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February 16, 11:00 AM ET
Fantasy Sports with AJ Mass

AJ Mass
  (11:01 AM)

Good morning gang! 60 minutes of fantasy chattage awaits us. Second cup of coffee is in hand... who is up first?

Brian (Gainesville)

What fantasy value does Cespedes actually have?

AJ Mass
  (11:03 AM)

He might not even make the team in April. Too much of an unknown and Coco and a few other veterans will handle the outfield. Late round flier at best.

Ryan (VA)

Glad the Draft kit is up...but the points rankings seem a bit off. David Wright in the 70s? Has to be a glitch right?

AJ Mass
  (11:04 AM)

Not with points taken off for K's.

Chris (Tulsa)

Better bounce back candidate- Dunn or Crawford?

AJ Mass
  (11:05 AM)

Crawford. I think Dunn may be, well, done.

Brian (NY)

Cargo or Upton this season?

AJ Mass
  (11:06 AM)

I like Cargo better, but we're not talking by a huge margin here. Both are in the upper echelon of OF.

Jim (Boston)

You buying Doug Fister this year? With him being a ground ball pitcher, the defense behind him scares me, but that lineup should help get him wins.

AJ Mass
  (11:07 AM)

I am. The way I see it, if the defense is *that* bad and commits a ton of errors, then his ERA actually goes down!

Todd (Cleveland)

Beltre or Zimmerman for you this season at 3rd?

AJ Mass
  (11:09 AM)

A lot of Beltre questions in the queue today. I like him as a top 30 hitter. I'd rather have him than Zimm but to answer another Q in the list, Tex gets my vote over Adrian.

Will (WV)

Papi or Butler at Util this season?

AJ Mass
  (11:10 AM)

Papi for me. Butler is not going to give you as much power.

Dan (Boston ma)

Draft kit- Pineda is ranked so high but the comments and actual projections don't match up. Those projections come from before the trade? 11 wins low 3 era?!!

AJ Mass
  (11:11 AM)

Read my article on "Ownership" of pitchers... you'll see I think a move to New York is worth 4 wins... so 15 W with a slightly higher ERA.

Ryan (VA)

Thanks for the clarification re: Wright? Is that the same justification for Kemp at 19 or do you just not believe?

AJ Mass
  (11:13 AM)

I think he'll come back to the pack a bit, but again, he's likely to fan over 160 times. That's a 60 point deduction versus a guy like Cabrera.

Kaz (Cincinnati)

Sabathia, King Felix, Lincecum, or Weaver in a points league? Please rank. Thank you!

AJ Mass
  (11:16 AM)

My points ranks can be found here:

Brett (Ohio)

Braun #1 on your board if he does not get suspended? Tristen and Karabell think so!

AJ Mass
  (11:17 AM)

I'd have him #2 just behind Kemp on my personal draft board.

Bill (Athens, GA)

Youth versus experience! Who do you like better: Hosmer or Konerko?

AJ Mass
  (11:18 AM)

Konerko hasn't seemed to lose much in the past decade. I'll take the consistency here over the potential, at least for a one-and-done.

Steve (Boston)

Dustin Ackley end the year a top 10 2B?

AJ Mass
  (11:20 AM)

I can see that happening, yes, especially if Seattle's offense clicks this year.

Ted (Florida)

Hanley......sell now while I can still get something out of him? Do you expect a big bounce back season?

AJ Mass
  (11:21 AM)

It's hard to imagine he doesn't bounce back... my only concerns are the new ballpark and how that will impact the entire Miami lineup. But I'm not selling just to sell, no.

Bill (Colorado)

Taking position scarcity out of it....Do Tulo and Cano make the top 20?

AJ Mass
  (11:22 AM)

Cano makes it, Tulo just misses.

Mike (CLT)

Assuming regular ABs, where would Aviles rank among SS?

AJ Mass
  (11:24 AM)

I'd have him overall in the 180's among hitters. In the O-Cab/Theriot neighborhood of MI.

Brian (NY)

Thoughts on Cuddyer in COL?

AJ Mass
  (11:27 AM)

Should hit more HR just because of the change of locale... had him around 60 before the move. Probably moved him up about 20 spots.

Brantley H. (Jackson, MS)

If you come out of the first 6 rounds with no 1B yet, list a couple of must-target guys.

AJ Mass
  (11:29 AM)

In an NL-only league, you need to grab Votto in 1st if you can. Otherwise, I'd wait and grab whatever is left from the Freeman/Sanchez/Goldschmidt trio. In mixed/AL there should still be plenty of options to choose from.

Ryan (VA)

What is your draft approach in a Points league if you are drafting towards the end of the 1st rd?

AJ Mass
  (11:31 AM)

I'd consider going Justin/Clayton if Cano/Tulo have already gone off the board.

Ben (Minneapolis)

In a keeper points league who should be my 3rd keeper out of Hamilton, Konerko, Uggla, or Rollins?

AJ Mass
  (11:32 AM)


Tim (Miami)

True or false....Brett Lawrie will be a top 30 guy at the end of the season.

AJ Mass
  (11:34 AM)

False. I think he could be top 75, but anything higher is probably expecting too much.

John (Akron )

True or False Cano AND Kinsler are top 10 AL ONLY?

AJ Mass
  (11:35 AM)


Brian (NY)

Thoughts on Mat Gamel? Too early to be good in fantasy?

AJ Mass
  (11:36 AM)

Has to improve on the K/BB rate, but we know they like his bat. When they needed a DH, they promoted him last season.

Heath (SD)

Thoughts on The Duda? The Mets seem to love him and he flashed some potential last year. What are your expectations? His ceiling?

AJ Mass
  (11:38 AM)

I think he's a 15-75 player. Davis should be healthy, so we'll have to see how he handles an everyday RF job.

eric (atl)

What am I missing.. You guys project Albert to have better numbers then Miggy, but you rank Miggy ahead of Albert in the official rankings!

AJ Mass
  (11:40 AM)

Miggy has a higher BA projection, and keep in mind that we're assuming he'll have 3B eligibility in a short time. Splitting hairs to be sure...

Tim (Miami)

If you had to pick 1 pitcher out of these who you taking? Wilson, Beachy, Ubaldo, Yu,

AJ Mass
  (11:41 AM)

I'll go with CJ.

Kevin (Philly)

Is Todd Helton still a servicable 1B for NL only teams?

AJ Mass
  (11:43 AM)

That's an apt adjective. Personally, I'd take a shot with Huff first, but you can get 10-12 HR and a .290 out of Helton if he stays relatively healthy.

Ryan (Columbus)

Where would you rather pick in a snake draft this year, top 3 or bottom 3?

AJ Mass
  (11:44 AM)

I always prefer the middle. However, if I have to pick an "end", I'd go 1-3 over 10-12.

Ramsey (Los Angeles)

Is Shelby Miller worth a draft n' stash in a 12-team redraft league. Projections in the ESPN Draft Kit have him only starting 8 games this season, but 'cmon, we all know he's better than Westbrook.

AJ Mass
  (11:46 AM)

I don't see him up before September personally, but if you have the stash spot...

Ted (OKC)

Will Matt Moore dominate this season like everyone is saying he will?

AJ Mass
  (11:47 AM)

I think he will be on an IP limit and if all falls right, he *might* win 15 tops.

Brian (NY)

You buying Boesch? Him over Joyce?

AJ Mass
  (11:48 AM)

I like Boesch, but I'd rather have Joyce. From a sheer fans perspective, I prefer watching Dirks play, though that has nothing to do with fantasy.

Tom (California)

In an AL only weekly H2H league format would you move a Verlander/Felix up to a top 5 draft pick?

AJ Mass
  (11:50 AM)

Verlander yes, Felix no.

Brandon Beachy (ATL)

Am I for real or was last year fool's gold?

AJ Mass
  (11:51 AM)

I'm leaning closer to the iron pyrite assessment than the real deal.

J.Probst (One World)

Did you watch Survivor last night? Gotta say, I hope it gets better, 'cause it seemed a uneventful. Thoughts?

AJ Mass
  (11:52 AM)

Hard to create drama when a player gets hurt and you know she's gone... I like the setup. It will just be a while before the "conflict" gets interesting.

Joe (Bethpage, NY)

Please help with last 2 keepers in 15 team mixed league. Lose pick in round drafted: Beltre (round 5), Strasburg (round 12), Lawrie (round 13) or Berkman (round 16)?

AJ Mass
  (11:53 AM)

I'd take Beltre and Lawrie.

Rob (NJ)

12 team mixed draft. What round do you look to take pitching? 6th?

AJ Mass
  (11:54 AM)

Every draft is different, but I'm not opposed to taking one of the top 5 arms early on.

Sandy (Los Angeles)

AJ - in a 16 team, mixed, h2h league. We get to keep 3 players who finished outside the top 100 last season. Which 3 - Crawford, Posey, Heyward, Rollins, Freeman?

AJ Mass
  (11:55 AM)

Crawford, Posey and Heyward.

Dan (Detroit)

Walking Dead fan? Season 2 second half premier was terrible! Is Jennings worth keeper consideration in a 12 team H2H, keep 6 league?

AJ Mass
  (11:57 AM)

Disagree... juxtaposition of Rick's attitude towards the Philly boys and his asking Herschel to accept his people was very compelling to me. I'd keep Jennings if I thought steals would be scarce in the draft, but drop him otherwise.

Richard Hatch (The Pen)

I'll admit I like the one beach/camp idea. Has already played out with some drama among the tribes (stealing?). But why do they keep doing the battle of the sexes. It always seems a bit unfair.

AJ Mass
  (11:58 AM)

Why is it unfair? If the challenge is "falling into a net" and a "balance beam" then there's no real disadvantage to the women.

Tom (Boston)

Why is Kemp #1 on your list if he's only projected to be 19th in points?

AJ Mass
  (11:59 AM)

Because "my list" is for standard 5x5 leagues. Points is its own animal.

John (Atlanta)

Coco over Maybin in the ranking is definitely debatable. Who do you draft first?

AJ Mass
  (12:00 PM)

Coco. I have never been a Maybin fan.

AJ Mass
  (12:01 PM)

That's the end of the chat for today. Thanks for all the Q's! For those I could not get to, there's always @ajmass on Twitter. Until the next time, as always, good luck and may the odds be EVER in your favor!