Hey everyone. Welcome to Monday's WSOP chat. Another double-bracelet winner this year? I'm amazed...Congrats to Jeffrey Lisandro on his accomplishment. If you want to learn Stud...ask him to write a book.
Just bubbled in an online main event qualifier. I want to shoot myself in the face. Mentally I'm shot, how can I get back on the horse?
That's about the toughest bubble I could imagine, well besides the actual main event bubble.Honestly, a think that it's up to you to get back on the horse when you're ready. Don't rush into playing again if you aren't clear-headed and are still thinking about the ME qualifier. Put yourself in a good mental state so that you aren't wasting your money.
How hard did Pollack press the event #35 winner to stick around for the next day's bracelet ceremony?
I'm pretty surprised that anyone would elect not to participate in the bracelet ceremony, but Richard Austin opting out was quite a shock. I would assume he pressed on him and told him that people need to get to know him, but for one reason or another he decided not to do it.
Did Doyle speak about his final table finish this weekend? Followed it a bit on Bluff, he was at it tooth and nail with many chopped pots. I was really rooting for him.
I think if there was anyone who wanted to win a bracelet...more than Hellmuth...it's Doyle. I think everyone was rooting for him to pull through, but he hasn't come out publicly and said much about the experience.
Did Mr. Dick Austin give a reason for declining to participate in the bracelet? What Gives? The WSOP just helped you make a bit of money and you cant say a few words. Or is there a legit reason for the quick escape?
No idea. Maybe he had to catch a flight. Maybe he owes people money. Maybe he just didn't want to be noticed. Whatever the reason, his actions raised eyebrows in Vegas.
I just bubbled a $2 eight-man turbo and I want to shoot myself in the face. What advice would you give me?
Less than two weeks away from The Big One, what's shaping up as the top story lines going into the Main Event?
The usuals: The field size, Will be see a pro at the final table, can Hellmuth/Matusow make another deep run. Then the not so typicals -- how drastically has the economy affected the WSOP, will the blind structure hurt the main event by pushing off the money until Day 4, will the player of the year race be determined in the main event...
AJ - How much are the actual WSOP bracelets worth? Are they real gold/silver? Is the main event bracelet worth more than the rest?
I would guess the regular bracelets are around 1-2K while the main event one could be upwards of 4-5K. I'll find out for a future chat.
Did Jordan Smith spend his last dime to play in the event he won or did he finally find a backer?
Either his last dime or his parents. The way he was talking about them made it seem that they might've given him this shot.
Love your chats... keep them going! Can I register on Sunday, 6/5, for ME starting on Monday, 6/6? What will the line be like if I registered on 6/6? How many people do you expect to play on that day?
Jon - you can register anytime up until the second level of Day 1D. However, I really wouldn't recommend it. The lines are going to be very long as registration continues, especially on the 6th. I also wouldn't risk getting turned away due to a sellout on the final day. I'm not saying the event would be sold out, just the final day. I'm assuming Day 1D will have around 2100 players.
What mistake do you see players often make to get beat, and how would you compare that to a pitcher serving up a homerun ball?
Thanks for the relentless Mets questions and yes, the ball has finally landed somewhere in Vermont. I see players committing too many chips with top pair. It's not the nuts people! Don't be afraid to let top pair go.
Can I get a prop bet going on when you're going to get a guest? Smart money is on never.
I'll set the line at Wednesday. Over/Under?
I thought I saw something this weekend where Richard Austin was deep in another event. Doesn't sound like he had to leave town. I missed Doyle at the final table. What event was that and how did he finish?
I was just throwing random ideas out there...Doyle finished 7th in the Seven-card stud Eight or better world championship. The one where Lisandro won his third bracelet.
Does it seem unfair that the ME starts with 600 big blinds but the $1,500 event only starts with 90? I mean, sure the ME should probably get more, but for the small timers, $1,500 is still a good chunk of change. I mean even the $50 tourneys at AC/Turning Stone start with 100 or 200 big blinds, even though the blinds go up faster.
I can't say that I disagree, but the WSOP needs to take time into consideration. They can't let $1,500 events go on for two weeks...which they would if everyone had an extremely deep starting stack. They want to get those players into the next tournament as quickly as possible. Jack Effel and his team has done a great job improving the structure, but they still think that $1,500 is really only good for a couple hours imo.
Andrew, are there going to be any updates on the fantasy league? It has been a while since I heard anything. My friends and I have placed bets on who will place 1-10 and I cant find any data for updates. However if Daniel is still leading Im at least in the hunt.
Wow. Yea that blog I've been meaning to write hasn't really been happening. Lots of things in teh works right now that will be debuting on ESPN.com in July. Here are the standings through Event 34. Fantasy poker is rigged. Daniel Negreanu: 571Howard Lederer: 361Lance Bradley: 238Gavin Smith: 145Mark Seif: 141Chops Preiss: 126Dennis Phillips: 121Dan Michalski: 116Bernard Lee: 100Andrew Feldman: 95Gary Wise: 68
Wednseday, eh? I'll take the over. Unless you already have one booked for Wednesday and you're sandbaggin me. Again, not that we don't love talking with you but variety is the spice of life.
I'll take the under. :-)
Any names who have been really close to winning that you see being able to break through in the last few weeks of the series?
I'm still waiting on Negreanu to come through with a bracelet this year. He had an amazing run early on and perhaps fatigue has started to set in. The WSOP is a grind...Also, John Juanda is ready for another bracelet as well. Three final tables so far...
Next weekend the main event begins, are you seeing the pro's starting to dial it down and rest up a little bit? or is everyone's ego in full go trying to win any bracelet bet or POY before the fun begins?
Nobody is dialing it down with the $50,000 HORSE coming up on Friday. I know that many want to rest up for that event specifically. Players typically don't play in the events a day or two ahead just to make sure that they can play in the HORSE.
Out of the three multiple bracelet winners this year who would do you think would be most likely to win a third? Ivey and Parker seem to have cooled down a bit since earlier and Lisandro can play all games well (although he really seems to crush stud).
Ivey in the $50K HORSE. There's only 1 more stud event, no more 6-handed events and another 2-7 lowball for Ivey to take his shot.
You hear some players, particularly young ones, say how they "never read a book" or are entirely self-taught. Do you buy that? If it is true, how would one know he/she has the make-up to learn and be successful on their own?
At some point you learn something from someone else. Whether it's by watching TV and seeing a move a player made or following a blog of a player or watching a friend play online. I know a lot of players who said they never read a book, but I bet they went online to a forum to talk strategy.
At this point, how tired are the folks who've played most events? Will we see some big names take off a good portion of the time before the ME, or do you think they feel they need the momentum and thus will just keep going nonstop?
I don't know how players grind out even 25 of the 39 events that have already finished. It's tough to play until the early hours of the morning day in and day out. The one thing that professionals recommend is never playing when they're exhausted. The problem is that they don't follow their own advice when there's so much at stake at the WSOP.
I disagree with your approach at the $1500 tournies. I don't think you should push every flush draw to try to double up. You still have one hour blinds that start at 25-50. You can accumulate chips without having to risk your stack. One cooler will cripple you though.
And you're right, too. That's the thing about poker. Every strategy can work to different people. My concern is that heading into the second hour the blinds are $50/$100, then $100/$200 and all of a sudden, you're starting stack is barely over 20 big blinds. The action goes quickly enough that you can't sit back and wait too long.
Um, Andrew? Hi. You know I can win a bracelet tomorrow, right?
Yea. The shootout event. Watch out for Nordberg.
Quick interruption. Apparently it is National Poker Week? The PPA wants you to sign a petition here: http://ow.ly/fy9b
Thanks for waiting until the US Open finished to chat, much appreciated. Random, off the wall question-what sports star would make the best poker player? It has to be Tiger Woods, right?
I bet Tiger would be good, but he's not my answer. I'd probably go with a hockey goalie. In hockey, you have to watch everything and be so precise with every single moment. Very similar to a poker player. You have to read the move before your opponent makes it. I also think a football QB like Peyton Manning could be good as well since he can read what's coming at him and make the necessary changes on the spot to be successful.
About shootouts, do skilled players really have a chance in these, or is it safe to say that due to the format the final table tends to have its fair share of luckboxes or people who simply got clobbered by the deck?
Skilled players most definitely have the advantage, but personally I feel that no-name online SNG experts really hold the key to this one. They play this situation over and over and over again. The fact that they have a ton of experience really gives them some help...even against the best in the game.
I was watching the November Nine final table ESPN broadcast the other day, and focused on the huge crowd reactions for the players. Did each of the nine get to give away a certain number of comp tickets to their supporters?
Each player had 5 or 10 to give out to be tableside. Everyone else in the crowd needed to wait on a line to get in. When I arrived at the Rio that morning at 10 am (3 hrs before start time), there was a line down the hallway towards the casino.
Andrew, what's the best reaction to beating someone with a bad beat. My KK was cracked by JJ online and when the other player won the hand with a ridiculous flush suck-out, she politely typed "oops. sorry I thought I had the best hand." Should you apologize for sucking out, or just say nothing?
Sometimes you feel bad about it, other times you're happy you put the beat on. If you're blatantly outplayed, you're probably going to get your opponent fired up by apologizing. The point of the game is to take your opponent's chips. Not sure why an apology would be necessary, but perhaps it'll make you feel better about getting lucky one time.
What will happens next, someone wins a second bracelet again, someone wins a third bracelet, or neither?
A second bracelet. I'd love to see Ivey win three, but I think with 18 more bracelets to be awarded, there's a better shot of having another double-bracelet winner.
thanks for responding, but I think you misunderstood my question re: ME registration... Can I pay $10k on sunday night for 1D(which occurs monday)? Or are they only allowing registration that day.. if so, what time does line open?
Sorry Jon. My fault. You can pay $10K whenever you'd like for Day 1D as long as it isn't sold out. You can pre-register now, too.
I see people try to do reverse tells from time to time. Which do you think is a more obvious live poker reverse tell - people making their hands shake to come across as nervous when they're really strong, or pretending to be steaming from a beat in an effort to get action on a strong hand you get soon after? Any others come to mind?
I think the hand shaking is a tough one to duplicate unless you've practiced repeatedly. Try shaking your hand and make it look natural, not forced. I would definitely think that people steaming and thinking people are steaming is tough to tell apart. They really might be upset about the last hand, but have a real one this time. Figuring out what is going on with a player in that situation is difficult. The steeple has also become commonplace as a reverse tell thanks to Joe Navarro's teachings.
Hate to cut it short guys, but I've gotta run. Thanks for joining me today and speak to you all tomorrow for another chat!