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March 21, 11:00 AM ET
Fantasy Sports with AJ Mass

AJ Mass
  (11:00 AM)

Good morning, gang! We've got another hour of fantasy chattage up ahead, so let's get right to it. Second cup of coffee in hand... who, pray tell, will have that one shining moment?

Grab Some (Pine)

How much of a difference do you see in Aaron Hill and Kyle Seager?

AJ Mass
  (11:01 AM)

I'm higher on Seager, but a lot of that is probably based on the hope the new park dimensions help his stats rise a bit. Not a ton of gap between the two for 2013.

John (CA)

Rondon has settles down lately, will he get the majority of saves/save chances in Detroit? Any value for Al Alburquerque (for saves)?

AJ Mass
  (11:03 AM)

Many teams will end up swapping out closers at some point and there's always a chance for a few stray saves on days of rest for the main guy. But I don't think Rondon would be in the conversation at all if he weren't the No. 1 choice.

Thomas (NY)

Morning AJ... I was just told I have #1 overall pick. Sould I worry about all this MLB Probe talk and Braun???

AJ Mass
  (11:05 AM)

I don't think you can discount it entirely, but I don't think you should obsess about it either. I'm in the Trout as No. 1 camp anyway, so...

AK (Milwaukee)

Keep CarGo for $47 in an NL only league or try and redraft him for less?

AJ Mass
  (11:06 AM)

We're talking a first rounder here... and in an NL-only league. I'm not so sure it's worth the risk to let him go just to save a few bucks.

Mitch (Iowa)

Serious question in a very deep league: Fernando Martinez or Colin Cowgill?

AJ Mass
  (11:07 AM)

Obscure! But I go with Martinez by a little bit over CC.

Wilson (Other side of the fence)

AJ - I'm really attached to the guys I drafted, but there are other commodities on the wire that I'm interested in. How do you separate the feelings on the guys you've drafted before the season even starts?

AJ Mass
  (11:08 AM)

I think you have to let a few weeks play out before changing things up. Unless an injury has changed the data, you made your call. Stick with it until the players prove you wrong.

Jedd Gyorko (SD)

Reasonable to think of me as an MI in a 10-team mixed?

AJ Mass
  (11:10 AM)

I think given the Headley injury, we can assume you'll be on the roster. I'm not going to do backflips to try and grab you, but 2B is not exactly super strong...

Harvey (Seattle)

AJ - Desmond or Rollins?

AJ Mass
  (11:11 AM)

I've never been a big J-Roll fan, though his value in points leagues is often underrated. In roto leagues, though, I'm going with Desmond.

Phil (USSR)

Ike or Hosmer?

AJ Mass
  (11:12 AM)

I'm going with Hosmer, but would love to be able to snag the pair.

Chris (Kansas City)

Chisenhall, Moustakas, Youkilis - who is most likely to out perform their draft position?

AJ Mass
  (11:14 AM)

Moustakas in a big way.

Freddie Freeman (ATL)

With my vision problem a thing of the past, over/under 32.5 HR?

AJ Mass
  (11:15 AM)

I'm going under, but not by much. Overall, I'm not sure there's any other player I'm higher on than Freeman...

Rob (Philly)

What's more enticing: Ben Zobrist's position flexibility or Brandon Phillips batting 2nd in that line-up?

AJ Mass
  (11:16 AM)

I try not to worry about lineup position when drafting. It certainly can play a factor, but to me, you draft skills, not teammates. So Zobrist's flexibility is way more enticing.

Steve (Provi)

Help...keeper's due!!! Better keeper: Lawrie for $1 for next 2 years, or I Desmond for $1 for the next 3 years. I'm leaning toward Ian. Other keeper is Harper.

AJ Mass
  (11:18 AM)

I have Desmond rated higher on my keeper lists, so at same cost and more years? Easy call for me.

Sam (NY)

Hunter Pence or Chris Davis? And why can't Pence put up .270, 22, 90, 30 doubles. People seem to me down on him?

AJ Mass
  (11:19 AM)

I agree with you. I'd rank Pence as a top 25 outfielder for fantasy purposes, and Davis a good 20 spots lower than that.

Dave (Wolcott, CT)

Recently drafted Ortiz in the 15th round of a 12 team 5x5 H2H league. Good value?

AJ Mass
  (11:21 AM)

Ortiz would be a top 50 hitter in most formats - when healthy - if it weren't for the need to put him at UT. As long as you can afford the roster handcuffs he bring with him, anything after Round 10 is a bargain.

Shaka (VCU)

If you had to choose one option: Invest in Matt Harvey now or Zack Wheeler down the road?

AJ Mass
  (11:22 AM)

Down the road is always the poorer idea.

Ben (Michigan)

Is Werth going to be worth anything this year, or should I pick up Dirks or D. Brown

AJ Mass
  (11:23 AM)

I'd rank them Dirks, Brown, Werth.

Wil Myers (TB)

Am I worth holding on to in a keeper league that only keeps five players?

AJ Mass
  (11:24 AM)

The way I approach this question is simply a return on investment. If you had Myers on your team all of last year, then you've kind of already decided you're keeping him - otherwise, why did you bother?

Mike (San Diego)

When do you think Kyle Lohse signs?

AJ Mass
  (11:24 AM)

June.

dc (dc)

What do you see as Desmond Jennings updside?

AJ Mass
  (11:27 AM)

I'm never going to be on the Jennings bandwagon, but I can certainly see a top 15 OF if everything goes just right.

Rob (Philly)

Rank em: Eaton, Revere, Victorino, Gardner

AJ Mass
  (11:28 AM)

Right now it's: Revere, Gardner, Shane, Eaton

vk (md)

What makes you think Ian Desmond's 2012 wasn't a fluke? He was pretty average 2010-2011

AJ Mass
  (11:29 AM)

Because players typically improve over the course of the first few years of their career. If he had just turned 30, I'd be less inclined to buy in.

Brad (Maryland)

Carl Crawford....should I bite at all...if so..when???

AJ Mass
  (11:32 AM)

At some point, it does make plenty of sense to take a chance... it all comes down to who else is there. Do you really want to pass on Crawford and take Chris Young or Justin Maxwell?

Your Everyday GM (NH)

Which Dempster do you see for 2013? Chicago or Texas version?

AJ Mass
  (11:33 AM)

Let's put it this way - not with a ten-foot pole.

Tom (CA)

Wade Miley / T. Cahill / T. Milone?

AJ Mass
  (11:34 AM)

Like all three, but Cahill the least. Miley probably gets the call if I had to choose just one.

Steve Nebraska (Mexico)

Trade offer: Votto for Longoria and Hosmer, which side wins?

AJ Mass
  (11:40 AM)

Hard to know without knowing the other roster slot. Votto is the best player in the deal, so I'm hesitant - but if it's Votto and a ham sandwich...

Oscar Taveras (St Louis)

What am I worth this season? Mr. Holliday, and Beltran are killing my chances!!

AJ Mass
  (11:41 AM)

They're not killing your chances... they're giving the Cardinals plenty of time to let you continue to develop without starting that arbitration clock. I doubt we'll see you before the Super-2 deadline.

Ricky (NY)

Brandon Belt due for a breakout type year?

AJ Mass
  (11:44 AM)

I'm not expecting one. I'd be thrilled with 10 HR and .280.

Ron Swanson (...)

Realistically, what is the 2013 upside for Manny Machado? Are we looking at a guy that won't reach fantasy stardom until JJ Hardy leaves town?

AJ Mass
  (11:46 AM)

I'd certainly rather have Machado than Profar right now... but it's true, Hardy is not going anywhere - so without that SS eligibility for MM, the value stays low.

Ben (San Fran)

Please rank.. Shelby Miller/Dylan Bundy/Trevor Bauer/Gerrit Cole

AJ Mass
  (11:48 AM)

For 2013 only? Miller, Bundy, Cole, Bauer

Hank (Florida)

Which injured star would you gamble more on...Ham-Ram or Wright???

AJ Mass
  (11:48 AM)

Hardly a gamble on Wright when the Mets are fairly confident he'll be ready for Opening Day.

Marcus Liberty (Flying Illini)

Who are some SPs sleepers you like as late rd fliers in standard mixed league drafts?

AJ Mass
  (11:49 AM)

Many have already come up, but I'd also go with Harrison, Holland, Parker and Shark.

Matt (NJ)

Help! First 2 picks, 3 year keeper league. I already kept Encarnacion and Reyes. Which 2 of the following: Pedroia, Price, Bruce, Zimmerman?

AJ Mass
  (11:50 AM)

Dustin and Jay

Ryan ( Montreal ) [via mobile]

Survivor Question: Right decision to get rid of Matt last night? What do you think of this season so far?

AJ Mass
  (11:52 AM)

Liking the season now that we've shuffled. Didn't before this. I think they voted out the wrong member of the pair.

Chris (DC)

Edwin Encarnacion.. Fluke or Real?

AJ Mass
  (11:53 AM)

Real enough to be top 5 at his position in 2013.

Andrew (Seattle)

Would you deal a $15 Castro for $11 Wainwright in an NL-only keeper league with $5 inflation each year?

AJ Mass
  (11:54 AM)

Not a chance. Pitchers are way too risky, as a rule, to hang your future on them.

AJ Mass
  (11:56 AM)

That's all the time we've got for today gang... time to get those brackets finalized! If I didn't get to your query, there's always Twitter (@ajmass) and I'll be back next week - same Bat time, same Bat channel.