Chat with Tristan Cockcroft
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Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:01 PM)
Good afternoon everyone! Let's get right to your questions...
Dynasty league trade. Would you rather have Felix Jones or Beanie Wells?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:02 PM)
Dynasty? Beanie Wells, though you could really make the case for either since they both have injury histories. I just see Wells' ceiling as slightly higher and he's the one off to the hotter 2011 start.
Is Moreno ever going to be the featured back again?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:05 PM)
If he's ever going to be, now is the time, what with Willis McGahee out for several weeks following surgery. That said, it looks like Knowshon Moreno and Lance Ball will share the carries, so it's an "earn your work" backfield. Being that I've been underwhelmed by Moreno's performance for some time -- well over a year -- I'm skeptical that he'll amount to anything more than a weekly flex looking forward.
Considering playing Antonio Brown against New England. Is it crazy to start him over Dez Bryant in a PPR league? Hines Ward maybe out?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:06 PM)
I'd call that crazy, but I do like Brown as a potential sleeper, especially if Ward indeed sits (as it sounds like he might). Expect the Steelers to throw, throw, throw, meaning plenty to go around for Mike Wallace, Antonio Brown, Heath Miller and, heck, maybe even Emmanuel Sanders.
TE Question for you...I've been picking up a different guy each week to plug in at TE, and none of them have worked out too well...who would you go with, ROS, among the following: Ballard, Gresham, Olsen, H. Miller...does one of them standout for you as having the most potential, or do I keep streaming?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:07 PM)
Greg Olsen, to me, shapes up as the closest thing to a weekly start, but if you're looking for the highest-ceiling option, it's Jermaine Gresham. I'd continue streaming; at this level it's smart to mix and match until you find something trustworthy. Heck, I've been doing that in two leagues of mine.
stephen (los angeles)
i'm confused ... did we learn anything this week re: harvin's value with ponder under center?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:10 PM)
Yes and no. He missed more than half the game with his rib injury, but at the same time he didn't seem to benefit from the switch at quarterback when he was on the field. One thing I took from that game: Christian Ponder was perfectly comfortable throwing it deep to Michael Jenkins, and that's a negative for Harvin owners. Sometimes just a little positive buzz spawns a trend; ask Pierre Garcon.
Phil (Minneapolis )
you consitanly are the only ranker to have maclin over Jackson. What do you believe that they do not.
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:13 PM)
More targets (51-44), more catches (37-24), more red-zone targets (7-3) and from what I recall of their 2010s, there was a noticeable stretch where Jeremy Maclin was easily the more valuable fantasy option between the two. They're both excellent; I just slightly prefer Maclin right now.
You say the Steelers will throw throw throw (and I agree) against the Pats...does that mean Mendenhall is a stay-away? Especially given his struggles this year
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:14 PM)
No, but I do think he'll take on a somewhat smaller role and be a clear RB2, not RB1.
Even though Tebow isn't much of a passer, do you see Decker ever bouncing back? He is a decent safety blanket.
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:17 PM)
I think any Broncos receiver is going to be an inconsistent type, largely only to be trusted when the matchups allow. And to that end, keep in mind that this Week 7 game was a favorable one and Decker's numbers were what they were. Prepare to be frustrated on a weekly basis.
Don Zilla (NJ)
do you have faith in B.Scott as an RB2 this week?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:18 PM)
Low-end, sure, but I'm not counting on much. The Seahawks' run defense is their strength, and the Bengals have worthy receivers in A.J. Green, Jerome Simpson and Jermaine Gresham that can do some damage to that secondary. I think they'll lean more on Andy Dalton; expect something like 15 carries for Scott, with modest yardage totals and a so-so chance at a score.
you a believer in Greg Little?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:18 PM)
Bad Dog (Doghouse)
As obsessed as you must be with fantasy football, does having a bad season just drive you crazy???
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:19 PM)
Yes, because the vast majority of the time that happens, it's due to awful, unexpectedly bad luck, and pretty much any experienced fantasy owner has dealt with that and known how frustrating.
You ranked Gates a lot lower than anyone else, why?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:20 PM)
Just the health worries. It's a favorable matchup, though the same could be said for the top 6-8 tight ends this week. I don't really have a problem starting Antonio Gates, but he's the risk of the bunch to make an early exit.
Scott (Northglenn, CO)
What happens in Redskins backfield? And also, the winning lottery numbers...
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:22 PM)
Ha! 4 8 15 16 23 42.I keep going back to the well on Ryan Torain, and it's not like I'm ignoring Mike Shanahan's tendencies. But every piece of evidence I have still supports Torain being the guy to get, the past two weeks' matchups were favorable on paper, and besides I've already made my case for Roy Helu: I made it crystal clear weeks ago that I regard him as the possible starter by Thanksgiving. He might be the one thing I get right on that team!Incidentally, there's a Tristan (Davis) in that Redskins backfield now...
Man, people keep saying this week will decide it all for me. It's not my fault you know!!
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:23 PM)
It's not? Hmmm. We can agree to disagree.
BRAYLON EDWARDS (SAN FRAN)
Am I worth anything? WR3? Would you start me this week?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:24 PM)
WR4/5, and that's more of a long-term than this-week analysis. A matchup with the Browns, and underrated corner Joe Haden, isn't a favorable one.
Roy Helu (WASH)
would you rather have me or Mark Ingram ROS?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:26 PM)
Wow, that's a good question. Could go either way depending on short-term need. I'm sticking with Ingram; great matchup this week, a good 10 or so touches per week, loaded offense so the carries will be consistent, and he's really talented enough for more. Helu's advantage, to me, might be more touches in the season's final weeks.
How do you feel about Demaryius Thomas...better than Decker?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:27 PM)
A thought: Are Broncos receivers equivalent to Redskins running backs? As in, who the heck knows who will be the top guy any week, and truth be told, the debate itself is overblown.
Scott (Northglenn, CO)
If Stafford's out, you starting Shaun Hill over the likes of Hass or Dalton?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:28 PM)
Maybe in between them. Certainly I'd start Matt Hasselbeck ahead of Shaun Hill, as I like his matchup, but the Dalton-versus-Hill debate is fair.
You believing in me?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:29 PM)
Nope. I've said all year "4-6 useful fantasy games," and with players like that, it's often impossible to tell when they may come. Know what you're dealing with, consider selling to avoid the headache.
Tebow owner who just traded Cam + Holmes in return for Jennings AJ Green. The league is up in arms accusing me of 'taking a dive'....am I missing something here??
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:31 PM)
You were better off with Cam Newton as your quarterback, but I don't see that being an objectionable deal. Slight overpay.
Griff (Griff-stol, CT)
With Defensive Secondaries keying up on elder-statesman Jabar Gaffney in the absence of Santana Moss, is Niles Paul a deep deep sleeper for a bust out game or is John Beck incapable of delivering anyone the rock on a regular basis?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:33 PM)
I like the thinking, and if we're talking uber-deep, you can take a look. But one of the problems I have with Niles Paul is that he's still to some degree in a rotation with Anthony Armstrong, and I could see Terrence Austin serving in a three-man rotation where they divvy up the snaps. Plus, here's the other thing: Fred Davis gets a boost as well; Beck could just look in his way more often. I'd take Paul over Armstrong or Austin, sure, but you'll notice I didn't rank him.
Big projection for Stewart this week, any reason?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:34 PM)
Back-to-back weeks with touchdowns is my assumption. I assume nothing; examining that matchup I see the Vikings having trouble moving the ball consistently on the ground and if they're close to the end zone, it's going to be Cam Newton, not Stewart. But that's just one man's opinion.
I am a big fan sultan. how good a wr can i get for antonio gates in a ppr league. i am thinking of waiting a week in hopes of him going off this week vs kc. what do u think
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:36 PM)
Smart to wait a week, though you always take a risk by him playing that he might get hurt. I'd take it though. Favorable enough matchup to use, and then I'd look to swap him for the absolute best wideout I could get. How about Dwayne Bowe or Larry Fitzgerald?
You may want to re-think your position on Plax. here's why: One-time pro-bowler rounding into shape, huge target, gaining chemistry.. If anything he may be a good by low target.
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:37 PM)
Posting the comment because the points are valid, but I get to make the counterpoints: He's 34 years old and it's a run-based offense. There's a downside.
Any reason at all anyone should still own DeAngelo Williams?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:38 PM)
Flex-play option when he faces weak run defenses. That's the best I've got for you.
The Law Offices of (Green Ellis)
Why so high on me this week against the Steelers?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:39 PM)
Lawfirm is the Patriots' No. 1 back, they're using him as such and the Steelers' run defense has been their weakness. It's nothing more than that.
Thoughts on waiver wire resetting every week to go from worst records picking first?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:40 PM)
All of my leagues do FAAB because we got sick of the randomness of waiver order, but if I'm not going FAAB, yes, I do think waiver order should refresh each week, not carry over all year.
Why so low on Knowshon Moreno (@25 compared to 18-19 by the other analysts)? Wasn't he in when Tebow mounted the comeback in the last 5 minutes against Miami?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:42 PM)
Well, yeah, but he didn't do anything, so that has no bearing on his value. I checked the game log just so I could provide you the stats; in the 10-11 minute comeback Moreno had two carries for two yards and wasn't targeted once. The guy is massively overrated and John Fox has gone out of his way to minimize his role. That matters to me.
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:44 PM)
Free Agent Acquisition Budget. Every team gets a predetermined number of fictional dollars (say, $100) with which you bid to buy players each week at the time that waivers would've traditionally run. That way, you can decide how much each specific signing matters to you. For example, what if you thought DeMarco Murray was way more valuable a pickup this or last week than, say, anyone who was out there in Week 3? You can bid $85 of your $100 FAAB now to ensure you get him.
What type of draft do you like better, snake or auction, and why?? My league is thinking about changing it up next year (We do a snake draft now)
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:45 PM)
Action. Not even a contest for me. Every owner gets a crack at every single player.
collins (little rock)
assuming Ingram sits, do you like Pierre Thomas or Antonio Brown more as flex for this week only?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:47 PM)
Wow would I love Thomas if Ingram is scratched.
THC I saw your rankings, but are u takin' a chance on Stafford this wk or usin' Tebow?thx
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:47 PM)
My rankings make it clear: It's Michael Stafford if he's healthy enough to play. Some decisions come down to health, though, and you have to check the news daily.
What if more than one player bids the same amount?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:50 PM)
Then you break the tie by going in reverse record of standings (and fewest points if records are the same). And if you don't like that, there's an easy argument for it: Open up your wallet and pay the buck more if you don't like that you lost a tiebreaker.
Tristan, I admit I'm shocked to see Sidney Rice as 22 rank WR. With Whitehurst at QB against tough Bengals D, do you really think he should be ranked that high?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:51 PM)
I ranked him 32nd.
I know he has done it before, but are you worried about Megatron this week if Stafford is out?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:53 PM)
I tend to think of Calvin Johnson as the clear No. 1 wideout when he has a healthy Matthew Stafford throwing to him. If Stafford is out? Well, then he drops back into that "top class" that includes, say, 5-8 other receivers. That's still awfully good and shows I remain confident, but you just can't count on that week-winning performance, that's all.
Do you consider strength of remaining schedule when considering trades? Im getting offered steven jax and manningham for chris johnson but i think cj isnt this bad and there isnt any rb's with an easier schedule the ros.
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:54 PM)
I do and I wouldn't make that trade. But I'm going down with the ship; I believe Chris Johnson is better than this, I've said that for weeks, I've talked about the schedule and I'm not interested in being a great big Belgian waffle here.
MJD (Mojo's House)
I'm a yardage factory. Touchdown factory not so much. Do I score this week?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:57 PM)
Actually, you're a rushing attempts factory, easily over 20 weekly. This is volume-playing at its basest levels, and I like that kind of player when I'm shooting for touchdowns. But there's a tad bit of crapshoot to the touchdown category; one thing I'll say as the anti- argument that Jones-Drew scores: Houston's defense has been pretty good in short-yardage run situations (57.1 percent first downs/TDs allowed, seventh-best).
McGahee out several weeks? Did you hear something I didn't? I though he was targeting next week as a possible return...
Tristan H. Cockcroft (4:00 PM)
Denver Post just this morning reported: "McGahee is now expected to miss between a couple of weeks and more than a month with a fractured hand."
Marshawn Lynch (Seattle)
Where do you rank me if I am active on Sunday?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (4:02 PM)
Probably 19th, right between Ryan Torain and Bernard Scott.
Why does Reggie Wayne continue to get ranked in the top 30 WR? Its not happening
Tristan H. Cockcroft (4:04 PM)
To be perfectly honest with you, Sean, the margin between about the No. 23 and 35 wide receiver is razor thin, and it's one of the difficult parts -- at least to me -- of the ranking process. I think Wayne, based on track record, still warrants WR3 status. But that's as far as I'm going.
Tristan H. Cockcroft (4:05 PM)
OK, time to wrap things up for the day. Thanks for all your questions, and sorry if I couldn't get to yours. Take care everyone, and best of luck in your Week 8 matchups!