Chat with Adam Rubin
Welcome to ESPNNewYork.com! On Tuesday, New York Mets writer Adam Rubin will stop by to take your baseball questions.
Rubin has covered the Mets since 2003. He's a graduate of Mepham High School on Long Island and the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. He joined ESPNNewYork after spending 10 years at the New York Daily News.
Send your questions now and join Rubin Tuesday at noon ET!
Adam Rubin (11:59 AM)
Thanks for joining me. I had planned to go to the Binghamton game today, but -- like with Jason Bay -- the weather did not look good. I also had the opportunity to be on "First Take" today to talk about David Wright's cool interaction with fans on Sunday at Turner Field. (Read about it and watch the video here: http://proxy.espn.go.com/blog/new-york/mets/post/_/id/19857/all-wright-moment) Let's move on to the questions ...
Michael C. (Westport, CT)
If the Mets release K-Rod at the end of August to try new closers because they're out of the race, would they have any contractual obligations if he's picked up by another team and reaches 55 games closed?
Adam Rubin (12:02 PM)
Well, that's a complicated question, but it wouldn't happen like that anyway. If the Mets were to release K-Rod, they would be liable for his contract -- and the new team would only be responsible for the major league minimum on a new contract. I'd say the Mets would not be subject to him passing 55 games finished if he did it after he departed under those terms. But I can guarantee you there would be a grievance filed over the release. The more likely scenario is K-Rod is traded, or his work is subtly limited to limit the games finished. Meanwhile, right now he's only 4/55ths of the way there. So he's not exactly on a pace for it to vest.
Jim (MacArthur HS)
Do you think Collins is holding back on arguing with umpires etc. because of all the media scrutiny about his "temper" when he was hired. If so, I think it's gone too far, he really needed to get out of the dugout after that horrible call on Ike Saturday. Also, Darling saying Ike would have calls go against him the rest of the series for arguing is moronic, the umps watch replays and someone had to tell them how horrible of a call that was.
Adam Rubin (12:03 PM)
Jerry Manuel spoke with Ike once about complaining to umps as a rookie, so I'm sure Ike doesn't help his cause. I haven't heard any overriding concerns about that this year, though. As for Collins holding back, perhaps a little, but balls and strikes arguing is an immediate ejection. There really hasn't been a moment I can recall this year where it demanded he put on a show. (Go Generals.)
Sergio (Flushing, NY)
How long do you think the Mets will stick with Terry Collins if they keep losing? He hasn't managed a team in 12 years and he seems to be making a lot of questionable moves. Is a Wally Backman call up a possiblity before this seasons over?
Adam Rubin (12:04 PM)
Terry Collins will begin the 2012 season as manager. Unless his blood pressure is so high he has to step down to deal with it.
For the 2012 season, the New York Mets payroll will be around.........??
Adam Rubin (12:05 PM)
$100 million, is my guess. Which means a lot of the $60 million to $70 million coming off may not be reinvested.
Hello Adam, do you have any further information on the partial sale of the team? Will it be 49%, and will that include any part of SNY? It doesn't seem to make any sense that someone would spend $400 million dollars and get no say on what goes on, and gets no piece of only profit generating asset associated with this team.
Adam Rubin (12:06 PM)
The way it's been portrayed, the Wilpons have wanted $150 million to $200 million, and the actual percentage -- 49 percent -- would be variable based on how much the sides agreed the team is worth. If you believe the Post's reporting, the sale has hit a snag. The Wilpons reportedly identified three final groups. Two of those pulled out, according to the newspaper. And the third person, Steve Cohen, wants to buy Mets debt from banks too, which would appear something the Wilpons would not want to entertain. After all, then Mr. Cohen could just call that debt and force the Wilpons out entirely.
Anthony (Bronx, NY)
Do you think Mike Pelfrey's days with the Mets are numbered? I know I'm ready to give up on him and test out the arms they have in the minors (Harvey for example).
Adam Rubin (12:08 PM)
Given that Mike Pelfrey is making $3.95 million this season and is arbitration-eligible, clearly the Mets will have to make a call on whether he's worth $5 million or more next season. He's under the team's control through 2013, so you could get a decent amount for him. ... Matt Harvey may be off to a great start -- three outings in the Florida State League without allowing an earned run -- but that's a long way from major league ready. It will be 2012 before Harvey has an impact I suspect.
Adam, I have been a critic of you in the past, but I just have to say over the last year you have done an extremely great job as a beat writer and do a great job with the minor league reports every Wednesday, my question is with the pitching depth the Mets have in the minors what do you think they will do with guys like Familia, Harvey, Holt, Mejia and to lesser extent Cohoon, Gee, Stinson? Do you think Alderson is more likely to keep these kids in the system and try to develop them as Mets or do you see him trading some of them to try and get a more established top of the rotation possibly in the off season? Thanks keep up the great work.
Adam Rubin (12:09 PM)
Thanks. I don't see the Mets doing much trading of prospects to get established players, because the established players mean bumping up the payroll. You might as well just go with the cost-effective youth. of the guys you mentioned, Harvey and Mejia clearly have the biggest upside.
Thomas C (Brooklyn )
How likely is it the Mets trade Reyes?Do you ever see Wright being capable of lowering his swings and misses, strike outs.
Adam Rubin (12:12 PM)
I think it's far more likely than not that Jose Reyes gets traded before July 31 -- and potentially sooner, where the Mets can get more for him, if this winning percentage persists. We've mentioned it before, but there are several factors that lead me to that conclusion: Sandy Alderson likely is not going to be inclined to give a player $100 million-plus who is dependent on his legs and is approaching his 30s. And the front office believes in on-base percentage, which is not Reyes' forte. It's not that Jose wants to leave or the Mets want him out, but the money and years as a free agent very likely would be better elsewhere. You might as well get what you can for him then. Word is the new collective bargaining agreement will eliminate the first-round compensation for losing a free agent. Which means the Mets could lose Jose and not have anything better to show for it than, say, the 31st overall pick in the draft as compensation.
Glenn (Staten Island)
If you had to guess, who do you think has the best chance of being back on this team next year that was picked up this offseason. Not including anyone uner contract in 2012 (Carrasco). Thanks.
Adam Rubin (12:13 PM)
If Chris Young can stay healthy -- a big if -- I imagine it would not be too far of a stretch that the Mets would do a similarly structured one-year deal with a low base salary and incentives. Obviously, guys like Pedro Beato are easy answers because he's not a free agent.
Bob (Floral Park, NY)
Hi Adam!What's your prediction on a Jose Reyes trade: What team? Who do we get back?Thanks!
Adam Rubin (12:15 PM)
I hadn't done a lot of studying on this yet, but in spring training, scouts mentioned the Giants, Brewers and Red Sox.Foxsports.com added the Angels and Cardinals, if I remember correctly.
Jason (New Jersey)
Just read your blog, wow, David Wright got some Brave fans to swap over to New York fans! WOO HOO
Adam Rubin (12:16 PM)
Mets need anybody they can get, but it was a really moving moment.
Rob (Wading River, NY)
Do you believe the starting rotation will see any big changes by midseason?
Adam Rubin (12:17 PM)
If you hold out hope Johan Santana is coming back, then yes. Jenrry Mejia can certainly force his way on too. The Mets would have called up Mejia for Young is the days lined up, I'm told.
Mike (Danbury, CT)
Adam I just wanted to give you credit for seeing the Feliciano situation so clearly when most Mets fans wanted to at least offer him arbitration. My question is if the Mets are heading toward looking like "sellers" at the trade deadline, do we have any pieces that actually have value for other teams?
Adam Rubin (12:18 PM)
Well, the Mets did offer Feliciano arbitration. Maybe they knew he wouldn't accept, but they would've been on the hook for one year at about $4 million if he did. There seems to be a lot of media buzz about Pelfrey. The logical ones are Beltran, K-Rod and Reyes. I suppose Byrdak too if someone needs a lefty specialist.
if he continues to pitch well and the mets get desperate enough, any chance matt harvey makes an appearance this season?
Adam Rubin (12:19 PM)
I suppose anything is possible down the stretch. Next stop will be Binghamton, though.
When Bay comes back, who will most likely lose their spot?
Adam Rubin (12:21 PM)
The Mets are going to have to go back to five bench players and down to seven relievers. Heck, it would make sense to do it today and have someone up for a couple of days until Bay is activated. (I suppose Igarashi would be most likely to go.)
Scot (Washington DC)
Same old Chris Young or just a bump in the road of a long season? Your thoughts.
Adam Rubin (12:22 PM)
With the Mets, you usually take the more gloomy option. But he seems to think this is just biceps tendinitis, that the time on the DL will calm it, and he'll be OK.
adam ive heard from sources that justin turner, who is not in buffalo's lineup today, got called up to the mets. have you heard anything about this and what does this mean for brad emaus?
Adam Rubin (12:24 PM)
I'll have to check on that. It certainly makes sense to call up a bench player until Bay is ready, since the bullpen is fresh after an off-day and Terry Collins using starters in relief on Sunday. I presumed Emaus would get this series to prove himself, since the Mets are facing two lefties. And I think there's an intermediate step of trying to hold onto Emaus by putting him on the bench so he doesn't have to be returned to the Jays. So I could see, if that's correct, Turner for Igarashi, then a position player for Bay on Thursday. But I have to look into it.
adam, if gee pitches well in his next start is he definitely the one sent down when young comes back?
Adam Rubin (12:25 PM)
Let's see if (1) Chris Young is definitely coming back after one more missed turn and (2) Dillon keeps it going against the Diamondbacks. You can always tell Chris Young to take a little more time to get well if Dillon is doing that well.
adam, any updates on reese havens?
Adam Rubin (12:26 PM)
As of a week ago, he was still in Florida doing everything but swinging. So it's not like he's joining Binghamton imminently.
chris (syracuse ny)
i heard fmart was back on the dl is it about time to stop calling him a prospect?
Adam Rubin (12:28 PM)
You can certainly be discouraged by the repeated injuries, but someone is going to give him a chance. He's only 22 years old. Something has to give, because I believe this is his last year with options. Meaning next year he's making the team or exposed to waivers, or he's traded.
Dave (Port Washington)
Fundamentals. It seems that Terry Collins stressed this as a big area for improvement, but it seems that fundamentals are costing the mets this year. Some stat I saw this morning shows the mets defensive errors costing them the most runs in mlb. Where do you think the breakdown is with this, can it be improved, or do you think this is just a team that for the most part just lacks baseball instincts, and we should take them for what they are?
Adam Rubin (12:29 PM)
Comes down to the players. No one can dispute that Collins worked on it in spring training. But then, it would be incorrect to suggest Willie Randolph or Jerry Manuel or Art Howe didn't go over those either in camp.
Is it realistic that the mets will give reyes and he would 5 years, $15 million? if not, and the mets trade him, who could you forsee replacing him? tejada? (hope not)
Adam Rubin (12:30 PM)
I believe Jose Reyes will get six or seven years, and some team is going to give him a contract worth in excess of $100 million.
Rick (Long Island, NY)
Adam, PLEASE tell me Alderson and co. will get a chance to build a team the right way, with a foundation of homegrown talent and THEN you add a few free agents around them...the whole spend one year, don't the next, cycle gets you nowhere...
Adam Rubin (12:32 PM)
I believe that will be the way it will be done now, even if it's out of necessity because of monetary constraints.
Jason (Livingston NJ)
Why not keep Gee up and put Capuano in the pen to add another lefty when Young comes back?
Adam Rubin (12:33 PM)
Certainly another viable option. I can't discount that. I just don't know that Dillon Gee's success is going to continue. Certainly there's a place for strike throwers with unexceptional stuff, but I believe batters may start catching up to him a little bit at some point in the near future.
chris (syracuse ny)
if the mets are to go on a streak arent these the teams to do it against ? the may schedule looks really tough so if they dont win a good amount of games this week they could be out of it at the end of april
Adam Rubin (12:34 PM)
They better do it this week. Have you seen the mid-June to mid-July schedule? Killer. Then again, the Astros are probably saying this is their chance.
Brian (Cincinnati, OH)
With the uncertain financial situation going forward, has there been any thought to giving Ike Davis a long-term deal at an affordable rate? You know, buy out his arbitration years and tack on a few more, similar to the long-term deals that Evan Longoria and Ryan Braun got early in their careers?
Adam Rubin (12:35 PM)
When Alderson talks about longer-term deals, that's what he's referring to. They may. I hadn't heard about it, though.
Sean (ABQ )
Adam how high are you hopes that Santana is able to pitch again, Prior and Wang have me thinking he is done for good
Adam Rubin (12:36 PM)
There is certainly well-founded concern that Johan may never be the same pitcher again, much less during the second half of this year. I wouldn't discount Johan though. I know this is a more severe injury, but if you recall him pitching on short rest with a torn meniscus off a career high pitch count with the Mets' season on the line in Game No. 161 in 2008, you know what I'm talking about.
Ira (Long Island)
I see that Pelfrey got himself a new psychologist. Is that the norm for most players? To have a psychologist to talk to?
Adam Rubin (12:37 PM)
It certainly is not atypical.
Torn meniscus in knee is no where close to a torn shoulder. Not even in the same atmosphere.
Adam Rubin (12:38 PM)
I know. I'm just saying he's got more of a bulldog mentality than most.
Bill (Long Beach)
Adam, Lets' face it. I can see the Mets unloading Wright, along with the aforementioned players. I love the kid, but he wilts under pressure. Face of the franchise?! on a well below .500 club?! There is no such thing.
Adam Rubin (12:39 PM)
Heck, David may jump ship when he's a free agent too. The Mets, though, I believe will always pay Wright like Jeter, with a little bit of a premium over ability. I firmly believe the key is surrounding Wright with players so he doesn't have to be the guy.
What are the Mets execs saying about attendance? They have to be concerned that things have gotten this bad and it's still April, what a mess!
Adam Rubin (12:39 PM)
They don't bring it up.
adam that,s not true that happens before game 161 so correct yourself.
Adam Rubin (12:40 PM)
Huh? Johan shutting out the Marlins? That was Game No. 161. Promise.
Adam Rubin (12:40 PM)
Anyway, I've got to move on to the next phase of my day -- minor league report. Thanks for joining me.