Thanks for joining me ...
Short of injury, how do d'arnaud and Wheeler get to bigs before Sep. 1?
I believe they'll both be up well before Sept. 1. They'll be called up when they're deemed ready (as long as it's after the Super Two cutoff, which is probably mid-June). I would expect both with some certainty at least right after the All-Star Game.
How do you feel about the decision to put Murph in the game today and lose the chance to backdate a DL stint for him? Are they confident that he'll be ready for OD?
They must feel very confident he will be ready or they would not do that. As you noted, if something were to happen today, they could only backdate three days into spring training, and he'd have to spend 12 regular-season days on the DL instead of six. ... Murph wanted to see major league caliber pitching and have a quicker speed of game than in the minors.
Hey Adam,I've seen you post some stuff about Tejada recently, including this morning's scout report on him. What do you think his deal is? I am not looking much into spring training performance- but irrespective of that, why is he suddenly being talked about as not being the "shortstop of the future"? I never thought he was going to be a superstar, but definitely serviceable. Thanks
I don't think he's being written off. I think he very capably can play steady, slightly above average defense, hit .270ish and be in the 5-8 HR range. But his body type is such that I worry about him getting too big for shortstop at some point. And I'm not sure his bat is good enough to justify a diminished fielding capability that may occur as he ages.
Mike Baxter has done nothing, in my mind, to make this team and Neuenheuis has done even less. I understand the need for defense in CF, but he just can't hit ML pitching with his swing. Do the right thing, and play Cowgill and Valdespin....they have earned the right to be on this team and they may just suprise some people.
Mike Baxter will be on the team primarily as a lefty-hitting pinch hitter. I don't think he'll chip away much at Marlon Byrd's starting time. I think with Cowgill if you start overexposing him and play him every day, you'll find out that he's a role player. He'll start against lefty pitching, I presume, which should mean game Nos. 2 and 3 of the season, against Clayton Richard and Eric Stults. The Nieuwenhuis info caught me off guard. Must really be a statement about their lack of confidence in the defense in center field.
When do you think this front office will get serious about putting a quality product on the field? How many years of rebuilding, low cost replacements and bad baseball do fans need to endure?
I think when they see the pitchforks at Citi Field this year they'll get the message.
Are there any chances that the Mets try to convert Wilmer Flores to an outfielder, because he is blocked by Murphy and Wright? If not do you think the Mets will try to trade Flores or Murphy when Flores is ready?
No. It seems like they've zeroed in on Wilmer Flores at second base. He's going to play stably there, I'm told, with Triple-A Las Vegas -- not also be exposed to third base and first base, etc.
Is it a done deal that Famila makes the opening day roster?
No, but my intuition at this point is that the Mets technically carry four starting pitchers, with Marcum on the DL until his expected April 7 start. (That's the day he could be activated after spending six regular-season days on the DL.) Assuming that brief DL stint happens, both Jeurys Familia and Greg Burke fit, so they'd be spared a decision, it would seem. Or, at least, the decision would be deferred a week.
Any clear-thinking person would say the Mets look like a 95+ loss team this season. Are you tempted to say they win more just to avoid all the flak you took last year when you basically correctly predicted their record even after the fast start?
My prediction will be coming soon.
Who will be making their New York Mets Debuts on Monday at Citi Field?
Not necessarily on the starting lineup, but John Buck and Anthony Recker at catcher, Collin Cowgill in the outfield, LaTroy Hawkins, Scott Atchison and Brandon Lyon in the bullpen.
Isn't Livian Hernandez the obvious answer to the rotation? So what that he's 58 years old.
I believe his official age is 38.
What do you think the starting rotation will be for the mets this season and who will be the one with the most wins?
First series vs. Padres is Jon Niese, Matt Harvey and Dillon Gee. Second series vs. Marlins is Jeremy Hefner, back to Niese, then Marcum (off the DL, they hope).
Would you agree that there is a great chance the Mets will regret giving Wright that ridiculous contract after 2 or 3 years? Already he's nicked up. If they think Bay's deal hurt, they ain't seen nothing yet.
No. He only just turned 30 in December.
Do you think bobby Parnell is ready to be the mets full time closer?
Yes. And I think he'll be significantly better than Frank Francisco and won't relinquish the role when Francisco returns.
To what degree does Santana's delay hamper the chances of his being traded this season?
They chances were never great he was going to be traded. The only chance is if he's clicking on all cylinders this summer. I suppose you could argue the delay is good from a trade perspective since there's no way his 2014 contract can now vest. But it was a complete long shot that he would have reached the 215 innings anyway, even if healthy from the outset.
Does management realize that attendance will be very light this year and that they have failed us. Don't give me that 2014 deal-How many Mets fans are older now and may not make it to next year-every year has to be important. Why would we spend $100 to see this team?
I believe fans will be making a statement with the (lack of) attendance. You already see multiple free ticket offers being floated by the club.
In a sense, isn't Lucas Duda the key man to the Mets' offense? If he hits, their offense becomes borderline respectable, or at least average. If not...ouch.
I suppose you can argue that, since you can more reasonably count on David Wright and Ike Davis. Marlon Byrd is another one, though, who you could argue is going to dictate how the Mets go. Like Duda, he could be very good or very bad.
Indulge my fantasy for a moment. If the Mets line-up had Reyes and Pagan at the top of the order, playing good defense up the middle, and RA anchoring the rotation, how good would the Mets be? Wild-card worthy? It kills me to think that that could be our line-up, one made of homegrown players on reasonable deals that have proven they can produce in Queens.
More likely to be flirting with a wild-card. Probably still a fourth-place club. I suppose you can take Reyes and Pagan's WARs and subtract Tejada and Cowgill/Valdespin's and figure it out.
You've written about Valdespin in the past... has your opinion about him being a potential every day player changed at all? He looks good (in March).
He has tools. I think he can be an everyday major league player that will drive you nuts.
If the Mets are as bad as we all think they will be this year, do you think they will actually trade veterans at the trade deadline for non-homerun deals (ala Hairston last year)?
Buck will be the interesting one if he's doing well. Do they keep him to mentor d'Arnaud? Or do they trade him? The thing that's clear is that they won't be auctioning off high-end pieces, so there won't be a Zack Wheeler. The dilemma they'll have is that if they trade Hawkins, Lyon, Atchison at the deadline, do they have the people ready in system to fill those roles in the second half without it becoming embarrassing.
Any updates on when/if single game tickets will be made available for the ASG?
Not sure if they ever will. It all depends if there are leftovers.
Did you ever have the chance to watch Brian Cole play? Does anyone on the Mets staff ever talk about him?
No. I started covering the team in 2002. He had the tragic accident at the end of the previous spring training. I did write about his family's lawsuit against the automobile company. Jim Duqette told me, like in this article, that he was the best prospect he's seen.
Seems to me that Niese is the Mets' most deadline-tradeable player. I don't think I'd trade him, but would a pitcher of his quality & contract bring in a good young outfielder?
Niese would bring a lot. He's cost effective for the next four years. Which means the Mets ought not trade him.
How concerned should the Mets be with the injury to Mejia? And will den Dekker, once healthy again, come up this year?
Dan Warthen always said he viewed Mejia as a reliever because of the threat of injury. The Mets swear this is not headed for a second Tommy John surgery, but it's not good. ... den Dekker is going to delay his call-up potentially until September. He has to wear a cast for six weeks, so he won't be read for Triple-A until June/July at the earliest. Then he needs to get right and work on the plate discipline/contact the Mets wanted him to address.
Where does Lutz fit in in the future?
Potentially righty pinch-hitting bat for bench.
We keep hearing how much money the Mets will have next year, but it's not like the solutions to their problems are sitting on the FA market. Think the Mets have a $60M payroll next year?
Can't fathom it, but I suppose anything is possible.
Does Feliciano stick around in the minors to work on his velocity and opt out of his deal if the Mets don't call him up?
I don't know if there's a formal opt-out date, but since they all keep saying he'll get a month in the minors, I suspect there's one around May 1. Feliciano will pitch with Class A St. Lucie, not at Triple-A Las Vegas.
Where is Oliver Perez?
Thriving in Seattle.
john buck needs to stay long term ... will the mets extend his contract ? ... he is very valuable !!!
Hey adam, great work as always. what do scouts forecast for bobby parnell? had a good spring but he has not thrived in closer role
He'll do very well as closer. Not saying he's elite. Just talked to a scout for tomorrow's pitchers preview post. He said he's doing a good job controlling the fastball at 93-95 down in the zone as opposed to just trying to hit 98-100.
Do we see David Wright play Saturday against the Orioles?
Terry would like him to, but wasn't sure.
How has tejada looked this spring? Can you see him getting the leadoff role back at some point during the season?
Looked poor. Believe he's 3-for-his-last-39. And not looked particularly good in the field, either.
If Tejada is really not the future at SS, who in the minor leagues would have the capability of being an everyday SS in the majos? Gavin Checchini? Tovar? who?
Not in system right now.
What are you hearing about how Syndergaard has looked this spring? He obviously has the potential to be a dark horse solid return in the Dickey trade
I wouldn't describe him as a dark horse. He's one of the top pitching prospects in the game. He should be in St. Lucie to start the year. He was delayed in camp pitching because of a lat issue. I think he threw his first game a day or two ago. I did not see it.
Thanks for joining me.