Good morning everyone! Let's get right to your questions...
How concerned are you with Moustaskas? No homers and .160 average but at least not striking out too much
More than I was a week ago, and not prepared to out-and-out panic, but if you saw my ranking of him last week (high teens at third base), you'll know I'm not that far from it. I'd rather see Mike Moustakas' strikeout rate constant, and his power the same, than this greater-contact, no-output guy. We might be a week or two away from it being time to give up hope of any breakthrough.
2 start Corbin this week or 1 start Lincecum?
Two-start Patrick Corbin, but in defense of Tim Lincecum, a Padres matchup is one of the very few for which I'd say "go for it". (In other circumstances I mean, say, if you have lesser guys than Corbin.)
G'morning Tristan. What's your take on Ike Davis?
Streaky hitter whose hints of power thus far provide you your hope. Remember, last year he started off even worse, then was one of the National League's best power hitters during the season's second half. I'm still on board with Davis repeating, or perhaps even slightly exceeding, his 2012 totals.
In your opinion in a points league, how much should a win be worth for a pitcher?
Maybe two? Three? Surely not that much. Outs (IP) and K's should be what drive points-based scoring.
Now that Freeman is coming back, should I drop Francisco or Johnson? Francisco's on the better side of the platoon, but Johnson's been hitting better lately.
Apparently, the Atlanta Journal-Constitution reported over the weekend that Chris Johnson would likely recapture the starting gig at third -- the one against <i>both</i> sides. Nate Ravitz and I didn't have that article at our disposal before the podcast this morning, unfortunately, but I know I'd say now that Johnson is the one to own.That said, I don't buy that Johnson will stay the everyday starter the rest of the year.
Early season predictions...who will lead MLB in steals?
How about Everth Cabrera? Surely will be among the leaders, and I'm impressed by what I've seen thus far. Continues to walk, big plus.
Hey Tristan. Thoughts on Didi Gregorius? Should I drop Peralta and pick him up?
I wouldn't, but I don't buy this Gregorius red-hot weekend in the slightest. He has always been known for his glove, not his bad, and routinely hit 5-7 homers in the minors.
Sale high on Justin Masterson and Felix Doubront for a buy low Matt Cain? Fair?
I'm not sure that I'd call it "fair" -- I still value Cain far more than those two combined -- but if you can swing a kind of panic-based, sell-high/buy-low move as that, good for you. Do it, quick.
Adams or Gattis? Who finished with more ABs? Better production?
I think Matt Adams is the one with more at-bats and greater production/fantasy value in the end. Maybe not by a lot, but I just think Adams is the better player of the two, and therefore more likely to work his way into added playing time.
Tristan, do you see Ryan Howard's power coming back?
Yes, but not to the levels he used to exhibit. He's hitting fewer fly balls, walking less often, so I'm thinking he might hit only another 23-25 or so.
THC, I haven't been able to find much anywhere about Andrew Cashner's start this weekend. Why did he start? Will there be more coming? Thanks
He got the assignment when Clayton Richard fell ill with the flu. Now Richard is slotted for Tuesday, and Tyson Ross' DL status puts Cashner in line for another start next weekend.I'm not sure this was intended as a long-term thing, but the Padres might have considered giving Cashner the Kris Medlen treatment over the long haul.
Hey Tristan. What do you think will be Starling Marte's final numbers this year will be?
I don't think he's more than a .275 hitter or so, but I think he's capable of 10 homers or so with about 20 stolen bases.
Will Lucas Duda crack your top 150 this week? Can you envision him being an overall Top 100 offensive player this season?
I think he could, yes. We covered him on the podcast today, for some deeper thoughts. Let's say he'll probably make my top 150 this week.
Bryce Harper doing it all.....Except stealing bases...Whats the issue?
I see no issue.
Streaming Cingrani in H2H Daily this week. Looks like a good start vCubs (Villanueva), but what about @WSH (Detwiler). The Nats will be without Zim but they?re still a strong team ? do you think he could do better than 3.50/1.24 against them?
I'd be much more apt to extract only the Cubs start, leaving the Nationals start to the wayside. I agree that the Nationals remain a good team, and those ratios might be a bit challenging for a pitcher who leans this much on his fastball.
Need Saves... i get Parnel / Evereth, i give Aoki / Villenueva
Love that deal for you, or anyone getting the saves and steals.
McCutchen or Kemp in a dynasty league?
Andrew McCutchen in any format imaginable.
Trying desperately to find a potential Save guy in a 12 team NL only league what would you say the percent is of Francisco Rodriguez earning a save(s) this season ... am i wasting a waiver claim to pick him up
Maybe 15-20 percent? It's not that good, but it's certainly nonzero. And it might vault by quite a bit depending upon how well his throwing sessions go. I'd say you might be wasting a waiver claim, but then in your format it's not like there's much out there that's too exciting anyway.
If Haren stinks again tonight would you drop him for De La Rosa?
Yes, I just might.
Smyly worth a prospective add, or do you wait until he actually gets a couple starts and keeps rolling?
It depends upon your league. Almost all of mine are deep enough that he's a no-brainer of a prospective add. In a 10-team ESPN mixed with three bench, I'd say he might be a week or two away before warranting the pickup.Like I said with Tony Cingrani a week ago, <i>make every effort</i> to add Smyly.
Is Lorenzo Cain me or bona fide?
Cain is bona fide. I wrote about him in detail in the preseason, why I liked him as a power/speed sleeper, and I made it clear then what remains true now: The greatest risk with him is health.
Stanton will finish on the marlins this season, T/F?
True. What reason do they have to trade him for anything less than a massive package of youngsters?
In your "60 Feet 6 Inches" rankings, where's your 'Wandy' line?
Interesting. Let's say it's right around No. 54, Clay Buchholz.
Would you want Cruz or Cuddyer for ROS in an OF spot in a 10 team mixed?
It's close. I think I'd go Michael Cuddyer at this point.
Any update on Victorino?
I've got nothing other than "day to day." Sorry to say there's nothing firmer just yet.
Alexi Ogando ok to start against LAA this week? Tell me the cubs blow-up was just a fluke...
I think it was a complete and utter fluke. I'd start him.
H2H points ROS...Didi or JJ?
J.J. Hardy? Definitely him.
Any concerns about young pitchers like Jose Fernandez in H2H leagues? Could be shut down by the time our playoffs start right?
I'd be more concerned about the inevitable adjustment period; this topic was discussed in the first "Sixty Feet" of the season (check my archive). But you are correct to ask about the innings cap thing, because that's another possibility. In Fernandez's case, he might not go much past 165 innings, being that he threw 134 last year and he's 20 years old.
Buccholz is your Wandy line right now? Really???
Where else would I put it? I'm not particularly bothered by matchups for anyone higher than that, but at the same time, in leagues where streaming is an effective strategy, I might nitpick every matchup behind the top 12 starter or so. (I'm pretty aggressive with the strategy.) Remember, "Wandy Line" isn't my thing; that's Matthew's. Mine's just blurrier. Harder to nail it to a specific guy.
Start Mike Minor today at Colorado? Need the start since my opponent will have more then me this week.
Highly risky. Just know that going in. I wouldn't do it.
Is it time to think about selling Josh Hamilton?
This is the worst time to trade Josh Hamilton. The best time would be the week -- and I'm sure it's coming -- where he rattles off 3-4 homers and everyone starts to say, "He's back."
hold onto Chacin while hes on the DL?
I wouldn't. Not a talented enough player in a league with limited DL spots.
What is your new projection for Cespedes now that he is hurt or did ESPN take that into account prior to the season?
It was taken into account before the season. Or, at least, some sort of injury absence (15-day DL stint or multiple day-to-day injuries) was built into the projection. What we published would remain just about my expectation.
More Saves this year - Kelvin Herra or Kenly Jansen? I know Jansen has value without saves, but will Herra?
Both have value even without saves, but Kenley Jansen has more by virtue of a higher strikeout rate. But Herrera also has a higher prospect of saves, to answer your question.
Weird to think Trevor Cahill is only 25. Is this what he is or will he get better?
I think he has room to grow. Perhaps not to the point that he's ever a top-20 fantasy starter, but if he has a career like Tim Hudson's in Atlanta, I wouldn't be at all surprised. (With a few more K's because he's got a decent enough curve.)
What are your thoughts on Adam Dunn?
I haven't been a fan since the beginning of his first year in Chicago, but at the same time I keep saying "he's a dude who could hit 30 homers without much trouble." If your league values a .200 hitter (maybe even .190), .325 on-base, 200 K's, hey, enjoy it. You're not getting more.
What chances do you give bailey retaining or at some point regaining the closer re when hanrahan returns?
Pretty good, actually. I'd say he's got at least a 50/50 shot at getting the bulk of the Red Sox's saves this season. (I was anti-Hanrahan in the preseason, if you recall.)
What is your "policy" on owning two stud pitchers that are playing against one another (e.g. Moore vs. Sabathia)?
Project quality starts, not wins. If you project both to <i>easily</i> register a QS (meaning likelihood of exceeding the thresholds), then I have no problem using both. I <i>would</i> use both. If one is close to the threshold, then I'm sitting the one who's closer to it.
Am I a must start today?
Not a "must," but only because the opponent is the Nationals. I'm starting him in most of my leagues, but I also don't have a 10-team, heavy-streaming daily format. He sits only if I'm facing a low starts cap and I have reason to avoid all the toughest matchups.
How useful will Matt Garza be when he returns from the DL? I've got him stashed and hoping he can contribute immediately...love his K rates...not expecting much in the wins dept though...
<i>If</i> he returns from the DL as close to his former self, I think he'll be a fine source of ERA, WHIP and K's. He's a good strikeout source in particular. Think a 3.50 ERA or so, 1.20 WHIP and about 125 K's, assuming he can make 20 starts.
Ok, time to wrap things up for today. Thanks for all your questions, and sorry if I couldn't get to yours. Take care everyone, and best of luck to all of you in your matchups this week!