Fantasy Sports with Tristan Cockcroft
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Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:05 PM)
Good afternoon everyone! Let's get right to your questions. Heavy day of fantasy football. Also, as the baseball regular season is in the books, we'll revert to offseason rules: Make sure you start your question with BASEBALL.Here we go!
Should I trade away Gronkowski for Doug Martin? My RB situation is bad.
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:05 PM)
It really depends upon where it leaves you at tight end, but seeing as it's tougher to get an RB1 than a TE1 -- you can mix and match to come close to TE1 seasonal status -- I'd make that deal, yes.
Was offered Lacy for D.Wilson. Pull the trigger?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:06 PM)
At this point, yes. I've got enough concerns about the Giants' offensive line, which is injury riddled, that I can't see how David Wilson is going to be a good bet for even top-25 running back numbers.
despite a fumble pretty nice game by Terrance Williams, think he'll continue to get 8-10 targets in Dallas' O?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:07 PM)
No, not really. I think he's the designated Miles Austin fill-in and nothing more than that, not this year at least, and I can't even make you the handcuff case because in order for that to be true, the starter needs to be an elite talent. I'd say WR5 production at best over the long haul, and I'd argue that his true value is on-and-off the wire.
Best RB add in standard 10-Powell,Bernard,Woodhead or F.Jackson?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:08 PM)
Giovani Bernard, but all of these players should be owned in standard 10.
BASEBALLOur fantasy baseball championship ended in a tie on Sunday. I am the commissioner of this Head to Head league and was not involved in the championship that ended 5-5. The teams played 3 times during the regular season and the matchups were 1-1-1. The total score was 14-14-2. ESPN awarded the #1 seed with the championship but that just doesn't sit right with me. Do you have any suggestions on how to deal with this? Thanks!
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:09 PM)
Whatever your rules said goes. That means that if you changed the settings in a custom league, then what you put in decides it. If not, it's made very clear in our rules that a tie goes to the higher seed. You can't arbitrarily change rules that have been spelled out in advance.
I'll give you Martin for Gronk. I'm sick of of him. Are we ever going to see any performances like he had last year? This Bucs offense is horrible.
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:12 PM)
Seriously? We're giving up on a player who scored in double digits in each of the first three weeks? In Martin's defense, he was facing a hot-starting Cardinals run D with a rookie quarterback making his first NFL start behind him. I think patience is warranted.
Did spiller look good this week before he got hurt? Want to know if it's bad luck or he's just not good.
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:14 PM)
When I was watching him I was unimpressed, but I'm also not entirely sure that he's 100 percent (and I mean before he exited early with the ankle injury). I'll be clear that every bit of the patience I'm recommending with Spiller puts some trust in him getting healthy, and I understand if that's the kind of thing you're not willing to do.
What would you consider fair trade value for Cameron? I have him and Gronk and I've been offered Lacy.
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:17 PM)
I've said this before, so sorry for the repeat: If I was in your situation I'd trade Rob Gronkowski, not Jordan Cameron. Cameron might well be a top-three tight end going forward, which is almost equivalent to Gronkowski, except that Gronkowski's perceived value is presumably higher.If you must, it's not that far off. You're talking a running back in the 15-20 range, probably, which means not Richardson, Bush or Murray, but someone more like Darren Sproles.
Panthers top 10 D this week?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:18 PM)
I haven't done my rankings yet so it's difficult to give you a number rather than a range, but they'll at least be close to top-10. I just posted a piece today about teams fresh off the bye, and the defenses on the road are actually somewhat more attractive plays than you'd think.
Did you forget to tell Hakeem Nicks that he is in a contract year?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:20 PM)
The Giants just look awful as a team. That said, I wasn't on board with Nicks, and I published analysis proving that the "contract year" is a myth in the preseason besides. The guy's just too injury-prone to capitalize on his talent.
Concerned with lack of production from Witten or be patient?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:22 PM)
A bit. I'd say he's borderline top-five at his position now -- or more like someone I'd say I'd rank between fifth and 10th rather than better -- and do wonder a bit about his target total.
BD (The OC)
Top 5 "Buys" and "Sells" RB edition?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:24 PM)
Merely off the top of my head...Buys: Giovani Bernard, Trent Richardson, Reggie Bush, Ray Rice, Darren Sproles.Sells: DeMarco Murray, Darren McFadden, Bilal Powell, DeAngelo Williams, Rashard Mendenhall.
If you say spillers chances of being elite again are staying healthy can we assume last year was a fluke? He had a rep of injuries before last year and he remained healthy for a whole year last year.
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:27 PM)
Hey, it's entirely possible that two years from now (or, let's say, entering the 2015 fantasy draft season), we'll be treating Spiller much the same as we did Darren McFadden this preseason. I'm not denying that possibility. But it's a shorter track record of injury absences and Spiller flashed his overwhelming upside in 2012. I'm willing be a bit more patient with him ... but he's on notice. And that's the point here.
Elvis (Tupelo, MS)
Wow, the Jags are so bad. Is Blackmon worth a shot off waivers or are the guys in that offense all doomed fantasy-wise?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:28 PM)
There was a major statistical difference with Justin Blackmon in Blaine Gabbert and Chad Henne starts last season, and while at least some of that might have been the product of career development -- better performances later -- I'm skeptical Blackmon will even be a WR3 consistently so long as Gabbert starts.
E.Lacy (Coming to my senses)
Will I be back week 5,TC? Good start in standard league?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:30 PM)
I don't know. I haven't heard anything about how his concussion testing has progressed. He's far enough removed from the injury that I'm confident enough that he'll play that I'd rank him if we were doing that today, but we'll see how the practice week unfolds. With a full week, yes, I'd probably have him in my top 20, or close to it.
Nic (San Jose)
Do you trust Rivers enough for the rest of the season to deal Newton?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:31 PM)
I don't. I haven't forgotten that Cam Newton saved his best -- and most consistent -- fantasy performances for the latter stages of 2012, and Rivers' year-to-date stats haven't exactly struck me as that consistent. Two games of more than 400 yards passing, and two of less than 200? He's a classic sell-high in my book.
In a vacuum, would you trade Knowshon Moreno for Steven Jackson?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:32 PM)
No, but that's because if you're not providing details, then I have to judge as if Moreno is a top-20 running back, and therefore regularly in your lineup, meaning I cannot risk taking on a player whose ceiling might be, hmmm, 10th-12th at the position if he's completely healthy the rest of the way?
Jim (Last Place)
Can McGaheee produce RB2 numbers vs Buffalo on Thurs?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:34 PM)
I don't think so. The Ravens couldn't get anything going against the Bills this week, and McGahee hasn't shown me anything to believe he'd exploit even the softest of run D's to that level just yet. At best, 20th or so at the position, and I bet he'll be in the higher 20s for me.
12 team ppr league: Would you trade Moreno for either Gronk, Witten, J. Thomas, or V. Davis, if your current TE was Clay (Lynch, Rice, Woodhead at RB)
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:36 PM)
If I could get Gronkowski or Thomas for Knowshon Moreno, yes, that's a deal I'd make. That said, I think you'll be on the lookout for running back depth at that point...
Brandon (At work)
Thinking about trying to "sell high" on Bowe. Do you think Roddy, Nicks, or Steve Smith are good targets? It's ppr.
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:37 PM)
Russell wilson or RG3 rest of season? Also Le'veon Bell or Eddie lacy ROS?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:38 PM)
I'll go RGIII. I think the bye week might be as beneficial to him as anyone in the game, and his fantasy production has been just fine thus far if you consider the severity of his injury.I'll also go Lacy, but that's a personal preference thing. They're close in value and I merely think he's a better player of the two.
Better numbers the rest of the year, Gonzo or Witten?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:38 PM)
trich and cobb for foster??
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:38 PM)
Why? Seems like a potentially massive overpay to me.
Will Alfred Morris finish the year as a top 10 RB? Concerned about his ribs?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:39 PM)
A little, yes, but he was one of the few players in the league for whom a handcuff -- Roy Helu in this case -- was justified.As for top-10 status, assuming full health he'll get close. If I'm running rest-of-season projections he'd probably be between there and 12th, though I don't see his ceiling being any higher.
Would you give up Rothlesberger and Dwayne Bowe for Le'Veon Bell?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:40 PM)
See, that really comes down to roster construction. For instance, if you're in a standard 10-team league with a much better -- weekly play, pretty much -- quarterback and Bowe is your third or fourth wide receiver, and you need a running back, this is a smart deal. But remember, I'm anti-Bowe, and I had Roethlisberger around 15th at the position in the preseason.
Drop Palmer for the likes of Pryor, Tannehill or Hoyer?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:41 PM)
Yes, I'd say Terrelle Pryor is a smarter No. 2 quarterback for a fantasy team than Carson Palmer.
BASEBALL: Where do you see Wil Myers going in the draft next year? I
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:43 PM)
I ranked him 67th among hitters in my final "Hit Parade" this past week, I think he's got the skills to take a nice step forward next year -- though as he's more of a strikeout guy he could be prone to an adjustment period as well -- and that's probably going to be about the 90th overall pick. Means about a ninth rounder or so.
Can Vincent Jackson be Trusted as a number 1 WR going forward?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:44 PM)
I don't think "trust" is the right word for a player who has a growing quarterback throwing him the football, but if I'm crafting a ranking set he's not far from top-10 status. I do not think this is the time to give up on Jackson; in time Mike Glennon will improve and develop a rapport with him.
I need to shake things up and I have too many Saints - should I trade Colston and Doug Martin for Ray Rice and Nicks? What other buy low receivers could I target to in a trade for Colston?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:47 PM)
What's up with all the questions with people seeking Hakeem Nicks in a trade, especially since I answered a question earlier specifically stating that I didn't think he was that great a fantasy option? I think this would be an overpay, downgrading at two positions.As for buy-low receivers, how about Antonio Brown? I might think about Eric Decker or Pierre Garcon, too.
Uncle Drew (Ohio)
Is Blount the man in New England I'm hearing contract extension
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:49 PM)
Are you? It's news to me.I think the Patriots are back to their old maddeningly unpredictable backfield strategy; the snap counts were nearly dead even, and without Blount's long dash for a score, their fantasy numbers would've looked awfully similar, and underwhelming. Based on the skill set, I'm not considering Blount as more than bench fodder, but "bench fodder" is still an improvement as he was not on the map for me in the preseason.
Is it safe to assume Larry Fitzgerald is NOT going to return to the fantasy elite this year?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:50 PM)
He's one big game back from being there. I'd be patient. Injuries did derail him a bit in Weeks 2-3.
Trent Richardson? Should we be concerned ?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:51 PM)
Read last week's "Consistency Ratings." I couldn't be much more detailed on the proper approach with Richardson, but the summary is, no, absolutely not. Not if you A) own him, or B) could get him for anything less than a top-20 overall player.
Do you believe Brady has better days ahead with his veterans returning? Or am I better off finding a trade partner who will believe that better days are ahead?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:52 PM)
I believe he has better days ahead. A plus from Week 4: Much improved chemistry with Kenbrell Thompkins, important if you watched the two of them work together in Week 1.
Urban Meyer (Columbus)
Tristan - What end of this deal would you want to be on? Been offered Brady, Gronk, Lacy for RGIII, Forte. Thanks!
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:52 PM)
Needs can dictate, but I'd give the edge here to Tom Brady's side if you've got the right roster to do it.
Ryan F. (Tulsa, OK) [via mobile]
Still believe in Bengals defense ROS?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:53 PM)
Yes, absolutely. They were without three key defenders on Sunday so I wouldn't read too much into their four-point performance.
Chris Johnson and Kenbrell Thompkins or AJ green and Joique Bell? Non-PPR 12 teams. Assume Thompkins or Bell would be on my bench.
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:54 PM)
I'd take A.J. Green's side, because I'm left to assume that this means Chris Johnson isn't even one of your top two running backs. If that's true, upgrading wide receiver at a strong overall price is a great idea, since you're getting a nice running back stash back anyway.
Trust in Jennings or Fitzpatrick doing well in their new roles? Anything worth picking up after last week with a good amount of FAAB?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:56 PM)
Rashad Jennings, I assume? I'd say he's worth a low-priced bid based upon the prospect he might earn a Week 5 start, though his skill set is suspect. I'd be more interested in a PPR league.I don't believe in Ryan Fitzpatrick at all. Lacks the arm strength and the receivers to be much more than a player you desperately plug in when he faces a poor D.
Martin (New York, NY)
Is Danny Woodhead legit ROS or should I try to sell off his big game yesterday?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:57 PM)
Flex-play option likely to reside between 30-35 at his position from this point forward, and that's roster-worthy. But in a standard league -- PPR is a different story -- I'm not so sure he's more than a bye-week fill-in.
BASEBALL!Keep 3 for next year, 12 team auction!Taveras - $0Profar - $5Lawrie - $0Yelich - $0D. Jennings ; $11A. Gordon - $14Mauer - $15D. Robertson - $0
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:58 PM)
I'd keep Lawrie, Yelich and Mauer for now. I'd need evidence the Yankees will really give David Robertson the closer's job -- they could always sign someone -- before I'd go there, and I need to see Jurickson Profar handed a regular role at one position before I'd go there.
Did the Ravens really run the ball a total of NINE times??? I understand they were down but NINE TOTAL?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:59 PM)
They were down big, early.
nate washington was looking good but does the qb change discount the last two games?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:59 PM)
Yes. Think WR4 type now.
BASEBALL AGAIN! Better pitcher to keep Weaver or Kimbrel?Or would you trade Harper for Jose Fernandez (HAVE TO KEEP A PITCHER)
Tristan H. Cockcroft (3:59 PM)
I'd stay with Bryce Harper and keep Craig Kimbrel.
Who do you like more ROS: Reggie Bush or Doug Martin?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (4:00 PM)
Ok, so this is a tough one because it's reliability versus weekly upside. If I could promise you Bush would stay 100 percent healthy every game the rest of the way, I'll take him, thanks. But if I'm crafting rest-of-year rankings -- and that's effectively what you're asking with this kind of question -- I'll stress that I'd rank Martin higher.
Tristan H. Cockcroft (4:01 PM)
Point being: If you have a roster with depth at the position that affords you the chance to go risk/reward, that's the time I make the exception and stray from my rankings.
Brian Hoyer a start in a 14 team PPR?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (4:02 PM)
The PPR has no impact. I'd say he's in the QB2 conversation in a 14-team league, but he is not QB1 -- or top-14 at his position -- material. Still, this represents an upgrade, and I'll be clear that it's mostly about volume.
which st louis receiver do you like the most?
Tristan H. Cockcroft (4:03 PM)
I still prefer Chris Givens, but I'm more lukewarm on him than I was during the preseason. No one seems to be a top-25 candidate right now.
Tristan H. Cockcroft (4:04 PM)
OK, time to wrap things up for today. Thanks for all your questions, and sorry if I couldn't get to yours. Take care everyone, best of luck in Week 5, and don't forget, you still have two more ways to get your questions answered by me: on Twitter (@SultanofStat), and in my weekly Spreecast chat with Eric Karabell, which is this Wednesday afternoon.
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