Fantasy Football w/Christopher Harris
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Christopher Harris (2:58 PM)
Hi, everyone. Who's psyched for the NFL Draft? I'm holed up here at Amherst Coffee, my fave joint here in Amherst, MA, for a good hour-plus chat. Let's talk some fantasy football, just three days before the best and brightest walk across that New York stage. What's on your mind? Feel free to ask about current NFL players, or draft prospects..... Let's go.
Who would be better to have on your team this year? Braylen or Holmes? My money is on Holmes, he has the better hands...
Christopher Harris (3:00 PM)
Hi, Keith. I'm with you -- I'd rather have Holmes. Now, he's not going to give you anything the first month of the season, as he'll be suspended. But in a 10-team league, you can hang onto him, start another decent guy, and then use Holmes. For the season, I currently rate Holmes 32nd and Edwards 38th, though once he's back, Holmes could be worth significantly more than that.
Chris! Come out to Vegas, hit some tables with me! But my question is what do you make of the Arizona backfield? Seems like wesienhunt is sticking to a Time Share.
Christopher Harris (3:02 PM)
Hi, Nathaniel. I'd love to wing out there -- alas, I'm chained to my desk. (OK, not really.) I think it's the Year of Beanie. I'm buying how he looked -- and how he was used -- in the later stages of last season. He's a viable goal-line guy, and should (I think) play on first and second down. Hightower looks like the third-down back to me. (With L.S.H. worked in there, too...)
Ryan (Amherst )
Hit up the Hanger for some wings! I play in a Keeper league where we hand out contracts. I have to decide between V. Jackson and Marshall on who will get the 2 yr deal. Is Jackson the safer bet?
Christopher Harris (3:04 PM)
Hi, Ryan. I used to play softball on the Hangar team. Yay. Anyway, at the moment, my understanding is that Jackson is probably facing a suspension to start the year, related to another DUI. To me, that makes Marshall a better bet to contribute all year this year, though I have each guy in my WR top 10. For two years? Man, it's close. They're really different types of players. Marshall isn't really a speed guy, but he's a freak after the catch. V-Jax might be the best downfield threat other than DeSean Jackson in the league right now....
Should someone spend a draft pick on CJ Spiller?
Christopher Harris (3:05 PM)
Hi, Brodie. Well, yeah. Spiller will get drafted in the first half of the first round Thursday night, I'd say -- it makes an awful lot of sense that the Seahawks take him with their second pick of the first. Spiller might not be an every-down back, but as a tandem guy, he can at least be Felix Jones right away, and he seems more durable (right now, anyway) than Felix. He's going to be a fantasy factor this year.
You like devin aroushomgu this year? I think he will be ok, but people are talking about taking him in the 4th round?!
Christopher Harris (3:06 PM)
Hi, Derrick. Aromashodu was Jay Cutler's favorite target in the final few games of '09, and that does put him out in the lead for prime beneficiary of Mike Martz's offense in Chicago. But the fourth round is too high. I think 8th or 9th is more like it. There are a lot of other decent receivers on that roster, and we can't say for sure who winds up with the biggest slice of the Martz pie....
Will Ray Rice's value increase or decrease with the additions of Boldin and Stallworth?
Christopher Harris (3:08 PM)
Hi, William. Well, it couldn't increase much. He's already a top-five guy in all formats. I think he holds steady. He led NFL RBs in targets and receptions last year, so even as the Ravens potentially get more pass oriented, he should stay involved. And I'd have a tendency to say that Willis McGahee won't quite be the same drain on Rice's touchdowns. He's my No. 4 overall player.
I am giving up my 6th Rd. Pick for Shonn Greene. Is it too risky to run with him as my #1 and pick up an elite qb at the end of the 1st round or do you think I should go with the bread and butter RB, WR in the 1st 2 rounds?
Christopher Harris (3:11 PM)
Hi, Tate. I don't have Greene as a definitive No. 1 fantasy rusher. I have him No. 13 on my list, because (a) he needs to show he can stay healthy; and (b) LaDainian Tomlinson, for better or worse, is going to get some "pride" touches until he shows that he's got absolutely nothing left. I think LDT has 5 to 10 carries in him a week, and he brings that TD reputation with him, so there's a chance he steals, say, five scores from Greene. That said, I can't endorse *any* "positional" draft strategies...I actually wrote a piece about this for the Fantasy Preview issue of our ESPN Magazine -- it's most important to get the best and most solid players in the first couple rounds, heedless of position. If I'm choosing between Frank Gore and Tom Brady? Sure, I'm probably going Gore. But if I'm picking between Drew Brees and DeAngelo Williams? I'm probably going Brees....
What round should you start looking at a Team Def.?
Christopher Harris (3:12 PM)
Hi, Kevin. Obviously it really depends on your league format, and whether there's any scarcity injected into fantasy defenses. Assuming there isn't, I wouldn't consider taking a defense in a 10-team league until the 10th round. And frankly, we're guessing about fantasy defenses -- routinely, some undrafted unit winds up leaping into fantasy-relevance, and if you pick 'em up, you're happy. I don't like to reach for defenses.
Big Mike (Denver)
Hi Chris! How much value do you think Big Ben holds if he's traded to Oakland, St. Louis, or Denver?
Christopher Harris (3:13 PM)
Hi, Big Mike. Well, he'd have less. He'd downgrade his receiving corps, and probably his pass blocking. And he'd also be under a ton of pressure to rehabilitate a team, as well as his image. I tend to think it won't happen, though it's a possibility. But yeah, his value would suffer.
Eric (Albany, NY)
If Mathews is in fact drafted by the Chargers do you see him having a Matt Forte, Steve Slaton rookie impact or more of a Knowshon Moreno impact?
Christopher Harris (3:15 PM)
Hi, Eric. It's a great question. As I've been ranking players these past months, I've almost subliminally been putting Mathews with the Chargers, which actually might be a mistake, because the Texans are also said to be really interested in him. I think the Chargers' o-line is decent, but not great any longer, and Darren Sproles being on hand probably limits a rookie back to, say, 200 carries. I think that means that while I do compare Mathews's ability to Forte's, he probably wouldn't quite produce that kind of rookie year. But I think he'd be better than Moreno. Heck, I think Moreno will be better than Moreno this year.
Keeper League...have the #11 pick. Keeping Chris Johnson. Would you rather keep Steven Jackson or Aaron Rodgers?
Christopher Harris (3:16 PM)
Hi, Craig. It DOLF, but in a vacuum, I'm probably keeping Jackson. I don't think the touchdown problems will necessarily automatically carry over (especially if Sam Bradford can play), and I just think Jackson is still an elite talent. Love Rodgers, but in standard formats, it's not hard to find a 4,000-yard passer.
Baily, Hawaii [via mobile]
What do you think about Jahvid Best? Where do you think he will go?
Christopher Harris (3:17 PM)
Hi, Baily. I like Best's playmaking ability a ton -- the thing that gives me pause on him is his durability. He's really been banged up his entire college career, and apparently the concussion that ended his Cal career is still a concern. I think he'll make some huge plays, and depending on where he lands, perhaps he winds up being counted on for a lot of production. I think it's likelier he winds up someone's "1a" back this season....
Joel Gutzmer (Whitewater, WI)
What round could Miles Austin be had next year after his breakout campaign in 2009?
Christopher Harris (3:19 PM)
Hi, Joel. I'm not going to be shocked if Austin gets taken in the second rounds of some drafts, though I probably would be a lot more comfortable grabbing him as a No. 1 receiver in the third (of a 10-team draft). Listen, it's always scary when you pay for a guy's career year a year after he has it. But Austin feels like an exception. He's been through the phase where defenses started scheming to take him away, he struggled a bit, then the Cowboys adjusted and realized there are plays they can run for him that defenses just can't double fast enough. I really still like him this year....
Mark (Naples FL)
what do u think a good rule is as to when to draft rookie runningbacks in 12 team standard ppr leagues. I forsee several rookie runningbacks starting in the NFL next yr. Houston, Detroit, and maybe Seattle for example MUST draft a runningback at some point in the draft.
Christopher Harris (3:20 PM)
Hi, Mark. We'll have to deal with those teams and backfields on a case-by-case basis once they wind up drafting their rushers (and I think you can add San Diego to that list). The thing is: in each case, there are veterans of differing abilities on hand to make playing time potentially scarce. In some form or another, I'll either be blogging or chatting during or right after the first round of the draft, and will have some immediate reactions (and some non-immediate ones, too) after we know who's going where.
Tyler (Bend, OR)
Who is your favorite rookie running back pre-draft?
Christopher Harris (3:22 PM)
Hi, Tyler. It's gotta be Spiller -- I think he's a home run waiting to happen. He doesn't quite have Chris Johnson's speed, but he's on that level of quickness (Jamal Charles might be a good comparison). Don't have the stat right in front of me, but a ridiculous percentage of his collegiate touchdowns were over 50 yards. Mathews is likelier to be an every-down back, but my pick for fantasy rookie of the year right now is Spiller.
Who do you like best out of the NY Giants WR core? I think Nicks become the true 1 this year.
Christopher Harris (3:23 PM)
Hi, Bogan. I agree that Nicks has huge upside this year, and I have him rated No. 22 among wide receivers right now. But I have Smith (the Giants' flavor) rated 19th. They're different. Smith is that reliable seam guy, a player who's very likely to lead the team in receptions no matter what happens on the outside. Nicks *should* be the outside threat, though he's not a complete burner, and Mario Manningham (and perhaps to a lesser extent Ramses Barden) will battle him for looks. Love 'em both. Not many people know Eli Manning threw for 4,000 yards last year.
Baily, Hawaii [via mobile]
I'm a Broncos fan and I've like seeing Scheffler and Marshall. But now that they are gone, do you think the Broncos have any fantasy value.
Christopher Harris (3:25 PM)
Sure they do. Eddie Royal has the potential for a bounce-back year, and you certainly won't have to pay a premium to get him. And as I mentioned earlier, I haven't given up on Knowshon Moreno. I know that Correll Buckhalter is still there, and at times looked better than the rookie last year. But Moreno has the size/speed combo to be a star in the league, and I like the fact that the Broncos are scrapping a blocking system that didn't really play to Moreno's strengths. The new, mauling line ought to be better for him.
To match with AP...Matt Forte in 4th, Fred Jackson in 6th, or Pierre Garcon in 10th?
Christopher Harris (3:26 PM)
Hi, Tom. I don't see Forte as a huge bargain at that price. Jackson, well, in a 10-team league, maybe that's about where he deserves to go, maybe it's a round earlier. But Garcon would appear to be the real bargain here. He probably should go in the fifth or sixth....
Do you see Megatron(best nickname ever) sliding in drafts this year because of the injury issues he had lats year? He seems to be over looked when people talk about elite WR
Christopher Harris (3:27 PM)
Hi, Eric. I do think he'll slide -- but I actually think rightly so. I mean, the guy *has* been injury prone in his pro career, and there are still an awful lot of questions about the Lions offense. I have Megatron ranked ninth among receivers, so it's not like I've dissing him and dooming him to failure forever. But I had him third last year, I think, and obviously that didn't work out. I would be glad to draft him. But I also would be a bit nervous if I had to use him as my No. 1 wideout, which someone probably will have to do....
Chris, if you already have a #1 RB locked up (Rice), do you use the second keeper on another high round guy like Turner (3rd rd) or go with an upside-value guy like Greene (12th)?
Christopher Harris (3:29 PM)
Hi, Ragan. I don't have any generalized words of wisdom about a case like this -- it really depends on the specific players, and how much value they have. Is Turner in the third a value? It would appear so, though I don't know your keeper rules. But he probably isn't as much of a value as Greene in the 12th. So you then ask yourself -- what can I get with that third round pick that would've otherwise been Turner? Can you get something great? Or merely good? I think Turner is better than Greene this year. But if Turner - Greene < the guy you draft in the third? You probably keep Greene.
Zack (Des Moines)
Which defense has improved the most so far this offseason? I'm kinda liking the Bears.
Christopher Harris (3:31 PM)
Hi, Zack. Great question, but honestly, I'm not crazy about the Bears, even with Peppers. I don't know about their secondary. Tommie Harris hasn't played well in back-to-back seasons. The safeties are a mess. The corners are inconsistent. I'm not sold. I think if I had to pick one, it'd be Denver. Their back four was terrific last year, though it's old. But they re-made their 3-4 defensive line, which was the root of their second-half problems. Jarvis Green, Justin Bannan and Jamal Williams should be fantastic, provided Williams is OK. In my mind, they've made the biggest leap toward fantasy respectability so far....
Justin (St Louis)
What's the word on Ronnie Brown? I know about his DUI but hows the Lisfranc recovery going? Also do you think he'll get traded? I was kind of surprised he was rumored to be on the trading block since he is the cornerstone of the Fins wildcat.
Christopher Harris (3:32 PM)
Hi, Justin. I think Brown's rehab is going fine -- and I also don't think the fact that he's the Wildcat QB would be a reason not to trade him. He's entering a contract year, and there are suspicions that the Fins aren't all that keen on giving him huge dollars, considering he hasn't ever run for 1,008 yards in a single season. I don't think they'll get much in the way of trade offers for him; I expect him to be splitting duties with Ricky Williams again this year.
Jake (VA Beach)
What's your opinion of Charles next year? Is he as a 14th rounder a better keep than Schaub in the 8th?
Christopher Harris (3:34 PM)
Hi, Jake. My opinion is that I was flirting with putting Charles in my overall top 10 before the Chiefs signed Thomas Jones. But that TJ signing makes things muddy for Charles -- we're talking about a veteran who's got 1,300 yards in back-to-back seasons. I think it'll be a 66/34 split between those guys, which hurts Charles some. But he's still got crazy week-to-week upside if he stays healthy (and he's a pretty little guy, so that's not sure). I would say he probably is better value than Schaub, only because it's not that hard to find a high-production quarterback....
Eric (Albany, NY)
What kind of potential do you see for Michael Crabtree in a standard league?
Christopher Harris (3:36 PM)
Hi, Eric. He's got No. 1 fantasy receiver upside. But he probably won't reach it. I really with the Niners had considered trading for Donovan McNabb. That really would've helped. As it is, there's only so much faith I can have in Alex Smith, and remember Vernon Davis is a big drain in the passing game. I have Crabtree ranked 23rd on my receiving list, and as my 50th overall player. I think he's a borderline every-week starter. (And I think there's a chance the Niners take Jimmy Clausen if he's there in the first round.)
Steve (St Paul)
Since Reggie Bush played well during the playoffs, do you see the Saints using him more next season? 6th round pick?
Christopher Harris (3:37 PM)
Hi, Steve. Good question. Of course, the truth is that Bush *really* only played *very* well in one playoff game, against the Cardinals. I think Bush will probably be just about as involved this year as he was last -- I think the Saints are going to find a big back someplace to replace Mike Bell, and I think Pierre Thomas is pretty clearly the best player in that backfield when everyone's healthy. I have Frenchy as a fourth-rounder, and Bush going in the 7th or 8th.
Quietly Jason Witten has turned into Kris Cooley, huge yards but few TDs. Is he still a Top TE?
Christopher Harris (3:38 PM)
Hi, Pat. Great question, as well. I really went back and forth when I rated Witten this winter. On the one hand, he's super-involved in the passing game. On the other hand, the past two seasons, they just haven't given him any red-zone targets, perhaps because he's such a good blocker. I rate him No. 8 among tight ends, which I think probably means he's *not* a "top" guy at his position. I just don't know why the Cowboys would suddenly start throwing it to him when they're close to an opponent's end zone, when it's worked not doing that the past two seasons.
Fez (The D)
If the Niners take Spiller, which to me doesn't address what they need, does Gore immediately slip out of the first round? If so, how far?
Christopher Harris (3:39 PM)
Hi, Fez. I think yes. Gore would probably join Jamaal Charles as a great back in a frustrating tandem, and would probably belong in the third round. But I'm also with you on this: I don't think it's what the Niners will do. They have other needs. They could use a corner, another tackle, a rush linebacker and, well, yes, a quarterback.
Is Scheffler worth taking? Do you know what the Lions philosophy is regarding TEs?
Christopher Harris (3:40 PM)
Hi, Billy. I don't think Scheffler is an every-week starter in Detroit. They have Brandon Pettigrew, who's rehabbing from a torn ACL, and who is more of an "in-line" tight end, while Scheffler is basically a slot receiver. I wouldn't put it past Scheffler to have a few good games this year, but I think he and Pettigrew will to a large extent cancel one another out.
After AP and CJ who do you take Jones Drew or the kid from the Ravens?
Christopher Harris (3:41 PM)
Hi, Mel. I have MJD third (and I know folks who have him second, ahead of Peterson). I have Rice fourth, though. I just think MJD is the best goal-line rusher in football, and that makes him really, really safe, provided he doesn't get hurt.
Kim (San Fran. )
Who are you taking Vernon davis or Antinio gates?
Christopher Harris (3:41 PM)
Hi, Kim. They're No. 2 (Gates) and No. 3 (Davis) on my list. Can't go wrong.
Do you see any rookie TEs worth drafting?
Christopher Harris (3:42 PM)
Hi, Jack. Not right now. It doesn't help that the two top guys, Gresham and Gronkowski, are coming off season-ending injuries. Let's have the final word when we know where they land, but for the moment, I don't see either guy being a regular contributor in a 10-team league in 2010.
Christopher Harris (3:46 PM)
Hi, Chris. I don't know that I love McKnight -- it seems to me he never quite turned into the consistent threat at USC that they hoped when he was such a hyped recruit. But I'll tell you, him going to the Vikings in maybe the third round makes a lot of sense -- they need someone to play behind Peterson, and McKnight is best cast at the moment as a big-play threat who doesn't have to take a lot of pounding.... That's an "out-on-a-limb" prediction if ever I've written one....
Christopher, ESPN has got to get it right one of these days...10 team leagues still allow for stud teams, make the standard (I do because it's better) 12 team leagues and sure there are some diluted teams, but it gets you thinking more and make you plan, also increases your chances for sleepers.
Christopher Harris (3:47 PM)
Hi, Eric. To some extent you're preaching to the choir -- heck, my favorite league is a 16-teamer. I've made this case to the higher-ups, but their (persuasive) response is that you and I are experts, but the vast majority of the millions upon millions of people who play fantasy football prefer dealing with players they know, and thus prefer 10-team leagues. The good news is (not to be a total schill here) that our game for 2010 is going to be more customizable than ever, from what I understand....
Christopher Harris (3:49 PM)
Hi, Hank. Yeah, can we retire the word sleeper? (Scratch that -- I know the answer to that question.) I like Beanie Wells an awful lot. I like Felix Jones to lead the Cowboys backfield. I like Michael Bush to maybe be better than Darren McFadden. I think Donald Brown will make much more of an impact. And if Ahmad Bradshaw gets his feet right, I think he's got a really good chance to outdo Brandon Jacobs.
C. Smith (Atlanta)
Calvin Johnson or Roddy White?
Christopher Harris (3:49 PM)
Hi, C. For now, for me, it's White.
Give me 5 players who are being very OVERRATED right now?
Christopher Harris (3:52 PM)
Hi, Grant. Hm. Maybe Anquan Boldin? I like him as a top-20 receiver, but not to suddenly be Fitzgerald-like. I don't think Kevin Kolb is a fantasy starter just yet, not in a 10-team league. Robert Meachem, whose talent I love, but not his opportunities. Clinton Portis, who I don't want to own at *all*. If anyone is still considering DeAngelo Williams a first-rounder, I think that's a mistake. Those are just completely off the cuff -- probably not my five-*most* overrated. But somewhat overrated.
Brian (Rochester Hills, MI)
Should Chris Johnson be the number 1 RB in fantasy leagues for 2010?
Christopher Harris (3:52 PM)
Hi, Brian. I'm going to write an article that defends my position in the next few weeks, but I have Peterson No. 1, and Johnson No. 2. I just think the stability Peterson provides beats out Johnson's likelihood of a repeat. But I'm in the vast minority there.
Bigger Value for the whole year Jamaal Charles , Shone Green or Jerome Harrison ?
Christopher Harris (3:53 PM)
Hi, Mary. I have Greene highest of that group.
Give me one player who will start out HOT but limp to the finish line?
Christopher Harris (3:53 PM)
Hi, Val. LaDainian Tomlinson. He scores 3 touchdowns in Week 1, sending fantasy nation into a tizzy, then only scores twice more the entire year.
Wells over Moreno this year?
Christopher Harris (3:54 PM)
Hi, Rene. I think so. As I've said, I'm buying Beanie right now. We have to see how the carries break down, but from what I saw of Wells at the end of last season, it seems to me he's ready to border on 20 per game.
In a PPR league, I would think MJD was slightly more valuable than CJ and definitely more valuable than ADP, what do you think?
Christopher Harris (3:56 PM)
Hi, Susan. Honestly, I don't think CJ/AP/MJD differ that much in the standard vs. PPR conversation. Their catch numbers were similar last year, and no Chester Taylor means even more catches for Peterson. MJD had 53 receptions in '09, Johnson had 50, and Peterson had 43. I think what you think of 'em in a standard is probably about what you think of 'em in a PPR.
Brian (Richmond, Ky.)
Can Chad Ochocinco dance his way back into the endzone often enough this year to be a #1 WR in a league that scores points-per-reception?
Christopher Harris (3:57 PM)
Hi, Brian. Probably not -- the Bengals aren't a pass-heavy offense any longer, and Ocho "only" had 72 catches last year, which put him 17th in the league, and that was without any kind of effective No. 2 receiver opposite him. I think Antonio Bryant is a really nice upgrade. I feel safer with Ocho as my No. 2.
Chris Fiegler (Latham,NY)
Which NFL Team would be a perfect fit for Texas QB Colt McCoy?
Christopher Harris (3:59 PM)
Hi, Chris. The Browns make a lot of sense to me. McCoy doesn't have a huge arm but is pretty accurate, and that's what Holmgren wants to see out of his West Coast quarterbacks. (Which is why Jake Delhomme is going to be awful this year.) I won't be surprised to see the Browns jump if McCoy makes it into the second round.
On the Ray Rice note - are the ravens going to trade McGahee? If not I just dont see how Rice is a top 4 pick. The Ravens were comitted to McGahee as their goal line back last year.
Christopher Harris (4:02 PM)
Hi, Frank. Would it surprise you to know that Rice had 43 carries in the red zone last year, and McGahee had 29? And even closer in: Rice had 14 carries inside the 10 and 7 inside the 5, while McGahee had 19 and 11. Did McGahee get preference at times? Yes. Is it a clear commitment? I don't know about that. My experience tells me that splits like this, where one guy goes crazy with touchdowns but doesn't get yardage, rarely last. I'm looking at you, LenDale White.
Matt (Milford, DE)
Aaron Rodgers best QB in fantasy not named Brees or Manning?
Christopher Harris (4:03 PM)
Hi, Matt. Heck, I think Rodgers is better than Peyton. I'd take either guy, obviously, but I expect Green Bay's pass protection to make some strides this year, and I like the fact that the Pack has more of a two-dimensional offense. We're picking nits between those guys, but my top three goes: Brees, Rodgers, Peyton.
Harold (Sioux City, Iowa)
Thinking of making some additions to our football league. What are your thoughts on adding (maybe 2 overall) IDP spots?
Christopher Harris (4:04 PM)
Hi, Harold. I'm for it. Frankly, though, two might not be enough. I think you go with four or five, to inject just a bit of scarcity into the equation. (And not a lot at that.) Tackles don't necessarily come from the very best players, just as interceptions don't necessarily come from the best defensive backs. (Sacks usually do come from superstars...) Giving some variability to use different kinds of players with a few extra spots, in my experience, works well...
Sam (Toronto, CANADA)
Rank these players for keeper fantasy value.Santonio HolmesMatt RyanWillie ParkerLarry Johnson
Christopher Harris (4:05 PM)
Hi, Sam. Not Larry Johnson or Willie Parker. I don't even necessarily believe that both guys will be on the Redskins roster come September. For this year, with Holmes's suspension figured in, I have Holmes as my No. 83 overall player, and Ryan at No. 85. So in a keeper league, I'm probably giving Holmes the nod.
WRs sometimes seem to have a tough time adjusting to the NFL. Which WRs in this year's class will break that tradition, a la Crabtree?
Christopher Harris (4:08 PM)
Hi, Justin. Heck, I don't even think Crabtree qualified as a tradition break in '09 -- he was pretty OK once he started playing, but I wouldn't say he was particularly reliable. Rookie wideouts almost invariably wind up getting drafted higher than they should, but that doesn't mean they can't make an impact, fantasy-wise. Dez Bryant and Demaryius Thomas are the big-bodied, big-upside guys, depending on where they land. I like Golden Tate's potential, but again, he'd have to land in the perfection situation for him. If I had to guess, I'd say none of these guys finishes as a top 40 fantasy receiver in '10, but several rookie receivers from this class will eventually be very good fantasy players.
Christopher Harris (4:08 PM)
All right, gang. One more, and then it's back to writing....
Matt (Milford, DE)
What do you expect out of Thomas Jones this season in KC?
Christopher Harris (4:10 PM)
Hi, Matt. Great Thomas Jones stat I read the other day: only 50% of his rush yards in 2009 came after contact, the smallest percentage of any starting NFL back last year. That means his offensive line in New York was sick, and it's safe to say the Chiefs' line represents a downgrade, to say nothing of the fact that Jamaal Charles is on hand. I think Jones will be useful -- he'll get 10 carries per game, break a few big ones, and score, oh, 5 or 6 times. But unless Charles gets hurt (which is a real possibility, of course), TJ isn't a fantasy starter. But if you draft one of these guys, reach and make sure you draft the other.
Christopher Harris (4:11 PM)
All right, everyone. Thanks very much for coming -- this was a blast, and if it weren't for you, I wouldn't have this great job. so thank you. I hope you'll keep reading my offseason football stuff, including lots of NFL Draft related content that we'll be publishing on Friday morning and all weekend, as draft picks warrant. See you soon....