Thanks for joining me. Let's get going a few minutes early ...
Adam- best guess on the September 1st callups? And will they actually play or will it be like last year with the Cory Sullivan's of the world playing over Nick Evans?
With Buffalo in a race and potentially in the postseason, I can actually see some call-ups waiting. Jenrry Mejia would seem a definite. Shawn Green is obvious, too. Beyond that, you would hope Nick Evans. People ask me a lot about Lucas Duda. Don't know about that.
I've heard different rumors saying Santana wants out... What's your take on these and are they true?
I've never heard that articulated by Johan. I'm sure he can't be thrilled with how things have evolved. But he is making $20 million-plus each of the next three seasons, which should make him feel a little better.
Hi Adam,With all the rumors surrounding the Mets about Castillo, Perez, Omar, and Jerry, do you really think the Mets will actually eat any of the three under contract? Secondly, do the Mets really believe Josh Thole is a #1 catcher?
I don't see any way Ollie is back with the Mets in 2011. I'm sure they'll try to find a salary swap, but unless the Mets actually take on a worse contract, I can't imagine that's feasible. Castillo, I doubt, will be here. But the Mets can probably find a bad contract swap for him. As for Thole, I believe he can be an average defender who hits .270-290 with less than 10 homers. Is that a No. 1 catcher?
We need to spark up this offense. Any chance we can contractually force Bonilla to suit up in '11?
He would need earplugs.
what is the latest on daniel murphy.
There was a report he's running down at the complex in Florida. I suppose it's possible he plays winter ball to learn 2B, LF, etc., but I don't know how far along he is in the recovery from knee surgery. I imagine the next you hear from him in a Mets context is spring training.
Adam - great work covering a trying season. John Ricco is rarely mentioned as one of the up and coming best & brightest future GMs - is he as highly thought of outside of the organization as it seems he is within the organization?
I imagine most people in the business are aware of him, aside from his Mets role, as a former Major League Baseball employee who was responsible for explaining/interpreting rules regarding arbitration, waivers, etc.
Do you think R.A. Dickey will win Comeback player of the year?
I really have not given any consideration to other candidates, but I imagine so.
The Mets have 37 games left, 22 home and 15 away. How good do you think they have to do on the road and at home to make the playoffs (Wildcard and division)?
32-5. And that ain't happening.
Have the Mets finally realized that David Wright is not a true franchise player, but rather more of a complimentary piece of the puzzle albeit an excellent one? He can be the 'face' of the franchise (ala Jeter w/ the Yankees), but he does not appear to be the kind of player who makes others in the lineup better, rather he suffers and 'doesn't' seem to 'get his' when he is the last one standing. Your thoughts?
I actually had one person from the organization concede that David is a great, great complementary player but not capable of being the guy who is the one who can shoulder the primary load. That does not diminish his value to the franchise, or the fact that he's an All-Star and one of the game's better players.
Who will be the Mets Manager in 2011?
Purely hypothetical, but to me, Wally Backman is the most obvious choice. That doesn't make it a lock or anything.
Is there any chance that the Wilpon's sell the Mets? I would love to see Mark Cuban the owner.
I believe the Mets will remain in the Wilpon family for decades.
Would Boston be a potential destination for Carlos Beltran - maybe him & other pieces for something like Ellsbury, Papelbon
If the Mets want to kick in $10 million, they can trade Beltran.
Is there any truth to the fact that Steve Phillips said that the wilpons business model is to break even in most years... and the only anticipated profit in the books are years they make the playoffs... if thats true its not a good business model
Steve lived it, so I imagine he would know.
why are people so high on fmart esp on mets blogger has man crush on him.
I think most people's expectations are now realistic regarding Fernando Martinez. He's apparently en route, or in New York, for an MRI on his knee.
who is the Mets 2011 closer
Hey Adam, when all of the money comes off the books after next season, do you see the Mets hovering around an 85-90 million dollar payroll going forward, or will they reinvest into the team and get to a comparable payroll that they have now?
That's way difficult to answer. I would hope if $50 million or more comes off the books after 2011, they would show restraint and spend whatever they spend wisely.
Hi Adam, Love your chats. Can you give an explanation for what exactly happened to these guys in July and August? All I have is that they just flat-out tanked. But I can't really figure out why, other than the possibility of some voodoo hex.
Thanks. Really, it comes down to woeful hitting. I don't think it's that complex, even if that's not a sophisticated answer.
Do u think the Mets will make any moves this offseason to try and change the overall culture of the team? or is it what u see is what u get?
I believe they will try to dump Oliver Perez and Luis Castillo.
I don't understand the disconnect between Jerry Manuel and the Mets front office. This is reason number 1 for letting Manuel go. He is back and forth on every subject. If he doesn't have an answer then he should tell the media that. The second reason is the pathetic way he mismanages the bullpen, which is the main reason of the Mets win loss record in close games. Do you agree?
I would say the biggest issue is that the field staff, front ownership and front office all pull in different directions. You call up F-Mart and Tejada, then send down Tejada. You play Francoeur, even though he won't be here in 2011. There's no cohesion.
What can we expect from Ike next year after an almost-full season under his belt?
About average defense. Maybe .260-.270. 18-20 HRs.
Francoeur always gets points for being a good clubhouse guy and a good quote. Here's my question: If you asked him to evaluate himself and whether he thinks he deserves to be an every day player, what do you think he'd say?
I think Jeff believes he merits everyday playing time.
If mets plan on running the team like small market team shouldn't they price tickets like small market team.
In the third part of the series I just wrote, I noted the Mets have had the highest aggregate payroll in the National League, at least on Opening Day rosters, since 2005. That's not exactly small market.
I saw in today's piece that you write that the Wilpons blame Omar more than Jerry Manuel for the team's struggles. I agree with this, but I also think that Manuel needs to go too because the team needs a new culture to be put in place. Is Manuel resigned to his fate at this point?
I think there's a resignation with everyone that things have run their course, although the hope is that if they finish above .500, they might be spared.
32-5 Would be 95 wins. You think the wildcard winner gets to 95?
The Phillies, Giants and Cardinals all have a 6-7 game lead on the Mets. If one of those teams is going to go 25-12, then the Mets theoretically would need to go 32-5 then, no? What are the odds all three tank?
Adam- do you think the Mets would ever entertain the idea of seeing what Ike Davis brings back (not buying a veteran...talking about another young player) considering the amount of holes they have, but the multiple "corners" guys thriving at the upper minors (Duda and Evans especially)? Would they look at a Matt Garza- Ike Davis swap (TB originally drafted Ike out of HS, and are said to maybe shop Garza this offseason)?
The Mets say they would be open to anything. But reportedly Ike Davis was untouchable in the Cliff Lee talks. And I don't think the Mets can add payroll this winter. If Ike is making close to the minimum, he's a perfect fit to stay.
adam, dont always agree with your reporting since your episode with omar minaya last year-I think you look to be pessimistic with this team since then. That being said- if the mets are able to trade olly and castillo any chance to compete next year ?
I think Ollie and Castillo's departures would merely clear the air. I don't think subtractions would particularly remedy anything, though, unless Tejada is going to start to hit more, etc.
Do you think Ike Davis has a legitimate shot at winning the Rookie of the Year?
I don't think he will even get votes. Buster Posey, Jason Heyward, Mike Stanton, Mike Leake, etc. There's only three slots on a Rookie of the Year ballot, I believe.
Adam, it seems like no organization has had more (for lack of a better word) mid-level prospect breakouts this year than the Mets. But do any of Lucas Duda, Eric Cambell, Sean Ratliff, Zach Lutz et al honestly qualify as more than organizational fodder?
That's a realistic assessment. I had one NL scout tell me the Mets had the deepest farm system in the division, but nothing like the other teams do in terms of elite prospects.
Adam. You just wrote a 3 day 'article' basically summarizing the faults of the Mets. How is it that after all this you are still allowed in the clubhouse and given a press pass to cover this team?
(1) People in the clubhouse actually agree with the assessment. (2) If you offer reasoned arguments that aren't personal, people generally respect you.
do you think tejada is what he is 200 average with good denfense can the mets win with that kind of hitting
I'm sure as Tejada matures he will get his average up a little bit. But plenty of scouts have been telling me for more than a year that Tejada may be no more than a slick-fielding backup middle infielder. That doesn't mean that doesn't have value for a franchise, especially if Reese Havens can stay healthy and eventually emerge as the everyday second baseman.
So if the Mets realize that Wright can't carry the whole offense (not surprising especially when you look at the rest of this offense), does that mean they have any plans to add another bat to the team? Or do we just have to cross our fingers and Bay and Beltran bounce back enough to be additional solid middle of the order bats?
I don't believe the Mets can make material changes this winter because they already have $130 million or so tied up for 2011 before they spend a dime. As a result, I believe they're at the mercy of Bay, Beltran and the young players to determine where they finish in 2011 until the bad contracts come off the books.
I wasn't implying that the Cards/Giants/Phillies will all tank. My point was that I believe 90 wins will be enough for the wildcard (that has been the case most of the last few seasons). That would be 27-10 and not 32-5. 27-10 is asking a lot obviously but isn't an impossiblility like 32-5.
Fair enough. I can't say in rapid-fire questions that I studied it on a spreadsheet or anything. I don't foresee the Mets going 27-10 either.
Adam- Dan Uggla and Jeremy Reed said a few months back that Wally Backman was one of the better managers they've had. Have you heard anything from this current Brooklyn team regarding Backman? Is he everything the media has made him out to be?
I actually visited Brooklyn yesterday and spoke to Darrell Ceciliani, their leading hitter. I can't say we spoke in-depth about Wally, other than him crediting Wally for incorporating bunting into his offense. But I know people who worked with Wally at Double-A Birmingham several years ago and the reviews have been positive.
I believe that building a long-term winning foundation takes care of ticket sales, and that too often that short-term concerns about how things will be perceived or short-term ticket sales influence decisions.
Adam - what teams would you suggest Mets ownership should model themselves after if they are looking to change the culture of the organization?
are there any stipulations in major league baseball... that can take a team away from an owner due to blatent negligence?
I'm sure there are, but I don't think that applies to the Mets.
Better chance of hapenning, the Mets allowing Pelfrey to face the Marlins (even without Cantu and Cody Ross) or Bay returning in September?
In spite of Jason Bay apparently objecting to Jerry's sentiment, I do not believe he will return this season, if that answers your question.
you think he won't be a distraction about K-Rod
K-Rod is under contract.
Being a Mets fan is so frustrating, I've even tried being a Yankee fan and can't do it. What three moves would you recommend the Mets do immediately in order to be more competiive next season
Since we're almost at September, the call to release Ollie and Castillo now is silly. They can wither on the bench once rosters expand, but in no way should they be on the roster by Opening Day 2011.Just accept that you're at the mercy of the young players, Beltran and Bay in 2011, and accept that it might not mean success next season.When the payroll comes off, do not repeat the lavish spending just because you have the money.
Can Bay be moved to RF and go after Carl Crawford then sign a Rich Harden type
I do not believe the Mets will be throwing around big dollars this winter.
Thanks for joining me this week.