Chat with David Schoenfield
Welcome to Sportsnation! On Tuesday, ESPN.com's SweetSpot blogger David Schoenfield stops by to chat some baseball.
Schoenfield is a senior writer for ESPN.com and he's been with ESPN.com since 1995 and has served in a variety of roles, including baseball editor, Page 2 senior editor and writer, and even interim soccer editor. He grew up in Seattle rooting for the Mariners, believes Edgar Martinez should be in the Hall of Fame and had no issues with Felix Hernandez winning the Cy Young Award despite a 13-12 record.
Send your questions now and join Schoenfield Tuesday at 1 p.m. ET!
David Schoenfield (1:02 PM)
OK, let's go right to it. A lot of trade deadline questions. I'll give my take but feel free to weigh in yourself and I'll post your comments.
Mike (somewhere in WV)
I agree that the Rockies should not trade Ubaldo. However, I do think they should trade any other veteran who would bring more than a couple bags of batting practice balls. The problem of course being that they don't have any such player. Have I missed somebody?
David Schoenfield (1:03 PM)
Ryan Spilborghs could bring a few bags of baseball. Seriously, Huston Street is one guy they could deal. Pirates and Phillies, among others, are looking for right-handed relief, and the Rangers could use some bullpen depth.
Greg (New York)
In order to get Ubaldo Jiminez, would the yankees have to give up every named prospect: Montero, Betancis, Banuelos, Sanchez, Romine, and Nova. If so that is so ridiculous its not even funny.
David Schoenfield (1:04 PM)
Let's be a little more realistic: If you're the Rockies, would you trade Jimenez for Montero, Banuelos and a third guy (not Betances)? I don't think so, but I'm sure the Yankees would give up all three of those guys.
CF and utility infielder are the biggest needs for the Braves. Is Minor/Schafer/B prospect a fair price for Bourn/Keppinger?
David Schoenfield (1:06 PM)
I don't think so. Michael Bourn is a really good player. Good defender, 35/40 stealing, gets on base at a decent rate. Unless the Astros are intent on cutting payroll, I'm not sure Minor is enough.
Tony (Pt Jeff, NY)
IF you were to list the STRONG sellers and the STRONG buyers this year- wouldn't your list be pretty short? Seems like most are in the "well MAYBE we'll make a move" camp.
David Schoenfield (1:08 PM)
I agree. The fact that the Yankees and Braves have opened a big gap in the wild-card races means fewer teams are in it than a couple weeks. NL Central and AL Central races are, of course, very tight, but how many of those teams have the payroll flexibility or willingless to take on a bigger contract like Beltran's?
If St. Louis does indeed trade Rasmus please tell me it won't be in a straight up deal for B.J. Upton. Basicly the same player but older and more expensive. As many issues as Tony and Colby have had I don't see Tony handling B.J.'s lack of hustle at times very well.
David Schoenfield (1:09 PM)
I read a report yesterday saying the Cardinals are not shopping Rasmus around. And, no, Rasmus-for-Upton makes no sense especially for the reasons you indicate -- Upton would finally turn La Russa's hair gray.
Curious as to your thoughts regarding the JJ Hardy extension.
David Schoenfield (1:10 PM)
I wrote a quick blog on it yesterday. Thought it was a solid deal for the Orioles, didn't really overpay. Hardy's health history makes it a little risky but there aren't many decent shortstops right now. Hardy will hold down the fort until Manny Machado is ready.
Yonder Alonso/Yasmani Grandal/B prospect for James Shields. Who says no to this? The Rays get a top 1B & C prospect (two positions of need) and the Reds get a really good SP. If the Rays fall out of the race, this trade makes too much sense. Right? RIGHT?
David Schoenfield (1:12 PM)
I like this one. To me, the Reds are in the best position of any team to make a big deal. They're pretty deep in top 100 prospects, but they still have a young foundation with Votto/Bruce/Stubbs so wouldn't be punting the future by trading guys like Alonso and Grandal.
Greater odds: Pirates winning the NL Central...or the Braves dealing for Beltran?
David Schoenfield (1:14 PM)
I want to get behind America's Team, but a look at the lineup and the rotation and just can't see them staying in it. Jeff Karstens, for example: He's allowed 17 home runs but just 34 runs. Anyway, I'm rooting for the Pirates but probably more likely that Beltran ends up with the Braves.
Wouldthe Cubs top 10 prospects be enough to get Jimenez and Pence?
David Schoenfield (1:14 PM)
The Phillies have a 98% chance of making the playoffs right now. It would take a catastrophe for them to miss out. With that in mind, does it make sense for the Phils to go after a rental like Beltran, Willingham or Ludwick?
David Schoenfield (1:18 PM)
This is exactly why the trade deadline can be drastically overrated. The Phillies will make the playoffs, so all they would be looking to do is upgrade their team for the postseason. But the postseason is a complete crapshoot. Anything can happen, no matter if you trade for Josh Willingham or Albert Pujols. Yes, some trades definitely make you better in the playoffs -- the Rangers (or Phillies) getting Cliff Lee, for example -- but the Phillies adding Beltran or Willingham is really a minor upgrade that increases your chances of winning in the playoffs very slightly. Is it worth trading a top prospect for that? That's what GMs have to decide.
Re: ChetAre you trying to convince yourself? YOu a reds fan? :)
Mike (San Diego)
Should the Cubs be calling everybody with a 3rd base need and see what they can get for Ramirez? I feel like his value isn;t going to get any higher than it is right now.
David Schoenfield (1:19 PM)
How about Aramis going back to the Pirates? That teams needs some production at third base.
Does Jimmy Rollins use the Hardy contract to price himself out of Philadelphia next year?
David Schoenfield (1:22 PM)
Is Jimmy Rollins better than J.J. Hardy? Rollins since 2009: 333 G, .714 OPS. Hardy since 2009: 281 G, .719 OPS. Rollins four years older. I think we've just established about what Rollins will get, no?
Speaking of BJ Upton, what do you think it is that keeps him from reaching his enormous potential?
David Schoenfield (1:25 PM)
Simple: He doesn't make contact enough. Too many holes in his swing. Check his yearly averages: .300, .273, .241, .237, .236. He's still a good player, but I think it's time to admit he is what he is.
Hey David, I thought the Orioles did kind of overpay for Hardy. Yunel Escobar just got 2 years and 10 million and he's arguably the superior SS. In my mind, Baltimore would have been better served trading Hardy to potentially speed up their rebuilding process.
David Schoenfield (1:27 PM)
Yeah, I didn't think it was a great deal or anything. TBut players aren't directly comparable since Escobar wasn't being paid for his free agent years. If Escobar was a FA, he'd get more than $7 million per year.
In your mind where are these players playing on August 1? A) BeltranB) BellC) AdamsD) PenceE) Lowe
David Schoenfield (1:29 PM)
OK, some predictions:A. Beltran -- GiantsB. Bell -- CardinalsC. Adams -- hmm, Rangers?D. Pence -- AstrosE. Lowe -- Braves
jose reyes (mets)
me + pirates = world series! how can they make this happen??
What have you heard in the rumor mills of Derek Lowe being traded to a contender for a bat? Lowe has fantastic stuff in the playoffs and we remember what he did in Sept last year. I have mixed emotions, but I see it as a possibility from a financial perspective (15 MIL is not cheap).
David Schoenfield (1:31 PM)
There are rumors involving the Tigers. Lowe has better numbers in the second half and he's had some clutch playoff starts in his career. I think in the end the Braves will live with the 2012 salary and want to head into the playoffs with Jurrjens/Hanson/Lowe/Hudson rotation.
Beltran to the Giants. What are the Mets getting in return?
David Schoenfield (1:33 PM)
I don't think Beltran will be THAT expensive. Mets want to dump his contract. I don't think he'd cost Wheeler or Belt. So maybe a guy like Gary Brown, a speedster center fielder with a good glove having a good year in Class A, plus another B prospect.
John (Brookhaven, PA)
Is it time for Chase Utley to leave the 3-hole? In 171 at-bats this year, Utley has only 15 extra-base hits, with just 8 doubles and 4 homers. His OBP is good (.362) but he's only slugging .415. Would a move to the 2-hole suit him better? You simply need more slugging out of that 3-hole IMO.
David Schoenfield (1:37 PM)
But who else would the Phillies hit there? He's still third on the team in OPS. You could move Victorino down to the 3-hole, but that's a minor change. Really, many studies have proven that batting orders aren't that important (assuming you aren't doing anything really stupid, like hitting your pitcher cleanup). They're fun to discuss though!
Phil (SF, Ca)
I'd love to see Beltran on the Giants but think upgrades at 2B and catcher are more important...do you agree?
David Schoenfield (1:39 PM)
Trouble is, you're not likely to find an impact bat at 2B or C.
Johnny D (CT)
The Yankees need a left handed starter because the Red Sox have feasted on their pitching this year. A quality lefty could help quell Ortiz and A-Gon etc, don't you agree
David Schoenfield (1:41 PM)
It would certainly help, especially matchups in late innings. Red Sox' splits aren't actually that severe -- 814 OPS vs. RHP, 792 vs. LHP (in part because Youk and Pedroia crush lefties). But Red Sox are also likely to pick up a right-handed OF bat.
can you answer my jose reyes question about how the pirates can get him you posted it then skipped it thank you
David Schoenfield (1:42 PM)
I don't see it happening. Ronny Cedeno isn't the biggest issue with the Pirates, so I think they're more likely to get a 3B or 1B power bat. And I still don't think Reyes gets traded.
Boaz (Mountain View)
Why do people believe the Red Sox need to find a right handed right fielder when they have enough offense even with JD being cooked? Furthermore between Reddick and possibly Kalish they have there solution right there.
David Schoenfield (1:44 PM)
They do lead the majors in runs scored, but you can pick up a RH platoon bat pretty cheaply.
Crash Davis (Durham)
Longshot sleeper trade statement- "Don't be surprised if Team ____ shops Player ____"?
David Schoenfield (1:46 PM)
Hmm, good question. Not many guys who fit that bill. James Shields? Matt Garza? Felix Hernandez? (Just kidding, Mariners fans.) What does everyone think?
Austin Jackson for Beltran + big chunk of Beltran's salary. Who says yes faster?
David Schoenfield (1:47 PM)
No way the Tigers do that deal.
Ed (San Diego)
What type of return can the Padres expect from the Rangers if that's where he ends up? No way they trade Martin Perez right?
David Schoenfield (1:49 PM)
I assume you mean Heath Bell or Mike Adams. No, the Rangers won't deal deal Martin Perez for a reliever. Keith Law just named Perez the No. 10 prospect in the minors in his recent top 50 update. 18-year-old shortstop Jurickson Profar isn't going anywhere. So ... somebody besides one of those two guys.
Baseball-reference.com has J.D. Drew and Lance Berkman approximately even on career WaR coming in to this year. Sound about right to you?
David Schoenfield (1:52 PM)
Good question. It's hard to convince fans of this, but J.D. Drew has been a terrific player in his career -- .384 OBP, power, good defensive player. I guess I'm a little surprised they're so close since Berkman had some monster offensive seasons, but he doesn't bring much with the glove or on the bases. I'd probably take Berkman, but it sounds about right.
David Schoenfield (1:53 PM)
Worth noting that Drew has made the playoffs with four different teams.
Pirates apparently buying? You mentioned that you don't see them contending. Could it be just a message to fans?
David Schoenfield (1:55 PM)
I don't think they'll give away one of their top 4-5 prospects, but when you haven't contended since 1992, it's hard NOT to make a deal. They've been selling more tickets lately, enthusiasm is up for the first time in 20 years. Of course it would be great to see them land Ramirez or Beltran, but maybe a middle reliever is more likely.
Suprise name out of nowhere - Felix Hernandez to the Yankees for Montero, Betances, Nova, Warren, and Nunez. Seattle gets worried their future trade partner may part with necessary prospects for Ubaldo, and opens up the trade talks.
David Schoenfield (1:56 PM)
I know Dave Cameron of the USS Mariner, Fangraphs and ESPN has suggested the idea of trading Pineda. Mariners are so lacking in good players that they may have to consider the idea of trading one of their aces.
Jon Kuzzy (Cleveland)
I know the Indians won't do anything come trade deadline, not worth giving up the future right now, but what about trading Fausto Carmona? Any market for him out there with the available SP being a little thin? I'd also trade Grady Sizemore for a happy meal at this stage in the game...
David Schoenfield (1:57 PM)
Umm, with a 5.63 ERA?
Please tell me that I'm not a bad fan for wanting the Twins to sell, even though they may not get a lot in return. This team is NOT a threat to compete in October even if they luck into the playoffs.
David Schoenfield (1:58 PM)
You're not a bad fan. You're a smart fan. I'm not on the Twins bandwagon either, as yesterday's doubleheader proved.
if you were starting a franchise who would you rather have matt kemp and kershaw or beckett and adrian gonzalez
David Schoenfield (1:59 PM)
Fun question. I think I'd go Kemp and Kershaw, although I'd play Kemp in right field or left field. But I absolutely love Kershaw.
Joe Mauer had 6 hits yesterday, threw out 1/2 baserunners, and almost doubled his OBP. Just sayin'.
Why does everybody use the herschel walker trade as the gold standard? What about the red sox dealing heathcliff slocumb for varitek and lowe?
David Schoenfield (2:01 PM)
You realize I'm a Mariners fan, right? I was once told by a prominent reporter the way that deal happened was the Red Sox called the Mariners minutes before the deadline looking to offer Slocumb for Varitek OR Lowe and somehow ended up with BOTH players. Thank you, Woody Woodward.
As hot as the Sox are, they just can't shake the Yankees. Admit to us that you didn't think the Yankees would be this tough to shake.
David Schoenfield (2:01 PM)
Of note, 4 teams made the playoffs in spite of JD Drew.... (and as a fan of any of Drew's former 3 teams, they will tell you how frustrating he is)
David Schoenfield (2:03 PM)
Oh, I know how frustrating he is. But dude has been a good player. Five years with a .400+ OBP?
Just ask a Vikings fan or a Cowboys fan why the Walker trade is the gold standard...
Mike (San Diego)
I think Jon Kuzzy from Cleveland asked you about Fransico Carmona, not Fausto. In case you didn't know, Fransico is his cousin who doesn't completely suck.
David Schoenfield (2:05 PM)
Now I'm confused. I think you're joking, since I've heard of this cousin and see no record of him! :-)
What would it cost the Cardinals in a trade for Bell? Would the fact that they would receive draft picks if he signed elsewhere tempt them into giving up Zach Cox?
David Schoenfield (2:06 PM)
I think Bell will bring more than Beltran. With the draft picks, it makes it more likely teams will be willing to give up a pretty good prospect. Heck, the Cardinals could even look into signing Bell to an extension.
Luke (Wilmington, NC)
Re: the Twins. Isn't the goal to get to October, then it's a crapshoot.
Big Cat (York)
Pirates trade for Dunn cheap. He comes back to NL and settles back in. Sounds like a great deal for the bucs except the 3 more years of 15 MIL in salary. How can the Pirates get this done?
Thoughts on teams with a plethora of SP (Angels, Giants) to trade their SP for hitters?
David Schoenfield (2:07 PM)
Yeah, my surprise move would be the Giants trading Bumgarner or Sanchez.
Mike (Long Island)
Other than having a smart front office and a good manager, why have the Rays succeeded while other "historically" bad teams still struggle?
David Schoenfield (2:08 PM)
Read Jonah Keri's book, "The Extra 2%"!
David Schoenfield (2:08 PM)
Short answer: They've drafted better than the Pirates or Royals.
do you think the Tigers NEED to make a move at the deadline? i'm still under the delusion that simply having the best hitter & pitcher in the game will suffice in the AL Central
David Schoenfield (2:10 PM)
I'm worried about their rotation. Only Verlander has an ERA under 4.40 and a WHIP under 1.40. In this day of good pitching, that's a pretty weak rotation. I don't think they NEED to make a move and I don't believe their farm system is that highly regarded to make an impact deal, but Dombrowski always seems to be trying to make something happen.
The Rays also don't rush players to the Majors, so they get more out of the 6-7 years of team control than most teams do.
If the White Sox put Adam Dunn on waivers, would any team bite on the remainder of that contract?
David Schoenfield (2:12 PM)
Good question. You know ... I don't think so. He's hitting .158! Can't play the field.
Acquaintance (Not Heaven, Iowa)
Ben (Charlotte), when did the Tigers get Adrian Gonzalez???
Is it really that hard to look these things up before making a broad, generalized statement?JD Drew's OPS in Years his team's made the playoffs:2000 - .8802001 - .10292002 - .7782004 - .10062006 - .8912007 - .7962008 - . 9272009 - . 914I'd say Drew contributed a bit more to his teams playoff efforts than our friend "Nate" asserts
David Schoenfield (2:12 PM)
Do you think the Jays might find a taker for Aaron Hill? Is he even being shopped?
David Schoenfield (2:13 PM)
Tim (St. Paul)
David, I'm confused. We can cite JD Drew's playoff appearances, so why do Yankee fans get drilled by the sabermatricians when citing Jeter's number of playoff appearances? Which is it?
David Schoenfield (2:14 PM)
What's confusing? Sabermetricians will assert that Jeter is a great player. I think saber guys/analysts/other fans merely object to the belief that Jeter gets TOO much credit for all those playoff appearances.
re:Drew- I'm one of Drew's biggest defenders, but even I know he's not worth the contract he got- and that's why he gets all the hate
David Schoenfield (2:17 PM)
No, but it hasn't been a terrible deal (up until this year).
re: twins, postseason, crpashoot.....as any twins fan can attest. it ain't a carpshoot. we've been consistently overmatched in the postmatched. anyone who has watched the games can see this. it's clear as day.
What were the White Sox thinking when they claimed Rios? He's the worst player I've ever seen in my entire life.
David Schoenfield (2:17 PM)
Worse than Adam Dunn or J.D. Drew?
The O's are sellers, but have nothing to sell. Do Koji and D. Lee get moved?
David Schoenfield (2:19 PM)
I think Koji and Guthrie are the only guys they can sell and get something in return. Maybe Scott if he comes of the DL and shows he's healthy, but he hasn't hit much this year. Lee and Vlad won't much more than a C prospect.
On the Rays not rushing prospects, had Starlin Castro been on the Rays would he be in the Majors now? While he's a dynamic, exciting player with great bat skills, and the best thing to watch about Cubs' baseball right now, more seasoning both from the perspective of increasing his patience and in the field prior to coming to the MLB level couldn't have hurt.
David Schoenfield (2:20 PM)
Good question. Considering the emphasis Tampa puts on defense, Castro definitely wouldn't been in the majors last year.
JD Drew has 2 World Series rings, and you all have none. Stop hating.
alex rios can't be worse than sorryano
Mike (San Diego)
The Orioles HAD something of value to sell, but signed him to a 3 year extension instead. Brilliant.
You know who deserves hate for his contract: Vernon Wells. Last year away from the Rogers Center he hit .224, this year, .222. Why did the angels make this move???
David Schoenfield (2:22 PM)
I don't think it's fair to hate the player. Hate the team that made the deal or traded for the guy. And, yes, Wells' bad season isn't exactly a big surprise.
Neil (DC )
As a Sox fan, I ask all the Drew haters out there, who would have been a better RF since 2007? One that they could have legitimately had anyway (so that excludes guys like Choo and Ichiro)? RF is not LF, especially at Fenway, you can't just throw Manny Ramirez out there and expect to be okay.
Nils (Portland, ME)
Drew also averages close to 5 pitches per at-bat, which is HUGE in the Sox lineup where mistake pitches get hammered as pitchers tire. Big fan as a Sox fan.
Clearly Bill never had to watch Dusty Baker start Neifi Perez at shortstop every day for a year and a half.
Any chance the Red Sox would take Garza and Byrd for Ellsbury?
David Schoenfield (2:23 PM)
Wow ... where did that come from? Sox aren't trading Ellsbury.
jeff (NY, NY)
If the Yankees were willing to offer up Granderson in a package could they get a legitimate #1 in return?
David Schoenfield (2:25 PM)
OK, clearly we're running into crazy time now. Sure, the Yanks could get a get good pitcher for Granderson. They could probably get a good one for Cano as well. But that question and response means it's time to end the chat! Thanks to everyone for all the questions. Enjoy the games tonight. Is Ubaldo making his final start for the Rockies?!?!?!