has a no-trade clause. No matter how he feels about pitching in San Francisco, it's tough to envision him signing off on a trade to Toronto.
Jerry, why are Cub fans so annoying? They make it hard to live in Chicago during baseball season. If you lived here, what team do you think you would root for? Sox or Cubs?
Jerry Crasnick (12:15 PM)
Patrick, Barack Obama showed a lot of courage by walking into Busch Stadium in a White Sox jacket. I, on the other hand, am too much of a wimp to take a stand in that debate. But I did want to post your question so angry Cubs fans could vent on you.
Assuming that you have to add 3 or 4 years at $20M per to Halladay to make it worth your while - how many teams have room for $95M in salary for a 33 year old pitcher? And give up all of your best young prospects? For example, Kershaw will probably earn $10M in the same time frame that Halladay earns $95M. Who would you rather have for the next 5 years - Kershaw at $10M or Halladay at $95M? that's why I wouldn't trade Kershaw for Halladay even up.
Jerry Crasnick (12:17 PM)
Greg, That's what I hear a lot of front office people saying. Teams are very hesitant to trade prospects these days, and they're hesitant to commit to huge long-term deals in this economic climate. The fact that the Jays are getting so much interest in Halladay is a testament to what a special guy he is.
At the end of the day, is Halladay dealt? If so, to who (an educated guess please)?
Jerry Crasnick (12:19 PM)
Doug, I'll believe it when I see it. The Jays still have a chance to trade Halladay in the offseason if they can't do it now. I'm sure the Phillies are in the mix, but I wouldn't be surprised to see Kenny Williams of the White Sox jump in with both feet. Nobody, with the possible exception of Billy Beane, loves making bombshell trades more than Kenny Williams.
Matt LaPorta (Colombus)
Any chance I'll get recalled to Cleveland any time soon?
Jerry Crasnick (12:21 PM)
Matt, You're tearing it up in Triple A, and the Indians have definitely taken notice. But they want to wait until they're sure you can get regular ABs before they call you up. I suspect it won't be long. They need to start looking ahead to next year.
Who do you think wins the AL East, and why?
Jerry Crasnick (12:22 PM)
Mason, I'll take Boston because of the pitching depth and the bullpen. And I think Theo Epstein has something up his sleeve. The Red Sox have a lot of financial flexibility because of the low-cost, injury-rehab approach they took over the winter.
The Tigers have been a pleasant surprise but have obvious holes -namely,back-end of the rotation,a roller- coaster closer,and production from the heart of the order.The most screaming need of these is acquiring a left-handed bat who can drive in runs.Is there a trade they can realistically swing? Who do you think,assuming you agree with my premise,they can go after?
Jerry Crasnick (12:24 PM)
Alimey, David Dombrowski is in a tough spot. They're saddled with a lot of big, unproductive contracts, and they traded their big chips when they sent Maybin and Miller to Florida in the Miguel Cabrera trade. I don't think Detroit has enough prospects to land an impact bat. Maybe Dombrowski will figure out a way to surprise me.
Who would the Red Sox rather have? Adrian Gonzalez (one more year of arbitration) or Roy Halladay (one more year on contract)? Odds of getting either before the deadline?
Jerry Crasnick (12:25 PM)
Eamon, The Sox wouldn't sneeze at Halladay, but I think they'd be giddy over adding Adrian Gonzalez with that contract. Kevin Towers would ask for the moon (check that, the entire solar system) before he'd allow that to happen.
Better prospect Brian Matusz or Chris Tillman?
Jerry Crasnick (12:26 PM)
Dan, I'd take Tillman, but they're both very good.
I think what is up Epstein's sleeve is a trade for Adrian Gonzalez and a move of Yuk to third. Gonzalez would be a force in the middle of the order and in Fenway.
Jerry Crasnick (12:28 PM)
Steve, That would certainly knock some people's socks off. Clay Buchholz would have to be part of it, I'm sure. And they might have to throw in Daniel Bard as well. But by July 31? All I can think is, "wow."
Daniel K (Davie, FL)
What are the chances the following Orioles are traded before the deadline: Aubrey Huff, Luke Scott, George Sherrill...
Jerry Crasnick (12:30 PM)
Daniel, When Andy MacPhail says, "We're not the farm system for the rest of MLB," it shows he's not interested in just giving guys away. I talked to a front office executive recently who said the O's "missed their window" to trade Huff. I don't think they'll move Scott right now. Sherrill is interesting, but there are a lot of other bullpen arms on the market, so I'm not sure the return is sufficient enough for MacPhail to move him.
Do the REDS have any chance?
Jerry Crasnick (12:31 PM)
Kyle, Their chances weren't good, and they went to "worse" when Jay Bruce broke his wrist. They just don't have enough offense to make a run.
But does it really make sense for the Phils to be "in the mix" for Halladay? Looks like they're going to make the playoffs with or without him. Is it worth gutting their farm then? I see it as a similar situation to the Angels and Teixeira last year. Traded for him when they were already assured of a playoff spot. And since they ultimately didn't win the WS, not sure that trade was worth it in the end.
Jerry Crasnick (12:33 PM)
Doug, That's the internal debate right now. Blanton has been good, Moyer pitched great in Florida last night, JA Happ is 6-0, they still have Cole Hamels, and we'll see what Pedro Martinez can add. Halladay adds a whole new dimension, but that's a big chunk of money to add, and they'd be decimating their farm system.
jerry its kind of hard to imagine the marlins doing anything, but dont you think they should be in the market for a big bat? I cant help but thinking how well vmart would fit with our current roster!?
Willie (Baton Rouge)
Enough about Halladay, he's not going to get dealt. Who are you rooting for in the British Open?
Jerry Crasnick (12:35 PM)
Mendel, I don't see a lot of "big bats" out there other than Matt Holliday, and I can't envision the Marlins trading for him. If you have any good ideas, feel free to pass them along.
Jerry,What kind of package could you see the Mets pulling in the offseason if they decide to put Beltran on the market?
Jerry Crasnick (12:38 PM)
Peter, Boy, there must be a lot of Carlos Beltran chatter on the New York talk radio airwaves today. I haven't heard anything about the Mets trading Beltran. When healthy, he's one of the 15-20 best players in the game. He's got a full no trade clause. And he's under contract for two more years and $37 million after this one. Why would Omar Minaya be in a rush to move him, unless he wants a package of young players in return? Are the Mets planning to go into longterm rebuilding mode?
Aren't the Jays making a huge mistake if they decide against trading Halladay now, then trade him in the offseason or at next season's deadline? The dropoff in the return they would get would be huge.
Jerry Crasnick (12:40 PM)
Jack, I'm not sure about that. Cleveland GM Mark Shapiro apparently is willing to hang onto Cliff Lee because he thinks he can get a similar haul at the trade deadline next year. Shapiro just went through the process with CC Sabathia last year, and he doesn't think waiting is a bad idea. I agree it's preferable for JP Ricciardi to move Halladay now, but there's nothing wrong with waiting until the off-season and taking a more deliberate approach.
Hi Jerry, do you think there is anyone out there desperate or stupid enough to take Vernon Wells and his contract?
Jerry Crasnick (12:42 PM)
Jeff, Let's put it this way: Somebody would have to really, really (and I mean really) be in love with the idea of adding Roy Halladay to remotely entertain the possibility of picking up Wells' contract. I just don't see it happening.
what about vmart for the marlins? We have more then enough pieces to interest the indians, and hes still young and relatively cheap and would be the consummate bat to protect hanley in the lineup
Jerry Crasnick (12:44 PM)
Mendel, There's an additional emotional element with Victor Martinez in Cleveland. They love the leadership he brings, and he just came out at the break and told the Cleveland Plain Dealer that he wants to retire as an Indian. The chances of the Indians re-signing Martinez are much higher than their chances of signing Cliff Lee. (That one is almost nil).
Craig G. (Fairfield, California)
Hey Jerry, next big name in the minors to get called up?
Nora (St. Louis)
I looked for you in St. Louis, but I didn't see you. Did you enjoy your time here?
Jerry Crasnick (12:45 PM)
Nora, I did, indeed, enjoy my time in St. Louis. The Sheryl Crow-Elvis Costello concert was great, and dinner at Charlie Gitto's is always fun. Other than that, it was pretty much wall to wall work (and humidity).
Dear Mr. Crasnick, thank you for the great honor. Will I get a plaque in Cooperstown?
Jerry Crasnick (12:46 PM)
Ichiro, You can count on my vote. You're a first ballot guy in my book.
Evan (Saginaw, MI)
There has been rumors of a trade package for Roy Halladay involving the Tigers sending their 2 best prospects, Ryan Perry and Rick Porcello to Toronto. Will this be another prospect mistake by Dave Dombrowski already have getting rid of Maybin, Miller, Jurrjens, Sanchez, and others?
Jerry Crasnick (12:47 PM)
Evan, I just can't see the Tigers making that deal. I'd be absolutely stunned if they traded Porcello.
The Yanks would be the only team willing to even entertain taking back Wells. They'd take on Wells' salary instead of giving the Jays top prospects. This might be Cashman's preference actually since he's been so reluctant to dealing his kids.
Jerry Crasnick (12:48 PM)
Doug, J.P. Ricciardi still has to get back something significant, even if Wells is part of the deal. You can't get back nothing in a deal for Roy Halladay -- he means too much to that franchise.
The reason that the Tigers won't trade Porcello is the same reason the LAD's won't trade Kershaw and the LAA's won't trade Weaver - because good and cheap is better than great and expensive.
Jerry Crasnick (12:49 PM)
Greg, I couldn't have said it better myself. Maybe you can take over the chat next week, big guy.
What do you think of Randy Well's rookie performance so far? Fleeting or lasting?
Jerry Crasnick (12:51 PM)
Paul, The Baseball America folks tell me that Wells is just a guy, and he's destined to fall off eventually. But he seems to have a pretty good idea how to pitch, and he's been a godsend for that team so far. Regardless of how much staying power Wells has, he's been a nice story.
Wait, so you'd be stunned to see the Tigers offer Porcello for Halladay, but a Yankee offer of Joba/Montero/Jackson only keeps Ricciardi on the phone? Joba's ceiling > Porcello's.
Jerry Crasnick (12:53 PM)
Seymour, I could definitely see Ricciardi making that trade. Sorry if I was unclear. But there's no way I see the Yankees making that offer. By the way, I talked to a couple of players at the All-Star Game who really like Joba more as a closer than as a starter. Interesting to hear ...
Who are the Red Sox are more likely to get? Halladay, Atkins, Teahan, or other (and if other, who?)
Jerry Crasnick (12:55 PM)
Eamon, Of that threesome, Teahen seems like the best fit to me. I can't see Theo Epstein wrecking his farm system to get Halladay (and I know JP Ricciardi would prefer to trade Halladay outside the division). And the Red Sox place too much of a premium on defense to make Garrett Atkins a fit there. Besides, he's having a lousy year in Colorado.
What kind of value does JA Happ have?
Jerry Crasnick (12:56 PM)
Chris, He's been good, but when people start mentioning him in the same breath with guys like Porcello and Kershaw, I think J.A. Happ mania has gotten a little out of control.
I'm a lawyer, so I doubt ESPN would be willing to pay my billing rate, but I'd do it once with you just for fun. By the way, the only reason that the Jays wouldn't trade Wells and Halladay for a bunch of used balls is that the fallout would be too bad, not because it would be a bad deal - in fact, it would be a great deal.
Jerry Crasnick (12:58 PM)
Greg, Well, they'd essentially be admitting "We blew it big-time with the Vernon Wells trade, and now we're parting with Roy Halladay because we're so desperate to unload Vernon's salary." I agree with you -- not a great public relations move.
Jerry do you see the Rays pulling off any deals, if nothing more than to help their bullpen?
Jerry Crasnick (12:59 PM)
Coop, The Rays and about 15 other teams would all like to make deals to upgrade their bullpens. So yeah, I can see Andrew Friedman tinkering in that realm. But he's not going to touch the core of the team.
Dan (Atlantic City)
Who is the Phils' second target if Halladay isn't in the mix?
Jerry Crasnick (1:01 PM)
Dan, Now that they have Pedro Martinez, I don't think they have a second target behind Halladay. They don't see Brad Penny, Jon Garland, Doug Davis and guys like that as any better than what they have, and they don't trust Erik Bedard in a pennant race. The dropoff after Halladay is so pronounced, I think it's basically Doc or nothing in Philly.
Do you think Bobby Jenks migth get moved at the deadline?
Jerry Crasnick (1:02 PM)
George, It probably depends on where the White Sox are 10 days from now. They're 3 1/2 games out in the Central, so it could go either way.
You mean to tell me the Jays would get the same return for Halladay a year from now? I dont buy that.
Jerry Crasnick (1:03 PM)
Jack, I'm not convinced of that, either. But they might come pretty close this winter. It's not a great offseason for free agent starters. And J.P. Ricciardi would have a chance to catch his breath, rather than doing it right now on the fly. We'll see.
Jerry Crasnick (1:03 PM)
Thanks for the emails, everybody. I enjoyed the chat. Talk to you next week.
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