I refuse to submit to the fascist mindset that says chats must begin at the top of the hour!
Is it not Thursday at 1:00 PM?
Or maybe I was at the dermatologist because the last biopsy showed an abnormality. It could be either one.
Did Rafael Soriano "blow" Tommy Hanson's ROY chances by denying him his 10th win last night? Hanson was dominant.
If Hanson's RoY chances still depend on his win total, then we are making no progress whatsoever.
I don't remember Craig Biggio or Tony Gwynn or Cal Ripken or any number of other players having so much praise showered on them for tying Lou Gehrig on the all-time hits list. But then I remembered that a hit for the Yankees counts at least 50% more than a hit for any other team. So it's really like Jeter has 4081.5 hits, isn't it? No wonder everyone is so excited!
Like I said on Mike
KLAW - who from the draft outside of Strasburg and Axley will crack your personal top 100 this winter?
The last two years I've had 12-15 guys from the most recent draft on my offseason top 100.
I forgot that Failchat 1.0 doesn't like ampersands. The Jeter response was: "Like I said on Mike and Mike this morning, if Jeter played for Minnesota, no one would be paying half this much attention, and Mauer would be heading towards a unanimous MVP."
Your thoughts on Bumgarner's debut? Velo is still down, but he showed some great mound presence, in my opinion. Especially for a 20 year old. I see a lot of Mark Mulder in the kid.
Didn't see because I was at Miller Park, but a scout who was there called it very disappointing - not just velo but the breaking ball was soft.
How invasive are MLB orgs scouting Europe? Are they ever going to find players in Russia, France, Germany, etc. that will make it worth the expense?
I believe nine teams scout actively over there, employing at least a part-time scout dedicated to Europe. There absolutely will be - have already been - quality prospects coming from there, including Rick Vandenhurk, Max Kepler (Twins), Alex Liddi (M's), and Alessandro Maestri (Cubs).
What do you make of UNC's Matt Harvey? What round could you see him going in after his cape summer?
Can you, or anyone for that matter, explain what the hell is going on with Buster Posey? Sabean and Bochy have always had a love affair with "experience veterans", but now it seems like this has become a tug of war between the manager and managment.
Sabean said on KNBR the other day that he didn't see how a guy a year out of college could challenge Bengie Molina, so I wouldn't depict this as manager vs management.
Yay, let's all celebrate Derek Jeter being 53rd on the all-time hit list. Can we dedicate the chat to him?
Someone asked on Twitter whether I thought this or Roberts' 3 seasons of 50 doubles was more impressive. Good time for the #noneoftheabove hashtag.
Hi, Keith. Is this the year Edinson Volquez finally wins RoY?
No, but I'm considering him for my top 100 prospects list.
Like a dog.
Keith the fame of playing in the NY media market is a big boost, but the media pressure of playing and performing in NY vs Minn is off the charts. Playing well day in and day out on that stage makes your achievements that much more special.
Klaw, which is more overrated: The Cathcer in the Rye / Derek Jeter
Catcher in the Rye. Best thing I can say about that book is that it's where I learned the word "prostitute." (I was 10.)
What's worse: the save statistic or W/L record?
Can Jason Heyward be a difference maker for the Braves in 2010 or is this just something a delusional Braves fan would believe?
I would not bet on him being a difference maker at age 20, even in the 4A League. Justin Upton needed a full year in the majors to reach that level.
The Rangers are obviously involved in European scouting. That's where they landed Derek Holland, right?
And Joel Czech Republic. He's a stud.
Como vem mais equipas nao chamar mais corredores ou defensores para o final das situacoes de jogo em setembro?
That made me laugh. Jared posted this a few times - he's asking why more teams don't recall speedy guys or defense-only guys in September - in English, but I didn't answer (since I think it's obvious - money and 40-man spots), so he posted it in Portuguese. Good use of the accents, Jared.
Carl Crawford or Desmond Jennings?
Depends on your time frame. Next five years, I'd probably take Jennings. 2010 only, Crawford.
Why did you learn Portuguese?
Business trip to Lisbon in 2000. I don't speak it, I just know a few hundred words, and I can usually guess at others because they resemble Spanish.
Entao, so preciso escrever em portugues para receber uma resposta?
No, posting in Portuguese does not guarantee an answer. The two ways to get an answer are 1) ask better questions or 2) post in Zamonian.
Best prospect in the Orioles' system- Jake Arrieta, Josh Bell, or Zach Britton?
I think I'd go Bell, Britton, Arrieta. I could flip the first two. I've never been in love with Arrieta - solid 3 or 4 ceiling.
Should I drop out of law school? It kind of sucks.
Who on earth told you to start?
How good can Matt Kemp become? If he cuts down on his strike outs could you possibly see him as being one of the premier players in the league?
I'm pretty sure he already is one of the premier players in the league.
Do you buy into the argument some are making that Hanley Ramirez is more valuable than Albert Pujols?
No. I think you could make a case for Utley, but not Ramirez, although let's face it - when Pujols hits his 50th homer, that's going to seal it.
Better upside, Brad Holt or Jenrry Mejia?
Mejia. Holt didn't acquit himself well in AA, despite all the reports of this wonderful curveball he supposedly had developed.
I don't know if you know the answer to this, but I'll try anyway. Do you know how much Boras is involved in the actual negotiating of contracts for his clients? For instance, he had several of the top unsigned players leading up to August 17th. There is no way he was on the phone with all those teams in the final hour. Does he only get hands on for the big boy clients?
You're assuming deals announced on the 17th were negotiated on the 17th. MLB was throttling deals, even threatening teams not to announce them early for fear it would drive up other bonuses.
Do you miss Tim Horton's?
No, but while we're on the subject of coffee, I tried Alterra yesterday in Milwaukee and was very impressed. I had been listening to mlb.com's Matthew Leach drone on and on and on about the place, and I figured if I didn't try it he'd never shut up.
If you ran the Royals' starting today, what's your first order of business? Sign Yuni to an extension? Every other moron in this organization gets one
Someone I know well with KC told me after I wrote that the Royals shouldn't give Dayton an extension that we're not friends any more. The entire organization has gone mad - you are simply not allowed to criticize them.
you were in Milwaukee yesterday did you take in that great start by wainwright?
And the great one by Carpenter. Seven of my last eight big league games have been under 3 hours, the exception being the Hoffman BS on Tuesday, when Ken Macha was hellbent on finding the one guy in his bullpen who would absolutely, no-doubt lose that lead.
Hey Keith, about Franklin Morales, is he a starter next year? He has stuff just as filthy as Jimenez from the left side. He is too good to be an 8th or 9th inning guy.
Agreed, would absolutely try him back in the rotation next year.
I may be missing some finer point of roster rules, but why not call up Ike Davis for a little? It seems logical to try to call up a guy on a hot streak, especially if you've been playing meaningless games for a long time already.
They'd have to clear a 40-man spot, carry Davis on the 40-man all winter (and next winter, if he hasn't earned the spot), pay him at least $50K next year even if he doesn't see a day in the majors, plus pay him $30-40K this year ... plus he's scheduled to go to the AFL, so they might want to give him the few weeks off. The only argument I could see for recalling him would be if they thought he might be their 1b next spring.
Your thoughts on Alcides Escobar based on the series, you think he is ready to take over at SS and allow the Brewers to trade Hardy for some pitching?
I have a post about 80% done on Escobar, Gamel, and Rasmus that is late because of my doctor's appointment. I should be filing later today.
Is MLB's antitrust exemption obsolete?
Klaw so you saw the Carp game do you think Holliday had a shot at the one bloop hit to keep the NO-NO? It looked to me that he laid up a bit?
No, I thought that was a hit off the bat.
Keith, do September call-ups count as service time?
Yes, they get a day for every day in the majors.
Hits for the Yanks, greatest franchise in sports, mean nothing. They are not even worth talking about, but make sure you give the OBP of the top ten players in the Cape Cod league. And please, do not forget to let us know which High School pitcher can really make bats miss. Tell me about the virtues of Clay Bucholz and how 'Doc' is unhittable, that is what you NEED to talk about. Morons like you wrote Jeter off, Billy Beane never won a title, neither did any of the other nerds you worship. Jeter has 4 rings, remember that slim.
I don't even think this is a $5 fine. It's dumb enough to be real.
Hi, KLaw. Do you think Bumgarner's reduced velo and K/9 is a bit of dead arm, an unreported injury, Giant mishandling of his mechanics again, or a bit of his having peaked in HS, like the girl who sat beside me in Chemistry?
I don't know that they've changed or mishandled his mechanics, but I would definitely be concerned about the velo loss. If he's 88-90 with an average slider from that slot, he's more likely to end up in the pen than the rotation.
What are your thoughts on Brandon Crawford? It seems like the struggles he had before the draft have come back after he was moved up from A ball.
Same as always - just a glove.
Call me ignorant, but I guess I don't really understand the concept of whether a team is a large or small market team. I thought that the size of a team's city was the main determining factor, but there have been many times that I have heard Houston or Arizona being referred to as a small market team despite both being in one of the 10 largest cities in America. Do you think you could try to help clear up the confusion?
It's really not about market size, but revenue base. There are high-revenue and low-revenue teams, and that's only partly tied to winning. If the Pirates reel off 3 straight 100-win seasons, they still won't be a high-revenue team. Market size affects a team's revenue ceiling.
Andrew (New York, NY)-Please stop giving Yankees fans' bad names. Just please.
He can't help himself. I refused to worship at the altar of Derek Jeter. All infidels must be destroyed.
Keith, I'm a HUGE Red Sox fan and an even bigger Yankee hater. But I really can't understand how most experts devalue Jeter's contributions to his team and the game. Sarcasm aside, the guys gonna end up with 3000 hits and rightfully, in the Hall of Fame.
I haven't argued with either point; I think he'll probably end up in the mid-3000s in hits and finish in the top 10. I just don't understand why we're making a big deal about him taking over the top spot in hits for the Yankees. Would we do this for the Pirates? Cleveland?
Not to belabor the point, but if a kid in single A is never going to be a regular in the majors so service time doesn't matter, but he's a better fielder than your shortstop, why not bring him up if you have a roster spot? Makes more sense than the dumb logic to expand to 40 guys does.
Well, then you have to decide in October whether to carry him all winter or outright him off the roster, at which point he might be claimed (since he's got 3 options left).
When was the last time Bumgarner touched mid 90's? Are these reports just being passed down from year to year and everyone assumes he's still maintaining a plus fastball based on his A and AA results?
I had several 93s from him in his first outing this spring, when, in theory, he should have just been warming up.
Can Brendan Ryan be a full time starter at SS next year? That is one slick glove he's got.
Not much bat, though - he's a fringy starter, although given what some teams run out there (in the same state) they could do a lot worse.
"Would we do this for the Pirates? Cleveland?"Thats just it KLAW, we are NOT talking about the Pirates or Cleveland. We are talking about the NY Yankees. The greatest franchise in the history of sports. Home of some of the greatest all time players.
They're the greatest franchise in the history of sports? Who said that? Oh, wait, the YANKEES said that. I guess we should believe them.
Okay, no $5, seriously what would you do to fix the Royals. They're lost but we're being told to "trust The Process."
Shouldn't the Process eventually bring Some Results? I don't see any signs of progress there, particularly on the pitching side.
Why do we alway hear how good a player is in a TEAM sport by how many championships rings they have? Is that truly a good valuation of a player, did he win it by himself?
Pretty sure Clay Bellinger has a couple of rings. I'm surprised his retirement didn't merit a special commemorative edition of the New York Times.
How mnay times have writers either compared a player to Derek Jeter or said he was going to better than Derek Jeter?
I can't remember one.
Casey Kelly with the bat: 224/305/313... is it safe to say this should be the end of the SS experiment and 2010 should start in AA Portland as a SP?
I think it's up to him, but yes, I believe his future is on the mound.
I'm batting lead off again! Yippee!
Your new nickname is "Tank." Because when you lead Corey Patterson off, you're trying to...
Keith....looking over your last chat, you said that you liked McCutchen from the Pirates for ROY in the NL....are you serious?? It should be a runaway victory for the Marlins Chris Coughlan!! Leads all rooks in BA and On Base %...while playing a position he had never played before. This kid is the real deal!! Your thoughts....care to reconsider??
That's awesome. McCutchen has the higher slugging percentage, so you just ignore it. Oh, and he plays a tougher position and plays it very well, so you ignore that too. No, I wouldn't care to reconsider, but you should.
Carlos Santana now has league MVP's in consective seasons. Any chance Cleveland actually goes with this guy in April? Or do you think they'll convince themselves that the Schoppach/Marson platoon is more effective...
I'm shocked they didn't bring him up - he's on the 40-man already, and he should be their starter next spring, but the lack of a promotion now doesn't bode well for his chances of getting the job in April.
I'm a Mets fan, but when you pass names like Ruth and Gehrig on just about any list...I think a little extra hype is ok.
Yeah, I remember when Al Oliver passed Gehrig on the hits list, we got a day off school.
Brenden Ryan is "fringy?" The guy is hitting .285-.300 and does not make errors.
He's hitting .285-.300? Who the hell is he, Heisenberg? (Or an electron, I suppose.) He's hitting .288/.333/.392, which is a good example of an empty batting average.
Bonus points to anyone capable of naming any other team's all time hits leader
Just off the top of my head, I'll go with Gwynn (Padres), Cobb (Tigers), Aaron (Braves), Musial (Cardinals), Mays (Giants), and Brett (Royals). Is it Young for the Brewers? How many bonus points do I get? Oh, and you know the funny part? Those franchises have each had a 3000-hit player. Which the Yankees haven't.
Tony Fernandez leads for the Jays. I am throwing a party in 2021 when Aaron Hill passes him.
Wouldn't have guessed that one.
you're telling me i'm not getting a day off when david wright passes ed kranepool on the mets all-time list?
That is not an argument to bring up in favor of the Mets' franchise.
What's your take on the AL MVP? Do you believe the best player, Joe Mauer should get it; or the best player on the best team, Jeter?
Best player. Which is probably Mauer, but could be Jeter, and is definitely NOT Teixeira.
KLaw, a couple weeks ago you mentioned a balanced schedule wasn't economically feasable for baseball. When you have teams from different divisions competing for the same wild card spot, how about we look at what is fair for competition and the integrity of the game?
MLB is a business. Their first motivation is going to be profit. Fairness is not a major concern.
Craig Biggio = all-time leader in hits for Astros.
That's ok KLAW, there's not going to be anyone close to breaking Cap Anson's record...don't see anyone doing it on that team!
Red Sox - Yaz, White Sox Baines, Orioles- Ripken, Tampa - Crawford? , Tigers- Cobb
So, um, it's not really that hard.
Keith, I'm at Alterra right now in Milwaukee up from Chicago. There is a chance I have to move up here because my job (architecture) in Chicago left me a long time ago and my girlfriend being from the Good Land thinks we should move here. I'm from the Cape and want to move back to Boston. Given my job, shouldn't I put my foot down and demand to move back east or should I let the simpler life of cheese curds and cheap beer, plus lower cost of living influence me to move up here?
Lower cost of living sounds very appealing. And Milwaukee is a pretty good place to live if you don't mind 300 inches of snow every winter.
VK in DC - funniest comment of the chat, but I can't post that, anywhere.
Keith- Does Thole's lack of power and avg defense make him a career backup?
If he can get on base at a .370 clip in the majors and play average defense, he's an everyday player. Have you seen what passes for an everyday catcher right now? Kendall? Bengie?
hey - its only 270 inches of snow. And wasn't it Molitor, not Yount?
Molitor had 2281 in Milwaukee (thank you, baseball-reference). Young was over 3000.
Hasn't Matt been spoiled by living in Chicago? 10 times the city Boston is. Nice work though finding a Midwestern girl...those NE girls....yikes.
I think I'd take Boston over Chicago (but New York over either). Although Phoenix is beckoning ... I understand you can buy a 2000 square foot house out there for only $19.95!
You meant 'Yount' right?
Yes - did I type something else?
Mark Teixeira is 995th on the all time hits list. When is the party?
When he reaches 994th.
Did you make it to Snooze for breakfast in Denver before heading to Coors Field? What did you think?
Very good. Even with the wacko sitting next to me.
Reimold for AL ROY?
I'd probably go Romero, Niemann, Andrus.
Bigger disappointement: Hosmer or Moustakas?
The Hosmer promotion was yet another inexplicable KCR move of the last 12 months, so I'm not holding his stats against him. Of course, I don't think the Hosmer promotion is even top five among inexplicable KCR moves with the Jacobs trade, the Yuni trade, playing Aviles when he was hurt, not overnighting Hosmer's prescription glasses, and the Gutierrez trade.
Keith, I read in Neyer's chat that you have a vote in the NL Cy Young award this year. Is this the only vote you have? How does the BBWAA determine this?
That's the only vote I have this year. The secretary of the BBWAA, Jack O'Connell, determines who gets the awards - I don't know his process.
There's no way people are going to vote for Romero which is a shame considering how good he's been after a lackluster minor league career. Any chance I don't have to hear "they should have taken Tulo" for a while at least?
Well, maybe when they find a long-term answer at shortstop.
Hey Keith what do you think about the insane joba rules as of late having him go out there pitching 3 innings each? If 90% of this game is mental then you have to think the yankees are really screwing up this guy's game.
I thought when I saw him in late August that he didn't look like he knew whether he was coming or going on the mound.
How good was the gutierrez for the rangers?
I'm still trying to find out what exactly Gutierrez did to make KC sour on him; before the season, they were gushing over him as the sleeper guy in their system. Then they trade him for a defensive catcher and a 5th outfielder. I'd like to at least hear the explanation.
Pedro Alvarez is basically a clone of Bobby Bonilla, right? (And this is not a bad thing)
It's not a similar skill set to me - more swing and miss and more raw power with Alvarez, plus the platoon split issue.
Organization farthest away from a winning season: Nationals, Orioles, Pirates, Royals?
Royals or Nationals.
Is it safe to assume Heyward isn't getting called up this year? Why not give the kid a taste?
As far as I know he's not coming up, for the reasons mentioned above about unnecessary callups.
Any chance I sneak into the Cy Young consideration?
I think you'll get some votes for your W/L record, but he's not top 5 in the league right now. Greinke should run away with it, with Felix second.
This is the first year in a long time where I am very excited about the Yankees doing well in the playoffs. The other years going in I always had some serious doubt about their chances. I think a St Louis vs NY World Series is coming. What do you think?
Best overall team in the majors. But they enter the playoffs with one really reliable starter. Burnett in the postseason? How confident are you?
Future Rays ace? Wade Davis or Jeremy Hellickson
Davis over Hellickson.
Klaw, I posed a question last week to Crasnick regarding Ken Macha and the likelihood of him keeping his gig in with the Brewers. He dismissed the idea outright saying it was the pitching dooming the team. Well, of course the loss of Sheets and Sabathia hurts, but doesn't the manager also have to take some heat for this as well? Also, I'm not real sure Ken Macha even has a pulse.
Pulling Mat Gamel from a PH appearance down four runs because TLR went to the pen for a lefty was absurd. Gamel : Brewers :: Posey : Giants.
How good do you think Clayton Kershaw is going to become? Are we talking a decent starter or a guy who is going to be a future Cy Young winner?
Cy Young potential.
Sorry Scott, Zach, and Felix...I think I got this Cy Young thing just about wrapped up. After all, I DO pitch for the greatest franchise in the history of sports franchises.
I'm sorry, I can't believe I didn't think of that.
Thanks for the questions - I'll be back next week.