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July 17, 1:00 PM ET
Chat with David Schoenfield

David Schoenfield
  (1:01 PM)

Wait, I'm chatting at the same time as Jayson Stark? I can't compete with Jayson!

Ryan W (Pittsburgh)

What does the Joey Votto injury do to the NL central race?

David Schoenfield
  (1:03 PM)

I touched on this on my blog entry last night. Compared to Scott Rolen (who takes over most of Votto's playing time), it's about two wins over 25 games. But there are other factors: Jay Bruce now the only lefty bat in the lineup and he's hitting .208 since May 16. Should definitely provide MORE incentive for Pirates/Cardinals to make a trade.

Mike (Houston)

Player A: .301/.374/.618Player B: .309/.361/.625Which one is Josh Hamilton and which one is Mark Trumbo?

David Schoenfield
  (1:03 PM)

Nice. And of them doesn't get to play his home games in Texas.

Nick (PA)

Is there a chance that Jimmy Rollins is dealt? Would the Phillies get much in return?

David Schoenfield
  (1:05 PM)

Don't see it. Even if they don't re-sign Hamels, it's not like the Phillies have to go into complete rebuild mode. You still have Halladay, Lee, Utley, Howard, Pence, Ruiz, Papelbon, maybe Dom Brown ...

William Botchway (NY)

Thoughts on the possibility of the Mets trading Murphy in a deal for Brett Myers or Huston Street? Area of need for my Metsies and Jordany Valdespin is all lined up to replace him at 2B

David Schoenfield
  (1:06 PM)

Murphy probably not of much interest to Houston since they have Altuve. Padres? Perhaps. But, yes, Murphy is a guy to deal if you can get something for him.

alex (england)

when will the first big trade happen, im bored of the speculation

David Schoenfield
  (1:07 PM)

Buster Olney wrote today that some insiders are speculating you won't see many moves since gunning for the one-game coin flip game isn't worth it. But usually things don't pick up until last few days of July.

Tim (cincinnati)

Any chance Walt makes a blockbuster trade to help the REDS?? Not many people saw the Latos trade coming.

David Schoenfield
  (1:08 PM)

They need a left-handed bat. I know Victorino hasn't been great, but he does fill a void with Stubbs struggling.

Marty (Fairfield, CT)

Hi Dave. Twins are clearly one of only a few teams out of it in the AL. Have you heard anything about shopping Liriano? Much higher potential than Dempster, though more risk.

David Schoenfield
  (1:08 PM)

I think somebody takes a chance on Liriano, yes.

Jim (Extended Spring Training)

Dave,We all know who the Cubs are looking to move, but who are some prospects they should be targeting for Dempster, Garza, Marmol, Soto, LaHair and Soriano? Second, why aren't the Blue Jays or the Rangers talked about as trading partners with the Cubs, since they have two of the best farm systems in the Bigs?

David Schoenfield
  (1:10 PM)

With the injuries to the rotation and now maybe Bautista, not sure the Jays are all-out for this year. And I think they'd be wise to hold off. They're not going to catch the Yankees, so are willing to trade valuable prospects this year to *maybe* reach the one-game playoff? I'm sure the Rangers have talked to the Cubs about Dempster. Rumors persist that they're thinking bigger (Hamels).

Carlos (CA)

Since Trout's bat will play anywhere, are the Angels best off keeping Bourjos and having an insanely talented defensive outfield for the next six years, or does he have enough value out there that they should trade him for pitching and go all in this year?

David Schoenfield
  (1:13 PM)

I really love having Trout and Bourjos out there, but maybe that's an unnecessary luxury, especially if you think Trumbo can handle one of the corners long-term. But, man, Trout-Bourjos-Trumbo looks pretty good for the next half-decade, no? I'd lean to keeping him.

Marty (Fairfield, CT)

Can we get a shout out to the Mets and Orioles? Thanks for the memories.....

Brian (Michigan)

What do you make of the Braves' recent hot streak?

David Schoenfield
  (1:14 PM)

Deepest lineup in the NL (along with St. Louis). Not surprised. If Sheets can hold up, Braves may not rate as wild-card No. 1 favorite.

Phil (SF)

SF Giants - big move, little move, stand pat? Would love to see Starlin Castro at SS

David Schoenfield
  (1:15 PM)

Or a second baseman. Maybe a stopgap there would be smarter/easier. Dan Szymborski had an interesting idea -- Kelly Johnson from the Jays.

Neil (NYC)

saw your stat about the Yankees scoring 3+ runs in 40 straight (or whatever the exact # was). all time offense or a stat that overstates their offensive ability?

David Schoenfield
  (1:16 PM)

Right, 3+ runs in 40 consecutive. Only '94 Indians (48) and '30 A's (41) had more. No, this isn't an all-time great offense. More of a fluke stat, although speaks to some consistency, I suppose.

jason (dc)

why would the nats give up any value in a trade for a starter when they have lannan ready to make 5-10 spot starts? gio/zim/jackson is a solid playoff rotation. and why would they give up anything for span or bourjos when they could just pay bourn in the offseason?

David Schoenfield
  (1:17 PM)

Agreed. I think they're fine with Lannan, Wang, even Gorzelanny if you have to. I think they're banking on Werth returning and moving Harper to CF for this season.

Mark (Seattle)

Any chance the M's will trade Felix? I know they keep saying no, but wouldn't they be stupid not to at least see what's out there?

David Schoenfield
  (1:18 PM)

They should listen. In fact ... check ESPN.com tomorrow. I'm working on a piece related to this ...

Hazeltine (Vegas)

What if the Phillies traded Cliff Lee instead of Hamels? Then signed Hamels to a long-term deal.

David Schoenfield
  (1:18 PM)

Not sure that's the best way to run an organization. What future FA would want to sign there?

Sean (Phoenix)

I hear Drew and Ryan Roberts to the Tigers. If both players are traded, what could the Dbacks expect in return?

David Schoenfield
  (1:20 PM)

Hmm ... I don't they'd bring a top prospect. Drew still not hitting, Roberts hasn't hit. In other words, you're not getting Castellanos for those two.

Paul (Chicago)

Hi David, thanks for chatting! Before it fell through, the Dodgers had a Carlos Lee for Zach Lee trade all set up. Any chance the Cubs try to slide Bryan LaHair into that deal? It would be a pretty nice return for Bryan, and really, in the year 2012, who would rather have a washed-up Carlos Lee than LaHair?

David Schoenfield
  (1:22 PM)

I don't think the Dodgers would have traded Zach Lee straight up for Carlos Lee. Or LaHair. I believe Z. Lee is still very highly regarded. How about LaHair to the Reds? He can play first until Votto returns and then move to LF.

Brian (Michigan)

Should the Tigers really be thinking about getting another starting pitcher? Shouldn't they be more concerned about getting a second baseman?

David Schoenfield
  (1:23 PM)

I think they need to upgrade Rick Porcello. And it's actually probably easier to find a starting pitcher upgrade than a second baseman. Of course, they could and fix both ...

Marty (Fairfield, CT)

Is there any historical evidence of a team trading for a rental, and having that piece propel them to the World Series? Seems like short-sighted marketing to me.

David Schoenfield
  (1:25 PM)

David Cone with Blue Jays. Giants made out with cheap rentals in 2010 -- Burrell, Cody Ross. Cliff Lee with the Phillies in 2009 (lost WS though). Cliff Lee with Rangers 2010 (lost WS). Probably others. But generally speaking, I do think rentals ARE overrated. Playoffs still remain a crapshoot.

Bryan (Illinois)

any chance of the Braves making a deal for Justin Upton? do you seethem being active traders this year?

David Schoenfield
  (1:27 PM)

I know that rumor is out there. Not sure there's a fit there. Would the Braves give up Simmons in that deal? Arizona is probably looking for SS/3B help if they deal Upton.

Pat D (Belfast, PA)

Speaking of King Felix, I saw someone tweet at Gordon Edes that Bard, Kalish, Doubront, Lars and Lavarnway would be enough to get Felix. That's about as ridiculous as some Yankee fan proposals I've seen over the last few years, am I right?

David Schoenfield
  (1:28 PM)

As Bill Simmons would call it, that's a poo-poo platter. It will take a legit 3/4 hitter plus other stuff to get Felix.

Bob (PA)

Where do u see victorino going? i know hes the most probable phillie to get traded along with Hamels. So i want to know where he should go and what the phillies should get in return

David Schoenfield
  (1:28 PM)

Reds seem like a logical fit. Not sure Victorino brings more than a couple B prospects.

Brian (Mexico)

Hola David! Do you consider Kimbrel best reliever in all MLB (considering present and future)?

David Schoenfield
  (1:29 PM)

Yes

Zack (Pittsburgh) [via mobile]

The Pirates will rebound just fine from this opening, but what's more of a concern for a playoff push? Bat or Arm?

David Schoenfield
  (1:30 PM)

I'd say they're pretty equal. They clearly need another bat but the back of the rotation worries me.

Mike (Fort Worth)

Greinke "skipping" a start is just a smokescreen. Why don't they just announce the Greinke for Olt + pitcher trade and be done with it? Greinke is going to the Rangers.

David Schoenfield
  (1:31 PM)

Maybe. Or they want him to rest a few more days before his next start in hopes he actually has a good one to increase his value. Has been too sharp last couple of outings.

Ben (Charlotte)

AL Central today who ya got?

David Schoenfield
  (1:31 PM)

Tigers (he says reluctantly)

Brian (Mexico)

In therms of total career (fame and aura put away) I consider Chipper superior player than Jeter. Jeter has more hits because of he's been leadoff batter and has had less injuries, but Chipper gets more on base, has a lot more power, and better defense. What do you think?

David Schoenfield
  (1:32 PM)

Hmm, without looking at it, pretty close, no? I think Jeter's position advantage and durability give him the slightest of edges.

Joey (South Philly)

Where will Cole Hamels end up?

David Schoenfield
  (1:33 PM)

Phillies? Here's a question: Say the Phillies offer him a Johan-like deal, six years/$135 million or whatever. Can Hamels risk turning that down and getting injured? That would be difficult, no?

Dale (KY)

Garza to the Braves still seems extremely logical to me. Tehrehan and Minor for Garza fair?

David Schoenfield
  (1:35 PM)

I don't know what to make of Teheran right now. Keith Law still likes him and he's still very young. I'm guessing the Cubs make that deal; not sure about the Braves.

KJ (Charlotte)

Nationals fans are way too convinced that they will steal Bourn away from the Braves this offseason. He likes it in Atlanta and the Braves have lots of payroll room to bring him back next year.

David Schoenfield
  (1:35 PM)

Agreed. And not sure where the Nats are getting all this money from.

Dale (KY)

David DeJesus would be a perfect fit for the Reds (LH hitting and OBP) for a pitching prospect like Robert Stephenson.

David Schoenfield
  (1:36 PM)

Yes, good fit. Put him in the leadoff spot.

Derek (Columbus)

Do you think Upton to the Pirates is a good fit? If so, would Marte, Heredia, & either Jeff Locke or Brad Lincoln get the deal done?

David Schoenfield
  (1:38 PM)

ESPN Insider Dan Szymborski suggested Marte, Heredia and SS prospect Alen Hansen. Which is more reasonable than your suggestion, Hansen maybe being the key to the deal. Still seems pretty risky to me, but I don't see Marte as a star player.

Matt (CHI)

Think Cubs would move Dempster for Kalish?

David Schoenfield
  (1:39 PM)

I think they can do better. Just wonder if Kalish is too injury-prone.

Travis (Pittsburgh, PA)

What's are the D-Backs legitimately expecting in return in a deal for Upton? I know they're listening but all GMs and teams listen and we've heard the Blue Jays, Pirates, Rangers among other are interested. It seems highly unlikely that any team would like him enough to give up what Arizona thinks he's worth. He's staying put, right?

David Schoenfield
  (1:41 PM)

They'll want a major league ready SS or 3B PLUS something else. I'm with you: Good luck there (Mike Olt?), but you wonder if they've dug themselves into a corner of sorts.

Larry (NY)

Do you think teams will be more inclined to trade with my Yankees now that the see the Yankees are willing to trade Hall of Fame caliber players like Melky and Ian Kennedy?

David Schoenfield
  (1:41 PM)

Nice

Matt (DC)

As a Nats fan I don't want Bourn. He'll be 31 next year and demand 5 years and over $10 million per. I'd rather wait for Brian Goodwin, who I think will be just as good if not better once he's ready.

Sean (Phoenix)

As a Dbacks fan, a return of Marte, Heredia, and a pitcher would make me incredibly angry for Upton.

David Schoenfield
  (1:43 PM)

I don't get the Marte love. A little power, doesn't walk, he's not young-young for Triple-A (23). Looks like a regular to me, but I'm just not sure about star potential. Which is why Hansen would have to be part of the deal. But even then you'd be banking on a Class A shortstop.

Bill (Dallas)

I'm having trouble understanding the market for Dempster -- is pitching really so tight that he is worth an A or A+ level prospect?

David Schoenfield
  (1:44 PM)

Historically, no. So unless teams think they're trading for a No. 1 due to his recent performance, I think you're looking at a couple of B/B+ guys.

Chad (STL)

What do you mean where the Nats are getting all this money from? They have the 11th lowest payroll this year. You don't think they can support a higher payroll?

David Schoenfield
  (1:48 PM)

Except they have big long-term commitments to Zimmerman and Werth, long-term to Gio, Desmond is arb-eligible starting next year, Zimmerman is arb-eligbile and they'll have to pay Strasburg. So the payroll starts taking some increases. Not saying it's not possible, but not automatic they can pay Bourn.

ted lerner (dc)

david, dont you know i am the richest owner in the majors, i could afford bourn when i was a teenager

The San Francisco Treat (San Francisco)

What's Tim Lincecum's value around the league right now? Is it conceivable that the Giants move him?

David Schoenfield
  (1:48 PM)

No

BK (LA)

Headley, Street and Gregerson for Callapso, Segura and Burjous. Who says no?

David Schoenfield
  (1:49 PM)

Hmm, that one's interesting. Do the Padres need another Cameron Maybin clone?

Person (DC)

Which Nats fans does KJ/Charlotte talk to? If they bring LaRoche back on the option in '13, the OF is probably Morse-Harper-Werth. But, as for the money, they do have the richest owners in MLB, I think.

Ben (Charlotte)

how would you rate Prince Fielder's season? power #s seem a little bit low, but BA is up and top 10 in OBP/RBIs

David Schoenfield
  (1:51 PM)

Solid-not-great, about what you'd expect moving from Milwaukee to Detroit and to the slightly tougher league. Terrible defense, of course. Probably not worth $23 million a year, but I don't think the Tigers are complaining.

Mike (NOVA)

Will a Dempster or Infante deal (or both) include Castellanos? I'd like to see both players on the Tigers but definitely don't want to give up N.C.

David Schoenfield
  (1:52 PM)

He's been playing right field lately. I just don't see the Tigers giving him for a rental. Didn't Keith Law have him in his top 10 prospects in his midseason update?

David Schoenfield
  (1:53 PM)

Keith had him 15. Anyway ... maybe Dempster is an ace. And the Tigers are clearly all-in right now. I just don't see it.

Sean (Portsmouth, NH)

A lot of people are talking BoSox trade, but do they have anything except Poo Poo Platter to give (assuming Middlebrooks can only go for King Felix)?

David Schoenfield
  (1:55 PM)

Xander Bogarts, Jackie Bradley Jr. are their top two prospecs. Bogarts a SS now but will probably have to move to 3B.

Jason (St Louis)

Lerner may be rich but he's not a free spender like Ilitch. Plus, after the Werth disaster he may be gun shy for a couple years.

Casey (Texas)

Do you see the Angels doing anything at the trade deadline?

David Schoenfield
  (1:56 PM)

Bullpen help. Maybe a starting pitcher, but they have to decide soon on what Santana (shaky again last night) and Haren (just began minor league rehab) can give them. I could see them getting Dempster.

Hek (Wilmington (DE))

Here's one for you.. Grenke goes home to KC and Hamels comes too. Worls Series in 2013 lead by MVP Wil Myers.

David Schoenfield
  (1:57 PM)

Well, that's some optimism for you ...

Ben (Charlotte)

i can get behind a Castellanos/Upton deal but heck no on Dempster!! could the Tigers offer any prospects not named Castey/Turner and get Dempster?

David Schoenfield
  (1:59 PM)

Right, I should clarify that Castellanos is certainly in play in an Upton deal. Turner's stock has dipped. I would think he may be in play for Dempster.

Chad (STL)

The Mariners scouted Tyrell Jenkins last night. Jason Vargas wouldn't command a top prospect, would he?

David Schoenfield
  (2:00 PM)

Vargas does have one more season. Jenkins probably more of a B or B+ guy right now, so I could see that.

Cory (New Jersey)

How much longer do us Dodger Fans have to watch Uribe start at 3rd base and Loney/Rivera platoon at 1st? all three are basically automatic outs. and it seems like Loney hits into 2 double plays a night, i think its time to move on with Loney. Do you think he has ANY value whatsoever anymore?

David Schoenfield
  (2:01 PM)

Loney has no value

Otto (CA)

Do you think the umpires will ever tell Beckett to quit horsing around on the mound?

David Schoenfield
  (2:02 PM)

I wish they would. There's been a little more stir on enforcing the "pitcher's clock" so maybe Selig and his committee discuss it this offseason. Needs to be enforced.

Brint (Wichita)

Could you see the Tigers trading Castellanos for Hamels? With Hamels and Verlander, they would have to become the World Series favorites

David Schoenfield
  (2:04 PM)

That's a tough one. I disagree they'd be the World Series favorite, however. They still have to make the playoffs. Hamels doesn't guarantee that. But I could see Ilitch approving that deal. Tigers aren't in long-term thinking mode right now.

Greg (NY)

Matt Harvey, Wilmer Flores and Niuwenhius for Upton? Conceivable at all?

David Schoenfield
  (2:05 PM)

Not really

Dale (KY)

Philly is built to win now and Castellanos is still at least a 1 1/2 years away

Bryan (Madison)

Re: Cory (New Jersey) -- the Brewers can send Aramis Ramierez to the Dodgers as part of their fire sale. Z. Lee should suffice.

Justin (Hartford, CT)

The Marlins already grabbed Ruggiano earlier this year (I think it was a steal), and Carlos Lee. Are there any grumblings going on in Miami to bring someone in for a playoff push?

David Schoenfield
  (2:06 PM)

I think they need Reyes and Ramirez to play better. If they don't, making a trade won't matter.

Alex (OH)

Geez Tigers fans think they are the AL Central Champs already.

Ben (Orlando)

Are the Pirates for real this year or are they going to collapse like they did last year?

David Schoenfield
  (2:08 PM)

They're better than last year. Rotation was complete smoke-and-mirrors in the first a year ago. Collapse was very predictable. But better rotation with improved McDonald and Burnett + best player in baseball right now. I don't see a collapse, but I'd still rate them behind the Reds and Cardinals.

Jimmy the Tulip (Somewhere in Canada)

Bautista to the DL, Gose is called up! Expectations? More like a healthy Gardner or Schaefer?

David Schoenfield
  (2:09 PM)

I think he'll struggle a bit initially. Numbers really aren't that great for Las Vegas (.808 OPS). Still very young, of course. Very curious to see him play, however. Man, I hope he's better than Jordan Schafer!

Mark (Chicago) [via mobile]

How about Tyler Flowers,Eduardo Escobar and a couple of minor league pitchers for Dempster?he would love to stay in Chicago

David Schoenfield
  (2:11 PM)

Hmm ... that sounds like a poo-poo platter deal to me.

AJ (STL)

What is Allen Craig's trade value? I know the Cardinals don't want to trade from their big league roster but I don't see a long term spot for Craig with Adams and Tavares starting to push the issue. I think you could give up Craig and a B prospect for say a Greinke

David Schoenfield
  (2:12 PM)

I wonder if Adams would be a little more attractive to teams since he's younger?

Scott (Sacramento)

Do you think that the Dodgers would give up Eovaldi and Garrett Gould for King Felix?

David Schoenfield
  (2:12 PM)

Sure, throw in Matt Kemp and it's a deal.

Matt (Boise)

Do you think the White Sox will shut down Sale early? People like to compare him to the Starsburg situation but I think that's not a apple to apple comparision as Sale isn't coming of TJ's surgery.

David Schoenfield
  (2:14 PM)

Karabell and I taped a segment on this issue yesterday. I think if they're still in it (likely), they have to keep pitching him. They're getting big years from a lot of veterans -- Konerko, A.J., Dunn, Peavy -- that you may not get next year. Have to take advantage of that.

Muzzy (Leicester)

Travis Snider looks bored in Vegas. Do the Jays finally move him this July?

David Schoenfield
  (2:14 PM)

Seems like a change of scenery guy to me.

Brent (Iowa)

Who do you think the Braves go after in the end Dempster, Garza, Greinke, or Liriano? Any chance of getting Justin Upton?

David Schoenfield
  (2:15 PM)

I still wonder if Ben Sheets IS their acquisition. Braves are not big spenders. Although Cubs are willing to pay most of Dempster's salary if it means getting a better prospect.

Josh (Sandusky)

With all this news about him, how far away is Billy Hamilton?

David Schoenfield
  (2:16 PM)

Reds have said they will not call him up this year. Question is: Can he stick at SS? If not, they'll move him to CF in fall league or spring training and he'll need time to learn the position. But I could see him arriving some time next season.

Jimmy D (Evansville)

Big picture, do you think MLB will expand to 32 or more teams in the next 10 years? Would a revised (bigger) playoff format follow?

David Schoenfield
  (2:18 PM)

Don't see it. No talk of it. Where would you expand to? Charlotte? Outside of that ... not sure where. New Jersey could probably support a team, but Yankees/Phillies own territorial rights so that's not going to happen.

Mike (San Diego)

Bud will not be discussing setting a clock for pitchers. Nothing is wrong with baseball as it currently stands. Especially in regard to replay. Attendance is up, so no fixes are needed.

Austin (Iowa)

Let's say Victor Martinez comes back in September, who is the odd man out? Berry is heavily exceeding expectations, Boesch could take off any minute, and Delmon Youngs postseason and recent home run power makes it a touch decision. (not to mention Andy Dirks stellar season before his injury)

David Schoenfield
  (2:19 PM)

How about a Berry/Young platoon?

Wade (USA)

What moves do you see the Yankees making at the deadline? Specifically, who do you see them acquiring?

David Schoenfield
  (2:20 PM)

Brian Cashman hinted the other day the Yankees aren't looking to do much. Maybe a reliever, but otherwise I think they're in pretty solid shape.

AJ (STL)

I would think the same but some teams would want the proven MLB bat over the potential (I know Adams hit while he was here, but small sample). I firmly believe that Craig is a starter in any other OF that doesn't have two studs at the corners.

David Schoenfield
  (2:21 PM)

Oh, yeah, Craig is definitely a starters. Cardinals have too many four-corner guys right now. Depth is nice, but you also end up wasting talent. Imagine if Berkman hadn't gone down. How many at-bats would Craig have received?

Brendan (Michigan)

AL Cy Young Prediction? Do you see people more or less ignoring Verlander because of his record, despite the fact that he has identical numbers, in favor of someone like Sale or Weaver?

David Schoenfield
  (2:22 PM)

Verlander still the favorite, I think. He has a big innings edge on Weaver and Sale that shouldn't be ignored, even if they end up with bettet W-L records.

Jason (St Louis)

I wasn't aware Hamels could play the field. The main thing to improve the tigers is stronger D.

David Schoenfield
  (2:24 PM)

I think they've already picked their poison. I wonder what the worst defensive team to win a World Series is ... I just can't see a team with Prince, Miggy, Peralta, Delmon and Boesch winning it all in October.

Eric (Chicago)

You mean voters won't take into account his All Star Game performance? We all know the game counts, right?

Cody (Virginia)

What is the likelihood of Upton going to the Rangers?

David Schoenfield
  (2:24 PM)

Well, they do have the prospects to maybe match up. Start with 3B Mike Olt and go from there ...

ASN (NY)

They need to enforce the clock on pitchers. Watching Alvarez pitch against the Yankees last night was like watching paint dry, to quote the Yankees broadcasters

David Schoenfield
  (2:25 PM)

Yankees announcers complaining about the pace of a game is pretty priceless.

Todd (Arlington)

What's up with Ozzie Guillen and Bryce Harper? Seems like Ozzie is overreacting!

David Schoenfield
  (2:25 PM)

Ozzie .. overreacting? Can't be ...

Rob (UCSB)

Who are your top 3 teams in the AL right now?

David Schoenfield
  (2:26 PM)

Yankees, Rangers, Angels

FC (NJ)

I don't necessarily want the Mets to call up Harvey, but surely TPTB will not subject us to Miguel Batista again?

David Schoenfield
  (2:26 PM)

I'm pretty sure Matt Harvey is better than Miguel Batista right now. I don't get that one.

David Schoenfield
  (2:27 PM)

I mean ... maybe Harvey isn't ready to dominate yet. Very few young pitchers. If he's the best guy you have, don't you have to use him?

anthony Hollywood md [via mobile]

Orioles need pitching bad and a leadoff man. do they do anything or waste another season!

David Schoenfield
  (2:27 PM)

Orioles would be foolish to make a deal. They're just not that good.

Noah (Minnesota)

I am confused why Greinke is viewed as a top pitcher in the game. He has a career 3.80 ERA, if you throw out the one year it is over 4.00. Why rip up a farm system for him? I hear the Brewers may go 5/100 for him? Why?

David Schoenfield
  (2:30 PM)

Greinke's peripherals have been better than his ERA for the past couple years. So ... yes, any team willing to spend that money is making a bet that those even out. Which they don't always do.

paul (flying cross country)

Hanrahan, what do you think he would bring? I think he is replaceable for the Pirates right now.

David Schoenfield
  (2:31 PM)

That's an interesting. I was on Pittsburgh radio last week and the host said he's been pitching that idea. Move Grilli into the closer role. I like the idea, but don't see it happening. Plus, closers don't really bring that much in return.

Jimmy (Chicago)

How much could Turner's start tonight actually impact his trade value?

David Schoenfield
  (2:32 PM)

Faces the Angels. I'm guessing a lot of scouts will be in attendance. Sure, one game can be a huge influence. Probably more than it should be.

Charles (Chicago)

Would the Tigers be willing to part ways with Nick Castellanos for Matt Garza and Darwin Barney? I think that Javier Baez is a better bet to be Chicago's long term answer at 2nd base instead of Barney.

David Schoenfield
  (2:34 PM)

For what it's worth, Barney's defensive metrics are off the board this. I think Defensive Runs Saved has him as the best defender in baseball. I won't admit to watching the Cubs, so I'm not sure if he passes the eye test, but if he IS that good on defense, I think the Cubs are pretty happy with him right now.

Travis (Pittsburgh, PA)

David, you just said "closers don't really bring that much in return" but we just saw an offseason with closers having money thrown at them. Aren't prospects essentially like money to ML teams?

David Schoenfield
  (2:36 PM)

Most of the contending teams are pretty set at closer, aren't they? I don't see a team desperate enough to give a top prospect for Hanrahan. Who also hasn't been as dominant this season. And, no, I don't think money and prospects are exactly the same thing.

Mark (NYC)

Regarding Bobby V., I don't understand the media's love-affair of trying to make a mountain out of a mole, with him. Unless i'm missing something, the red sox have had more than the average amount of injuries to starters, and yet, are 1.0 game out of the Wild-Card race, and, getting healthier (see what happens with Ortiz though), but yet, nationally, the media tries to make Bobby V. into a hated manager, locally, they're not much better either, but, to me - he's done an exceptional job keeping the red-sox in contention, while trying to get healthy. What is your take? Thanks.

David Schoenfield
  (2:38 PM)

Bobby V would certainly makes things easier for himself if he just shut up. All he had to say was, "Youkilis was a great player for a lot of years. I know the fans love him and I hope they give him a nice ovation." Would that have been so hard? Anyway ... I agree with your take. I think Bobby V ends up getting the last laugh when the Red Sox make the playoffs.

Eli (STL)

Can we put to rest the debate about Hamels or Greinke being the more coveted pitcher? It's Hamels hands-down, right?

David Schoenfield
  (2:38 PM)

Yes

David Schoenfield
  (2:39 PM)

Yes

David Schoenfield
  (2:39 PM)

Yes

Wade (USA)

As of today, who do you see playing in the NLCS and ALCS, and then ultimately meeting in the World Series?

David Schoenfield
  (2:41 PM)

Yankees vs. Rangers, Nationals vs. umm ... Giants. Rangers over Giants.

Matt (SF)

Regarding Harvey, one of the criticisms (even within the Mets organization) is that he was focusing on results more than focusing on the process. For instance, early in the year if his secondary pitches weren't working, he's rely on his fastball. While that gets better results, it doesn't make him a better long-term pitcher. By bringing him up, he won't work on his change-up and it would impede the development.

Matt (Boise)

To Noah (Minn). Try pitching in front of the Brewer's defense of the past few years and put up a good ERA....

Xavier (Norfolk)

If the Orioles need a leadoff hitter, I'm ready! Getting on base at a .382 clip and 18 and 3 as a basestealer. What's the holdup?

Matt (Boise)

What are the odds that Mo Rivera can come back for the playoffs for the Yanks? If he does that he truely is a machine...

Mark (Chicago)

If you project the Nationals are in the NLCS, does that mean that you are projecting that they will not shut down Strasburg at all this season?

David Schoenfield
  (2:43 PM)

Yes

David Schoenfield
  (2:43 PM)

Yes. I think they keep pitching him.

mlbfan (usa)

rangers over yankees and reds over braves...

Matt (Boise)

I'm tired of hearing how teams are only x number of games out of the wild card as justification for the team doing something right. With the 2nd wild card every team in the AL outside of KC, Sea, Minn are within 2 games of the 2nd wild card. That doesn't prove that the Sox have held things together...just means Bud has given them life.

David Schoenfield
  (2:45 PM)

Well, they'd only by 3 games out by the old system. Still, your point is fair. Second wild card definitely makes a few teams appear more competitive than they actually are.

Jeff (Scottsdale, AZ)

Tough call on the Tigers and where to go. We all know that you need pitching AND defense to take home a title. However, with their current lineup and with a returning V-Mart and Dirks along with the talent in the farm system shouldn't they just go for broke and bring in Upton and another starter? Bye bye Boesch, Castellanos, Turner, Dirks and whoever else. The time is NOW!!! Do you agree?

David Schoenfield
  (2:46 PM)

I think Mike Illitch has made it clear that the time is now. So, yes, if any team is going to give up the farm at the deadline it's probably Detroit.

Mike (Detroit)

Heck before we get to ALCS/NCLS. Let's try a "sooner" question. If you were a team that was in the one-game WC playoff. Who would you NOT want to face in each league.

David Schoenfield
  (2:47 PM)

Well, we could get a Verlander-Weaver coin-flip game. That's about as tough as it gets. Or the Giants win the wild card and you have to face Cain.

Michael (Huntsville, AL)

Do you see both sides agreeing to swap Grienke for Delgado/Teheran and another B prospect? That's obviously assuming that Wren believes he can sign Grienke going forward. I don't see Minor being included in the deal as the Braves still have faith in him. At least more than Delgado.

David Schoenfield
  (2:48 PM)

I don't think the Braves would be in the running to sign Greinke long-term. Libery Media (owners) keeps the payroll pretty tight.

AJ (STL)

I would think he gets maybe half the at-bats or the shouts for Craig at 2b would have surfaced again. I don't see how you don't get more trading from your MLB roster. I do see the negatives in having to bring in an unknown personality but thats the same with any trade. Craig, Greene, maybe find a team dumb enough to take Cleto, Descalso (for a team looking for defense). I see all those guys as expendable and valuable to the right team and giving up minimal prospects

Tatis (St Louis)

Not sure that the Yankees want to keep playing Ibanez and Jones in the field so much, so if Gardner's latest setback keeps him out longer, would the Yankees make a move for an OF?

David Schoenfield
  (2:50 PM)

Yes, that could be an area the Yankees look at, with Ibanez/Jones platooning at DH. How about Upton to the Yankees?!?! Now that would be the shocker we all need ...

Todd (Arlington)

So you don't think the Nationals will shut down Strasburg? I'm thinking they will at 180 innings - not 160 which is being reported.

David Schoenfield
  (2:52 PM)

160 gets him to about Sept. 7 -- Game 138. If they can find a way to stretch that out just a bit ... maybe you get to 170 at the end of the regular season. Then maybe you get him 20 more in the playoffs, depending on how far the Nationals go. 190 wouldn't so bad would it?

Mike (Tampa)

What are the chances the Brewers decide to become buyers at the deadline? They could use a first baseman to help out with the injury-plagued team, and have no need to shop Greinke considering their starters aren't the problem (Axford's 6 blown saves would put them a game above .500)

David Schoenfield
  (2:52 PM)

Last night's loss was a disaster. I think they have to win their next five against the Cards and Reds to have any hope.

Bob (Des Moines)

It was reported by ESPN Chicago that there either are or were two deals on the table for Dempster from the Dodgers and from the Tigers. The Dodgers offering Gould, and Withrow. First, I thought not terrible, but still not what I was expecting. The Tigers reportedly offered a "young lefty." Probably being a guy like Crosby or Smyly. I really like Crosby, but I still think the Cubs should get another mid-tier prospect with Crosby (if it even is Crosby), and I don't care for Smyly unless he's packaged with a prospect of higher value. Surely the Cubs can get more for Dempster than this - considering they're willing to pay the remainder of his contract for this year - can't they?

David Schoenfield
  (2:55 PM)

That's what they're hoping -- that they can get an A prospect like the Mets got for Beltran last year in Wheeler. I think the issue is whether teams really consider Dempster a No. 1 right now. The long track record says No. 3. He's been great of a late, but not sure any team will give up their best prospect for him.

David (WI)

I know the Brewers aren't deciding to do anything until this 9 game stretch is over, let's say they go 2-7 and decide to trade away pieces. Where could K-Rod go?

David Schoenfield
  (2:56 PM)

Back to the Mets! He hasn't really been that good year. Not much value.

Charles (Chicago)

Woah, Teheran AND Delgado for a Grienke rental would be a very steep asking price from the Brewers.

David Schoenfield
  (2:56 PM)

I think he meant one or the other

Gardner (New York)

Pretty sure the Yankees don't want to keep playing Jones and Ibanez in the field so much, if Gardner can't return, do they make a move for an OF? Maybe Victorino?

David Schoenfield
  (2:57 PM)

That's a good option. Man, Ibanez is brutal out there. You're right, the more I think about it, if Gardner looking more and more unlikely to return, I think they find a left fielder.

Muzzy (Leicester)

Adam Eaton will be the best leadoff hitter since....?

David Schoenfield
  (2:59 PM)

Don't know much about him. I know the numbers are gaudy, but it's so hard to evaluate those PCL hitters who play in Reno/Vegas/Albuquerque.

Mike (Long Island)

Isn't it fair to say that, for the most part, defense is over-valued in calculating team performance? Over the past 16 years, it's hard to count more than a handful of times that the Yankees have had even an above-average defensive team (whether you evaluate it "by eye" or by advanced metrics). Yet, they have been the most successful franchise in baseball during that time. Yes, it helps to have a solid starting staff, the best closer in history and great hitting. But how many teams have made it to the World Series largely on the basis of their defense?

David Schoenfield
  (3:00 PM)

Sounds like a blog post! I think it's safe to say that the spread in defensive value is less than the spread in hitting and pitching, so being a bad defensive team doesn't hurt as much as being a poor hitting or pitching team.

Korey (Sacramento) [via mobile]

The A's are in contention after the all star break for the first time in a while, meaning Billy Beane will probably be shopping rather than selling at the trade deadline. What moves do you see the A's making, possibly on the left side of the infield?

David Schoenfield
  (3:01 PM)

They could use a shortstop but ... who is out there? Slim pickins'.

Alex (OH)

Re: Muzzy the answer is Billy Hamilton

David Schoenfield
  (3:02 PM)

There we go!

Alex (OH)

Adam Eaton will be the best leadoff hitter since....Billy Hamilton

Tim (Arizona)

Would Hamilton, Corcino, and another prospect be enough for Upton??

David Schoenfield
  (3:03 PM)

Speaking of Hamilton ... I would guess the difference of opinion on Hamilton's future value is pretty extreme. Will he hit enough? What's his position? But that one's kind of interesting if you think Hamilton can stick at SS.

Justin (Czech Republic)

How good is Texas' Mike Olt? Do you take 6 years of cheap control of Olt or 3 years of expensive control of Justin Upton?

David Schoenfield
  (3:04 PM)

Not straight up, no.

Bob (Pa)

should the phillies trade hamels to the rangers for 3B Olt and two prospect pitchers?

David Schoenfield
  (3:04 PM)

Sounds reasonable. I think there's a good bet Mike Olt is not a Ranger on Aug. 1.

Mike (Detroit)

All this talk of rental trades. Do teams ever do Trades and Extends? Like say Hamels price is higher than Phils would pay, but the Tigers were willing. So they make a trade with Hamels signing the extension as part of the deal?

David Schoenfield
  (3:05 PM)

Let me see ... I'm sure it's happened, where a trade is agreed to but with a negotiating window to sign an extension. I'm drawing a blank though ...

Marty (Fairfield, CT)

Leland won a WS with Bobby Bonilla playing third, & Luis Castillo at second. That says something.

David Schoenfield
  (3:06 PM)

True .. Castillo was young then (rookie?) so probably had OK range.

Donny (Toronto)

You touched on Kelly Johnson earlier. He has a pretty good bat (strikeouts aside) Would the bluejays be able to land a B prospect for him.

David Schoenfield
  (3:07 PM)

Yes, I think so.

Mark (NYC)

Dave, have any of the Red Sox *replacement* outfielders, play well enough to garner any trade value, now that Crawford and Ellsbury are both, now back? Or, is their value that low, that the red sox are better keeping them, in the event of another injury? Thanks.

David Schoenfield
  (3:07 PM)

Not really. Nava had a nice hot streak but has cooled. Good fourth OF, but not much in the way of trade bait.

Troy (Tampa)

Mike Olt will not be a Texas Ranger on 8/1, but he will be a Round Rock Express

Ryan (NYC)

Halladay is an example.

David Schoenfield
  (3:08 PM)

Right, although that was in the offseason.

Mike (Virginia)

How abou the Yankees looking for a catcher who can hit above .180?

David Schoenfield
  (3:09 PM)

But Russell Martin is gritty and a great leader!

Bob (Pa)

How bout Pence? Is he going anywhere?

David Schoenfield
  (3:09 PM)

Hey, he's gritty too! Pence rumors seem pretty soft right now.

Ross (Minny)

Johan Santana to the Mets was a trade with a window for extension signing...

Muzzy (Leicester)

Are you talking about the original Billy Hamilton who scored 198 runs in a season or the newer model?P.S. Eaton is hitting better on the road (.402) than at home (.379), and he's never hit < .300 or had an on-base under .400 at any stop in the minors.

Rich (Denver)

Jeter has 5 rings, enough said, no comparission!

David Schoenfield
  (3:10 PM)

Now that's a late response to a post! OK, I have to run and finish a big article for tomorrow. Thanks, everyone, for all the question and comments.