Greetings people. Thanks for coming.
Which direction do you have the arrow pointing for each AFC South team compared to the end of last year. Do you think this could be a decent year for one of the worst divisions? Titans pushing for a wild card?
Barring some some sort of free agent catastrophe, I have a hard time giving any team a down arrow in the offseason.
Please tell me about this gut feeling with the Jags. Really? Ahead of the Titans? I am not naive, Houston should win the division. But Gabbert will not be able to beat the Titans. And the Titans will have a better D than you are advertising.
I'm not positive about the Texans, either, by the way. Staying good is different than emerging as good. They should be the best team in the division, but I am not certain the Texans win it. Jacksonville's defense is very good. If it finds pass rush, it may be excellent. If Blaine Gabbert improves to average, they could do OK. How have the Titans gotten better? I am not sure they have yet, and I think they could easily slip a game or two.
The Texans were so close last season. Why would they take a chance relying on the same qb's after that was their only weakness in the playoffs? Why not back up Schaub with Orton or Campbell? Hell I think even Tebow would be better than Yates.
I disagree. Yates played poorly against the Ravens. Schaub might have too. The Ravens are tough for QBs to play well against. Yates won a playoff game and played pretty darn well in extended time for a rookie.
If I am the Colts, I'm trading up at the end of the first and attempting to get another starter. Whose draft position could they target with their 2nd and a future pick hypothetically?
I don't know that you can afford to give up a pick or picks. Trading into the first generally costs next year's first. They'd be crazy to trade next year's first -- as it will be high and could even be No. 1. New England is always looking to make that deal. Colts would be crazy to make it with them or anyone.
How do you feel about the jaguars going WR at #7 instead of DE, say Blackmon if if makes it that far or Micheal Floyd?
They should take Blackmon if he's there. Doubt he is. Does Floyd pass their character test?
What does the Houston Texans need to address in the 2012 NFL Draft?
Offensive line, outside linebacker depth, receiver, cornerback, maybe tight end.
Was I disrespectful to my new coach for not at least hanging out in Jacksonville the last three days or is it no big deal?
As I wrote, at the very least, you call to tell him, formally, that you will not be there.
Do you happen to know why Rams have the first pick in Round 2 (#33 overall) instead of Indianapolis? I can't find why that is anywhere.
Colts and Rams tied for worst record. Colts won No. 1 pick on tiebreaker. Picks that are awarded on tiebreaker then rotate in subsequent rounds. Colts are second in the second, first in the third, second in the fourth, etc.
Do you like Gilmore or Kirkpatrick as a better fit for the Titans and ultimately who do you think they take at 20?
Honestly don't know. Think I'd lean Gilmore. Hope they don't end up with a corner, though that may be the value.
Do you watch every down of every AFC South game during the season?
I don't. If it's two division matchups I sure hope to. If it's four games? There just isn't enough time to watch four complete games and write and be in on interviews, etc.
Any chance we a anybody in AFCSmakinga big tradedraft day? Could Jax possibly tradedown?
I think the Jaguars would love to move down. The question is, who wants to give up something to move up? Ryan Tannehill is their one big hope, I suspect.
Now that we know who will be the Colts #1 pick (not that there was much doubt) what should they do with their second rounder? I would like to see Coby Fleener if he's stil on the board or a big receiver come to Indy but the defense could use some help too. Whats your opinion?
I can't see Fleener still there at 34. If he is, they'd have to strongly consider. But they've got needs in plenty of other places too.
Scenario: A player the Titans love (Ingram?) falles to the Eagles pick at 15. Titans package their 3rd and 1st (20th) picks to move up for Eagles' 15th and Asante Samuel.
I just don't see them in love with Samuel or his contract. Good player. Older. Expensive.
Lets say P-Manning is healthy are the texans dumb for not going after him?
I can understand why they stood with their guy. They also would have had to cut people to have afforded to sign him.
Can you see the Jags adding another CB in the first 2 rounds? With the addition of Ross I dont see them taking a corner this year until at least 3rd
Me neither. But if the value forces it, they could have to. No guarantee Mathis is on the roster come opening day, either. I don't rate it a big need even so.
If they plan on eliminating kickoffs, can they please eliminate the most anti climatic play in football the xtra point?
It's not a dangerous play. The talk of eliminating kickoffs isn't because they are boring, it's because they are dangerous.
Do the Colts have the worst personnel in the league?
They are certainly in the running. I haven't studied the personnel of the other bad teams in the league to say for sure.
Do you think Russell Wilson in the 3-4 round would be a good move for the Jags?
I wouldn't hate it in the fourth.
Who do you see being the starting QB in Tennessee week 1? Locker looked pretty good during the time he got to play last year.
Yeah, he was brilliant on the last play of the Saints game. I think people are a little too excited about him based on what he's done so far. That first month makes it more likely, to be, that Hasselbeck stays the starter at the start.
In the media they use the phrase "number one Receiver". What exactly does that mean?
A guy that can draw and beat double coverage, who has size and speed and can threaten everywhere on the field and has the unquestioned confidence of his quarterback.
Can you explain (briefly if that is even possible) how the rookie salary pool is determined for a team?
The league takes all the draft spots you have, adds up the contracts of those spots from last year, adds a percentage. That total first-year money is roughly what you can spend on your picks this year. Kind of a cap within the cap.
Are we going to afford Brown and Barwin next year?
You better. And you better lock up one before or during camp.
Any change from Melvin Ingram going to Jags? Heard anything otherwise?
There is some buzz that he is falling. I can see John Oehser's scenario, where I think he has them taking Fletcher Cox. Can Cox give you snaps outside, is my question.
How do you think freeney and mathis will do as OLB's?
They are good players who will be used smartly and will still be good players.
Will the recent first round draft failure at DE (Harvey) and success at DT (Alualu) guide the Jags pick this year, or does it have no bearing since it was a differentr egime?
You don't have a good pass rush because you've failed with moves like Harvey. You have to find success at the spot, regardless of past failures.
Think the Preds close out Detroit tomorrow night?
So by your definition, is Kenny Britt an unquestioned #1?
When healthy and in context, yes.
Is the big contract the only thing keeping Mike Wallace from leaving Pittsburg? I would have thought some team towards the end of the 1st would go after him
Certainly his big contract expectations have been a factor in no offer sheet.
Recent rumors are the Jags are interested in Stephen Hill, would it surprise you if Gene took him at 7? It wouldn't surprise me at all and unfortunately Gene reaches a lot
You have to factor in not only where you value a guy, but where the rest of the league values a guy. Seems high to me. Also I have not heard that rumor, from credible source or otherwise, even.
This is a question outside the division but could impact the Jaguars ay #7. Is the talk of St. Louis not being completely sold on Kalil and looking at Claiborne a smoke screen or a reality? CB isn't as deep as OT so it does make sense.
Khalil is going third to Minnesota, the prevailing wisdom is. St. Louis then goes Blackmon or Claiborne.
Have you heard anything about the status of austin collie's concussions and do you think he will return to the level of play prior to the injuries?
He played all 16 games last year. Like most concussion guys, if he takes a big shot there will be worries. But it's not an issue right now.
Blackmon doesn't have elite speed, is a physical receiver but isn't huge...kind of reminiscent of Mike Crabtree...could he drop to the Jags...and would they happily snatch him up?
If they can get the best receiver in the draft the should.
What do the texans have to do to earn YOUR respect?
This again? I picked them to win the division last year. Such incredible disrespect. How dare I! You know teams rise and fall every year, right? What makes them a guarantee to repeat? They are the favorite. But they are not a guarantee. Oh the insults!
When the Colts use the 3-4 is there a current roster player that can play inside with Angerer or do they have to get a bigger guy to play inside?
It's a good question. You saw Grigson said yesterday he feels OK at nose with Brandon McKinney and Mookie Johnson. Minimally, they need another inside backer. And depth.
How exactly does the PUP work? Would someone like Rashean Mathis be a most likely candidate?
If you don't practice at the start of camp, then you can go on PUP at the end of camp and there is a window for your return to action starting at six weeks in. Don't know where Mathis stands, but if he won't be ready until several weeks into the season, then he'd be a candidate.
Do I ended up trading back and picking up more picks? Say to the Chiefs?
The Chiefs have to want to move up.
Do you see the top 6 players going before the Jags pick or might there be some player a team picks instead?
The one primary probability to drop one of the top six to seven is Ryan Tannehill, if the Browns take him or someone trades to get him ahead of Miami.
Do you think Janoris Jenkins in the 2nd round is a reach? He is capable of being a shut down corner and we definitely need it, thoughts?
It's all about the character question.
What do you think of Arian Foster? I think he's the best back in football...the Terrell Davis of the Texans zone system...but losing 40% of the best OL in football has to hurt him right? Is he so good it doesn't matter?
He's excellent and the division's biggest star now. hey'll use one high pick on a lineman. But yeah, the lack of continuity and experience on the right side is now a concern.
I didn't meant to insult you friend but i didn't really mean in the division i meant as a favorite in the AFC? Superbowl?
Before they cut Winston, I had them as mu Super Bowl favorites. Now I have to see. Drawing NFC North this season is tough luck for all four.
ALshon Jeffery has not been talked about for a long while now. He is slipping even past the 2nd round? or is he still a good value in the 2nd round
I think he'd be worth the Texans second-rounder for sure.
Assuming the Colts don't pick one up in the draft, are there any halfway decent free agent options at WR and (pass catching) TE? Seems like Luck needs somebody to throw to besides Reggie Wayne.
No one you are going to get excited about right now, I don't think. A project they could add. Then cuts from elsewhere later.
I have a question for Texans fans,they have lost players and done little to replace them,yes you get a slightly above average QB back,but him and a couple of rookies will make you SB favorites? I just don't get that logic.
Andre Johnson and Arian Foster are hardly a couple of rookies, Chief. They have the best skill players.
Tania reported this morning that if the Jags could trade down to at least the middle of round 1, that Stephon Hill is someone the Jags would take. What are your thoughts on Hill, and the scenario?
I want them to have examined the receivers thoroughly and have a case for why one is perfect for them and what he's worth. If that's what they've done, they can get down to 15 and get Hill, then great.
Foster is a bigger star than MJD??
He is. Better overall player. More explosive. It's not an insult to MJD, though he and Jaguars fans insist on taking it that way. It's a compliment to Foster. You missed the big debate and poll we had early on in the Peyton Manning conversation about who would be the division's biggest star if he left, huh?
One player that each team in the division can least afford to lose to inj?
Matt Schaub, Kenny Britt, MJD, Andrew Luck. Honorable mentions and defenders: Connor Barwin, Jason McCourty, Paul Posluszny, Antoine Bethea.
PK, i have been breaking down tape of Fleener and I'm impressed. Could the Colts trade into the first round to get him?
As I said earlier, trading into the first usually costs next year's first. The Colts absolutely should not, and would not, make a deal giving up next year's first. It could be No. 1.
Now that the Colts have made it clear that I am going there do I have to follow Mr.Irsay on Twitter? The songs he quotes were written before I was born.
It's going to be a tough, but necessary, follow for you.
Any possible way that DeCastro falls to the Texans at #26? Or is he gone way before then?
Should the Browns even think about drafting Tannehill? Or Should they focus on Richardson and other Playmakers?
Tough one. On the one hand, McCoy and any QB needs playmakers to have a chance. On the other hand, you need a QB who is unquestionably the guy. If you love Tannehill, you have to take him.
Could you see the Texans trading up to get Blackmon or Flyod?
You would put down Locker for the last Saints play. After getting pummeled to the ground. After making the comeback. As a rookie. With new coaches. After a lockout. The Titans should and will win the division this year. How can you even think the Texans have had a good free agency? They've lost everything. At least the Titans showed they want to win this off season.
There is no scenario on that play where you don't, minimally, throw the ball up for grabs. He had the ball for a long time and a long scramble. He HAS to throw it. Texans have lost everything? Way to overstate. Lost two every down players -- Eric Winston and Mike Brisiel. Titans showed they want to win? By chasing a player they didn't get?
Are Satele, Redding, and McKinney all starters given the state of Indy's roster?
Yes. And Satale and Redding are unquestionably starting caliber players.
Do you agree more with Prisco on Gabbert or lean toward Lombardi point of view?
I am between. Have more doubt than Pete, am not ready to draw a conclusion like Mike's.
Whats the bigger need for the Jags, a pass rusher or number 1 WR?
Receiver. But they really need a rusher too.
I get what you're saying about Foster but MJD was better last year, he won the rushing title.
That the Texans had better secondary backs and a better passing offense isn't Foster's fault, is it? The guy who wins the rushing title isn't automatically the league's top back.
who are some 2nd rd recievers the jags may target if they go DE in first rd?
Alshon Jeffrey, Brian Quick, A.J. Jenkins.
If the value was there in the first two rounds (ie. they trade down from 7), would it be a bad move for the Jaguars to pick up an LB? Maybe Kuechly in the 1st or Lavonte David in the 2nd? The locals might not like it, but Session isn't exactly durable.
It's the last spot they need to be drafting. Even without Session, they've got Russell Allen.
Thoughts on Indy having 4,000 tickets after opening them up to the waitlist? Mind buying a loyal reader a couple?
I'd never buy season tickets. Games are better on TV. But if I lived in Indy, I'd need them to get bought. We haven't yet talked of the taboo thing attached to unsold tickets: Blackouts.
For Fleener I was thinking this years #2 and a later pick this year rather than next year's #1.
That's not what they team giving up its first will be thinking.
Do you think M. Barron to the Titans is still possible at #20?
I don't think he'll be available.
OK folks, time to go. Hard to tear myself away, but I must. Hit the mailbag -- I'd do an entry this weekend.