Hi, everyone. I wonder if any of you have questions about trades . . .
Jim, the Mariners acquire Wilson and Ian Snell for Clement, Ronny Cedeno, Aaron Pribanic, Brett Lorin and Nathan Adcock. Who wins this trade in the long run?
I don't think the trade does anything significant for either team. Wilson and Snell will help the Mariners a little, and they can evaluate them for the future, but I can't see Wilson hitting in the AL or those guys putting Seattle over the top in the pennant race. As for the Pirates, it's not like they gave up a ton, but they keep trading for quantity and not quality. I can see Clement hitting for power but he's not going to be a regular catcher, but the rest of those guys are complementary players at best. The Pirates need to focus on finding some more cornerstones. They don't have enough.
I know Tony Sanchez was just drafted, but what does today's trade involving Jeff Clement mean for both Clement and Sanchez?
Not much. Sanchez is at least a couple of years anyway, and I think we've seen enough to know that Clement is going to be a first baseman and not a catcher. They won't get in each other's way.
Ken Rosenthal is reporting the Phillies acquired Cliff Lee and Ben Francisco for Knapp, Donald, Marson, and Carasco. Thoughts on this deal?
Stunned, frankly. From everything we've read about the Phillies, it seems the four pieces they value the most right now are in some order, Kyle Drabek, Dominic Brown, J.A. Happ and Michael Taylor. The Indians didn't get any of them. They got one high-upside guy (Knapp), and he's in low Class A and has some shoulder fatigue. The rest of the guys are solid regulars at best--they're not stars. Lee is very affordable for next season, and the AL Central is a very winnable division. I don't like this trade at all for the Indians. From the Phillies' standpoint, this is a great deal, to hold on to the young guys you want and get a frontline starter. I'd rather have Halladay than Lee, but I'd rather give up this package for Lee than meet J.P. Ricciardi's reported demands for Halladay.
Jim.. please give us your opinion of the Garko-Barnes trade. Did the Giants give up too good of a prospect?
That's a fair trade. I like Barnes, but he's in high Class A and probably a year and a half away. Garko should hit in the NL right away. Looks equitable to me. The Giants need bats and have plenty of arms.
How is Brett Lawrie progressing for the TimberRattlers this year? I know he gave up on catching where his bat would be a premium, and I know he doesn't currently forecast as a second baseman, but is he hitting and is it possible he could end up at 1B or a corner outfield spot in the future?
Lawrie is having a solid year even if his numbers aren't spectacular. The Midwest League is a tough place to hit, the toughest of any of the full-season leagues. I think Lawrie will have enough bat to play just about anywhere on the diamond.
Heyward is making AA look like American Legion ball. With the Braves playing great baseball for the last month and reinserting themselves in the playoff race, does he get a call-up soon?
He might have to. The Braves have been very hot and if Heyward can help them win, they should bring him up. And I think he can.
With the Phils getting Cliff Lee, do you think Halladay stays with the Jays?
Not necessarily. With all of his public pronouncements, I think Ricciardi has painted himself into a corner. If he doesn't trade Halladay now, he risks making a trade like the Twins did with Santana in the offseason. I don't think he should just deal him, but he needs to find a good trade for Halladay since he has committed to trading him.
Ok, can you please run down the prospects the Tribe gets in the apparent Lee/Francisco deal? I cant believe Taylor, Brown, or Happ arent involved!
Me either. Quick rundown . . . Knapp: Big-time power arm, capable of reaching the upper 90s, still harnessing it. Carrasco: Good arm, getting knocked around in Triple-A, I'm not a huge fan but he has the upside of a No. 2 starter. Marson: Hits more for average than power, decent defender, chance to be a decent to solid regular. Donald: Not having a great year but he can hit for average with decent power for an infielder, probably not a shortstop, more of a second baseman (don't see the power for third), chance to be a decent to solid regular.
Did Riccardi blow it by holding out for too much with Philly? Where is Halladay's most logical landing spot now?
I think he may have. Sounds like the two LA clubs and the Red Sox are the most ardent suitors at this point.
general reactions to Bumgarner's meltdown yesterday? (1 and 2/3s inning, ejection, not breaking 90 mph)
Everyone has a bad day now and then.
Travis Wood's first start was much like all his AA starts this year, dominant. Only 1 run given up in 6 2/3 while striking out 6, teams just can't seem to make hard contact against him with his cutter against right handers, a slider against lefties, and a changeup that fools everybody. Could Travis Wood compete for spot in the Reds 2009 rotation much the same way Johnny Cueto did in 2008 after a dominant 2007 in the minors?
Compete for a spot, sure. But he's not as good as Cueto.
With the Mets surprising late resurgence leaving them only 5.5 games back in the Wild Card, do you now see them becoming buyers? and if so, what could they possibly buy now that wasn't there earlier when Omar Minaya was trying to fill the holes left by all the injuries?
They may see themselves as buyers, but they don't have much in the way of trade fodder. I don't think you'll see any significant moves for the Mets.
Jim, do you think the Yankees should try Jesus Montero in RF? Offensively, he looks on schedule for early 2011 and given the Yankees need for corner outfielders and much smaller dimensions of RF compared to LF, it would fill a big need.
At some point, they'll have to move him off catcher. First base is tied up for several years with Mark Teixeira. So sure, I'd give that a try.
Hi Jim, When can we expect the MLB to start officially allowing the over the slot bonuses to come through from this year's draft?
We've only seen one deal where a guy has gotten more than $51,000 over slot, and we'll see a few more in the next week or so. But it's probably another 7-10 days before we see some really significant deals, and the blockbusters won't happen until Aug. 17.
Is Bud really threatening to move the All-Star from KC if the Royals offer Crow a huge over slot deal? That seems criminal.
I heard Peter Gammons reported that. This is what MLB does to try to get teams to toe the line with the draft, because they can't officially prohibit them from big signings. I hope K.C. tells Bud to go **** himself on this. The Royals are trying to make their team better, and they're probably going to sign their first three picks (Aaron Crow, Wil Myers and Chris Dwyer) for about $7 million. A lot of clubs believe those deals are already in place. That's how you make a bad team better, rather than just being another sheep falling in line and taking lesser players. Kudos to the Royals, and I hope they aren't dissuaded by MLB.
A's have a stockpile of average to above average hitting prospects but no sure things in the 3-4 slot. Chances that Wallace/Carter become a legit 3-4. Any other possibilities?
That's an accurate assessment. Wallace and Carter are their hopes for the 3-4 slots, and there aren't any obvious candidates. I have more faith in Wallace being a No. 3 hitter than Carter being a legit cleanup guy.
Any update on how Kyle Gibson is progressing? What are the chances the Twins get him signed? Thanks.
I don't believe he has thrown for the Twins yet. They'll probably wait until the week before the deadline to seriously evaluate him, and if he signs (I expect he will unless his health is a huge detriment), it likely will be on Aug. 17.
How unrealistic would it be for the Phillies to get Roy Halladay too?
Well, they still could give the Jays Happ, Drabek and either Brown or Taylor. But it ain't happening.
Are you still high on Lars Anderson? His Double A numbers aren't very good and while he's still young, it's a little disheartening to see he's suppose to be a top prospect yet isn't hitting like one. Thanks.
See my latest Ask BA column at <a href="http://www.baseballamerica.com/today/prospects/ask-ba/2009/268612.html">http://www.baseballamerica.com/today/prospects/ask-ba/2009/268612.html</a>.
Given the state of the Cardinals 1 month ago, if YOU were the GM, would you have traded Brett Wallace 2 for 2/3 months of Holliday? Seems to me the Cards are now only 3rd best team in NL. Does it seem likely to be Haren/Mulder, Part II?
Not sure I would have done it, but I don't think it's that's lopsided. I also give Brett Wallace next to no chance of playing anywhere but first base, and that was a problem for the Cardinals. He was less valuable to them than he is to the A's, who need a first baseman and can put him at DH.
Why did the A's pass on Wallace the first time around?
Seems like they were locked in on taking an up-the-middle college player. Jemile Weeks was the best available.
Lou Marson? Really? What about Carlos Santana?
No one likes making predictions.That being said, which division does the NL Wild Card come from this year?
NL East, Braves or Marlins.
Are Escobar and Gamel deserving of the "untouchable" status? How do you project each of them, and at what position for Gamel?
I'm not sure anyone is really untouchable in the right deal. It's hard to find a quality shortstop, and Escobar looks like he's going to become one. I like Gamel's bat, but he may wind up as a first baseman. I'd be more willing to trade him.
What would be a fair offer from the Rangers to acquire Halladay? Would Smoak, Feliz, Holland be too little or too much?
The Jays should jump on that deal if offered, but I don't see the Rangers offering it. Too much young talent for them to give up and not sure they can really add Halladay's salary.
What makes Drabek worth not getting Halladay?
Drabek's fastball and curveball give him the potential to be a frontline starter. But it's not like it was a done deal if they included Drabek. Look at it as the Phillies had an option of a) Lee, Drabek, Happ, Brown/Taylor or b) Halladay, Carrasco, Marson, Donald. I'd do just what the Phillies did.
the redsox r trying for halladay and i hear yanks for J-rod washbuirn. Am I crazy in thinking yanks r mot gonna let halladay go w/out one uping them
The Yankees will do what they can, sure, to try to keep Halladay from Boston. But if the Red Sox really do want him, they can put a better trade package together.
Would Hughes, Jackson and Montero be enough to land Halladay? If you were the Yankees GM, would you make that deal?
Might need a fourth player, but I'd seriously think about it. I'd hate to lose Montero, but hey, it's Roy Halladay.
Once his curveball becomes a little more consistant, Daniel Bard, untouchable? Like the Red Sox have said?
I'd move him in the right deal. Great arm, still think he's more of a setup man than a closer.
Are Astros prospects Jon Gaston, T.J. Steele, Brandon Barnes and Koby Clemens the real deal or are their stats impressive merely because they play in the CAL league, particularly at home in Lancaster? Do any one of them stick out as 'the real deal'?
They're more creatures of their ballpark than truly as talented as their raw numbers and suggested. Gaston and Steele are the best prospects of those four, but they're not Top 100 Prospects caliber.
Should the Cards be nervous about dealing the best of their system for 2.5 months of Holliday/Derosa?
Yes. They've made their team better, but if they don't win this year and don't re-sign Holliday, they're going to have a lot of regrets.
Tillman or Hanson?
Let's start the lightning round . . . Hanson.
Lightning Round...Kershaw or Strasburg?
To your comment about needing more that Hughes, Jackson and Montero, perhaps they should throw in Yogi Berra, Whitey Ford and the ghost of Joe Dimaggio. Look what CLE just got for Lee. There is not one player there who is better than any of the three Yankees.
Just because the Indians made a bad trade doesn't mean the Blue Jays have to, does it? I like Hughes, but he has yet to prove himself as a big league starter. I like Jackson, but he's a solid regular, not a star. I love Montero, but he's likely a first baseman. All I said was that the Blue Jays would probably want a little more.
Who goes to bullpen, Happ, Moyer, or Martinez?
Martinez becomes an afterthought.
Yes or No, Strasburg signs with the Nats just before the deadline?
Yes, minutes before.
Ben Revere or Aaron Hicks?
Revere. I keep flip-flopping, though.
Cleveland has to call up Laporta now right?????
No reason not to that I can see.
New Jersey question...Porcello or Knapp long term?
Kyler Burke, Tyler Colvin, or Brett Jackson?
Knapp or Drabek
Dinesh Patel and Rinku Singh of the GCL Pirates: Curiosities or do they have a shot?
Schafer - ML regular CF or 4th outfielder
Trade Kazmir, bring up Wade Davis?
Makes a lot of sense if they can swing a nice deal for Kazmir. Wouldn't just give him away.
Smoak......will he be Rafael Palmeiro or Mark Grace?
The best of both worlds there. He'll hit for power and average and play a nifty first base.
The Midwest League is a tougher place to play than the Florida State League?
Toughest hitting environment. Didn't say the best pitchers in the minors.
Michael Saunders or Eric Patterson?
Knapp or Trevor May?
Jeff Stevens or Randy Wells?
So Hughes' performance in the pen this year doesn't give you the confidence that he will become what you always thought he'd become?
Anyone who comes to these chats knows I'm as big a Hughes fan as anyone. My point is that if I'm a GM trading Roy Halladay, I'd like to get a guy who has shown success as a starter. I'd want Hughes in that deal, but Hughes/Jackson/Montero doesn't sound like enough compared to what the Jays have been asking teams for.
Brett Wallace or Grant Green?
Tough one. I'll go with positional value and say Green.
Jim, any thoughts on Dice-K's complaints about his workout regimen?
I've had others (not with the Red Sox) suggest his lack of desire to work out has been a huge issue. Japanese starters pitch once a week rather than once every five days, and it seems like they hit the wall after two years in the U.S. I think the different schedule over here is more of a factor than a lack of strenuous workouts.
Alvarez or Wallace?
Bud Norris or Matt Latos a. This yearb. career
Carlos Santana or Smoak
Is Brandon Wood freed from Mike Scioscia by Friday?
For his sake, I hope so. I'd like to see Wood to get the chance to play every day somewhere.
Mauer or Morneau?
Surprised at how fast Latos got the call? Is he up to the task, long-term?
A little, but he'll be fine.
Ike Davis or Wallace?
Perhaps it's a good thing that Tazawa didn't play Japanese Big League ball, then? He can learn in the minors on an American pitching schedule.
Worse Cliff Lee Trade? The Expos side when he went to Cleveland, or the Cleveand side when we went to Philly?
The first Cliff Lee trade might be the most one-sided deal of the decade.
Lance Berkman or Derrek Lee?
Will teams ever demand less from the Yankees or will they start settling on the best deal available? Didn't the D Backs settle on Casey Fossum instead of Alfonso Soriono cause they wouldn't deal w the Yankees?
The Yankees may want their fans and media to believe that, but teams take the best available trade. They don't go out of their way to spit the Yankees.
Street/Smith/Gonzalez or Wallace/Mortensen/Peterson?
Pretty close. I like Wallace a lot and I'm not a big Carlos Gonzalez fan. If you like Gonzalez, you could go with that trio.
Montero or Lars?
don't forget that schilling also preferred a trade to the red sox over the yankees in that casey fossum instance.
What a player with a no-trade clause prefers is an entirely different story. But I believe Schilling initially preferred the Yankees to the Red Sox and had to be sold on the Red Sox.
Taylor or Brown?
No new trades happened during the chat, but I'm sure we'll have plenty to discuss next week. See you then.