What's up, everybody. Let's get started. What's on your minds today?
Can Blake Bell be a passing threat as Landry Jones was?
I believe in Bell's arm, but not to the degree that I believed in Jones. Bob Stoops has already made it clear that the quarterback running game will be a big part of the offense next year. We saw some zone read in the Cotton Bowl. Whether Bell wins the job or Trevor Knight, both will win the job because of their arms. The legs will just be a bonus.
David!!!!!!!What impact will losing Stansly Maponga and Josh Boyce have on TCU??
They're both big, big losses. Maponga and Fields probably would have been the best DE duo in the league next year. Perhaps the country. Fields will be great next year, but that loss hurts. Boyce hurts because of his experience. I like Brandon Carter and LaDarius Brown, but you can never have enough receivers in the Big 12. It definitely knocks TCU down a small peg.
Hey Ubbs do you know why Collin Klein is practicing at QB right now? I thought he would spend as much time learning and practicing another position to help prepare for the NFL, do you think he plans on trying to make it as a QB? Thanks Ubben!
I'm sure he wants to give it a shot and see if scouts change their mind when they see him up close. I don't think it'll happen, but I don't blame him for giving it a shot.
Over/Under: 6 wins for Iowa State in 2013
David, after the disappointing bowl season for the conference, I noticed there's not a whole lot of great non-conference match-ups for the Big 12 next season. How important are the few match-ups like TCU-LSU, OU at Notre Dame, and OSU at Mississippi State for the conference's rankings and chances at getting 2 BCS teams?
Honestly, it's just a few games. It won't affect much about how many teams hit the BCS from the Big 12, and how the rankings are affected, but it will affect perception a LOT. That's the main concern in those SEC matchups and the Sooners' trip to South Bend.
David, last season, TCU was supposed to be perhaps one of the deepest team in the conference at RB with three 700 yard rushers (Waymon James, Ed Wesley, Matthew Tucker). That didn't pan out, with injuries and departures, but is there a chance next season TCU could actually have better group than what was projected for 2012? If Waymon James can come back healthy to join with Aaron Green and BJ Catalon along with recruit Trevorris Johnson they look pretty strong at the position.
Nah, I don't buy that. Wesley and James were studs. Losing Tucker hurts. He was probably the third best in that group and was a little underwhelming this year, though defenses didn't have to respect Trevone Boykin's arm nearly as much as Casey Pachall's. Green should be solid, and Catalon is OK. I wouldn't put a ton of hope in a true freshman. TCU's backs will be really good, but not as good as the trio that was supposed to coming back from 2011.
David, TCU didn't lose to many seniors off last season's team defense, but Maponga decision to enter the draft surprised some in Ft. Worth, especially with perhaps a down year (though part of that was due to injury). He seemed poised to have a huge year opposite Devonte Fields next season. How big of a loss do you think that will be? Does that change your expectations for TCU next season?
We touched on this earlier, but I was definitely surprised. I didn't even think he was really considering it because of the weak year. That wasn't the case. It all kinds of depends on who can slide up and replace him. Losing Ross Forrest in the preseason hurt TCU last year and look how that worked out. Hello, Devonte Fields.
If you had to bet that the Big 12 would add more schools who would they be and in what time frame would they join?
Florida State has to be No. 1 on their list, and if it happens, it'll happen after the playoff is instituted.
Favorite stadium this year in the Big 12?
Look out for this in a post later this offseason.
Does Blake Bell have more rushing or passing TD's this year?
Really interesting question. It might be closer than people think. I'll go with passing.
Will the Big 12 defenses find a method to beat the spread this year? Is is a problem of philosophy or talent?
Some of them will, mostly because of the turnover at quarterback, not necessarily because teams are "figuring out" the spread.
Chances of Kevin Sumlin stealing my job?
Uh...not good. Don't think that'd go over well in Austin. He'd be a great fit there on paper, but Texas can get a whole bunch of coaches to come. Taking A&M's coach produces some problems in Austin that I don't know you want to deal with. You need a fan base to be behind a guy from the start. It helps every part of the transition.
i have been trying to find out what nick florence draft stock is. where do you see nick florence being drafted?
Doesn't sound like he's drawn a ton of NFL interest. I wouldn't rule out the possibility he could be drafted. A lot can happen between now and then, but it seems the odds are against it.
Who do you see as being the dark horse this season? And do you think Kansas can finish anywhere but last?
I'd say my Big 12 title dark horse is Baylor. My dark horse to make more noise than people expect is Texas Tech. It's possible KU could surpass Iowa State or West Virginia this year, but I'm not betting on it until I see Jake Heaps really show some progression. I don't buy it for now, but I do think KU snaps the Big 12 losing streak this year.
How many rushing yards will Michael Brewer have?
David, in your opinion, what is the most important off field reason for the difference between the SEC and the Big 12 and also the most important on field reason for the difference in the two conferences?
Well, off-field reasons are pretty simple. When it comes to pressure on the administration and resources for the program, the overall fan support in the SEC surpasses the Big 12 and shows up on the field. As for the biggest on-field difference, it's absolutely the defensive lines. They're big, fast and a lot better than the D-lines in the Big 12.
OU looks to move to an offense grounded in the Zone Read, will they stay No-Huddle? We used to snap as fast as Oregon, but for the last 2 years, our no huddle has been extremely slow, even causing delay of game in many situations.
No, OU will definitely keep that pace. That's when we saw them succeed the most. They'l see that. The offense won't be grounded in the zone read, but I do think it'll be featured. Oklahoma still wants to sling it, but it's seeing just how valuable the quarterback running game is when you have a guy who could do both. The Sooners' last two QBs were statues. The new guy will be anything but.
What defensive base would you consider the most effective in the Big 12? ie the 4-3, 3-4, 4-2-5 etc.
You can succeed in a lot of different ways, but if I was a DC in the Big 12, I'd run a 3-4 and develop about 10 linebackers on my roster of varying sizes. You need tons of speed and guys who can tackle in space, but you also want a couple 250-260 pound linebackers who can stuff the run, too.
Maybe even close to 15 linebackers, haha.
We have made an Identity of the underdogs. It gives us a chip on our shoulder. I like the respect we are getting but fear being over hyped. Best of luck to Boyce and Maponga.
A little bit on a national stage, but I don't know that TCU came into the Big 12 without much respect. They've been a force in Texas long enough that everybody in the league knew they would at least be competitive. Last year, basically everything that could go wrong went wrong, and TCU still won seven games.
Big 12 teams are replacing lots of prolific QBs and most teams are returning strong running games. Will the big 12 offensive identity shift a bit in 2013?
No, I don't expect that at all. Some of these teams like Baylor may lean a bit more on the running game, but this is still a pass-first league, even if it runs the ball more and more effectively than a lot of people outside the league realize.
We may never know, but I like to think with the way my team was playing toward the end of the season, that we could've beaten the fighting Phil Knights of Oregon. Probably could've beaten the defectors from College Station too! What're your thoughts? And don't get mouthy or else Ken Starr will sue you.
No, I don't buy that at all. Baylor was playing well, but the Bears would have lost to Texas A&M. A game against Oregon would have been interesting, but I'd take Oregon by a touchdown there.
I meant to go to the Pac 12 blog, and will probably head that way in a minute.
Let Ralphie stay?
Which school should I go to if I want to get noticed?
Well, every kid wants something different. You never know. He's got a better chance to win and put up big numbers at Oklahoma State, but he seems to be leaning heavily toward Ole Miss. Seems like Oklahoma's recent moves to bring on another receiver indicate that he's done looking at the Sooners. He supposedly has family in Mississippi, but here's hoping he does what's right for him.
Hey Ubbs, what percentage chance do you put on next season being Mack Brown's last season?
My guess is it will be, because I don't think Texas will be good enough to reach the BCS. He gained a lot of capital over the past decade, but if he doesn't win 10 games and/or reach the BCS this year, Texas has to realize that it can't spin its wheels any longer.
Is Baylor better than their record?
Haha. This is going to go on forever. Still no.
Do you think TCU is making a mistake in immediately giving the staring job back to Pachall? Boykin's speed and play-making ability was one of the reasons they beat the Longhorns on Thanksgiving, and they win that game without it. Boykin showed flashes this year and is better in the long run for the program
They're not doing that. You never know what Pachall will look like once he shows up in the spring. He's got to earn his job back. For now, I think it's Boykin's to lose. If Pachall looks like he did early in the season and in the spring, Pachall will win it back. He's got to earn it, though.
Can West Virginia compete next year without Geno Smith?
Not for a Big 12 title. Could definitely equal its win total from this year.
Any chance we add anymore teams in the next decade?
I don't know if Cherokee County will add more teams, but the Big 12 very well could.
Your thoughts on Joseph Randle in the NFL?
He's not a game changer, but I do think he's really good and could be a middle-round pick and have a great impact for an NFL team.
No news on a QB transferring from OSU, which is surprising given the log jam. Do they all plan on competing for the job in the spring, with the loser(s) transferring?
I'm a little surprised, but I think they all believe they can win the job for sure. If Lunt wins the job, Chelf would have the option to go somewhere else and play immediately, if my understanding of his academics is correct. If Chelf wins the job, it'll be interesting to see if Lunt wants to wait a year or transfer out. He's an Illinois guy and came because of Monken. I'd say he's the highest percentage to leave, but honestly, my guess is they all stay.
Is Boykin really that bad? I know he doesn't have the accuracy that Pachall has but he was still productive as a Freshman with no offseason to prepare.
No, he's not bad at all. Pachall's just really good. Boykin could start for a whole bunch of teams in college football, but his streaky accuracy was clearly a problem for TCU's offense. You've got to be able to score a ton of points to win big in the Big 12. If Pachall is his old self, he's not the Frogs' best option to do so.
David: Did not the Big-12 and Pac-12 send their best single teams to play each other at a Neutral site?(Fiesta Bowl). And just like ancient armies would pick their top fighter to rep their whole army in a dual with the other armies top fighter; Oregon won. So does not that mean the Pac-12 is better over the Big-12? Our fighter won!
This isn't ancient war, Rob. It's college football.
How improved do you see Baylor's defense becoming with Lackey, Hagar, Holl, and Dixon (among others) returning?
It's about making it happen. The last three years, Baylor has had the athletes to have a serviceable defense. It's not a problem of talent. They just can't get it together or really stop the run consistently. We saw how good Baylor can be when it does stop the run. Look out, K-State and UCLA.
Which Freshman or first year starter will take the Big XII by storm in 2013?
Are you going to rehash your lists on where to go at each schools towns on a gameday?? I'm sure there can be additions to the lists you have.
Probably won't do a full update, but I'll probably do a preseason post next summer rehashing the series last spring.
Will Kansas have more conference wins than the Big 12 Champion has conference losses?
Ha, this might be the best prop bet of the 2013 season in the Big 12. My guess is no.
If K-State wins the Big 12 again next year would THAT be Coach Snyder's best coaching job?
Over under 3.5 interceptions for Justin Gilbert next season
Do you think I could talk Gerald McCoy into using a fake ID to re-enroll?
I don't think he's the type of guy who would do that. Can't hurt to ask though, right?
Hey David, what is your take on Lance Armstrong? Did you ever have an admiration for him and how much has your opinion changed of him?
His lack of integrity in his personal relationships makes me less than shocked that he hasn't shown it in the public realm. That said, I don't care at all about cycling. I find the sport unwatchable.
Are Texas and OU regretting not bolting for the pac-12 now that A&M did so welL?
No, they're regretting not recruiting better the last few years.
Over under 8 interceptions for Jason Verrett next season
Who wins the starting job at QB in Waco and what kind of season do you expect? Supposedly the coaches were pretty enamored with Bryce Petty last spring...
Yeah, I buy Petty big time. Baylor opens up its practices, so I've seen him the last couple offseasons in practice. Bears fans will love him.
Dubbs, if you were conference commissioner, please lay out your plan to get the Big 12 back in the title hunt. What, if anything, would you do regarding adding teams, etc... I think it's obvious that the Big 12 is being left in the dust from a national perspective regarding it's relevance...
Ha, it's not that complex. K-State and Oklahoma State have been good enough to get there the last two seasons, but they lost to teams they were better than late in the season. Consistency, folks.
Where do you think TCU's ceiling is if Pachall doesn't make the cut or play to his old standard?
Somewhere around 9-10 wins.
Really surprised you didn't have Bell on your "Players to watch list". Care to explain?
Yeah, in retrospect he probably should have been on there. My bad.
That's it for me today, everybody. Hope you enjoyed the chat! See you again soon.