Chat with Nolan Nawrocki
Nolan Nawrocki (5:04 PM)
Sorry I'm a few minutes late. Let's get started.
Eric Rohloff(Vernon NJ)
Nolan, Do you think the Bills will trade up, if so.. for who? Thanks.
Nolan Nawrocki (5:06 PM)
I think there's a small chance they'll move down, but more likely than not, will stay where they are at.
Who is the best option for the Packers at number 25?
Nolan Nawrocki (5:08 PM)
No one knows who will be there at this point, but I'd be very surprised if they did not take a cornerback, defensive end or tight end.
Stan - (West Des Moines, Iowa)
Hi, thanks for the chat. Some of the latest rumors have the Browns now preferring a QB with the #7 pick as opposed to a defensive back or trying to trade up for Gallery. Is the QB rumor a smokescreen? What do you think the Browns will do? Thanks.
Nolan Nawrocki (5:11 PM)
Browns owner Randy Lerner met with Rivers. Any time an owner gets involved, you know there is serious interest. Jeff Garcia is not a long-term answer. From what I've been told, the Browns want Gallery badly. If they can't work a deal with the Raiders to get him, their attention will turn to Sean Taylor. If Taylor is gone, and there's a good chance he is, it becomes a decision between Rivers and DeAngelo Hall. Hall's added value as a returner could be the difference, but don't count out Rivers, especially if the Steelers move up to No. 6 to get him, like I've heard they have expressed interest in doing.
Brad (Southport, CT)
What do you think the Jets will do? Trade down and hope for vilma or robinson? hope for hall at 12? stay at 12 and reach for vilma or robinson? thanx
Nolan Nawrocki (5:15 PM)
The Jets desperately want a cornerback, and I think they are starting to panick that one will not be there. From what I've been told, they are considering trading down because they think Robinson could be gone. It wouldn't be a reach for them to take him at 12. Vilma might be a bit of a reach, but he's not going to be around much longer either. They are going to have to play their cards carefully if they decide to move back with an eye on one of the Miami linebackers. The safe pick would be to stay at 12 and take Vilma or D.J. Williams if Robinson is not available.
Dylan-(Green Bay, Wisconsin)
Do you see Vincent Wilfork or Tommie Harris going first and then to what team?
Nolan Nawrocki (5:19 PM)
One GM told me the other day that he would have taken Wilfork ahead of Dewayne Robertson if they were both available last year. Robertson went fourth overall. There was a run on defensive tackles a year ago, and from what I'm hearing, it could happen again this year. Wilfork is a helluva football player when he his weight is in check, but because of the weight issue, I expect Harris to be drafted first.
Josh (Monticello, AR)
Will Shawn Andrews slip all the way to 20 or is there a chance Tampa Bay will get him at 15?
Nolan Nawrocki (5:25 PM)
Andrews manhandled John Henderson and Albert Haynesworth -- who are now starting NFL tackles -- when he faced Tennessee as a freshman. He's the most dominant drive blocker in this draft. The two big questions are about his health and ability to control his weight. If a team feels comfortable with his medical history -- he's had back problems and polyps in his nose -- and believes he will stay motivated to maintain his weight, he could go as early as 10-15. I think he would be a great fit in Gruden's offense. He could inject some youth into the offensive line and allow him to pound the rock. It's a possibility.
What do you see the raiders doing at #2?
Nolan Nawrocki (5:28 PM)
I expect them to take the highest bid they can get from a team seeking Robert Gallery, be it the Giants, Redskins or Browns. They'll take the best offer, move down and take Roy Williams or Kellen Winslow. If they stay put, which I think is unlikely, I think they'd take Gallery.
Jack (New York, NY)
Do you think that the Giants should trade away future picks plus Ike Hilliard (or anything else) just to trade up to take a QB (Manning) that isn't very mobile and doesn't have super arm strength? Wouldn't trading up for Gallery be a better option?
Nolan Nawrocki (5:31 PM)
Trading up for Gallery is what they have in mind. He's the guy they target. But I expect the Chargers' trade demands to be too outrageous for any interested team to consider. I expect the Chargers to sign Manning and leave the wheeling and dealing to Al Davis and Mike Lombardi in Oakland at No. 2.
Ken (Pittsburgh, PA)
Do you really think the Steelers will invest the #11 pick on Rivers? I have no doubts he will be a terrific NFL Qb but i also have doubts as to what this team will look like in 3 years when he is really ready to take off. I feel the best move the Steelers could make is to draft DeAngelo Hall (unlikely that he will be there)or Dunta Robinson. If both are gone before #11 they should drop back and draft Shawn Andrews.
Nolan Nawrocki (5:39 PM)
All valid points Ken. I've been told the Steelers are considering moving up to No. 6 to get Rivers. But I think DeAngelo Hall might be the true object of their desire. There's a good chance the Browns will take one of those two players, so moving ahead of them would be logical. The question is, would they be willing to give up their second-round pick for him. Rivers is an exceptional talent. Not many quarterbacks can be effective as rookie starters, but Rivers started every game of his college career at North Carolina State. He is very well seasoned. Like Peyton Manning, I think he has the potential to be in the Pro Bowl in his second year. His character, intangibles and mental makeup are better than Eli Manning's. The Steelers would be getting a great player if they can land him.
Now that the Bengals picked up a corner in O'Neal, and apparently have Gardener after June 1 at DT, what do you think they will do in the first round?
Nolan Nawrocki (5:43 PM)
They need to improve their run defense, upgrade their front four and add another cornerback, but after trading Corey Dillon, I really think they have to address the RB position early. There's a chance Kevin Jones will still be available. If he's not, expect them to take the best player available, offense or defense. Marcus Tubbs is a possibility.
Who do you think The Detroit Lions will draft, and how will he help the team more than any other draft picks?
Nolan Nawrocki (5:49 PM)
The Lions are looking to trade down and pick up several starters through the draft. I think they'd like to add a running back, tight end and big safety early. From what I heard, Matt Millen was at Notre Dame's campus today watching Glenn Earl work out. Some other names to keep in mind are Steven Jackson, Chris Perry, Ben Troupe, Ben Watson and Sean Jones. But if they stay at No. 6 and take Kellen Winslow, they would be getting a player who could revolutionize the TE position. They could regret passing on him if they have the opportunity and decide to trade down. Whatever they do, they need to find more playmakers for Joey Harrington to open up the offense.
Is there a chance Miami takes a young WR at #20?
Nolan Nawrocki (5:52 PM)
Lee Evans would be very tempting if he's available at No. 20, but from what I've been told, the Dolphins are looking to trade down, pick up the second-round pick that they don't currently have and address the offensive line. Dave Wannstedt wins with a strong ground game, and they need to give Ricky Williams more help upfront.
Joel (Slayton, MN)
Who is more likely to fall to 19 Will SMith or Kenechi Udeze.
Nolan Nawrocki (5:58 PM)
Very good question, considering the recent rumors regarding Kenechi Udeze's shoulder injury. He has some weakness in his shoulder but no serious injuries. He wouldn't have been able to perform 25 bench-press reps of 225 pounds with a bad shoulder. Smith ran a 4.59 40 at his Pro Day workout and a team could be attracted to his speed, but one defensive coordinator I spoke to didn't think he made enough plays for a premier pass rusher. On the other hand, almost all of Udeze's sacks came from the strong side, where he had to beat two or three blockers to get to the quarterback. He has a knack for locating the ball and has an excellent motor. From what I hear, he will go somewhere between 5-9, no lower. Smith could go anywhere from 8-14, but Udeze will come off first.
Elliott (Denver, CO)
What do you think the chances are of the Broncos getting Steven Jackson, and if they do what kind of numbers do you think he'll put up?
Nolan Nawrocki (6:09 PM)
I'm not quire sure where the speculation that the Broncos are interested in a running back developed, but I'm not buying it. I don't think the Broncos are in the market for Steven Jackson. Very rarely does Mike Shanahan draft running backs in the first round. Drafting Clinton Portis in the second round was very high for Shanahan. With their cutback offense, they can plug in almost any cutback runner with good vision and he'd produce 1,000+ yards. With OLBs John Mobley and Ian Gold unsigned, I think they moved up to get a linebacker. Jonathan Vilma is a very similar player to Ian Gold. D.J. Williams is bigger, faster and more athletic and typically would be drafted higher than Vilma. Some teams have Vilma rated higher than Williams and vice versa depending on the type of scheme they run, but either could be effective in Denver. I think the Broncos are hoping one of them is available at No. 17.
What about the Pats????
Nolan Nawrocki (6:15 PM)
First they get Corey Dillon. Now I hear they've signed Jeff Burris. They have a proven formula that has brought two Super Bowl championships in 3 years. They find motivated veterans solely interested in winning, structure incentive-laden deals to add even more motivation and stress the team concept. No player is bigger than the team. They stack their draft board specific to their schemes and stick to their principles, and it has worked wonders. They'll be right in the mix again next year. I thought the dynasty years were over with the parity in the league today, but I'm starting to have second thoughts.
Joey (San Diego, CA)
What are the chances of San Diego or Denver picking up Kurt Warner after he is released?
Nolan Nawrocki (6:20 PM)
I think there's a chance in San Diego. I think Kansas City and Chicago are better fits than Denver. Warner could re-unite with Dick Vermeil in KC, and one of Vermeil's disciples, Terry Shea, is now the Bears' offensive coordinator. Warner would be a tremendous mentor for Rex Grossman and could step in immediately if he falters early. If the Broncos sign him, watch out. I know it's early, but because PFW is going to press with its NFL preview magazines in a few weeks, I was asked to make Super Bowl predictions recently. Denver and Minnesota are ripe for a championship.
Dan ( Chicago )
What do you think the Texans are going to do with that first pick ?
Nolan Nawrocki (6:25 PM)
Defense. Defense. Defense. The Texans drafted heavily to build their offense the first two years after initially building the defense through the supplemental draft and free agency. With the defense aging, they must inject some youth and upgrade several positions on every level. Sean Taylor is the player they covet, but he won't be available at No. 10. So I'd guess they wind up with a cornerback or defensive lineman, whomever is the best player available among Kenechi Udeze, Tommie Harris, DeAngelo Hall, Dunta Robinison, Will Smith and Vince Wilfork. One of them will be a Texan.
Who will be the surprise qb of the draft? thanks
Nolan Nawrocki (6:30 PM)
The first five quarterbacks drafted will be Manning, Roethlisberger, Rivers, Losman and Schaub, but I wouldn't be shocked if a team took Schaub before Losman. Two years ago, Josh McCown was a surprise third-round pick. I wouldn't be surprised if his brother does the same and becomes the sixth quarterback off the board. His stock has been on a steady incline since the season ended.
Nolan Nawrocki (6:33 PM)
Thanks for all your questions. It's impossible to answer over 2,000 questions in an hour -- I apologize for not getting to them all -- but I'll be back to answer more after the draft.