Fantasy NBA with Tom Carpenter
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Tom Carpenter (11:01 AM)
The fantasy hoops season wraps up just a week from tomorrow, so let's get right to your questions for the stretch run.
tom (west coast)
Should we Tobias Harris-riders be worried about his 4 games and three against really good DEF teams (CHI, BOS, MIA).
Tom Carpenter (11:04 AM)
Obviously, that's not an ideal schedule, but I would still roll him out there unless you are battling in FG% in a roto league, Tom. Harris double-doubled with 3 blocks against the Bulls two games ago, so he should keep churning out good stats. Plus, we may well see all three of those teams resting players.
Would you drop Wade for the last week plus of the season? In battle for championship (season point total league).
Tom Carpenter (11:07 AM)
I would try to hold onto him, since even a couple of games from Wade could be a huge help. That having been said, I wouldn't hesitate to drop him if you think you can pack in some other stats from guys on your waiver wire. At this point of the season, adding stats of any sort is more important than holding out hope for a big-name player who is hurt. Mostly depends on who is available to replace him.
Patrick (San Diego)
How many games do you see LeBron playing in the last week and a half of the season? Ditto for Al Horford.
Tom Carpenter (11:10 AM)
So long as LeBron's health holds up, I'd expect him to play 4-5 of their six games, Patrick. I think Horford will play the rest of the games, most likely, but the Hawks only run four more times.
Chris Fiegler (Latham,NY)
What did you think of Mark Cuban wanting Brittany Griner in the NBA Draft?
Tom Carpenter (11:13 AM)
Chris, I think Cuban is partly sincere and partly a master at self-publicity, as he usually is. I believe he respects her and her game, but I would also expect his basketball people to make sure he uses his second-rounder on a player who has a real chance to make their roster. She's a hell of a baller, but her game isn't built for the NBA, so they'd be better off taking a shot at landing an Isaiah Thomas-type lotto pick.
Eric (Big Easy)
Hi Tom. I'm considering dropping Mo Will after tonight to pick up someone w/ 3 games left this week - maybe Brewer. Smart play? Thanks!
Tom Carpenter (11:15 AM)
Yes, it's a good move, Eric. Any player who lacks consistency (as Mo has lacked lately) is worthy of dropping for a guy who balls more games at this stage of the season. If you don't have a limit on moves, I'd even recommend adding a new player each night, so you can get five games worth of stats the rest of this week.
I'm in a 8 cat roto league. 3 keepers. Durant and Curry are 2, and I've had KLove stashed as my 3rd keeper. With news coming out about knee surgery. Do we think he will return to his top 5 form next year? Or do use my 3rd slot on Ibaka, which call me crazy, but I still see him as just a block specialist. Or the rebounding monster Vucevic. Is he keeper material? With Durant and Curry's skills I'm thinking a rebounding beast would be most beneficial to me. So Love, Ibaka or Vucevic for my 3rd keeper. I also have B. Lopez and Illyasova on my roster also
Tom Carpenter (11:20 AM)
I love the news of his knee surgery paired with his season-long hand issues and hideous production in the handful of games he actually played. Of course, I'm speaking only in fantasy terms with that statement, because all of that negativity should help lower his draft value next fall. Ibaka and Vuce are quality players, but neither of them of Love's overall upside, so I would keep Love. You should be able to draft at least one of those other guys next fall, but you may not have the same luck if you ditch Love. Go stare at his previous stats to help get you over the hum, Joey.
Mike Ho (Hong Kong)
Can I trust Jimmy Butler the rest of the way if I need the hustle stats? He seems like he's getting a lot of time.
Tom Carpenter (11:22 AM)
Thibs loves Butler's game and effort, so I do expect him to finish the season strongly. He's getting a little extra work with Deng sidelined, but even if Deng gets back soon, Butler's hustle work should remain steady, Mike.
Dan (Vermont )
I'm in Joey's league. I think he should keep Ilyasova.
Tom Carpenter (11:22 AM)
Haha ... I love it!
Championship week! My lineup locks tonight. I'm going to need to come back to win. I'm thinking of gambling on Bosh and/or Noah. I need the blks, stls, and percentages, but I'm worried about both of them playing all 6 remaining games. Should I choose one or the other to gamble on, or go with both for upside? If you had to choose, who would you roll out there?
Tom Carpenter (11:26 AM)
Adam, if I picked one it would be Bosh, since he's fully healthy and picking up some of Wade's slack. As I've mentioned numerous times in recent months, few injuries scare me off more than plantar fasciitis, especially in big men, so the fact that Noah had a setback after finally playing in game action again is no real surprise -- and I expect he will not play many more games this season. Bosh will undoubtedly sit a game or two to rest, but he should post good numbers in the meantime.
im still rollen in several leagues! have jeff green all over the place with garnett back im a lil concerned per his last game what u think wise one...i hope
Tom Carpenter (11:30 AM)
Hey, George. I'm not too concerned, because it was just kind of an ugly game and Green is still starting despite KG's return. It is possible that his stats could take a hit, since they are trying this new-look lineup, but Green is in position to finish with some good games. Particularly, since the C's have to back-to-back sets to finish the season, which means that they are far more likely to lean on the younger Green in those games than Pierce and KG.
Richard (Hong Kong )
Hi Tom, Followed the chat all season, and it has helped me a lot. Keep up the awesome work! Question is for next season: if you had to pick a rookie from this season in each position PG SG SF PF C, that you reckon will have a huge season fantasy wise next year after a season under their belt, who would your picks be? Cheers!
Tom Carpenter (11:35 AM)
Thanks, Richard! Interesting question. I'd look at PG Lillard, SG Beal, SF Barnes, PF Sullinger, C Drummond ... that PF spot is a tough call. I don't really believe in Sullinger as an NBA player, but he has more raw talent than the other rookie PFs. He'll have to prove healthy and then hope the C's tweak their roster so that he can earn starter's minutes -- obviously, that's a lot of "ifs".
I'm at the half-way point of a two week championship matchup. I only need to win 4 of 8 categories to be crowned champion. I am leading in asts, blks and stls. I am trailing by a good bit in everything else, but I am going to push for both percentages. Would you bench point guards like Lillard and Kyrie Irving this week for more effecient sources of asts like Collison and Andre Miller?
Tom Carpenter (11:40 AM)
Jay, that's a pretty tough call. It depends a fair amount on how far back you are in percentages, because the impact those efficient PGs will have on your percentages could be minimal because they don't take a lot of shots. You may be better off rolling the dice on your volume PGs in the hope that they come up with a couple of huge offensive games. If you are in a daily lineup league, you should just make moves by feel as the week progresses, depending on how you and your opponent are doing.
Seth (New York)
I rode Amir Johnson on top of the standings and considered him an instant keeper up until 2 weeks ago. It would cost me an 8th rounder nex year to keep him but I have other options...Andre Drummond, Chandler Parsons, JJ Hickson, and Gerald Henderson. Which 2 do you like for next year?
Tom Carpenter (11:43 AM)
Seth, Amir is an odd guy. He piles up big stats when he gets the chance, but for various reasons he doesn't always get the chance. So, in assessing his value for next season, it's going to depend a lot on how the Raptors flesh out their roster and what his role might be. Most likely, he'll be a reserve again, which means you are better off shooting higher ... I'd have Drummond and Parsons as my two keeper from that group, as things stand right now.
You OK starting David West in a weekly league?
Tom Carpenter (11:45 AM)
With three games on his schedule, I'd use him this week, Ben ... unless there is a very hot waiver option available who has a four-game slate.
How do you view the frontcourt situation in Boston right now? Is this a situation where Garnett, Bass, and Jeff Green are going to cannabilize each other's production? I was thinking about starting Green and Bass for these final 5 games as I need effeciency and defensive stats to have a chance to win, but I'm also worried about both underperforming with Garnett back. Green kinda disappeared Sunday. Would it be crazy to start both if I'm going after blks, FG% and FT%?
Tom Carpenter (11:48 AM)
As I noted earlier, Adam, I think the pair of back-to-back sets for the Celtics will force Doc to lean more on Green (and Bass) in the waning days of the season. So I would go ahead and use both Green and Bass for the stretch run. They could be cannibalized but I think it's more likely they each play well.
What's up with Lillard? Is this a case where the Blazers simply don't have anyone to take the pressure off or to finish off his passes? Not sure I feel confident starting him after his past couple of weeks performances. Thinking of grabbing Jarrett Jack off of waivers for this week (lineups lock tonight).
Tom Carpenter (11:52 AM)
I think it's a combination of his hip, teammates' injuries and probably a touch of a late-season rookie wall. Still, I'd stick with Lillard for his upside. Not a ton of upside in Jack. Both have rough schedules. However, I would consider Jack if you are dealing with FG% battles in a roto league.
I picked up Udrih for tomorrow, is Nelson going to return soon?
Tom Carpenter (11:53 AM)
I seriously doubt we'll see Nelson tomorrow, Alex.
Hey Tom, I want to thank you for your suggestions. Wire-to-wire top team and won my league! For next year, which three would you keep? - lilliard, unibrow, blake griffin, ibaka, jrue
Tom Carpenter (11:56 AM)
Congrats, Logan ... that's a rare feat to run the table like that. Depends on how you want to construct your team. I like to have a good baseline in each category and plenty of dimes, so I'd lean toward a combo of Jrue, Lillard and Ibaka.
Randy (Tha Dimas)
I set my leagues up to where the championships ended last sunday. I'm thinkin of maybe ending them a week earlier than that next year (due to ur top players resting) ur thoughts?
Tom Carpenter (12:00 PM)
That is a tough call, Randy. In roto leagues, we should all run to the very last game -- and top players sitting is just part of the process. In H2H, I see your point about wrapping it up this past Sunday, but I wouldn't go further than that. We all knew months ago that the Heat, Spurs and C's were going to rest their players at this time of the year, because their stars aren't young and they would be headed into the postseason. So, savvy owners should have traded them away for players with less risk of sitting or planned to have them miss games. In H2H, I really prefer having two-week semifinals and finals, because that helps assuage schedule issues and random DNPs.
Tom Carpenter (12:02 PM)
Yet again this has been the quickest hour of my week. I'll be back next Tuesday for our final chat of the season, so be sure to come back with some more great questions about the final couple of days of hoops and keepers for next season. And be sure to follow me on Twitter @AtomicHarpua
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