Rich,Sanchez seems to be doing and saying a lot of things right lately. He's been working hard to recover from surgery, showing an eagerness to get back into practices and demonstrating a real dedication in the film room to master his craft. He's the intangibles king, but do you think he can ever actually reach the level of 'elite QB' in the league? Does he have enough physical upside to continue to grow or are JET fans doomed forever to love him for his heart rather than his arm?
Hi, everybody. Thanks for joining me for another chat session. It's almost mid-June and there plenty of Jets topics to discuss. Gotta love it! Let's get to Phil. You're right, Phil, Sanchez has a lot of positive intangibles, but you describe him almost like another Chad Pennington. Let's be clear: Sanchez' arm is stronger than Pennington. I don't think Sanchez gets enough credit for his arm; he can make all the throws, although I think he needs to improve his accuracy. Bottom line: he has the physical tools. But to me, the best way to be branded as an elite QB is to win a championship. Can Sanchez accomplish that? Hard to say at this point, but if he continues to improve as a decision maker ... hmmm.
Rich,O'Connell seems to have moved ahead of Ainge right now. I can see him beating Ainge out if he has a good summer. Think the Pats gave up on him too early?
Ira from Staten Island asks another QB question, this one on the O'Connell-Ainge battle. I think it's premature to say O'Connell has moved ahead of Ainge. yes, OC has been working ahead of Ainge on the days we've been at practice, but they're still rotating, according to Ryan. When trying to handicap a positional battle, always follow the money -- i.e. draft-choice pedigree. Ainge was a 5th rounder, I believe. The Jets gave up a 7th for O'Connell. In terms of ability, OC has a better skill set; he throws a better ball than Ainge. But Ainge has better intangibles. Should be an interesting battle. I'd bet on Ainge.
How much carries do you see each RB getting per game, assuming McKnight gets minimal (if any) touches at the beginning of the season?
Hey, Kyle. Let's talk RBs. Here's my projected breakdown: Greene 18 carries, Tomlinson 10, 6-8 misc. I didn't include McKnight in the equation because I'm not sure if he'll be an immediate contributor. They'd love him to be the third-down back, but can he recognize a blitz? Can he block? I'd be willing to bet he hasn't done much blocking in his life. That will be the key. If he proves trustworthy in that regard, I can see him working his way into the rotation.
Hey Rich....anything new with signing another kicker? I just don't see Fauk performing under pressure.
Westie: Right now, the Jets are sticking with Nick Folk, who has been inconsistent (and that's being kind). They won't cut him before the preseason because there would be too much egg on the face, but they need to think about bringing in a veteran at some point. Right now, you can't trust Folk based on last season's Dallas debacle.
Receivers on the Jets to start 2011 season, between Edwards or Holmes?
Rafael: 2011? I'm having enough trouble predicting 2010. My guess is that Edwards will be gone; too expensive. Holmes? Can't see the Jets making a long-term commitment to him. In other words, I wouldn't be shocked if both are gone. The Jets have money/contract issues, as you may have heard. Wink, wink.
Do you really think the Jets will take advantage of un capped year and sign all the " core four " and set us up for years?
Still no Darrelle Revis questions? Shocking! Frank is from Pittsburgh, Revis' hometown, so he must have some interest, right? As I wrote on Saturday, I'm told the Jets have budgeted enough money to re-sign the Core Four to long-term deals. I know there's some skepticism about that, but I know the Jets want to get it done. Will they get all four signed this year? No way. I can see Revis and Mangold getting done this year, Harris and Ferguson next year. The financial climate in the NFL is hard to predict. A team like the Jets, with stadium debt and PSLs to seel, probably has more money issues than most teams. It'll be interesting to see how it plays out, but the Jets do want to get these guys locked up. You're talking about a cornerback (Revis) and a left tackle (Brick), two of the most important building-block positions. They're not going anywhere.
Hey Rich, always look forward to your chats. Are any of the undrafted free agents going to be able to help this year? What about Warren from Michigan?
Hey, Matt, thanks. Good question. I think Warren is doing okay, but two guys that have impressed the coaches are OLB Kevin Basped and TE Jeff Cumberland. Both players have exceptional size and speed for their positions. In other words, they pass the "look" test. Whether they can produce when the lights come on is another story, but the early signs are encouraging. Basped, a former college DE, will need time because he's learning a new position. Ditto, Cumberland, who was a WR at Illinois.
Any news on how Big Jenks is looking post-injury? And who's leading in the weightloss battle b/w him, Woody, and Rex??
We'll know a lot more about Jenkins, Ken, at next week's minicamp, when he's expected to participate in team drills. I don't think it'll be a heavy workload for him, but it'll be an important step in his rehab. As for The Contest (I'm laughing because I'm thinking of the old Seinfeld episode) ... my sources tell me that it's a two-man race -- Woody vs. Jenkins. Peeps tell me that Rex is a distant third. Don't have exact weights at this point, but I know there's a lot riding on the outcome. Last I heard, each contestant was putting up 20Gs. The money, of course, goes to charity.
Hey Rich, I think this Revis thing needs to get done quickly so we can focus on football. We need to keep this guy and build around him. He is the cornerstone to all they do defensiviely and even with lesses talent on the D-line, they can still attack. Do you think the Jets will get this done soon?
Finally a Revis questions. Kudos to Mike. I agree with everything you say; he's the key to the defense. The Jets can't run their blitz packages effectively unless they have a lockdown corner shutting down half the field. Will it get done soon? No, it won't. This could drag into training camp. I wouldn't panic right now, though. There's still almost two months to camp. There's a lot of posturing going on, so I wouldn't get too worked up over some of the rhetoric, but I must admit, the Jets' first offer (which included zero guarantees) is a bit of a red flag. How can they be serious with that? Like I said, don't push the panic button just yet, but if that's where the Jets are coming from ... fasten your seat belts.
Hey Rich, are you a fan of the Giatns-Jets shared stadium? I think it would be a good idea for the 49ers and Raiders to do the same here in Northern California.
No, Craig, I'm not a fan of the shared stadium. Of course, I'm not the one paying for it, so I don't care about the finances. But from a perception standpoint, I think it hurts the Jets' ability to break away from the Giants and establish their own "home." I would've loved to have seen a stadium in Queens. As for your local teams, ha! I can't see Al Davis sharing with anybody, least of all the Niners.
How do you see the left gaurd spot playing out? I was a big fan of the Slausen pick last year but Ducasse seems like he could be a beast.
You're right, Mike, Ducasse has a lot of potential. He's still working with the starters (last I heard)and it's clear that it's his job to lose. Like I said earlier, follow the money. Ducasse is a second-round pick and they want him to succeed. I think he's having some trouble adjusting to the zone-blocking scheme, but from what the other players tell me, Vlad is a quick study. Slauson is a Bill Calahan favorite (from Nebraska), so let's not anoint Ducasse just yet. But he's big, strong and athletic. If he can semi-master the Xs and Os, he'll be your opening-day starter.
Whats up Rich, how well can we expect Cromartie and rookie CB Kyle Wilson to play this upcoming season? Do you see Antonio Cromartie returning to form since he will be getting plenty balls thrown his way due to Revis going into his 4th season? Also what are the chacnes we resign him? Thanks
I expect Cromartie to play well, Louie, but don't assume he'll be getting everything thrown his way because Revis is on the other side. Remember, Revis routinely covers the No. 1 receiver, and teams like to force passes to their No. 1 WR. I don't have the exact stat at my fingertips, but I think Revis was among the league leaders last season in times thrown at -- which made his performance all the more impressive. Look, Cromartie can play man coverage when he's motivated. Can't tackle worth a lick, but he can cover. Wilson will have some growing pains in the slot; it's not an easy position, especially for a rookie. The good thing is, he won't have to cover Jerricho Cotchery in games. Cotchery has been schooling him in practice.
I've read great things on Vernon.. Do you think he will be able to finally make plays switching to DE?
Justin, no I don't think Gholston will turn into an instant playmaker. First of all, the DE in Ryan's scheme isn't a big-play position. If I remember correctly, Ryan has had only one DE over the last five or six years (Trevor Pryce in Balt) reach double-digit sacks. The scheme isn't designed for DEs to get big sack numbers. Second of all, I think Gholston has serious limitations. He's undersized for a DE and doesn't come off blocks very well...not a good combination when you're in the trenches.
Rich, for all the offseason "flashy" moves the Jets have made, do you see this team strictly as a one year shot to win it all, while win or fail, they will be rebuilding to a point in 2011 and beyond?
Sometimes I think the Jets operate on a year-to-year basis. They're approaching this year as if they know there's going to be a lockout in 2011, and they want to do everything they can win a Super Bowl before the labor battle really erupts. I mean, they do have some foundation players -- Mangold, Ferguson, Greene, Sanchez, Harris, Pace, Scott -- but not enough of them to say, "This team is built for the long haul." The small draft classes over the last two years could come back to bite them in the future. But, in their defense, they appear to have the QB. If you've got a QB, you've always got a puncher's chance.
Is Revis going to show up for practice next week?
Yes, Dave, Revis will be there next week. I'd be stunned if he boycotts a mandatory minicamp.
Hey Rich,With all this talk about about Revis and his contract how do you think it is affecting Mangold and Harris? Both of these guys need to be resigned. And of course it will be for a lot less then Revis but I can see the players getting upset at management for not taking care of their home grown talent.
You raise a great point, Drew, and it's something I've been writing about for weeks. (How's that for a pat on the back?) I talk to the players and I know the tenor of the locker room. They've seen a lot of "one-year" players come in (Tomlinson, Cromartie, Holmes, et al) and there's a sense in the locker room of, "What about taking care of the core guys?" Make no mistake, Mangold is ticked about the lack of progress with his contract. Here's an All-Pro center going into the final year of his contract, and there have no virtually no negotiations (at least that's what he told us last week). I'm not saying Revis doesn't deserve the money, but at least he has three years left on his deal. Mangold and Harris are entering their final years. And, you're right, they need to be re-signed. Woody Johnson needs to step up and show his fan base that he's committed to long-term success.
I've been a Jets fan fan for 30 hard, rough years. You don't know squat about the Jets Mr. Cimini
Sorry I failed you, John. Maybe you need a mental break from the Jets. Try the Bucs; you'll never have to deal with expectations.
Rich is right Revis was tied for 3rd for CB's thrown out with Foxworth. Thst shocking but Rich i beleive Rex is going to move Revis all over the filed this year because AC is also a lockdown CB and can cover a #1 with no problem.
thanks for the 411, Ira.
Rich - glad to finally get you on ESPN as opposed to your other blogs. Apparently your DN site was infested with viruses so had to stop going there :(. Nonetheless, how do you think the Dolphins/Jets series will play out this year. It's interesting to see their owner taking a very 'Jets-esque' approach to predicting super bowls. Also fun to see them crying in their soup over 2014 SB bid. Not to mention the Revis vs Brandon Marshall matchup which will definitely be over-hyped. Curious to hear your take on the renewed NY/Miami plot lines and how they play out?
Mike -- I don't think those were viruses; I think they were just some of the people who commented. You're right, the Jets/Dolphis series will be great. The Dolphins have won three straight, and I know that makes the Jets sick to their stomach. Don't forget about the Jason Taylor factor; those two games will be his Super Bowls. Revis-Marshall will be intense. I'm sure Marshall would rather see Cromartie because, if I'm not mistaken, he absolutely lit up Cromartie in a Chargers-Broncs game.
The Jets seem to feel that with the addition of Jason Taylor, they have upgraded their pass rush to an extent that allowed them to pass up linebackers/d-ends in the draft. Based on what you've seen so far, do you agree with this sentiment, or are we in trouble?
In trouble? No, I wouldn't go that far. Rex Ryan, for one, believes the pass rush last season was better than advertised. Taylor will help, but once again, I think they're going to he reliant on blitz packages to pressure the QB. They just don't have a pure speed rusher. The key is fourth-quarter pass rush; that's where the Jets got burned a couple of times last season.
2010 prediction 12-4
Bleed -- Is that all?
Hey Rich, what UFA's do you think the Jets will sign when July 24th comes?
I'm going to wrap it up here with Matt's question. I think QB Mark Brunell will sign on the 24th -- sooner if the Jets happen to lose a UFA (not likely). They could sign Adalius Thomas before the 24th because he's not a UFA, but I can't see that happening until camp starts. It's not like he needs to learn the defense. I think they want to get a look at Jason Taylor in pads (him coming off shoulder surgery) before they reach for Thomas. Laveranues Coles could be a possibility, but I haven't heard his name in a while. Anyway, that's it for me. Thanks again for all the insightful questions. Have a great day.