Hi everyone. Let's start this chat off....
Kevin, Does the S-Jax train make its final stop in Green Bay Wisconsin?
Referring to Steven Jackson. It would make a lot of sense, but the early speculation has him in Atlanta. That would also make sense assuming Michael Turner is released.
Tom Brady is my new favorite player. The decision to take a below-market value contract in the interest of winning...why would a player wait until the end of his career? Why wouldn't a QB in his prime want to build the strongest possible team around him so as to go on a series of runs while he's at his peak? $9 million/yr is plenty. The average American earns <$2 million over a 40-year working career. Do Rodgers and Stafford NEED $20 mil/yr to validate themselves? If they value legacy...they should do what they can do to win...and they need talent around them to do that.
Glad this came up. Nothing against Brady, but this wasn't exactly a heroic act. He got an additional $3 million over the next two years to add three years, at $27 million to the back end of his contract for cap purposes. He will be paid a total of $33 million in 2013 and 2014. If he plays in 2015, he will almost certainly renegotiate rather than play for the lower rate. He helped their cap, but he didn't lose anything on their end. Another reason why I don't think this deal will impact any of the other contracts in play right now.
Hey Kevin, love your work. Phil Emery stated that he thinks the Bears need another WR that will be a deep threat and work the middle of the field. What about Tavon Austin at 20? He can play multiple positions very well. If they get a OL Guard, Tackle Or Center it seems it will open up their draft some. Tavon is the most impressive player on tape this yr plus a good combine. He's not too small because Darren Sproles is 2" shorter and we all know he can play.
Thanks. Not a bad idea. There's no doubt he is one of the fastest receivers in the draft, and he looked a lot better in drills than Marquise Goodwin, who ran a faster 40.
We all know Ted doesn't sign many free agents but lets assume he signs one DE, who do you think is a safer bet Canty or Jenkins? Either options makes me excited as a Packer fan.
Neither is the leading option. My guess would be Jenkins No. 2 and Canty No. 3.
Milliner put up great numbers at the combine but the Lions also need a DE....what do you think is the right move, DE (Anasah, Jordan, Werner) or Milliner?
Generally speaking, pass rush is considered more important than pass coverage. But the Lions have ignored this position long enough. They need a playmaker in the defensive backfield, whether it's at safety or corner. I would give Milliner a lot of thought.
Kevin, I enjoy the blog...which would you prefer, trade Harvin for a pick and use the money it would take to sign him on a guy like Jennings, then start Jarius Wright in the slot...or retain Percy and start a rookie 1st round WR on the outside?
I've written that they would be fools to trade Percy Harvin unless they could get an absolutely indisputable loot for him. That would be multiple first-round picks. It's not going to happen. I think they need to keep him and add either a free agent or high draft pick. It's a deficit situation even with Harvin on the roster.
Kevin, from what I've read and heard, it seems a lot of people have the Vikings picking up Tavon Austin through the draft. Would that be a smart move? Considering the Vikings are adamant on not moving Harvin and with Wright showing promise last season, I'm not sold. Thoughts?
He doesn't fit the profile of what they need, but you don't want to pass on a potentially elite player just because you have someone who is built like him. You draft talent, not physical specs.
I only ran a 4.71. Will this prevent me from having a productive NFL career?
No, but it explains why Randy Moss was better than you. :)
Have you heard anything about what Urlachers shape is currently? Is he healthier now than compared to the end of last year? Some have said his legs should get better a yr past his recovery. Thank You.
He said he expected to be ahead because he couldn't do anything last offseason. I think that's part of why the Bears haven't ruled out bringing him back.
With the salary cap crunch, would the bears be better off giving Melton a first round Tender rather than a franchise tag? And is there any teams out there that would give both a first round pick AND a contract that the bears would not be able to match for a DT?
They can't do a tender on him because he is an unrestricted free agent. If they franchise him, there is no chance someone would try to sign him and be willing to give up that first-round. But I'm not convinced the Bears want to franchise Melton. It's likely but not a done deal yet. The new coaching staff needs to make a quick evaluation of his long-term projection.
As we are about to see many mock drafts over the coming weeks; are mock drafts trying to predict who teams will pick or are they trying to advise teams on who they should pick?
Usually, they're trying to predict how much of a rise they can get out of you by matching your team with a player you don't want or don't think will be available.
Are the rumors of the Lions pursuing Reggie Bush true?
Makes sense from a football perspective, but nothing more than rumors at this point.
Do you trestman still bears coach in about 2 yrs?
He's already on the hot seat?!
Just a word of reminder. If you send me 30 consecutive questions, as one of you have, there's a good chance I won't answer every one of them.
WOW... A NFC NORTH CHAT...
Come on now...
Is Milliner a lock at number five now?
Unless the Eagles take him at No. 4.
I said this in the previous chat, but just an FYI to everyone that Brady will make MORE money over the next 3 years than he would have had he not signed this extension. He did not accept less money, he agreed to be creative with the cap, and will get more money out of the new deal.
100 percent accurate. There is no such thing as a free lunch. No way the Patriots would expect him to just take less money to help the cap without a benefit to him in some way.
Kevin, personally I think Suh is dominate force and should be kept- but I'm a fan not a GM. Will Suh's contract force the Lions to think about parting with him, especially given the huge cap hit and negative PR he has brought to a team with too much already.
No, not this year at least. There wouldn't be much of a cap savings if they cut him at this point. Maybe down the road they will have to make a decision, but it probably will be an extension.
Do you buy that the Packers are thinking of retaining Jennings?
It would be surprising. If they wanted him back, why not negotiate a more cap-friendly deal? If they franchise him, it's a huge $10.3 million hit for 2013.
Any clues to what the Bears will do in the draft or are they playing hush-hush ball right now? OL or TE sound about right?
Pretty quiet right now. Tight end is a position where you can get a good player at a reasonable price in free agency. A guy like Delanie Walker could be in play there.
Would a trade of Hester+ to Jets for Darrelle Revis make sense?
For the Bears!!! Thinking it would take more than Hester to get him.
Am I wrong to have pretty high hopes next year for GB's defense? Secondary is good. Maybe draft a safety. Perry, Bishop, Smith all come back at LB. Pick up Canty/Jean-Francois/draft D-line depth. Sound good?
On paper, sure. Scheme is also something the Packers are going to have to tweak. McCarthy said as much at the combine.
What do you think of the Lions drafting Tavon Austin to take some pressure off of Calvin Johnson?
Lions like receivers. Seriously, the hope is that Ryan Broyles will be back to play that role. But as crazy as it sounds, the Lions do have a need after the Titus Young debacle.
With Dee Millner separating himself as the top corner in the draft, and 5 or 6 players in the mix as the best DE in the draft, how much sense does it make to grab Millner at 5, then grab a DE that might be a top 10-15 talent that fell through the cracks?
Sounds like a good idea if it works. But pass rushers don't usually fall through the cracks. If anything, the get elevated higher than media observers think they will go.
Do you think the Lions resign Avril or let him walk?
My sense has been that pass rushers get paid, and he probably is going to want to see his value on the market.
And if it gets to that point, you would think someone will pay him what he wants. Not sure the Lions have the capacity to.
Do the Vikes need a WR in the draft, yes. But would a mediocre WR be better than a stellar DT? Think of all the problems a good DT can help mask on a Defense. And we do play three really good QB's six times a year who aren't the best when they play against good DT's. The WR's available in rounds 2 and 3 are very close to the ones who will go in round 1.
And a lot of people think you can find a good defensive tackle in the middle of the draft, especially one as deep as this one supposedly is. That's why you don't draft for position.
what are your thoughts on the Vikings selecting Tyrann Mathieu, I think he could play the same role as Marcus Sherels with a lot more upside
Sounds like he needs to get stronger, but for any NFL team, he is a guy with a lot of upside who could be drafted at a pretty good value.
We've been having some problems.
So we're going to need me to go ahead and work this weekend?
The fact that you just said "There is no such thing as a free lunch" in one of your responses makes you my hero for at least the rest of the day. #TruthtoEconomics
Picked it up in ECON 201 in school. About the only thing I remember about it. Oh wait, supply and demand. And also diminishing returns. And the term "marginal utility," but I can't remember what that means.
How accurate is the 40 yd dash history as far as times are concerned? I have a link that states Lamar Gordon, of NDSU, ran a 4.05 at the 2002 combine
Yeah, I'm not sure about that one. My understanding is that since records were officially kept, Chris Johnson's 4.24 was the best. But I believe the official record-keeping began less than 10 years ago.
I love how Bears fans think Hester is worth anything of value to other teams (just like Bulls fans and Carlos Boozer). If he was that great, the Bears would keeping him. Unless there are first round picks involved, they aren't getting Revis.
Well, he is a potential Hall of Fame player. But he is still at returner, and he is entering his 30's.
Darrelle Revis for Percy Harvin is a trade I have heard floated. Thoughts?
A little more reasonable, given Harvin's age and multiple positions. But I'm thinking the Jets need more than Harvin to make that deal.
Kevin, Martin Mayhew has said that the Lions need a change of pace back to compliment Leshoure. Will they look through the draft or free agency?
That's where the Reggie Bush discussion comes in. But plenty of guys like that in the draft. Harder to find a feature back.
will the Packers trade Jennings if frachized and did they get into trouble when they did that with Cory williams
Nope, no trouble with Corey Williams. Perfectly allowable. Just have to carry the cap hit of the franchise tag until trade is done.
What are the chances of Stafford throwing 5K yards with a new-look offensive line?
Same as before. I think the Lions would love for Stafford not to need to throw for 5K. Means their offense would be more balanced.
If the Chiefs trade for a QB then doesn't #5 become the prime spot to secure Geno Smith? Giving the Lions the trade down possibility that fans have been praying for.
There is still widespread debate about whether Smith is a top-5/10 guy... But it wouldn't at all be surprising if whoever does get him ends up making a deal to make sure.
Would Speilman draft Te'o if he were available at #23 and have a possible Favre like media circus at Winter Park?
He wouldn't avoid it because of the circus. They have plenty of experience there. It's just a matter of their judgment of him as a player.
The point with brady is he is still paid well below market value (about 30% less according to peter king). If you are serious about winning you can take less than market value and still be insanely rich but with a better chance of having a competititve team
But he really isn't. He now has $57 million guaranteed in his contract as long as he plays the next three years. That's a $19 million average. Just below Brees, and above Manning.
We called him Marshall Jevons.
Shoot Kevin, I'm shocked you haven't dropped "economies of scale" and "opportunity cost" into your chat yet...
Getting out of my price range there.
Will the Luck RGIII Wilson draft class go down as the greatest QB class of all time??
This year's class shows how rare last year's was.
Is drafting a punter or a kicker real possiblility for the Lions?
Sounds like a punter, at least. They've been patching things together for a few years. But with only six draft picks at the moment, I'm not sure.
With Lane Johnson's impressive showing this week, what are the chances he's even a possibility for the Bears at #20 anymore?
Good question. If he's a legitimate left tackle, he won't be there at NO. 20. If he is, that means at least some people have questions about him.
Jerel Worthy and Mike Daniels aren't anything special in my view. Does GB draft a defensive lineman with their number 1 pick this year?
Worthy is rehabbing a serious knee injury, so he's almost out of the question at the moment. We'll see first if the Packers decide to sign a free agent at defensive tackle.
will they throw the franchise tag on percy harvin and give him a hefty contract
He is signed for next year, so they don't need to franchise him. But I think the will try to sign him to a new deal.
I have heard ponder has had elbow issues during his time in college. Can you see that becoming a chronic issue?
He had a bursa sac that needed to be drained in college. This injury was said to be different. It was a straight bruise caused when his elbow slammed on Morgan Burnett's helmet. So I wouldn't consider it chronic.
Ah yes, only six draft picks at the moment. Understandable -- but I believe you said that Lions is one of a few teams that will get that compensatory pick(s). Lions might use that pick for a punter, no?
Really hard to predict compensatory picks but that would make sense after losing Eric Wright last year.
Ok, a few more here.
do you think the packers host and play in the 2020 superbowl
No chance they will host it. Not enough hotel rooms close enough to Green Bay.
Are you Carl Gerbschmidt?
kevin the lions wont take millner given alabama's recent injury history with thier players and him being injured himself already buti think you nailed it with the wr thing cordell patterson at five and magnus hunt in the second round would make the most sense at this juncture besides you were there cordell is a baller and a saftey net if cj gets ding upped .
Milliner's issue isn't chronic. A torn labrum can be repaired. But it depends on the Lions' risk tolerance after all the problems they've had in recent year.s
Any chance the Vikings try to use Joe Webb as a receiver?
Doesn't sound like it. They want him focusing at quarterback, according to Frazier.
How much interest can there be for Delmas outside of the Lions? And how much leverage will that give the Lions in negotiations?
There would be interest in him if he were healthy. But Mayhew was pretty ominous about the knee condition. Teams will be scared away by that.
W/out regard to the Brady contract, or Brees, Manning, etc...is there still merit to the point that even $9 mil/yr is an insane amount of money? It's not about "providing for your family"...if you can't do that making $2 million, then you're an idiot. Better players make better teams. Legacy isn't established by salary...it's established by titles.
Of course. But you have to suspend reality when you enter the NFL world. It's not the same as the one we live in. Can't compare the two.
Would the Vikes consider trading Allen or K.Will if they don't restructure their contracts?
Probably a moot point. Kevin Williams isn't likely to get $7 million on the open market, so he'll probably do what needs to be done. Jared is in the final year of his contract, so the only way they could restructure is to extend him.
In your opinion, is DJ Fluker worth the 20th pick to the Bears? And who should he replace if he is?
It's a very real possibility. If they draft him, the guess is he plays right tackle and Carimi either moves inside or is cut.
Chances the Vikings extend or franchise Loadholt? Also, Gerbschmidt is the pack call-in fan to KFAN and Barriero
Ah, I see. I think there is a pretty good chance the Vikings get something done with Loadholt.
Would DeAndre Hopkins fit well with the Vikes and complement Percy well?
Not a bad pair. Hopkins isn't a speedster but can be a legitimate outside guy.
OK everyone. We're going to wrap up. Lots of good questions this week. Chat with you soon!