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March 12, 12:00 PM ET
Chat with David Schoenfield

David Schoenfield
  (12:03 PM)

Hold on ... I think Joe Torre bunted again.

Derek (work) [via mobile]

Going to the WBC today in Miami. Any guess on how the crowd will turn out? More Americans or Puerto Ricans cheering?

David Schoenfield
  (12:04 PM)

Does Miami have a big Puerto Rican community? I guess I should know, but you mostly hear about the Cuban community. I'll predict smaller crowds than in Arizona.

Dale (SF)

Do you think by All-Star break Lowrie will be starting SS and Young starting CF?

David Schoenfield
  (12:05 PM)

Young should be starter from day one over Crisp, but they'll be share the job to start with. But once Melvin sees how well Young plays out there, I think he takes over full time by All-Star break, yes.

David Schoenfield
  (12:06 PM)

As for shortstop, read Keith Law's scouting report on Nakajima, and it wasn't good. But Lowrie doesn't have much range there either. And can he stay healthy? I'll say Nakajima holds on to the job.

Mike (Long Island)

Do you think the WBC has done anything to increase the popularity of baseball outside of North America since this farce was first started? More to the point, do you think MLB wants to know the answer?

David Schoenfield
  (12:09 PM)

Why is it a farce? I'm the gains -- if any -- are minor. We did see the first Brazilian reach the majors last year in Yan Gomes, although I doubt that means Brazilians are suddenly flocking to their TV sets to watch baseball. Same thing in Europe and China. But growth isn't something that will happen in a few years. And having teams like the Netherlands and Italy advance will help. But, yes, potential gains are minor.

Doug (New Jersey)

What will be the biggest key for the Mets this season: their offense or their bullpen?

David Schoenfield
  (12:09 PM)

Bullpen. Even with their bad outfield, offense should be at least league average. Mets do draw a lot of walks, so they'll get on base and score some runs.

Derek (Iowa City)

Hmm..more Americans, but the Puerto Ricans will be louder...And I agree, Pujols is done as MVP candidate, unless he drives in 130 Mike Trouts, errr runs, then anything is possible.

Mike (Long Island)

Seriously, this is the best Brian Cashman can do with a few injuries -- begging players who have been retired for MORE THAN A YEAR to please come to spring training? What's next -- open tryouts for guys who played high school baseball in the 1970s? If so, I'm there.

David Schoenfield
  (12:10 PM)

That's my thinking. Who was the backup plan in Triple-A?

Bren (Pearl River, NY)

Shouldn't we be getting some Soccer players back for all of these Baseball players we're sending Italy?

Dave (Novato)

Which top 10 pitcher could you see having a big drop in production this year? I'm thinking Cliff Lee or CC.

David Schoenfield
  (12:11 PM)

Of those, I'd say CC because of the elbow issues he had last year. Cliff Lee was fine. Strikeout/walk ratio was still dominant and no health concerns.

Morris (Pgh, PA)

Am I the only person who thinks your name is Schoenfeld no matter how many times I've seen it written or heard it said?

David Schoenfield
  (12:12 PM)

The family name to be Schoenfeld! My grandfather added an "i" so it would sound more English than German (or so the story goes).

Cas (Orlando)

If MVP, CY Young, and ROY were given based purely on stuff/tools, who would be the winners this year?

David Schoenfield
  (12:14 PM)

Cy Young -- I'd say Verlander or Price in the AL (great fastballs plus offspeed stuff) and Strasburg in the NL (great fastball). Those three would have the best scouting reports among pitchers. MVP -- You're probably talking Mike Trout and Matt Kemp as the best traditional five-tool guys, maybe Bryce Harper. For ROY, it all depends on playing time.

AJ (Pasadena)

Do you hear anything encouraging at all about Logan Morrison's progress?

David Schoenfield
  (12:15 PM)

Has he finally stopped tweeting?

Aaron (Cincinnati)

As I was reading the article on Pujols I kept thinking about A-Rod. Was the start of his decline similar?

David Schoenfield
  (12:16 PM)

I think A-Rod's was more about all the injuries. His approach doesn't seem different. But Pujols has clearly expanded the strike zone the past couple of seasons, probably to compensate for declining bat speed.

Cas (Orlando)

If each organization were given a one time re-do of one move made, what are some immediate re-dos that jump to mind? Ex. Babe Ruth-Red Sox

David Schoenfield
  (12:17 PM)

Jay Burner for Ken Phelps!

David Schoenfield
  (12:18 PM)

You're basically talking about bad trades, like the Astros trading Joe Morgan to the Reds. Or the Cubs not wanting to pay Greg Maddux when he became a free agent. A lot of those ... good idea for an article though!

Greg (LA)

Delino DeSchields for Pedro Martinez!

David Schoenfield
  (12:19 PM)

Exactly. Dodgers thought Pedro was too skinny to handle a starter's workload.

Mike (Mission Viejo, CA)

Do you think the Angels "only" giving Trout $520k will have any affect on his next contract and what team he plays for?

David Schoenfield
  (12:19 PM)

Unlikely. Money will talk in the end, no matter which team it comes from.

jack (White plains)

As a Mets fan, I don't really care about Pujols but I think it is premature to say his day in the sun is over. Let's see trout get another super season before crowning him anything. Very few players (Pedrioa is one exception) are able to move from ROY to MVP. Pujols is still in the discussion.

steve (Cin)

Chapman prediction - starter or closer?.....1/2 way and then end of season

David Schoenfield
  (12:20 PM)

All indications from the Reds are he starts all season. They're going to do any ridiculous Joba Rules or publicly state he has an innings limit (although I'm sure they'll be a little cautious there). But they've said he'll start and be there in the postseason if they make it.

Jack (SF)

I was surprised to see on the ESPN mock Fantasy Baseball draft that A.J. Griffin of the A's faired well. Do you see him as more a 4/5 starter or is he good enough to be a #3 sometime in his career.

David Schoenfield
  (12:22 PM)

I didn't see how he fared but I'm a little skeptical because his stuff isn't great. He's a fly ball pitcher in the right park with a good defensive outfield behind, so that helps. Still, I see him as a 4/5 at best.

Cas (Orlando)

I would submit in the short history of the Rays franchise, it would be drafting Tim Beckham over Buster Posey. As a Rays fan, I have to wonder if Posey would have put us over the top even just once recently...

David Schoenfield
  (12:23 PM)

You wonder how they missed to badly on Beckham. Hasn't hit, doesn't have the athleticism to remain at shortstop, not a lot of speed. Just a complete miss.

Greg (LA)

how much of Trout's 10 WAR was do to base stealing and defense? Defense is likely to go down because of the switch to LF, and he'll probably try to steal less bases with the guys hitting behind him.

David Schoenfield
  (12:25 PM)

But his defense is now compared to other left fielders, so it should still rate pretty high by the defensive metrics. He had pretty good hitters behind him last year, so I think he still runs. (And considering Pujols' DP tendencies, that's actually a reason to keep Trout running as well.)

Jack (White plains)

As far as your spot on Goose Vs. Rivera, I have said for years, look at the success of failed starters that make fantastic relievers, it is the easiest job on the BB field (not easy, mind you, but the easiest in comparison to what the other players do). Just look at the yankees, Joba was unhittable then failed as a starter. Hughes was unhittable and has been mediocre as a starter. His duration is the only thing that separates Rivera from these others. Goose, one inning a game would have been as good as anyone. What would Nolan Ryan have done? What about Randy Johnson who gave us a peak at what that might have been in the 1995 playoffs!

David Schoenfield
  (12:26 PM)

Oh, I agree with that. Gossage was pretty bad the one year he started. Rivera developed the cutter after moving to the pen, so knows, but your point is correct. Another classic example: Eckersley. Had a couple very good years starting, but became a Hall of Famer as a reliever.

Alex (Anaheim)

I woke up this morning and saw highlights of Japan beating the Netherlands. Those Japanese fans reacted like it was the World Series! Will Americans ever care that much about an upstart tournament? And will we see games in California again next time around?

David Schoenfield
  (12:28 PM)

Probably not. The WBC is huge in Japan -- one-third of all TV sets in Japan watched the first-round games. Probably even higher for the second round. I think they've played games in the past in San Diego and Los Angeles, so I suspect the WBC will return to California next time as well.

Ryan (PA)

Do you think the Cardinals will move Prospect Matt Adams this year?

David Schoenfield
  (12:29 PM)

Maybe, although if the Matt Carpenter-to-second move works out, Adams probably sticks as a valuable bench guy. Plus, Craig and Beltran have some injury history, so that gives them a nice insurance policy. And he wouldn't bring much in return. Nobody really likes to trade for a fat first baseman.

Zachary (Baltimore )

Do you think the Cardinals will remain with Kozma and Cedeno over the course of the entire season? If not, what are their options? The cardinals finished pretty far back from the reds last season and simply cannot rely on winning the one game wild card every year...

David Schoenfield
  (12:31 PM)

No. Kozma isn't good and neither is Cedeno. Ryan Jackson is a better option -- better fielder than either, hit better than Kozma at Memphis last year. (Jackson played more SS, pushing Kozma to 2B.) Cardinals are smart enough to know that one good month didn't suddenly turn Kozma into a major league player.

Jimmy (Atlanta)

The WBC finals are in San Francisco

David Schoenfield
  (12:32 PM)

Right. I thought he was asking about the future. Isn't San Fran a weird place for the finals? Can't the weather there in mid-March be a little dicey?

Derek (Iowa City)

I know I wish the Braves hadn't traded Brett Butler for Len Barker..That hurt their offense for the mid to late 80's.

Jon (DC)

I realize I'm in the minority, but I really enjoy the WBC and look forward to it. What is the reason to NOT be excited about baseball between countries? I hear people complain we don't have our best players, but its not like we don't have great players all on one team? Is it just haters hating? Would the US feel much differently if we had won one of the previous two WBC's?

David Schoenfield
  (12:33 PM)

I've been watching a lot of it. Games have been great, very exciting, lots of drama. Not sure why people like to hate on it so much. It's not the U.S. is throwing a team of scrubs out there. You still have All-Stars at every position except first base, the reigning Cy Young winner, a 20-game winner and the best reliever in the game.

Mike (Long Island)

Went to my first-ever spring training game last week -- Marlins hosting the Twins. Nothing like early-spring training game: the Marlins had 20 guys in their bullpen and another 40 in the dugout, almost all of whom had numbers like offensive linemen and linebackers.

Jack (White plains)

'Nobody really likes to trade for a fat first baseman.' I am sure Mr. Adams will love to hear about this comment!

David Schoenfield
  (12:34 PM)

Sorry, but he is fat.

Mike (San Diego)

You would have to throw Andrew McCutchen in the MVP discussion if we're talking tools only. Guy is a stud who will probably never win an MVP because the Pirates stink.

David Schoenfield
  (12:35 PM)

Yep. I was just looking at their roster -- man, I don't know how they won 79 games last year.

Turner (Boise, ID)

If there are two polar opposite climates, it's Peoria, AZ and Safeco. Should M's fans temper their hope with the power display this spring?

David Schoenfield
  (12:36 PM)

The ball flies in Arizona, no doubt. M's will have more, but even with the fences moved in, you're still talking about a lot of cold, damp games in April and May. But don't sleep on Seattle ... could be this year's surprise team.

Jim C (Houston)

Didn't the Marlins trade for a fat first baseman last year?

David Schoenfield
  (12:38 PM)

Carlos Lee? Have you seen Adams? (And, hey, I LIKE Adams. Dude can hit. Not sure why an AL wouldn't trade for him and play him at DH.)

Mike (Long Island)

Chances that anyone will be able to win an MVP on a last-place team again, a la A-Rod and Ernie Banks, in the foreseeable future?

David Schoenfield
  (12:40 PM)

VERY slim. I think there have been only 3-4 MVPs on losing teams in the past 30-40 years ... A-Rod, Andre Dawson in 1987, Cal Ripken on the Orioles ... that may be it.

Jack (White plains)

Thanks for the spot light on Simmons. the comp to Ozzie might be spot on, ozzie actually was a pretty bad hitter who's offensive contribution was only stealing early on and became a good hitter after 4 or 5 seasons. If Simmons is a better hitter to start his careers and can learn on the job as Ozzie did, he could be something special!

Tarek (NYC)

Jay Burner for Ken Phelps!, no. Willie McGee for Dale Murray was way worse.

Turner (Boise, ID)

Your article a few weeks ago wasn't the only one that has the M's as a bit of a sneaky pick. I went a little bold and told two friends, one an A's and the other an Angles fan, that the M's will finish ahead of one of the big 3 in the AL West. Too bold?

David Schoenfield
  (12:41 PM)

It wouldn't shock me. I like the A's to win the division, but last year could certainly have been a fluke. And I think the Rangers have some issues, and if Harrison or Darvish go down could be in trouble.

Jack (White plains)

Ryan for Fregosi

James (New Jersey)

Why are you so low on Hosmer? Seems like every other writer thinks he is going to be a superstar during his career.

David Schoenfield
  (12:43 PM)

Because he was awful last year and superstar players don't regress like that. I have my doubts, but admit he's young enough to rebound to turn into a good player. But superstar? Very unlikely.

Andrew (Toronto)

Bagwell for Anderson. Horrible, horrible trade.

Mike (San Diego)

Who would be candidates for the next guy who COULD win MVP on a last place team? Has to be a super stud who puts up a MONSTER year on a team that is falls on its face. The only names I could come up with are Tulo, McCutchen, and Braun.

David Schoenfield
  (12:44 PM)

Matt Kemp. Maybe this year! I kid, Dodgers fans, I kid. Sort of.

Mike (Long Island)

Sorry to rain on your parade David, but pegging the Mariners as a potential dark horse reminds me of all the guys who did the same thing to the Royals about four years ago. How'd that work out?

Rob (Lime Rock, CT)

Do you think Chris Sale should start or close? I know Keith Law has always believed Sale belongs in the pen. What's your opinion?

David Schoenfield
  (12:45 PM)

I don't know if Keith still believes that, but obviously considering how dominant he was a starter last year I'd leave him there. If his motion is an injury risk, does that change just because he's in relief?

Alan (St. Louis)

Brock for Broglio

Jay (MN)

Justin Morneau will be playing for _______ in August.

David Schoenfield
  (12:45 PM)

Hmm ... Orioles?

Farny (Bay Ridge)

Giancarlo for MVP on a last place team !

Jay (Kalamazoo)

Loved the analysis on Avila. Interesting to see how his approach didn't really change year-to-year with such a big fall-off. I think it's very important to point out that a huge difference between 2011 and 2012 was his health. While he was swinging at roughly the same rate, the type of swings he was taking were very different, and his GB/FB ratio showed. Here's to hoping he can show some more of that 2011 power and keep that great plate discipline.

David Schoenfield
  (12:46 PM)

Thanks. I should have mentioned his health and checked the GB/FB ratio. I knew he was banged up by the end of season. Not sure how much the injuries affected him throughout the year.

Andrew (Toronto)

By the way, the reaction to the WBC in Canada has been positive. Shame that it seems the enthusiasm for it is the lowest in baseball's home country.

Dave (Portland)

One of the worst trades of recent time is never mentioned. Konerko for Jeff Shaw. I have to assume that's due to the media's love for Lasorda, who was trying to make a splash with the deal in his brief tenure as GM.

David Schoenfield
  (12:48 PM)

That was a weird one because Konerko was very highly rated coming up. Baseball America's No. 2 prospect in 1998.

Tarek (NYC)

Rickey Henderson to the A's and the Yankees got a pu pu platter named Polonia, Cadaret and Plunk. They stunk so bad, i didn't even spell check there names!

Jack (White plains)

I think the Indians are a much better pick for a dark horse team. They have pitching and a very weak division. Where did Kazmir came back from? Another great Mets trade!

David Schoenfield
  (12:49 PM)

They have pitching? Really? You're banking on Scott Kazmir because of a couple of decent short spring training starts? I mean, I hope he's back, but history suggests it's unlikely.

Ken (Palo Alto)

Indians look like they may have caught lightning in a bottle with Kazmir. How big would that be if true.

Christopher (TN)

The American arrogance toward international baseball is pretty ugly. Just think about much worse American baseball would be if the Dominicans, Venezuelans, and Canadians all played in their own leagues. Even if Dutch honkbal is pretty quaint at the moment, we should encourage it.

David Schoenfield
  (12:50 PM)

Absolutely. The smart teams will start investing some money in countries like Brazil, building academies and so on. Get ahead of the curve, just like the first teams to start scouting in the Dominican.

Will (Vero Bch)

Was LA smart to move now and bring in Greinke and Ryu while they could? Or should they have tried to wait for the big free-agent class of 2014-15 when Ramirez and Beckett come off the books?

David Schoenfield
  (12:52 PM)

Doesn't seem money is any roadblock to the Dodgers. The question: Are these the right two guys? Well, Greinke has a sore elbow and Ryu has looked terrible. Not a good start to 2013.

Matt (Northern VA)

Hey Dave, thanks for taking my question! In a recent article, you said Andrelton Simmons was the third best SS in the NL East, yet you wrote this week he may soon be the best in baseball. Which is it?

David Schoenfield
  (12:53 PM)

I don't remember writing he was the third-best SS in the NL. That may have been the Bill Baer article when he compared the Nationals/Braves/Phillies and had him behind Desmond and Rollins? I think I'd take Simmons over either one.

Mike (San Diego)

An awful recent trade that hasn't panned out quite yet but still could is Carlos Santana for Casey Blake. Even with the low BA, a switch hitting catcher who has 25-30 HR power and ~.375 OBP ability is still pretty valuable.

Mike (SF,CA)

Speaking of Greinke, panic time regarding the elbow?

David Schoenfield
  (12:54 PM)

Not good, not good at all. You don't want to overreact to a little spring training soreness, but obviously it must be more than just a little soreness.

Jack (White plains)

You're right about Kazmir and the spring but if he is back to being who he was (or even close) they have him, Myers, Jiminez (OK, I really don't like him), McAllister and Masterson. That is better than anyone else in that division other than Detroit. That is the makings of a dark horse pitching staff.

David Schoenfield
  (12:56 PM)

Sure, could be. I like McAllister and maybe Masterson's 2011 wasn't a fluke. Maybe Myers can chew up 200 innings. Indians are interesting, but I'd like to see 1-2 sure things on that staff before I get too excited. Right now, they have none.

Qlee (Houston,tx)

Is there any new about Tebow might end up?

David Schoenfield
  (12:56 PM)

First base for the Yankees?

Candy (Slippery Rock)

Hi Dave, there was an article about how the Cardinals should trade for Elvis Andrus, how realistic do you think this is?

David Schoenfield
  (12:58 PM)

I still don't see it. You willing to give up Oscar Taveras? Or Shelby Miller or Trevor Rosenthal PLUS something else?

Mike (Long Island)

Good headline in Newsday (Long Island) daily that the Yankees may sign Joe Pepitone. He's only in his mid-60s.

Ken (Palo Alto)

Plus Dave, you can't underestimate how much of a difference the vastly improved outfield defense will make to the Tribe's pitching staff. Nice article about this awhile ago on fan graphs.

David Schoenfield
  (12:59 PM)

True, that will help a lot. But they also have to score a lot more runs -- they were next to last in AL last year.

Jason (Hunt)

Taillon isnt Beckett but will he be a future #1?

David Schoenfield
  (1:00 PM)

He has the potential, but if you're asking me to predict, I'd say no. Minor league numbers aren't impressive, although he did pitch better in the second half. We'll see; I'd like to higher strikeout numbers before declaring him a future ace.

Will (Vero Bch)

naturally i'll be watching to see if the prospects LA dealt away to Boston fare better than the vets they got in return. De La Rosa in particular could make that a horrible trade for the Dodgers, though Sands appears blocked in Pitt. and thx for taking my question of course

Tarek (NYC)

I'm still shocked the Yankees are going into the season with C. Stewart as the starting catcher. Are you leaning more and more to the Yankees ending up with 81 or less wins?

David Schoenfield
  (1:01 PM)

I tried to pump up the Yankees all offseason because of their starting pitching, but the more I think about it -- I agree with the reader who said this is starting to look like 1965. The collapse may finally be here.

Jordan (Texas)

Hey Dave, Who do you think is the most overhyped prospect this Spring? And if you say Gattis, you will be wrong ;)

David Schoenfield
  (1:03 PM)

Ha. No, I like Gattis quite a bit. Overhyped ... hmm ... maybe Shelby Miller? Not that he won't be good, but that I don't think he'll be dominant right away. Allowed 24 home runs last year in Triple-A (I know he pitched better in the second half), so still some holes in his game.

Ken (Palo Alto)

Well they've added Bourne, Swisher, Reynolds, and Stubbs and subtracted Hafner, Choo, Kotchman, and Hanahan. So increased run production is almost a given

David Schoenfield
  (1:04 PM)

Yeah, they'll score more. But how many more? Swisher basically replaces Choo. Stubbs stinks. Bourn and Reynolds will help. Big keys may actually be Kipnis and Santana improving.

John (SF,CA)

By the way, the weather in SF is fine in March. July, on the other hand, is when it gets dicey.

David Schoenfield
  (1:05 PM)

Yeah, I was talking to Giants fans at the World Series and they were telling me that September is great but July and August aren't. Strange!

JC (NY)

METS TRADE NOLAN RYAN !!

David Schoenfield
  (1:06 PM)

ALREADY MENTIONED!!!

JC (NY)

OK how about...METS TRADE TOM SEAVER!!

Jon (DC)

Matt Skole? Three true outcomes guy for 5-10 years?

David Schoenfield
  (1:07 PM)

Good sleeper prospect, yes. Although always wary about college hitters tearing up Low A ball.

Brian (Ca)

Do you think, despite having arguably the most talented roster, the US team might have a slight disadvantage by the fact that their players are the most heavily scouted? Everyone on the US team and their tendencies is already pretty well known.

David Schoenfield
  (1:09 PM)

Probably a small factor. Maybe works a little more than other way -- the hitters don't have scouting reports on the opposing pitchers. But we can probably overanalyze all of this when it just boils down to: Anything can happen in one game.

Mike (Long Island)

Tigers take Phil Nevin with their 1992 draft pick instead of some kid from New Jersey named Jeter.

Marc (California)

Matt Adams and Shelby Miller for Elvis Andrus??

David Schoenfield
  (1:10 PM)

Maybe, but you're still giving up an excellent major leaguer for two prospects, one of whom is a DH at best and thus of little value.

Brian (NJ)

I think the lack of interest in the WBC in the US has to do with the fact that it is before the season. Baseball just isn't on people's minds yet. If you extended the All Star Break and put the WBC during that time, I bet interest would rise.

David Schoenfield
  (1:11 PM)

Agree with that. But if we keep getting exciting games it will continue to draw a little more attention.

Steve (Ohio)

I'd say Chisenhall is another key to the Indians season. If he gives you a solid season, suddenly that lineup looks middle of the pack instead of at the bottom of the trash heap.

Jack (White Plains)

Not to beat this to death but the Indians also have an outstanding bullpen, which is often an overlooked factor of a team that comes from nowhere to contend...if Perez gets healthy and pitches well.

zack (stl)

How much value do you think a catcher can provide via pitch framing?

David Schoenfield
  (1:13 PM)

I believe studies have shown maybe up 20 runs over a season for the best guys. (Jose Molina, Ryan Hanigan, etc.) Could be off on that numbers and obviously most catchers don't rate that high.

Jeff Moorad (San Diego now)

I force Josh Byrnes to give away Carlos Quentin and Carlos Gonzalez for pennies on the dollar so I can give Eric Byrnes 3 years, $30 million.

Chris (KC)

George Brett had a horrible second season and he still became a superstar.

David Schoenfield
  (1:15 PM)

What? Brett hit .308/.353/.456 his second year, a 125 OPS+. If you mean his rookie season, despite only two home runs, was still better compared to the league than Hosmer. More importantly, Brett didn't regress. He kept improving.

Jim C (Houston)

90s Astros could have fielded a lineup that included Biggio, Bagwell, Caminiti, Jeter and Lofton. Not to mention that includes an all-Gold Glove infield.

David Schoenfield
  (1:16 PM)

Good one. Supposedly, there was an Astros scout who insisted the club had to draft Jeter, but he was overruled.

Brian (NJ)

The biggest mistake in MLB history might turn out to be the 23 teams with the first 23 picks of the 2009 draft who took players not named "Mike Trout" (except maybe the Nats who took Strasburg).

David Schoenfield
  (1:17 PM)

Right, you could go through any great player who was passed up in the draft. My favorite: Brett and Schmidt went back to back. In the second round.

Chris (KC)

For Jack in White Plains, I beg to differ. In addition to the Tigers, the White Sox have a better starting pitching staff than the Indians.

Matt (Boise)

With regards to Hosmer, I seem to remember Heyward having a horrible 2nd year and he rebounded nicely and people consider him a potential future MVP caliber player.

David Schoenfield
  (1:18 PM)

But not as bad as Hosmer's. And he had a shoulder problem. As far as we know, Hosmer was healthy.

Jon (DC)

Nats passed on Trout with the 10th pick when they took Drew Storen though. Could have had Strasburg and Trout in one draft. Actually were rumblings pre-draft that Nats were going to take Trout...

Elliott (Chicago)

Jeff Samardzija: sleeper all-star or dependable starter?

David Schoenfield
  (1:18 PM)

Sleeper All-Star.

Mark (San Diego)

Do the Padres exist? I am not convinced.

Matt (Boise)

It would be great if Chipper signed with the Yankees. He could get an AL farewell tour to go with the NL one he had last year.

Mike (Long Island)

Hal Neuhowser, a great pitcher in his day, quit as the Astros scout the day they failed to draft Jeter. He figured if he couldn't convince them to take a guy who he was 100% sure would be a star he'd never be able to convince them of anything.

Tarek (NYC)

Last week we were talking about hitters on there last chance, Smoak, Snider. What are the chances one of them turns into what C. Davis was last year? He failed for many years (like A. Gordon) and last year had a solid year.

David Schoenfield
  (1:20 PM)

Good example on Chris Davis. Sometimes it DOES happen, although Davis was more about getting playing time as opposed to a few years of failure.

Chris (KC)

Hosmer had a small tear in his rotator cuff.

David Schoenfield
  (1:21 PM)

That came in the last week of the season by all accounts after diving for a ball. Maybe it was torn before, but that's not what the reports said.

Mike (Long Island)

David, what's the buzz on Montero going into this year for the M's? Lots of Yankees fans wondering if he would have been the Yanks' starting catcher this year, despite his less-than-rave reviews behind the plate.

David Schoenfield
  (1:22 PM)

He's going to catch, at least until Mike Zunino is ready. Don't think he sticks there long-term. He has to adjust against right-handed pitching; they ate him up last year and unless his plate discipline improves he may end up being nothing more than a platoon bat.

mike (la)

Ryu has looked terrible based on what? His spring training stats? I thought you knew better, Dave. Your bias is unparalleled.

David Schoenfield
  (1:24 PM)

I haven't seen him, but from reports I've read. Fastball velocity not as advertised, in bad shape (which everyone knew), he's sitting in the clubhouse while other pitchers are lifting weights or doing workouts.

Ant (STL)

I was wondering if you know why Peurto Rico is considered part of the USA for the draft but not for the WBC? They are not an independent country but an unincorporated commonwealth of the USA and that is reflected in the CBA. So why is the WBC different. Not arguing against them having their own team just trying to follow the logic. But I guess logic and the MLB draft have never really been friends.

David Schoenfield
  (1:24 PM)

Canada is in the draft as well. It's like with soccer: Scotland and Wales are part of Great Britain but have their own national teams.

David Schoenfield
  (1:25 PM)

Puerto Rico -- unlike Scotland and Wales -- also fields its own Olympic team.

Charles (San Jose)

David, congratulations on reaching never-achieved levels of bias!

David Schoenfield
  (1:25 PM)

Who knew I was biased by simply saying Ryu hasn't looked good this spring!

Chris (KC)

Go back to April and you will find reports that Hosmer was playing with a sore shoulder. They don't know when he tore it.

David Schoenfield
  (1:26 PM)

OK. I've written that he was so bad that he must have been injured. On the other hand, he's also tinkering with his swing a bit, so there's some acknowledge that something wasn't working last year.

Brian (Ca)

So Montero could be a platoon bat? What changes in terms of people going from saying he's an absolutely sure thing to be a beast to being on the wrong side of the platoon? Is the former under the assumption he'd make progress in plate discipline?

David Schoenfield
  (1:29 PM)

He's still very young, of course, but he hit .228/.262/.346 against RHP, 17 BBs, 71 SOs. Scouts loved him because of big raw power and because he puts the ball in play. Usually a nice combo, but the power isn't going to show in games unless he lays off the junk off the plate.

Hek (Wilmington, DE)

BTW.. Love Adams.. Total masher.. but, he is fat.

Brian (Ca)

Speaking of prospects and plate discipline, are hitting prospects lacking in that skill the ones with the largest variance between their floor and ceiling?

David Schoenfield
  (1:30 PM)

Sure. Just guessing here, but if you go through past prospects lists and look at the highly rated hitters who didn't make it, I would be that's a flaw found in most of them. Delmon Young being a prime example. He's had a major league career but this guys was the consensus No. 1 -- everyone thought he'd be a big star. He is big.

Tarek (NYC)

Ike Davis leads NL in Homeruns this year? He hit 32 last year and he started the season awful. I think Stanton may get walked to much to hit more than 40-44 Homeruns.

David Schoenfield
  (1:32 PM)

I'd still go with Stanton. He'll get pitches to hit when the Marlins are down by three runs. But Davis is a good sleeper pick. I feel a very nice year coming up for him.

John (Okemos)

Who's the one player you like that you really have to explain to others why you like the guy? So, for me, it's Paul Quantrill, the one and only MLBer from my high school.

David Schoenfield
  (1:33 PM)

Hmm ... good question. It's probably some mediocre Mariner from the past like Paul Sorrento or Mike Blowers.

Ben (UK)

Do you think Chris Archer will earn a spot in the TB rotation? His performances last season suggests he has the stuff...

David Schoenfield
  (1:34 PM)

HUGE stuff. May not be room and he made a couple months in Triple-A to continue refining his command, but I think he's in the rotation by June. Too good to keep down.

Sean (Phoenix)

You should consider writing an article about how small the gap is between the worst-closing teams and the best-closing teams. I don't remember the exact numbers, but it was only a small gap between the Yankees with Mo and the worst team (Pirates) in save percentage over a ten year period. Closers and saves are EXTREMELY overrated.

David Schoenfield
  (1:35 PM)

Sure. You probably read that Pirates-Yankees stat from me, since I've mentioned it before!

Steve (Ohio)

Remember, every team also passed on Mike Piazza roughly 62 times.

JT (Alliance NE) [via mobile]

Over/under 25 homers for Starlin Castro?

David Schoenfield
  (1:35 PM)

Under

Brian (NJ)

MLB should do more to spead up these games. One example, no warming up on the game mound for a reliever called in from the bullpen. He just warmed up in the pen. They don't stop the game every time a basketball player checks in and let him shoot a few practice free throws. There are 100 little things MLB could do, and it would make the games flow so much better.

David Schoenfield
  (1:36 PM)

Agreed! OK, have to run. Thanks for another fun chat, everyone!