Welcome to the last of our weekly Mavs chats. Fire away.
What's Mayo's future look like?
This is the question of the day after Rick Carlisle ripped Mayo last night. Mayo told me over the weekend that he hasn't made a decision on whether he would exercise his option to return on a $4.2 million salary next season, saying he wouldn't even begin the process of thinking about it until after the season. At the All-Star break, I would have laughed at the possibility of him picking up that option. He seemed destined for a deal worth $8-10 million annually. But his production has plummeted since then, and his tendency to come up small in big games is especially troubling. What could he get on an open market that has a lot of teams with money to spend? Four years, $25 million? Less than that? Maybe it's in his best interests to come back next season, try to put a consistent year together and test the market the following summer. The other question: Does Carlisle want Mayo back? You could read Rick's comments last night two ways: 1) He's trying to run off Mayo; 2) He's making certain his message gets through on what will be expected of Mayo if he is back next season.
Who will Mavs likely land Chris Paul, Dwight Howard, or Josh Smith? What is there biggest need with 1st round pick?
Wouldn't expect any of those guys to land here, Ed. It'd be stunning if Chris Paul or Dwight Howard leave LA, although there's a better chance of it happening with Howard. The Mavs aren't nearly as high on Josh Smith as he is on himself. While they need all the talent they can get, he also doesn't fill an immediate need. (He's a very similar player to Shawn Marion.) Given the cost, I'd expect them to target other players in free agency. Of the three you mentioned, Howard is most likely, but he's certainly not likely. Regarding the first-rounder, they need to get the best available player. They have glaring needs at point guard (Michael Carter-Williams?) and center (Gorgui Dieng?), but this team needs a talent infusion at every position.
It's safe to say Mayo will decline his $4m option. Do you see him agreeing to a sign n trade to help out the Mavs? He should I feel our coaching staff helped develop his game
I don't think Mayo declining his option is a sure thing at this point. It's still a decent bet, but don't take it to the bank quite yet. I don't see why he wouldn't agree to a sign-and-trade under the right circumstances, but it's not that simple. The Mavs don't have his Bird rights, so they'd have to have the cap space to sign him. It might be better for the Mavs if he leaves and opens up that $4 million in cap space.
Looking forward, who are the most important pieces to attempt to resign?
Of the Mavs' free agents, I'd make Brandan Wright the top priority. He's a winning piece in a 20-minute role. I expect him to get a Ian Mahinmi-like deal (four years, $16 million). In my opinion, it'd be worth it for the Mavs to give him that kind of contract. I don't know whether they agree. I'd like to see Elton Brand back for another year at a low price, but he might rather go to a team where he can have a legitimate chance to contend for a championship if he's not going to make much money (relatively speaking, of course). And we'll see about the market for OJ Mayo. If he leaves, there's a hole at shooting guard, but it'd be counterproductive to pay him like he can be a top-three player on a contender.
Do you see the Mavs offering Mayo to stay? I feel like he has not been the same since Dirk came back from injury
He has a player option in his contract. In other words, it's ultimately his decision on whether he wants to come back for the second season of his contract. If he opts out to test the market, I think the Mavs would have a number in mind for him and be pretty firm with it. If he gets a better offer, they'll pass. I don't see them getting into a bidding war for Mayo.
If you owned the Mav's which of these guys would you target to sign next season at each position and who would you let go from the Mavs.PG:: Devin Harris Chauncy Billups Jarrett Jack Beno Udrih Jose CalderonSG:: Andre Iguodala, Kevin Martin, Tony Allen, Nick Young, J.R. Smith, Ray Allen, OJ mayo, SF:: Metta World Peace, Corey Brewer, Josh Smith, Shawn MarionPF\Center Nikola Pekovic, Pau Gasol, Andrew Bynum, Al Jefferson Chris Kaman
If I'm the Mavs, I make center and point guard the priorities. I'd target Jose Calderon (great passer who would make Dirk's life a lot easier) and try to give him a deal in the three-year, $18 million range. I'd also go after Nikola Pekovic, although you'd have to overpay a bit to get him because he's a restricted free agent (four years, $48 million?). A player you didn't mention is Monta Ellis. He's a combo guard who is far from a perfect fit, but he'd be an upgrade over Mayo and could play point, too. He's also been a Mavs killer, and the Mavs tend to target players who have had success against them. Andrew Bynum is an interesting option. Huge risk, potentially huge reward. Can you get him for two years and $24 million? If so, it might be worth rolling the dice.
Whatever happened to Nick Calathes? Seems like he would've been a great fit this season.
Calathes is playing well in Europe. Believe he was recently the EuroCup MVP. Mavs still have his rights, but I'm not sure if he's in the plans for next season or what his contract buyout would be in Europe. I'll ask around about him over the next week.
Who do you think the big piece Mavs are going after? Let everyone walk that's on their one year contract and start over again? That's only going to drive Dirk out even more
They can't do the temporary supporting cast deal again. They have to start building some continuity. They need quality pieces in place to make this a more attractive situation to free agents in the summer of '14 -- or assets to use in trades. In the likely event that they don't land a superstar this summer, the Mavs need to acquire some good second-level talent that can be part of a relatively quick rebuilding process. They can make financial commitments this summer without having to worry too much about future financial flexibility. They'll have $35 million in expiring contracts with Dirk, Marion and Carter. I expect Dirk to take significantly less on his next deal, so they're guaranteed to have a lot of financial wiggle room in '14 summer.
Many observers had the Mavs continuing their playoff streak. Besides playing 1/3 of the season without Dirk due to injury, what went wrong for the Mavericks?
It's pretty much impossible to build chemistry on the fly with a roster made up mostly of newcomers. That was a huge challenge for Carlisle. And their highest-profile newcomers -- Chris Kaman, OJ Mayo and Darren Collison -- weren't as good as they hoped. Mayo was for the first half of the season, but he regressed as Dirk got rolling. Kaman just didn't fit well on the defensive end. And the Mavs, like the Pacers, came to the conclusion that Collison isn't a starting PG.
with mark Cuban saying their will be a quick fix who do you see returning next season from this current roster?
Dirk is the only guarantee. Shawn Marion and Vince Carter are core pieces who would only go as part of a trade that obviously makes the Mavs significantly better. They like Jae Crowder, but he's expendable in a trade. So are Jared Cunningham and Bernard James, but they don't have much value. I hit on the free agents earlier in the chat. I could see Wright, Mayo and/or Brand back under the right circumstances. Mike James might be a fallback plan. Maybe Anthony Morrow on a minimum deal. Darren Collison will look for a starting job elsewhere, so I'd be surprised if he's back. I can't see the Mavs making Kaman an offer again.
What Lottery Pick do you think that the Dallas Mavericks will Receive in the 2013 NBA Draft?
They'll pick 13th unless the ping pong balls bounce their way and they end up in the top three.
What are the odds Dirk isn't a Maverick in 2014-2015?
I would bet the mortgage that Dirk will be a Maverick in 2014-15. He's on the record saying that he will sign for two or three more years when his current contract expires after next season. He's made it clear that he wants to have a chance to contend, but he has said many times he never wants to play for another team. If he didn't have a ring, maybe Dirk would leave Dallas. But I'd be shocked if he ever plays for another NBA team.
Andrew Bynum 2/$25.Hit or miss. Hit and hit HUGE. miss and oh well, no harm, not gonna beat OKC anyway.Thoughts?
I said two years, $24 million earlier in the chat, but if you're gonna take the risk, what's another million of Mark Cuban's money? If Cuban is serious about a "quick rebuild" being a one-year turnaround, there's going to have to be some major risk involved. Bynum might be an all-or-nothing deal, but it worked out awfully well for the Mavs the last time they acquired an injury-prone center.
Gotta get going, folks. Appreciate all the questions. Hope I at least touched on your topic if I didn't get to your question. You can always hit me up on Twitter @espn_macmahon