Good morning gang! Here we go again for another 60 minutes of fantasy chattage... Second cup of coffee in hand, who is up first?
WR3 ROS: Crabtree, Breaston or Doucet?
I like Breaston to be the most consistent.
Palmer - Ford relationship, is it a real deal?
Hard to say, because the Raiders have so many options. Suffice to say, given the quick turnaround to Thursday, I like Ford better than any other OAK WR this week.
Should I play myself tonight or use Manning this weekend ! Tuff Call
I'm higher on Eli this week.
Has Antonio Brown become a must start every week now?
I don't know about a must start, but in the Nate Washington/Percy Harvin neighborhood.
AJ - Gotta pick 2...Tolbert, CJ2K, Murray....Thanks!
I'd sit Tolbert with Mathews expected to play a hefty chunk.
Giants D? Big range of rankings. Would you rather use CLE in a good matchup?
SF isn't exactly an offensive juggernaut. I've got the G-Men ranked #2 for the weekend.
What say you about using 2 receivers on the same team? Better to spread the risk?
If the matchup is good, why not? I tend not to set up my roster that way, but a White/Jones combo in ATL is looking good, for example.
Best cold remedy?
Only one always works - time. Feel better!
Should I use Robinson or Harvin as WR3 this week (I'm also starting Romo)?
Harvin is better, IMO, but can he stay on the field for 60 minutes? Frustrating to be sure, but I'm still (perhaps stubbornly so) behind Percy.
Bears DST or 49ers..Lions didn't exactly destroy Bears D last time and this time they are in Chicago outdoors, coldddddd ..what ya think?
Weather, schmeather. It's a myth that cold effects the passing game. I'd go with SF, especially with Jacobs as the No. 1 RB.
Hi AJ: I am handing you a 3rd cup of coffee now. Starbucks or DD? Should I start S. Holmes or A. Brown ar WR this week? LLoyd is my other WR. Thanks!
DD, because, well, MMMMMMMMMMMM donuts! I'd go with Lloyd first over both guys, but Santonio over Brown.
Do you think Tate pulls it off again this week against a bad Tampa run D? My other option is Helu!!
I believe Tate will get 10 carries at a minimum, so I'm not opposed to getting him in at flex over Helu.
Better RB2 this week in 0.5PPR (I have Best on bench): Morris or Ringer?
I'd go with Morris here. I expect CJ2K to look more like his old self this week.
McGahee- Sell high?
Can you? Yes I would, but is anyone out there buying?
Fitzgerald's match up vs Philly scares me. Start Laurent Robinson instead?
I'd stick with Fitz. Even if it is Skelton, Larry gets 12 targets and only needs to catch 3 to have impact.
Garcon or Decker as a WR2 this week?
Tough call. I go Decker, but with the understanding that it is likely 2 catches and a score at best.
You said that you expect Mathews to take a good chunk of carries tonight, right? So....you'd start Sproles over Tolbert, too...correct?
No, I'd go Tolbert over Sproles... but what that comes down to is the TD factor, and I still think Mike gets the goal-line work. It's close though. PPR tips it to Darren.
do you think brinkley gets any action tonight?
Not unless there's an injury.
Left early from practice this week. Should we be worried about PT tonight? Players go to waivers today so I have to get a kicker ASAP if so
Definitely should be concerned. He was kicking at less than full strength last week and it's not gotten better...
Coach, can I play in week 15 and 16 or are you going to sit me?
As long as SF keeps winning, you'll play. Home field battle should keep all GB studs in for at least three quarters.
Someone wants McGahee for Roddy White!! do I do it? also I need a survivor pick winner, Dallas or Pitt??
Can you do it twice? Yes. Jones' emergence only helps Roddy. Don't love either Dallas or Pitt this week, but would go Cowboys if arm twisted. And to those who are unfamiliar with nickname and couldn't guess from context, Sea Bass = Janikowski.
Any word on Run DMC's status for tonight? Need to start three of CJ2K, Greene, McGahee, and M. Bush....
DMC did not make the trip, and may not be ready for Week 11. I'd sit Shonn.
Im getting no love in Philly, Who do you start me or Holmes
Holmes. You have to show up for more than one series at a time, DeSean.
What do you expect from me once Felix gets back?
At worst, a 70-30 split in your favor for as long as you're successful.
What can I expect out of Tebow this week? Too optimistic to hope for 150 and a td through the air with 60 and a td on the ground?
Exactly what to expect... about 175 in the air, 60 on the ground and the scores either come or they don't, which accounts for his being either Top 5 or 20-25 in QB ranking for the week.
Because of the injury to Austin, I'm forced to use either Manningham or Crabtree at WR2 in PPR. Thoughts?
I'd go Mario, both because of Nicks nagging injury/cross-coast flight and the fact that Eli is much better passer than Alex Smith.
Is it a good idea to start a QB an the Def/st they are facing that week? (I have Big Ben and Bengal's Def/st on my starting lineup)
Some would call it a savvy play, after all, you are "immune" from turnovers in a sense.
Just finished How Fantasy Sports Explain the World - great read, highly recommended! Would you trade Dez Bryant for Stephen Jackson? I'm in first place and concerned about Sea, Cin, Pitt for STL's (fantasy) playoff matchups. Thanks, AJ!
I'll take the bait (and the chance at a plug: http://www.amazon.com/How-Fantasy-Sports-Explains-World/dp/161608295X) - and I'd make the trade. Not all that worried about matchups late, especially since we don't know how motivated these D's will be if playoff seeds are set.
Ello Ello AJ! From France here! Please advise me: Mike Williams South, Antonio Brown or Laurent Robinson for the rest of seasOn?
Bonjour! Je pense que j'aime Brown pour le remaindre du saison.
Sleeper D this week?
I like WAS, CLE, KC to have better than usual days.
Does Dez finally live up to the hype (6th in this weeks rankings)? Will he be good enough ROS to trade Colston/Julio for Dez/Jordy assuming I only need to start one every week?
With Austin out, I think he does. But as for ROS, I'd stick with Marques and Julio.
Re: Sleeper D - You like any of those better than the Bengals?
All of them. I think Big Ben tears them apart this week, actually.
Do you trust Mathews touches to start him over CJ2K tonight?
No, I am not sold that he's going to be strong enough to do tons with those touches...
I know this wont get posted, but I'll try anyway. A lot of you fantasy guys are so predictable. Earlier you said you trust Ford more than any other Raider WR. Trust me, I know why, he had the best game last week. If DHB has the best game tonight, next week you will be saying you trust him the most. If Moore has the best game tonight you will recommend him next week. If Murphy has a big game tonight you all will list him as a hot waiver add. I guess what I am asking is, where is the actual forward-looking analysis? For example, WHY do you trust Ford the most? Is he likely to go up against a certain scheme or DB? Have you seen something in practice?
You always have to rely on tendencies of an offense and targets. Yes, we're going primarily on Ford's one game last week, but that's because it's the only Carson Palmer start we have to base anything on. With a quick turnaround to Thursday, we wouldn't expect the Raiders to do anything different, so Ford is the most trusted to have a big day. We can't always answer these chat questions with dissertations, but feel free to follow up on Twitter.
One post says sit Tolbert the other says you dont trust Matthews to get a ton of touches...which one is it??
Read it again. I didn't say he wouldn't get the touches, only that he wouldn't do much with them.
Best Waiver Wire snag ROS: Hankerson, L. Robinson or Baldwin (he was dropped after his no-show week)?
I'd have the most confidence in Laurent, especially with Austin's injury likely to recur yet again down the line.
Harvin over AJ Green this week?
Who do you like this week: D. Moore, L. Robinson or D. Nelson?
Looking for a flex player in PPR league - AJ Green, Dez Bryant, or Mike Tolbert?
I'd go Tolbert, then Green, then... um, um... hang on...
Morning, AJ! How are the point projections generated? Why is Rivers projected for 16 pts and Tebow is projected for 23, yet ALL of you analysts ranked Rivers considerably better than Tebow for Wk 10?
Because the projections have to predict either a touchdown occurring or not. It can't hedge on 80 percent chance of a TD as rankers can do. I've found if you look at yards only to make the call, it's fairly accurate.
Ethics question (always the most interesting). I agreed to trade Fitzpatrick for Pettigrew a couple weeks back on the condition that we traded the players back for each other the following week. We were both solving bye week issues with players better than what was available on waivers. Due to unique nature, I asked for Commish approval prior. He approved. When the players were traded back for each other, multiple teams cried foul that we were "cheating and colluding." Curious on your take. Thanks.
This is why "no tradeback" rules should be in place. Certainly, there's nothing shady if you're up front with the plan and got it approved, but this is a rule that your league needs to vote on in the off-season and settle once and for all.
I love having an extra night of football, but with DMC out tonight, do you start M Bush over D Murray?
I go with Murray, but don't have an issue if you feel the gut calling you the other way.
As a commish of a league, that should never be allowed and teams should be in an uproar. Anyway, I've wrongly started Fitz and Tebow wrongly in three straight weeks, what to do now?
I have no issue with it being allowed, but it needs to be decided on and clearly spelled out in advance. Your league, your rules. While I don't like the tactic, if it isn't forbidden, then you need to allow it, at least for now. I'd stop trying to guess. Start one guy the rest of the way and let the chips fall where they may.
Planning ahead to beat waivers next week....Bye week replacement - McCoy (vs Jax), Ponder (vs Oak), A Smith (vs Ari)
Talk me out of starting Jake Ballard over Finley.
OK. Don't do it!
do you see Best coming back ever or is he done?
Concussions are far beyond my understanding in terms of how serious an individual one might be... I believe he will play again, but perhaps not this season. Head injuries are impossible to predict recovery.
Does Addai have any value ROS?
Doubt it. If I were the Colts, I'd just trot Carter out there and see what he can do.
w/ talk of Cribbs getting involved in run game start him over DHB, Bennett, Denarius Moore?
I've been to this rodeo before... color me skeptical. However, I still like Cribbs better than the Raiders duo.
Speaking of injured players, will S. Moss have any value ROS?
Not looking good... probably won't see field until Week 14 at the earliest, if that.
Have you seen the 49ers play? Are they for real?
The defense will carry them... and given the division, 13 wins won't be shocking at this point... but I don't think they're "for real" in terms of Super Bowl contenders.
Speaking of the Colts, what do you see them doing with Peyton and the possibility of landing Andrew Luck? Trade away their pick or deal Peyton!?
They will not deal Peyton, nor will they trade the pick if they have No. 1.
Andy Dalton or Timmy Tebow ROS? Who ya got?
Tebow for fantasy, but Dalton in real life.
Torrey Smith, Victor Cruz, or Plax Burris?
Cruz for this week.
How are we looking this week ? Chargers and Dolphins are available
Stick with the Jags.
That's the whistle, gang! Thanks to all for your Q's. We'll be back on Monday for another chat and on Twitter until then... as always, good luck and may the odds be EVER in your favor.