What's up everyone? It's Day 1D (FINALLY) here at the 2010 WSOP and I'll be with you for a little to take all your questions. Let's get started...
Is today going to be a 3800 person sellout? Is 8000 going to be reached?
No. We're not going to reach 3,800. Would be awesome to get there, but it's not going to sell out completely.
With Tom Dwan already gone from the ME. I can't imagine how much he has to pay for the prop bets. Any idea ??
Knowing Dwan he'll probably go double-or-nothing...he's always looking for action so he'll probably make up for it shortly.
Whether people like Hellmuth or not, I think they can agree it was be strange to see him eliminated on Day 1. This got me to thinking whether anyone has kept track of the longest streaks (active and/or ever) for players making it out of Day 1 of the WSOP ME. Anyone who can do it more than 5 years in a row can probably feel pretty good about themselves. What would be your guesses of the longest streaks? Do you think anyone has done it every year since the Moneymaker win in 2003, which is when the fields started to get huge?
That's a great question. I don't believe that data was tracked until a couple years ago, but it would be interesting. Getting out of Day 1 is much easier now than it was in 04/05, so I'm going to give a guess that someone has made it through day 1 the last three four years. Hellmuth's elimination was surprising, but that's the nature of the game.
where is wasica?eastgate? danneman?
Wasicka played yesterday and I believe made it through. Eastgate retired and Dannenmann always shows up somewhere. I'm assuming he's playing today.
If you're John Juanda or David Benyamine, do you feel kinda screwed to get sat next to each other in a field which might go up to 3k?
It's a tough draw. That said I'm looking up from my seat and I see Brian Townsend and Vanessa Rousso at the same table. See, you have to run good from the very start.
Will Phil Gordon take down the main event?
I don't even think he'd say yes.
Great Poker Edges from the Main so far. Can't wait to see what you got for this one. Have to take a small issue with you regarding Greg Raymer. Can't figure out why you'd say he hasn't done anything since his ME win, since the next year he almost got it done again. And he ONLY picked up $700k last year in the $40k event. Pretty sure he can fill in a blank check with PokerStars since they've grew to be the biggest poker site on the planet since his back-to-back deep runs in the main.
Great point and at 2 a.m. things like his 05 run and FT in the 40K last year slip my mind. That said, he hasn't notched a major victory since the title. You're right though, I shouldn't hate on the fossilman.
And thanks for listening.
From one of Nolan Dalla's tournament report last year, there's 3 players that cashed 4 straight years (one of them back in the early 90's).
Always rely on Kevmath to know the obscure facts.
Great job by the way with the tweets - allows those of us with "regular" jobs to keep up LOL
Thanks...for those that aren't following me yet (and why is that?) I'm @ESPN_Poker.
ohhhh Phil!!!!! Nooooooooooo. Hopefully all his run good, goes to your ESPN Poker qualifier.
He gone. So much for his good feeling about the table draw. Still had a profitable world series and hey, he won a WSOP event.
What would you recommend for someone who knows how to play hold em but needs to KNOW the finer things like pot odds and when to play certain hands more than other times? Im in chgo....any good coaches or academies you could recommend?
There's plenty of ways to improve your game. First off, if you're looking for live assistance, the WSOP Academy has stops all around the States, and I believe Chicago is a stop for them. Online training sites are always a great option too. The videos you can watch can teach you everything from basic strategy to advanced play and there's something for everyone. Good luck!
Since you've been asked about rumors in the past, what about the one making the rounds alleging that Jamie Gold, after making the money in the $2500 event (and thus apparently winning a large prop bet be had made) proceeded to basically lose all his chips on the very next hand on purpose? I guess it's not technically chip dumping, but still......geez.
Still a rumor...haven't heard confirmation, but have heard the rumor.
Should we chip in and Phil a little plastic pinky ring for winning his WSOP event?
His kids gave him a bracelet for his 40th bday. He was more than happy with that.
Wait! Phil Ivey is done already?? What happened?
No, Phil Gordon. Phil Ivey just won a pot and we heard the Humphries do the "Ivey! Ivey! Ivey!" Can't wait to see the button.
any celebs trying to make a name this year? Usual suspects, Tilly, Woods, Affleck?
Tilly busted on 1A. Today's field includes Jason Alexander, Emmitt Smith, Jennifer Elise Cox, Hank Azaria and Trishelle.
Whoa, hold on, Phil Gordon is out already?! Have any idea what the bustout hand was?
Nope. Was sitting in media row...couldn't see his table.
Eventhough I have Lebron fever here, is Doyle still around
Yes. He's playing at the secondary feature table.
What would you say are fair odds for the following two wagers - (1) one of the November Nine will have previously made a WSOP or WPT final table, (2) three or more of the November Nine will have previously cashed at any WSOP event? I have the first one at about 4 to 1, and the second at 1.5 to 1. Thoughts?
Wow...with about 7,500 players...I'm going to go with 1)4:1 seems about right if we look at the trends in the past. 2)Even money if not better. That's like a gimme.
Have you had a chance to talk to Darvin? What has he been up to in the past year?
Just living his life. He's still Darvin, but I didn't see him at the Texas Hold 'em pit tables yet. Once he's there, I'll know nothing has changed at all.
Do you think all the additional entrance shenanigans detracts from people like Phil Hellmuth's concentrating on playing cards?
It's his choice. In the long run it's good for Hellmuth's brand. In the short run, it definitely can steal his focus away from his current task at hand.
Do you ever think we will see 3 previous bracelet winners at the Main Event final table in the same year ever again?
Absolutely. It won't happen often, but it looks like every few years we have that anomaly and that player who runs like Ivey in order to win a few bracelets. I think we'll have another one by 2014.
If I make the final table again I'm going to buy a new leaf blower.
Haven't been able to follow ME last 2 days. Tell me in a few sentences the biggest news. Will read your blog and pauly's blog tomorrow.
Johnny Chan is the man while Phil Hellmuth, Raymer, Seed bust. Cada makes it through to day 2 along with a pair of chip-hungry Mizrachis.
what you think the odds are a person who made final table from 03-09 can make it this year?
Like....50:1. That would be the ultimate performance...to make two final tables while poker continues to have the biggest main event fields in history. That player would be the favorite to win though if he has anything near an average stack. Talk about having the experience.
Will 2011 be the "Year of Andrew Feldman?"
That could be awesome. I'll play in something next year so sure, it's my year.
I should have worded my question better. I meant do you think there will ever be 3 different people at the Main Event final table who already have won a bracelet? Last year we came close to having two with Ivey and Jordan Smith finishing 10th.
Ohhh, sorry, misunderstood. Give it a couple more years for us to see that...we need more bracelet winners.
Since this seems to be turning into the "what are the odds", I'll jump on the bandwagon. What are the odds that (1) the ME winner did not sell of a piece of him/herself or was not staked, and (2) is not associated with PokerStars either now or by the time the final table starts? I'm going with 2.5 to 1 and 3 to 1.
I'll start with the PokerStars part. There's a 1/3 chance that a player will have a PS logo when the final table begins in November, so that's a pretty safe one. The odds that the winner isn't pieced out is probably more like 4:1. Keep in mind all the satellite winners usually don't sell pieces of themselves...well, at least the amateurs that fall into that category.
Looking at who survived days A and B, who do you predict will be at the two feature tables for day 2 A ?
I think Grinder will be one of them just because of all the air time he's going to get for his win in the 50K. At the secondary, maybe Johnny Chan. Not sure how we could just leave him in the field with his chip stack.
would it surprise you if hachem made a run? first in 05..200th of 8700 in 06.. 100th last yr
Not at all, but he isn't off to a great start today. On a random note, a former ESPN employee is sitting at his table with him.
I must admit, I was shocked that Billy Koop did so well yesterday. Has he been asked about his blow up last year? What's his attitude been about it?
Oh you're going to hear all about that on ESPN's main event coverage on TV. They spoke to him about it and he reflected on his major mistake.
Will first place pay 10 million this year with the larger field?
Nope. I don't think we'll get to a field that big, but at least $9 million should be on the minds of all those who played and are still in contention.
Juanda has had a great year, can he beat of Kassala for POY
He needs a third place finish or better in order to overtake Kassela.
Where can I get one of those Phil Ivey buttons that the Humpries have?
Limited Edition. They should sell them though.
Will the Main Event ever get so big, they'll need to play 10-handed?
They started play each day 10-handed and then as players were eliminated, they dropped down to nine-handed action. Depending on the number of Day 2 participants, I think they may need to go back to 10-handed when everyone returns.
Am I wrong to see parallels between Kassela and Tom Schneider from a few years ago - older players (well, older than most poker players) coming into their own and winning POY?
Not at all. Both put in their time. Both made significant scores in non-hold 'em events and both have the respect of the industry. Couldn't agree with your assessment more.
Surprised by targa (Dave Braun) raising big before the flop. Should play at your own site now and then. It's a trademarked move.
It might be trademarked there, but this is the main event. You do not need to raise 5-7X in order to take a pot down preflop. All that does is put too many of your chips at risk and if someone reraises you, you're now stuck with more in the center than should be there.
Which would help poker ratings, an amateur winning the ME or a pro?
Pro. But not just any pro, a well-known pro.
How many people are playing today?
The final number has still not been announced, but we're well over the 2K mark discussed last night.
Yes, but does Kassela's have a wife as "energetic" as me to cheer him on?
No. Or the shriek.
No Gus Hansen in this year's ME? Wouldn't Full Tilt pretty much require all Team members to play?
I was told there was some pretty serious circumstances that caused him to go tend to things back home. I didn't hear anything more than that.
The day 2a table draws were 9-handed, fwiw. Don't know if they can do the same for Saturday's day 2b.
Thanks official poker fact checker.
Couple more questions...gotta get to a blog.
are the numbers i just saw correct? about 700 eliminations in the 1st hour today? do people realize they have 120 min levels and 300 bb to start?
No chance this is correct.
Andrew, any Phil Hellmuth blow-ups yesterday?
Not one. He shook hands, stood up and walked out. The "New Phil" made it all the way through the WSOP and he deserves some credit for that.
Hey look... A Mike DeMichele sighting! Haven't seen much of him since his infamous runner-up finish to Scotty Nguyen in the $50k HORSE.Patrik Antonius made an appearance at the WSOP too, both doing well after their day 1.
Yeah, I wonder how he'll change the pronunciation of his name again this year.
1) Kevmath will always get the facts right...always. 2) Kassela probably has the POY race wrapped up, seeing as most of these guys that win Player of the Year are mixed game specialists, is there really any chance a solely hold'em player could lock it up anymore?
1) I know. He's the man. 2) Given the field sizes, it's going to be basically impossible.
Thanks for all the questions today. Speak to everyone on Day 2A! Have a great Thursday!