Good afternoon! Let's talk some football!
Megatron's still better than Mike Wallace.
Got to give Doug credit. Every week he takes time out of his day to post something saying Megatron is better than Wallace.
Hello KC, is Dee Milliner so much better than the other CBs in your ratings?
He is but none of the CBs this year are risk-free picks. Milliner has a two-year history of quality coverage metrics and has superb physical skills but those injuries are a concern.
Who do you like at WR in the "second tier"? Woods and Wheaton are my favorites.
Agree on Woods, as he has the ability to be the next Anquan Boldin. Also like Stedman Bailey.
For more info on the TFS WR rankings, check out this ESPN Insider article - http://insider.espn.go.com/nfl/draft2013/story/_/id/9163270/2013-nfl-draft-ranking-draft-top-wide-receivers
With all the success the Pats O had in the Brady to Moss era, why haven't they tried to duplicate that by going out and paying to get Brady the best weapon available to try and reproduce that success with the years he has left? The Brandon Marshalls and Mike Wallaces of the world. Note sure how aggressively they've pursued those top guys since Moss, but you don't need a dominant defense when you score 40 points a game.
Hate to say it but it looks like money is a big factor. They could have gone toe-to-toe with the Dolphins for Wallace but evidently decided it wasn't worth the dollars to do so.
What are the chances that the Giants break from tradition and actually draft a LB or an OL in the first round?
They figure those positions can be coached up more than other positions. If they were ever going to break tradition, this might be the year but odds are they don't. Give it a 20 percent chance of happening.
Afternoon, KC. I'm a Detroit Lions fan. I know you're not a doctor, but my team recently lost running back Jahvid Best due to concussion issues. Does a player who has a concussion get better with time, or is it degenerative and can only get worst?
Creative name. My understanding of concussions is that they don't get better with time, but I don't know that it goes so far as to automatically call all of them degenerative.
How much of an upgrade is Alex Smith over the other QBs KC has used the last several years?
He can throw the long pass, which is huge upgrade over Matt Cassel (who struggled to throw long even when he had Randy Moss in his prime).
I thought Dion Jordan might show up on your overrated list. His athleticism is off the charts, but he was fairly unproductive given his athletic ability. To me, he seems like the most likely bust in the draft by a significant margin.
Jordan has great technique and that kept him from hitting the overrated list. He's still a high-risk pick given the injury and on/off production.
Hey KC, Longtime! What are you views on Wallace in Miami, I'm in a 4 team keeper and set for my qb and top 2 rb's. Should I keep Wallace to balance out my team as my league is pretty heavy on RB keepers and the first 2 rounds should be a receiver fest or do you recommend taking a shot and some Low level WR1/High WR2 for my first pick
Hey, great to have you back in the chat! Miami didn't give Wallace that huge amount of cash to not utilize him, so keep Wallace.
if the lions draft cooper do you belive sims could play center for them or would that be a stretch
I think it's a stretch to think Sims could play guard, as he is quite inconsistent. Having said that, OL talent is really hard to come by and they might not have many better options.
i think the raiders should trade their 1st round pick in 2014 for a late 1st round or early 2nd this year to grab matt barkley. what do you think?
I've got Barkley listed as a first-round talent (http://insider.espn.go.com/nfl/draft2013/story/_/id/9200475/2013-nfl-draft-why-matt-barkley-first-round-pick), so it would make sense from that perspective.
Its Time! Its Time! its Vader Time! OOPS I mean draft time! Which of these QBs do you see as the best fit for the Buffalo Bills? Barkley, G.Smith, Nassib, EJ Manuel etc.....
Funny thing is we were just watching some old Vader footage last night. Got the Mankind DVD and it highlighted some of his matches against Leon White. Good DVD, worth getting. Personally, Barkley would be the choice here but the word is that they are going to select Nassib if he's available.
I have heard it said that will supercedes skill. I have plenty of both. Knowing my injury status, is there anything I can do to avoid reinjury after reinjury? (Im gone in the 2nd round by the way)
Not sold on Lattimore, as there are many metric reasons to think he is not quite as good as he is being made out to be (http://insider.espn.go.com/nfl/draft2013/story/_/id/9047245/2013-nfl-draft-teams-draft-marcus-lattimore-too-high).
Does the three second rule still apply if the food is wet?
Do all of the chatters get off-topic questions like this?
Where's the one dude asking where SAGE ROSENFELS would be drafted if he were part of this year's class?
Good question. We haven't had a SAGE query here in a while. I have his email and will have to send him a note saying the chat world is requesting his presence.
Scientist my man! Been a while, glad to be back at a live chat. With Vaccaro and Cyprien supposedly gone by the time America's Team chooses in the second round, who of the remaining safeties (Elam, Reid, Swearinger, or other) is the best fit? As a Deadwood fan, I'm hoping for Swearinger.
It's good to get angry again! Thanks a ton for stopping by. My personal choice would be Elam, as he has an across the board skill set, but Swearinger would be a very good alternate selection.
Who is a good pass catching TE the Bucs could target in the middle to late rounds?
A potential later round TE selection would be Levine Toilolo from Stanford. He got a bit lost in the Stanford TE shuffle the past two years but he's got plenty of talent, especially in the pass receiving area.
Does this draft seem less exciting overall to you? I'm having a hard time getting excited over which DT is going to be on the board when it's Carolina's pick.
From a big name standpoint, yes. Having said that, the wide variety of differences of opinion when it comes to these players means this won't be one of those drafts where each pick is seemingly obvious before it happens.
To put it another way, isn't it refreshing to not know who the Chiefs are going to pick with the first overall selection?
Where do you see the Browns going with the 6th overall pick? G.Smith/B.Mingo/Milliner?
Would think Milliner. He'd be a great combination with Haden, although he might start this year on PUP.
From your perspective, which positions are much better or deeper in this year's draft compared to next year's, and which are worse? Should teams take that into consideration?
Tough question to answer in that it isn't known who/how many early declarations will happen next year. Having said that, the DL depth is superb this year and might not be quite as good next year. Would expect the CB depth to be much better next year. Teams really can't take that into consideration, as they have to solve today's problems today.
if the steelers draft Jarvis jones how many sacks will he get?
Would probably figure year one to be below double digits but down the road he should be a double digit sack candidate most of the time. He's a superb talent.
Jason Hanson. He was a Lions player that recently retired. He was a kicker for 21 years. I can't see why there's any doubt that he'll get into the NFL Hall of Fame. Why are specialty players like kickers, returners, etc blocked from the HOF?
Lots of reasons, mostly having to do with their being seriously considered only when there aren't strong enough candidates at the other positions.
Do the ealges draft G Smith with the 4th overall pick
It's possible but Smith really hasn't proven he is a first-round caliber talent. Kelly would make it work but Philly may decide they have good QB talent already in place and work to build up other areas of need. Call it 30/70 they don't make that pick.
Doesn't the lack of really good 1st round talent this year make the RG3 trade look even better? Can't really say there's a player at #22 that you're "mortgaging the future" by not having, right?
Excellent point. Ernie Accorsi said there is no price that is too high to pay for a true franchise QB and with the decreased top-end value in this year's draft, the Redskins look like they didn't pay as high of a price as was initially thought.
Hi, KC. Im sorry I don't follow you much, and I don't know if you work for fantasy sports. If so, will there be a game where you make your own mock draft. I enjoyed the game last year and I was curious about if it is this year
I've been writing fantasy football material for ESPN since 2005 and will be doing so again this season. Don't do a mock draft per se but do offer a ton of advice on picks.
what is your stance on eddie lacy?
Plus for Lacy is that he posted a 9.4-yard GBYPA last year (measures productivity on plays with good blocking). That's a very good number but the other Bama RBs posted a collective 9.2 GBYPA. Lacy is good, just not sold he is as good as, say, Johnathan Franklin (http://insider.espn.go.com/nfl/draft2013/story/_/id/9199074/2013-nfl-draft-johnathan-franklin-top-potential-value-picks).
I've seen some mocks that have the Jets taking Eifert in the 1st. I don't quite understand it. When you have a holes just about everywhere, spending a first round pick on a TE just doesn't do it for me. Not saying Eifert doesn't deserve to be picked here, but at the same time, it wouldn't exactly be great value for the pick. Wouldn't it make more sense to address the lines? I'd be more than happy with Lotulelei and Warmack or Cooper.
It makes no sense whatsoever to draft a TE in the first round. Having said that, the Jets have a history of drafting first-round TEs (and not having those picks turn out very well, either). There are 3-4 TEs who are nearly as, if not as good as, Eifert so there is little justification to take him in the first round.
Hey KC, do you see some boosted fantasy production on Jamaal Charles considering they'll be taking Joeckel/Fisher?
Charles had a great GBYPA last year and the Chiefs actually posted a very high good blocking rate. Since he can catch passes as well, his value will be quite high this year in an Andy Reid directed offense.
Over/Under on 3.5 trades taking place in the first round this year?
Taking the under on that one. It takes two to trade tango and the gut feeling here is there won't be enough teams wanting to trade up to make a lot of deals happen.
Do you consider Star Lotulelei a high risk pick due to the early health scare, or have you heard enough to convince you that there's little to be worried about? I don't want to trivialize the man's health, but it's obviously a concern when it comes to putting him on your football team.
For Lotulelei, the idea has to be to consider that he might not be a very long-term player for your team. Good news there is most teams try to think of their draft picks as 4-year picks and realize they might not have those players on their team 5 years from now. That mindset wouldn't preclude a team from taking SL.
I'm intrigued by Tyler Wilson. Seems as though he was put in a pretty tough position this past year, but has a good arm and isn't afraid to take a hit. How does he compare to the top QB's in the draft?
He's got moxie, that's for sure, but I can't think of Wilson without thinking back to his 2011 game against Alabama. He started that contest well and then took a big hit in the second quarter. Once that happened, he seemed to fold his tent and the Razorbacks fell apart. Maybe that was a one-time occurrence but he'll see those kinds of hits on a weekly basis in the NFL and that makes him a big risk IMO.
cordarrelle Patterson= Julio Jones 2.0?
Can't quite get there, as Jones has superb route running skills and Patterson is still, by his own admission, quite raw in that area. Still like him a lot as a deep threat who can develop into a Pro Bowl player if he's picked by the right team.
How many games you think Chip Kelly Eagles will win this year
Would say 8. The Eagles are better than last year's record would indicate.
If I'm not in the HOF, no way is Jason Hanson going in....
Agree on Guy. Wrote something about this a few years back for the NY Times Fifth Down blog. Look it up on Google and check it out if you have a moment.
What is your best case scenario pick for the Colts in round 1?
Would agree with Todd McShay on this one for the most part - http://insider.espn.go.com/nfl/draft2013/story/_/id/9134546/2013-nfl-draft-indianapolis-colts-draft-guide. Might go with a different WR but Allen has some developmental upside.
Hi again KC. I have a question about my Broncos. Do you see them drafting a RB in later rounds, such as Bernard or Barner. If I were GM, I would because McGahee is old and Hillman doesn't look like the right man for the job.
This would be a great draft to get a RB in a later round, as the difference between the top backs and the later round backs isn't that great. Bernard or Barner would both be good fits for Denver.
Well, got a couple of things to attend to so I'm going to hit the road a few minutes early. Quick notes - I'll be taking part in an ESPN.com draft chat along with a slew of other ESPN writers, so stop by and say hello. The TFS material is always posted on Twitter @KCJoynerTFS. Thanks again for all of the questions and hope to see you in tonight's chat!