Fantasy NBA with Tom Carpenter
Welcome to SportsNation! On Tuesday morning, ESPN.com fantasy basketball expert Tom Carpenter will drop by to take your questions and analyze all the latest hoops news from the hardcourt. Carpenter writes the weekly "Grand Theft Roto" column.
Send your questions now and join Carpenter Tuesday at 11 a.m. ET!
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Tom Carpenter (11:00 AM)
Before we begin today's chat, let me toss a video out there for you. With Steve Nash just seven dimes away from Kevin Johnson's Phoenix Suns record assist total, and with Blake Griffin's insane posterization of Kendrick Perkins from last night fresh in my mind, I couldn't help but think of when KJ posterized Hakeem Olajuwan in the 1994 Western Conference Semis: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oVcSndz52DE Still to this day one of the greatest in your grill slams of all time!
Kiernan (Charlotte, NC)
I have recently dropped Jason Kidd from my roster, I struggled with this desision for days as Kidd has been such a star for years, stats wise Kidd is the worst player I have. Was this a foolish move? Or is this the time that you say FG% and points are so bad the steals and assists can't make up for it?
Tom Carpenter (11:04 AM)
Kidd is what he is -- and has been for quite some time. If you need dimes, swipes and threes, he's worth a roster spot. He doesn't shoot enough to take you down in FG% (See my column today regarding the volume shooting and percentages). But if you don't need what he offers, move along. You may have been able to trade him to someone else on the cheap or in a multi-player swap, but maybe not, since he's sidelined for now.
The Chief (Reston, VA)
Tom, hope all is well. 8 cat league that I am leading (no major injuries yet). your thoughts on Trading D.Howard and J. Terry for CP3 and Garnett. My other C's are Hibbard, Sammie D & Monroe.
Tom Carpenter (11:07 AM)
If you are trying to shake off Howard's FTs, I'd pull the trigger on that one. Looks fair enough.
Stash who? Baron, Kamen?
Tom Carpenter (11:10 AM)
I'm not really buying either as a long-term solution; they'll presumably get hurt again soon enough. I would make the call based on your team's needs: big-man stats or PG stats. Straight up, though, I'd go with Davis. He has an open path to big minutes if he can get healthy.
10tm h2h -- Blatche or Augustin drop worthy?
Tom Carpenter (11:14 AM)
I would wait to see what Augustin's second opinion reveals about his toe before dumping him. I have no problem dumping Blatche at this point. 3-6 weeks is a large chunk of this season.
Bought Curry low, should I move now or keep him?
Tom Carpenter (11:19 AM)
Many questions today about Curry. I think with his history of ankle issues and this condensed season, we have to assume he'll tweak it again and miss more games. That being said, he's going to be fantastic fantasy-wise across the board when he is healthy. So the answer, IMO, is that it depends on your spot in the standings and how much risk you want to take. Does the risk of him missing a chunk of the season outweigh his solid percentages, steals, dimes and treys? I'm guessing in most cases, the answer will be "no."
just dropped trevor ariza due to his deadly fg% and picked up jerryd bayless. do you see bayless starting for the long term, and will calderon get traded? thoughts on tyrus thomas?
Tom Carpenter (11:26 AM)
I'm really high on Bayless as a sleeper right now. Go back and look at what he did late last season. He's healthy now, and with Bargnani out again, he should have a great chance at blowing up again. I doubt that Calderon will get dealt, but you never know. Ty Thomas? I have promoted his upside forever, and I hope that his recent success is a sign of things to come. Most likely he'll go back to doing nothing, but he shouldn't be on your waiver wire now -- in case he's finally ready to ball like he can.
Thoughts on stashing Ginobili?
Tom Carpenter (11:27 AM)
With his return just a couple of weeks away, I would definitely stash Manu if you have the space. Keep in mind that the injury was to his shooting hand, so he probably will struggle with his shot at first.
Hey Tom, I'm being offered Westbrook and Camby for Bynum and Jack. I hit accept and skip all the way home, right?
Tom Carpenter (11:29 AM)
Mos def ... I love how Bynum is playing, but he could vanish to the infirmary at any second. Westbrook's a monster and the best player in the deal ... pull the trigger. Jack and Camby are just toss-ins.
Mr.Mister (Broken Wings)
Roddy Beaubois has been discussed, I know. But will he hold value still once he goes back to the bench? Potential is there...
Tom Carpenter (11:31 AM)
Yes, there's plenty of potential in Roddy ... I like him a lot long term in keeper leagues, but realistically his value should be spotty this season. Ride him short-term but be prepared to move on once his minutes are zipped back down.
Zim (Portland, ME)
What's your take on Rondo's wrist? Does he return later this week or are we looking at the All-Star break most likely?
Tom Carpenter (11:35 AM)
There's something about Boston sports teams, where they don't leak specific information on injuries. It's too bad Rob Gronkowski's dad hasn't given the lowdown on what's really wrong with Rondo's wrist! Anyway, my gut says he'll take the added time to get back to 100 percent and we won't see him until after the break.
Would you rather have Favors,Ilyasova or Pachulia!
Tom Carpenter (11:36 AM)
I'd take Favors for now, since Al Jefferson is hurting.
Maggette was just dropped in my league. I am in need of a F, but do I pick him up? No time table on when he'll return. Worth the wait? Thanks!
Tom Carpenter (11:37 AM)
He's not going to help you for presumably a couple of weeks at least. Still, if you have the room to stash him, Maggette could be a solid play for the second half of the season.
Ben M. (New York)
Would you hold onto Brook Lopez or trade him for Drew Gooden at this point? Already lost Horford and Bogut this year. H2H league. Thanks!
Tom Carpenter (11:40 AM)
I respect Gooden for what he is: a solid big for brief stretches. I know the opportunity is there for him to roll long-term with Bogut out, but I can't say I'd rather have him over Lopez, who probably will be back in the mix after the break. Way too much upside and far less risk, imo, than Gooden.
Andy (St. Louis)
Would you hang on to Brooks in a dynasty league despite the injury?
Tom Carpenter (11:42 AM)
I would hold onto MarShon in a redraft league, so I would definitely hold on to him in a dynasty league. Plenty of upside and opportunity for this kid.
shumpert, bayless, or beaubois for the long term?
Tom Carpenter (11:44 AM)
Bayless. Biggest upside and best chance at full-time minutes.
Just traded Boozer and Jack for Dirk and Ridnour. Dirk has to end this slump soon yes?
Tom Carpenter (11:47 AM)
I think that trade was a no-brainer. Hopefully taking care of his knee and conditioning will help get him back on track soon. Regardless, so long as his knee isn't really bad, I expect him to perform more like the Diggler we're used to for the second half.
I am in a deep (20 team) H2H league and was thinking about picking up Jan Vesely. What do you think is best case scenario (ROS projection) for Vesely?
Tom Carpenter (11:50 AM)
He's so raw, it's hard to expect him to do anything reliable. However, in deep leagues, you should grab him and hope things click. With his athleticism and the minutes opened up by Blatche's absence the opportunity is there. You should also keep any eye on Trevor Booker, who may be better prepared to succeed in the short-term.
is rose and noah enough to snag lbj? or should i offer more?
Tom Carpenter (11:55 AM)
It's ballpark. Probably depends on the other owner's needs and how flexible he or she is. I typically look for the trade I'm sure is fair and will work, then make my first offer a bit below that before working my way up to the offer I the one that will work. In trade talks, just like any negotiation, you need to paint the right picture so the other person will like what you're selling. Point is, don't offer more than is necessary. Try that offer and see how they respond.
Should i drop Shumpert for Devin Harris? Shumpert just has not been getting enough playing time and FG% is pretty bad.
Tom Carpenter (12:00 PM)
Not many guys more frustrating than Harris at this point. Mostly because there really isn't a good reason why he's been so awful (he's not hurt, in the doghouse or lacking opportunity). That being noted, he's shown signs of life, is healthy, in good stead with his coach and is starting, so it's entirely possible that his production will grow in the coming weeks. Shumpert's bubble likely has burst at this point, since D'Antoni flipped the rotation to try and turn the team around ... and eventually Davis will be in the mix. I'd roll with Harris over Shumpert.
Chris (San Diego)
Can teague keep up his hot start? Was offered Kevin Martin for him and I am very tempted to pull the trigger.
Tom Carpenter (12:02 PM)
I think Teague can maintain his pace, and I'm not worried about Hinrich stealing minutes. However, if you can handle the loss in FG% and steals and need Martin's scoring, threes and FTs, I wouldn't hesitate to pull the trigger.
Tom Carpenter (12:04 PM)
Another good session in the books this week. Be sure to return here next Tuesday for another chat! Remember you can offer up your questions before the chat begins if you can't be here during the session.-T