Fantasy NBA with Tom Carpenter
Welcome to SportsNation! On Tuesday morning, ESPN.com fantasy basketball expert Tom Carpenter will drop by to take your questions and analyze all the latest hoops news from the hardcourt.
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Tom Carpenter (11:03 AM)
Hey, there, everyone. Ready to dig into another delectable session of rappin' hoops, so let's get right to it.
Hi Tom! From here on, would you prefer Rudy Gay or Tyreke Evens; Kenneth Faried or Tiago Splitter? H2h 10 team league. Thanks!
Tom Carpenter (11:08 AM)
Tyreke is showing signs of life (and an odd statistical anomaly of scoring exactly 16 points in four straight games), but I like Gay better ROS. It's possible he gets traded to a team where his value drops, but I think it's more likely that he ends up on a team that turns him loose. Even with the Griz, he should be a more reliable play than Evans, whose production always goes up and down. As for the big men, It's pretty much a toss-up, but I'd lean toward Faried for his all-around game.
i just picked up andrew bogut and im in a h2h 12 team league! what are your thoughts on him this season?
Tom Carpenter (11:12 AM)
Well, to begin with, he should be owned in all leagues to see what happens. In those rare moments when he is healthy, he's a fantasy beast. They reportedly will baby him at least through the All-Star break by not playing in back-to-back sets and playing maybe 25 minutes per game. That makes him a tough play in H2H leagues with weekly lineups, because he'll play twice more this week, twice next week and once the week prior to the ASG. If they turn him loose after that, he should be an excellent fantasy center ... until he gets hurt again. I own him in a couple of leagues and will be doing everything possible to trade him as soon as he looks good and I find a team willing to pay decent value for him.
Why are the Hornets limiting Davis' minutes?
Tom Carpenter (11:14 AM)
I think that after he had those early-season injuries, the Hornets decided to take a cautious approach with him leading up to the All-Star break. They aren't playing for anything but the future, so they need him to stay healthy, play and learn the NBA ropes. I do think that they will start him and turn him loose soon after the All-Star break, which means he remains an excellent buy-low trade option.
thinking outside the box (the net)
with Rondo down, thoughts about carrying only one PG? AST men now on the roster include Evans, Harden, James, Kirilenko, Noah, and Sessions. thank you!
Tom Carpenter (11:19 AM)
It looks like you were thinking smartly already, as it's important to have plenty of guys who aren't PGs who can dish the rock, because every bit helps. Consider that Batum and Wade combine for 9.5 apg ... if you had two guys in those spots who averaged only 1.5 each, you'd lose a steady PG average of 6.5 apg. To answer your question specifically, it would depend on your league. It looks like you have enough to compete decently in an H2H format, but in roto, it would depend on how strong your competitors are in the dime category. You may need to add another dimer to make a difference.
erin (west chester, pa)
I'm thinking of moving Love because I can see his fg% killing me in the playoffs. Who do you see as a reasonable return?
Tom Carpenter (11:23 AM)
Erin, that is a tricky call. Unless you can get a serious player in return, I'd lean toward keeping him. He typically shoots a pretty good percentage, so I think he'll come back healthy and shoot closer to 44-45 percent. That said, if you can land a respectable player to use in the interim, go for it. His value will be entirely dependent upon finding someone who is willing to bite. I'd guess, you'd have to take on a struggling player like maybe the aforementioned Anthony Davis.
Slick (The Office)
Matt Barnes has been a nice glue guy for my fantasy team to this point. With a healthy Butler and Hill, will be equal his first half production?
Tom Carpenter (11:25 AM)
Hey, Slick ... Barnes is an integral part of that Clippers' rotation, so I think he'll maintain most of his value. However, when you're a hustle guy coming off the bench, any loss of minutes or touches will take a bite out of your upside.
I have added kyle korver since lou williams is out. Can I expect the same type of production he has provided since the injury or do you think it will decline or have a minutes decrease?
Tom Carpenter (11:28 AM)
Mike, we all know Korver can bomb treys, and he should have every opportunity to continue doing so. However, I will be surprised if he can withstand these big minutes without his body giving out. If you need 3s, ride him. If you don't, trade him soon to someone who does before his pace slows down.
I'm not sure how much longer I should be sticking on the Ed Davis train. He's been a productive player for a good solid stretch but I'm not sure how much weight to put into speculation of his role when Bargnani returns.
Tom Carpenter (11:31 AM)
Yeah, it's anyone's guess how this actually plays out. Coach Casey said Davis is locked as a starter, but we all know that could change. Also, even though he has been solid and reliable, he hasn't been a monster in the paint. I think in the end, we will see Davis, Bargs and Valanciunas eat into each other's production and limit their individual upsides.
Erik (Columbus, OH)
I have been sitting on Kyle Lowry all season and I've been offered Jamal Crawford for him. Do I take it?
Tom Carpenter (11:32 AM)
Looks like a good deal for you. Crawford is solid, reliable and healthy. Can't say the same about Lowry. Go for it.
Do you foresee any other sparingly-used big men having a bigger second half than Andre Drummond?
Tom Carpenter (11:35 AM)
Hey, Joe. Simply put: no, I don't. No one who is putting up remotely similar numbers thus far carries his upside. I've said for quite a while to expect the Pistons to turn Drummond loose soon after the All-Star break; I still expect that to happen and for the fantasy returns to be significant.
Ben (New York)
Which of these bigs would you rather own Okafor, Splitter or Drummond?
Tom Carpenter (11:36 AM)
Short term: Okafor. Long term (as in post All-Star break): Drummond.
I just traded Bosh and Martin for Dragic and Joe Johnson. Lost Rondo due to injury. Who got the better of the trade?
Tom Carpenter (11:40 AM)
As I often note, "winning" a trade is relatively meaningless. The only question should be "Did you make your team better?" Since you lost Rondo and added two guys who can dime via a pretty even trade, I think you accomplished your goal. Good luck overcoming that Rondo loss ... all the press talks about is how it's devastated the Celtics, but they don't talk about how losing Rondo has devastated myriad fantasy hoops teams!
Has Carlesimo actually changed anything for D-Will's benefit, or is he just healthier/playing better?
Tom Carpenter (11:42 AM)
I think PJ has made a difference. Avery Johnson loves to structure how everything is run from the point, whereas PJ is perfectly fine turning his guys loose on the court and letting them ball freely. That suits D-Will's game (and mindset) much better, and I think it's helped as much as getting healthier.
Ben (New York)
Who wins this trade Kyrie and Aminu for Lillard and David West?
Tom Carpenter (11:45 AM)
That's a heavy-duty swap, there, Ben. But unless I'm looking specifically for a bump in dimes, I'd rather have Irving. Not just for his scoring, steals and FG%, but because Lillard is a rookie -- and while I think he'll push through that "rookie wall," there is the chance his body and mind will hit the wall. So long as Irving is healthy, I wouldn't trade him for anyone beyond the uber-elite guys like Durant, LeBron, CP3 and maybe Harden.
Which side would you rather have in a H2H 12 team league.....Pau and J. Terry or K. Martin and Aminu
Tom Carpenter (11:47 AM)
I like the Pau/Terry side better. Both carry far more upside -- Pau if traded, Terry now that Rondo is out -- than Martin (reserve) and Aminu (fist season with big minutes).
I just picked up Ilyasova off the street after his huge performance last week.. do you expect solid stats from here on out?
Tom Carpenter (11:49 AM)
Alex, I'm a little surprised you could still snag him at this point ... good for you! I do think he's going to resume the production we saw from him after the All-Star break last season. Hopefully, his past four games are a sign that he's on track to do just that.
IT2 to boston a possiblity
Tom Carpenter (11:51 AM)
I suppose anything is possible, but I will be pretty surprised if the Kings trade away anyone until this ownership mess is settled. It would be nice to see the kid finally freed from his maddening coach, though, that's for sure.
I have both Gay & Deng which of the 2 I trade as I'm looking for a player who more of a 3 point specialist ?
Tom Carpenter (11:53 AM)
I would hold firm on Gay. As I noted before, I don't see his value diminishing regardless of trade or no trade. I'm growing more and more concerned about Deng's body holding up to the grind of being the prime scorer ... granted, the return of Rose would help that, but I'd trade Deng before Gay.
What do you make of Lawson's resurgence? Is it sustainable?
Tom Carpenter (11:56 AM)
Hey, Paul. Check out his splits for January and you'll see that they are almost identical to his full-season production from last season. Actually his scoring is even up 1.6 ppg over this stretch compared to last season. So, yes, it's definitely sustainable ... in fact, this is what we should have expected from him all season if he were healthy. Staying healthy, is the lone concern at this point. That tasty 48 FG% from a PG is what separates him from so many other good fantasy PGs.
is humphries worth a stash incase he gets moved?
Tom Carpenter (11:58 AM)
I'd consider stashing him in a deep league in case he is traded. But I doubt he gets dealt, and even less likely he gets dealt some place where he could have the big minutes and production we saw last season. He'd probably have to end up in Phoenix to do that.
Do you think V Carter can sustain his current hot streak?
Tom Carpenter (11:59 AM)
He may be able to keep scoring well, Ed, but I can't imagine he can maintain the 46.3 FG% he has posted this month.
Do you think Dragic will continue his success he's had since the coaching change?
Tom Carpenter (12:02 PM)
I do think the coaching change has given him and the team a little pep in their collective step, but it's going to be tough for Dragic to crank out huge assist totals (he has 37 dimes the past four games) long term, because he simply doesn't have anyone of note to finish his passes.
Tom Carpenter (12:04 PM)
As always, this has been the quickest hour of my week ... more proof that time flies when you're having fun. Thanks for all of the terrific questions and I'll see you back here next week once again! Be sure to follow me on Twitter @AtomicHarpua .