Fantasy NBA with Tom Carpenter
Welcome to SportsNation! On Tuesday morning, ESPN.com fantasy basketball expert Tom Carpenter will drop by to take your questions and analyze all the latest hoops news from the hardcourt. Carpenter writes the weekly "Grand Theft Roto" column.
Send your questions now and join Carpenter Tuesday at 11 a.m. ET!
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Good morning Tom! What kind of a hit will Shumperts value take when Baron comes back?
Tom Carpenter (11:00 AM)
Glad to have everyone here for this weekly hoops chat. Let's tip it off ...Davis is 32 years old, has a long history of injuries, is returning from back surgery and is completely out of shape. I expect him to be eased in slowly off the bench and probably miss another long stretch or two this season.That means Shumpert should be able to maintain his value if he continues to play well. More likely, if Davis can stay healthy enough to carve out starter's minutes, it will affect Landry Fields more than Shumpert.
Early Bird (Up North)
Tom, first, love the beard. I am facially-haired challenged, so much envy comes your way. On the NBA front, I am in desperate need of a forward. Kawhi Leonard and Gordon Hayward were filling the void, but are struggling to up their game.Derrick Williams and Glen Davis are out there, but not sure if they are better options. What's your take?
Tom Carpenter (11:04 AM)
Glad you like the facial hair, though it's really just a sign that I'm too lazy to shave. I doubt any of those guys are going to be reliable fantasy options all season, so you're best off just riding the hot hand. Right now, I'd take Derrick Williams over Leonard.
Blake Griffin (Lob City)
I am currently the 121st best player in fantasy this year and don't look to improve on the 5th round value I posted last year. Am I the biggest bust of the year ??
Tom Carpenter (11:09 AM)
Blake, I'm glad you're taking the time out of your busy schedule of dunking over cars to ask about your fantasy value. At least you're healthy, which can't be said about most of the other busts -- like Danny Granger, who may be the biggest bust. In points leagues, Blake remains one of the top players. In roto leagues, though, he's coming up short, primarily because his scoring is down and he's not a shot blocker. Once CP3 is healthy, I fully expect them to develop a great relationship on the court, which will lead to scoring in the mid-20s. They just haven't figured it out. He makes for a good buy-low target if you can counter his terrible FT% and don't need blocks.
Should I drop Rip Hamilton or Tristan Thompson for Marcus Thornton?
Tom Carpenter (11:13 AM)
I'd dump Thompson for Thornton, especially if you need his scoring, threes and swipes. If he can ever get over this bruised thigh, he should be a very solid fantasy option. Thompson probably will be limited to rebound production.
What do you hear about Deng's injury?
Tom Carpenter (11:17 AM)
Deng reportedly has ligament damage in his wrist and is hoping to avoid surgery: http://www.chicagotribune.com/sports/basketball/bulls/ct-spt-0124-bulls-nets-chicago--20120124,0,4320539.story ... Keep in mind that despite an 82-game run last season, Deng only topped 70 games twice in his six preceding seasons. In other words, this injury is a reminder that he can be very brittle.
Eric D (Plano, TX)
ERIC GORDON. What should his owners do? Hold out or sell low?
Tom Carpenter (11:22 AM)
When a player with Gordon's history of injuries (56, 62 games played the previous two seasons) is out for this long without a specific diagnosis, it's hard to imagine that you could get any reasonable trade value out of him. Hopefully, yesterday's rumor of a cracked kneecap (http://proxy.espn.go.com/nba/features/rumors/_/date/20120123/id/23799/display/comment) isn't true, and hopefully we'll see him back on the court in a few weeks. At this point, though, you probably have no choice but to hold onto him and wait.
What should i do with Rose?
Tom Carpenter (11:26 AM)
I wrote last week (http://sports.espn.go.com/fantasy/basketball/fba/story?page=gtrnba120117) about my fears regarding Rose's turf toe. In the meantime, he confirmed my fears when he admitted that it would probably bother him the rest of the season. I only have him in one of my leagues, but I'm trying to trade him asap if I can get full value for him -- aiming for other elite guys like Durant, LeBron, etc.
anthony smith (new jersey)
Bismack Biyombo where do you think he is going as a fantasy player and do you think he will keep up this production
Tom Carpenter (11:29 AM)
I'm excited about Biyombo going forward, especially since Boris Diaw and Ty Thomas are putting up little (or no) resistance as far as the competition for minutes in the Bobs' frontcourt goes. He's too raw to believe he'll be able to post decent all-around stats this season. However, if you're short on block and boards, he can certainly help you there and is worth a roster spot in deep leagues.
What do you think about the value of Kyrie Irving? Idk why he is so low on rankings when hes putting up mini-Rose numbers and shooting way better %
Tom Carpenter (11:35 AM)
Obviously, I'm pretty surprised that a rookie PG is shooting 50 percent on a bad team. I wouldn't put too much weight into the Player Rater rankings -- he's not ranking the same because Rose has a bigger volume of shots and FTs and outdoes him at least a bit in pretty much everything else. The important thing to note is that you can have Irving and get, let's say, 2/3 of Rose's production ... and will cost you a small portion of what it would take to get Rose. So long as he stays healthy, I expect Irving to continue improving his fantasy value this season.
josh (ny, ny)
Should i dump Stephen Jackson? He seems like he may be on his way into Skiles' doghouse...
Tom Carpenter (11:38 AM)
We all know that scrappy Scotty Skiles has room for everybody in his doghouse -- and long-term stays are welcome! We also know that SJax has a long history of spending time in doghouses. It sounds like a bad combination. In the past, however, SJax has often responded well to being benched or put in a doghouse. I think he will turn things around. He has too much upside to drop in most leagues, unless there's a particularly exciting option on your waiver wire.
Fantasy basketball chat!! Finally!! Please help me decide who I should grab for my last roster spot .... Baron Davis, Anthony Morrow, George Hill, Delfino or Thad Young?
Tom Carpenter (11:43 AM)
Per my earlier response, I don't really believe Baron can last, but he has the most hypothetical upside from that group. Morrow's the safer play, though, especially if you need treys.
sell high on marc gasol before Z-bo comes back or is he this good???
Tom Carpenter (11:46 AM)
I do think he's this good, but surely the eventual return of Z-Bo will hinder his production. Any player who is pumping it out at a career-high level should be traded while they're on top of their game.
Tom beginner at fantasy BB! Have L.Williams and E.Turner and stats are good but would I be better off with R.Hamilton or a PF type like Jerebko or M.Morris that I could use also? Thanks
Tom Carpenter (11:49 AM)
Glad to have newbies in the mix here, Heather! I like Lou Williams a lot, so I'd keep him. I think Rip is the better fantasy option compared to Turner. Even though Rip probably will get hurt again, I'd dump Turner for him.
mike (west cali)
Knight or Shumpert ROS? looking to keep one and trade the other in package for PG upgrade.
Tom Carpenter (11:54 AM)
A number of people have asked similar questions about Knight and Shumpert. I'm buying Knight here, because I see higher fantasy upside, especially in dimes, than Shumpert. And while Knight already is in a crowded backcourt in the D, he'll get his minutes because he was their top pick this year. Shumpert's backcourt is going to get deeper once Davis returns. I do think he'll maintain his minutes, but it's not crazy to think Davis could take over the point and bump Shump to the pine.
Wondering if it is worth it to try to trade for Eric Gordon if it is in a keeper league format?
Tom Carpenter (11:57 AM)
Despite his lengthy injury history, if you can get him dirt cheap from a frustrated owner in a keeper league pull the trigger immediately. A lot of young players can't stay healthy early in their careers but work it out and become reliable studs by their mid-late 20s. Gordon just turned 23.
How far down are you willing to trade Derrick Rose? Can you give a line? John Wall? Nobody gonna trade me Durant or LeBron for him so i obviously need to trade down somewhat...
Tom Carpenter (12:00 PM)
Just to follow up on the earlier question/answer ... I wouldn't trade down unless I got a couple of good players in return and was trying to fill holes in my roster. Instead, I'd try to package Rose with another player (2-1, 3-2 trade) and try to pry Durant, LeBron away from another owner. I always want to trade up if at all possible -- I want the best player in the trade to end up on my team.
Is Hinrich worth a spot? I can drop Rip Hamilton.
Tom Carpenter (12:02 PM)
No. He'll be a reserve, unless Teague takes a nosedive. That should render him pretty useless in fantasy.
Batum got me one point last night...worth holding onto for upside?
Tom Carpenter (12:05 PM)
Correction: he got you zero points last night, just like he did on the 18th. His upside and reliability are completely blocked by the excessive depth of the Blazers' roster. I'd move on if there's a decent option on waivers. If not, wait and hope injuries open up a bigger role for him eventually -- obviously the upside is there.
Tom Carpenter (12:08 PM)
Thanks for all of your questions today. Be sure to tune in again next Tuesday at 11 a.m. for another session. In the meantime, I'll leave you with a taste of the 80s, back when there were 13 Johnsons in the NBA: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XxCWGNLMwhI&feature=share