Hey guys...on here early today because I am in Montreal for the fights, and the weigh-ins are all colliding with me. Let's jump on in here....GSP/Condit, Kampmann/Hendricks....what's on your minds?
Does the Hendricks-Hitman winner get the next title shot or if GSP wins does N Diaz leap frog them?
It's all complicated. Heading into Montreal right now is Anderson Silva. Why is he in Montreal? Presumably so that, if GSP wins, they can set up the superfight between Silva/GSP. Now,if Condit beats GSP, and Kampmann wins, I could foresee a scenario where they face off (in a rematch).
Has there been any word on how GSP's knee is doing, outside the public stuff?
Talking to guys in his camp, it sounds like it's a non-issue, that he's back to full strength and all is normal. But of course, it's always an issue until we see with our own eyes that he looks like the same old GSP.
Chuck who is your favorite mma fighter?
Not sure I have a favorite. Guys I enjoy watching fight are Dan Henderson, Matt Brown and JDS. Also love Cowboy Cerrone.
It's a shame we'll miss out of Carwin smashing Big Country.I'm sure Nelson will outclass 'Meathead' Mitrione.
Yeah, can't say that Nelson/Mitrione is too exciting. But, I guess the UFC was in yet another pinch. They should have let Tom Lawlor fight Nelson. To me that has...something to it.
can we have your picks for sat?....
Here they are, in caps for sorting purposes:St. Pierre-Condit: GEORGES ST PIERREKampmann-Hendricks: JOHNY HENDRICKSLawlor-Camont: FRANCIS CARMONTRing-Phillppou: CONSTANTINO PHILIPPOUHominick-Garza: PABLO GARZACote-Sakara: PATRICK COTEDiabate-Griggs: CYRILLE DIABATEDos Anjos-Bocek: MARK BOCEKRiddle-Maguire: JOHN MAGUIRE
Who is the most handsome host you've worked with on MMA coverage?
On occasional Thursdays I sit in as an analyst on television's MMA Live, and there's a devilishly handsome host...what's his name? Bretos. Max Bretos.
I think condit is going to knock gsp out...whats your expectations?
I think that's the way that Condit will get it done, if he gets it done. My expectations are to see the vintage GSP. And that would be to frustrate Condit's flow, take him down, and make it his fight. Condit is decent on the ground, in fact he's very good. But GSP sort of saps the will when he gets that top position.
Condit gonna to shock the world!
Condit's backers are piling up on here. Glad to see a balanced chat.
U think some fights are overtraining because of the pressure to look spectacular and score a knockout?
I do think a lot of fighters over-train. We hear it all the time; after the rote answers about being in the best shape of their lives heading in, the aftermath is commonly "bad weight cut" or "overtrained." There is a ton of pressure to perform out there, both from the UFC and the fighter's themselves. It's just them in that cage. Those boos can get to you.
Who's an "unknown" fighter to keep an eye on tomorrow night?
I don't know if he's exactly "unknown," but I'd still go with Francis Carmont. He's looking to make it 4-0 in the Octagon, and he's looked increasingly better each time out (beginning with Camozzi, ending with Vemola).
What's your take on Roy Nelson as a coach on TUF? Seems to not be into it all that much.
They should have known what they were in for. I think this season's been a disaster, to be honest. Especially now with Carwin getting hurt.
Yo Mindy, if an unmotivated GSP did what he did to Jake Shields, what's a motivated GSP going to do to Condit?
Remains to be seen, but my suspicion is something very similar. GSP is so good at exploiting weaknesses, and he'll have some hunches on Condit. Bottom line is, he'll want to take him down and make it a rout.
Is Carwin's career finished?
Could well be, Dustin. I feel bad for him. He spent all that time making his way back to the cage from the previous stuff, and then blows out his knee. He's 37 years old. Future not looking to good for him as a fighter.
How come everybody is counting forrest out? the man does have a balck belt in bjj for when it hits the ground.
I don't think it'll matter against Davis, who's so strong and overpowering. That one-armed Kimura he put on Boetsch was fancy, and he handled Prado the same. I think Forrest is in over his head. Unless you mean Forrest Petz?
Is Johny Hendricks the most likable guy in the world, or does he just seem that way?
He is a very nice guy. This card is full of very nice guys. GSP, nice (confident). Condit, nice. Kampmann, he's also nice. But it's that accent that gives Hendricks his warmth. Don't kid yourself, though...in college he had his fun.
Sorry to stray from UFC 154, but with Matt Brown being one of your favorite fighters. How excited are you to see him and Swick go at it? I've got Swick
I am really into that fight, and it's a brilliant piece of matchmaking. I think Swick looked very, very good his last time out. Brown has been stringing it together with three wins in a row. I would favor Swick, but he'll have to earn it and break his knuckles in the process.
what happens with rich franklin after that ridiculuous knockout by cung le?? think he'll retire?
It's hard to say. I haven't heard anything official from Franklin, and I still think he can fight. But he is 38 years old and contention is forever gone. He might take a novelty fight or two (similar big name guy in his twilight), but if I were him, I'd hang it up.
condit will hurt gsp when take down. elbows from the bottom will bloody him up and take away confidence
Condit will definitely keep St. Pierre uncomfortable, even if he's on his back. I do think that GSP hasn't faced a guy as well-rounded as Condit in a long, long while.
Whats next for Dan Hardy? Loser of kampmann hendricks?
I don't think he's ascended quite to that level yet, and he's coming off of a couple of wins. Not sure who the UFC has in mind, but I would suspect it would be a peripheral top-ten guy. Build him back up. He's looked a lot better since he took the time off. Hardy's actually here in Montreal; spoke to him last night. He's in good spirits.
Chuck, am I crazy to think that Meathead has a good chance of taking out Big Country. I just feel that now that he is not fighting Shane, Roy will just be lazy/complacent/lethargic in the ring.
No, I mean, Nelson's tough and durable and can bang. Mitrione doesn't have all the same tools, but if he lands one of those big shots, we're right back at the old cliche...anything can happen. Those are four-ounce gloves.
is pettis vs cerrone slated in chicago???
Yes it is, along with Rampage/Teixeira and Dodson/Mighty Mouse. Should be a good card. Guida's also making his featherweight debut that night against Hatsu Hioki.
How much weight is Chael going to put on for the Bones fight?
He'll beef up plenty. He was a pretty big middleweight, so my guess is on fight night he'll be in the vicinity of 215-220 pounds. Got a lot of time before April.
Just saw that Fitch is getting Maia @ 156. Looks good, your thoughts?
Love it. A revitalized Maia at welterweight, who had rediscovered his jitz roots, against Fitch, coming off maybe his most impressive (certainly his most exciting) fight in years. The schedules meshed and they are in a similar spot in the pecking order. Love the matchmaking.
Chaz. I GSP doed lose, could you see him jump up to 185pds and stay there a while? Seems to make sense. Have fun up in Canada...sorry about the booze prices!
Beer is not cheap here, that's for sure. But I accept your apology. As for GSP, if he loses to Condit, there's a great chance they either have him A) face Nick Diaz (at long last) or B) rematch Condit. I doubt he'd bolt the division.
Hey Chuck, you should move the chat to this time every week! Answer me this: Shouldn't Kampmann, if he beats Hendricks, be pulling for Condit? That seems like an automatic title shot to me.
I've thought about this scenario, Ricky. If Kampmann and Condit both with, and the Condit win was decisive enough that an automatic rematch with GSP seems like a reach, why not put that fight on? Kampmann is Condit's only loss in years, and it was a split decision. I know Condit would want it.
If BJ manages to beat MacDonald, is he officially unretired? Where does a win put MacDonald?
I think he'll retire if he loses to MacDonald, but Penn does things his way. The trickier question is the other half...what does a win do for him? My guess is he leapfrogs into the top five and starts crashing the gates for a title shot. He has the name, and the UFC would expedite his cause. (Don't see it happening though).
Forrest may have a black belt but almost anyone can get a black belt with enough money,whens the last time u ever saw him use any BJJ skills?
Does a GSP win (either decisively or not), set the stage for Silva vs. GSP?
I think so. Silva's en-route to Montreal right now, and my guess it's not just to take in the sights. I think if GSP wins, we're going to see that fight made.
Chris Lytle had a great send off. Franklin should get a retirement fight in the same vein. Maybe Tim Kennedy.
Wouldn't be a bit surprised. Lytle did it, so did Jorge Rivera. Franklin's just the kind of guy who would have a swan song fight, too.
Have you heard any rumors from the next TUF season with Bones and Chael?
Not really. Whatever I hear, I tend to let drift right back out the other ear. I know we'll be inundated with it all soon enough.
What fight OTHER than GSP-Conduit are you looking forward to?
The co-main is good. Otherwise, Mark Bocek and Rafael dos Anjos will be fun. Ditto Garza/Hominick. Hope to see the Hominick of old.
Hey Chuck first time I'm asking you a question it was always Brett. I'm excited to see Ronda Rousey in the UFC and hopefully a real women division not just one off fights. But I think her first fight should be on Fox she can headline that and if you put her on ppv then that card better be stack what do you think?
I think that would be a great idea. Rousey has a transcendent quality that most fighters don't. And the UFC would want to showcase her. What better way than on a FOX card? Though, if it's Cyborg, they might look at the PPV side of it.
Hey Chuck, general question...I was always aware of MMA/UFC, but I got into it a lot more because of the NFL lockout. Do you think that that is the case for a lot of newer "hardcore" fans, and would it explain some of over-projection by the UFC on their ability to put on 100 well selling PPV's per year?
I know up here in Canada they are forlorn with no hockey. They are generally buzzing about the fights. It's all over the place. I do think there's some crossover appeal when fans of other sports are deprived of what they usually watch, sure. A lot of sports-watching is habitual.
Chuck, if St-Pierre beats Condit, is he for sure getting a fight with Silva? Or is it just talk?
Think it's going to happen, Alex. I think it's going to happen.
Why does everyone think Carlos Condit is a push over?
Not everyone. A lot of people on the chat today favor Condit, and I know from speaking to the media that plenty of them are picking the upset. Condit's convinced plenty of us he'll be a hard out. Our own Josh Gross picked Condit, and has been talking about this bold pick since July.
Broncos on a four-game winning streak...you beat the Chargers this week and the AFC West is all but locked up.
I tell you what. If the Broncos beat the Chargers and essentially go up four games in the division with seven to play, that's nice. But this team has collapsed so many times in recent years, it would behoove them not to get comfortable. (Having said all that...yeah, you're right...it's locked up).
Love the fox card diaz vs henderson b.J roy 'shogun ' matt brown looks more like a ppv thanks
That's a massive card, Tyrone. Could be the best of 2012.
What's ur take on Pablo Garza? Is he still holding on in the UFC because Dana likes finishes, and all his fights end that way, sometimes a win, sometimes not so much.
Well, he's fought some tough guys. Dustin Poirier and Dennis Bermudez are both real good. I think the UFC likes him because he brings it. Win or lose, he fights. But I don't think he can afford to lose three in a row. He needs to beat Hominick.
GSP gets a immediate rematch if Condit wins by split or close decision?
I would think so. I know the UFC dreads us even talking about that, after all the Frankie Edgar rematches. But GSP is a huge draw, and he's been on top forever. If the fight were close or a split, I can tell you right now it would be controversial enough to play it back.
When is the Fox broadcast?
December 8 in Seattle. I think the next one after that is January 26 in Chicago.
Chuck- all this P4P talk has me thinking about HOF. Do you believe Pat Militech should be in UFC HOF, and do you think it will happen? Also, other than the obvious two fights with Silva, what are other possible super fights you'd like to see that are feasible? Are there any?
I do think that Miletich should be in the UFC's HOF, and I think he will be. Guy was a beast in his day. As for superfights, JDS against Jones looks appealing (so does Jones against other heavyweights). Ben Henderson is a big body. If he put together some dominant wins, he and GSP would make for a good fight.
Early feeling on Maia against Fitch? I think Maia was born to be a welterweight. If he beats Fitch, is he in discussion for a title shot?
My early lean would be towards Fitch, but Maia really has looked phenomenal at 170 pounds. He vowed to go back to his grappling roots, and since that time he's walking through guys. The silver-lining of his later 185-pound fights was that, as a stubborn striker (remember when he wobbled Munoz?), he strengthened that part of his game.
People talk about Condit being slept on, I believe most are under rating GSP standup and he will be fine on the feet and dictate where the fight stays IMO. Agree or disagree?
I totally agree. GSP's stand-up is great, and his athleticism is unparalleled. That jab, when he's firing it off, is impossible to fend off. Look at Koscheck. I think that when breaking down Condit/GSP, most are pointing to Condit's best chance being on the feet because that's what he does...but it doesn't mean he's better on the feet than GSP.
When Condit beats Gsp u think we will finally get to see Gsp Vs Diaz in there next fight?
If Condit does it decisively, yes. I think they'd love to put that fight together. Not a bad consolation from GSP/Silva, either.
What's happening with the WSOF? They doing more shows, or was that a one and done deal?
I spoke to Ray Sefo for a few moments yesterday at the workouts, and it sounds like they're planning more shows. They are finalizing a television deal that might extend for two or three years, so that's a nice commitment right there. Next event won't likely be in January, though. Probably FEB.
If GSP beats Condit but does it in a lackluster manner do you think the UFC would still push for Silva v. GSP? GSP is not the most exciting fighter to watch lately and Silva finishes ( or embarasses ) all of his opponents.
Remains to be seen. If GSP wins a completely boring decision over Condit, and people are demanding refunds and all that (making clatter), it'll be hard to envision Silva/GSP at Cowboys Stadium.
Condit will have the same problem everyone does with GSP: GSP is quicker and stronger.
Rousey talk is ramping up- do you believe that UFC will go after Invicta? Also, as SF folds, do you believe UFC will eventually create it's own feeder or "D-League" type circuit? Thanks for doing this chat- love your writing!
I think that the UFC would have to start siphoning what they can from Invicta, because they need to have a full division. Another idea would be to have a TUF Women's editions to help turn up some talent. That would help the franchise, too....something new...16 women in the same house for six weeks? I'd tune in. As for the feeder league, pretty much every other organization acts as the UFC's feeder league. If the UFC sees a fighter they like on a regional or national show, they get them.
Is it better for MMA to have dominant champions or a revolving door of winners like the LHW division before Bones arrived?
I think that they like sustained champions, because those guys can build names. Then again, if Jon Fitch were champion, Joe Silva might wake up in a cold sweat every night wondering who's out there that can beat him. In fact, Sean Shelby once told me the idea of matchmaking is to book the guy they think will beat the champion. So I see it both ways.
What's your take on Overeem fighting Bigfoot Silva before a title shot? Seems risky to gamble with JDS's most intriguing contender.
It's risky for sure. It's risky anytime we talk Overeem as to whether or not he'll be able to fight, too. But in the end, he should be able to beat Bigfoot, and it's better than coming off a suspension for a drug violation and getting a title shot as punishment.
I hate the idea of GSP vs Anderson. Anderson is so big at 185, looks even bigger than some 205 guys (standing next to shogun and machida he looks like the biggest one).Don't think this would be a fair one, just a too big weight difference.
You echo a lot of people out there...the truth of the matter is that Silva would have a very distinct size advantage. GSP would be asked to overcome it.
Heard Tom Lawlor call out Roy Nelson. I'd be oddly compelled to see that fight, wouldn't you?
Oddly, yes. More so than Mitrione/Nelson at least.
Which fighter/camp has been the most accommodating to you as a reporter?
Most of them are good. As the sport grows, and more millionaires are made, and more outlets are covering it, it does start to become more like other sports. Can't just walk into Blackzilians, say, and expect everyone to greet you with open arms. But most are pretty receptive and accessible.
Don't you think GSP-Condit should be voted best dressed fight of the year? They both look quite fine in suits. Would love to know who their tailors are.
They are sharp dressers.
OK, guys, I need to bounce over to the weigh-ins. If I didn't get to your question, hit the twitter feed (@ChuckMindenhall). Let's do it again next week. Enjoy the fights.