New mock draft is up: http://klaw.me/19pFuO3 Don't be afraid to read the intro.
With the 3 best records in MLB in the NL Central, is it possible they put 3 teams in the playoffs? Or do you see someone cooling off and not making it?
Pirates' start is unsustainable. They'll fade, Reds and Cards both seem likely to make the playoffs, barring catastrophic injuries.
Love the Mock today, what are the chances that Gray really does end up in Cleveland's lap?
Cleveland gets one of the top five guys, if they want one; if the Twins are as locked in on Kohl Stewart as the industry believes, and they pass on whichever of the four college guys gets to them, then Cleveland gets someone they'd be very excited to land. I think their nightmare scenario is that Gray, Appel, Bryant, and Moran go 1-4, which can happen if Moran does go 1-1.
Any chance Aaron Judge can be a top 12 pick in this year's draft?
I don't see this.
Look out Keith! Clint Frazier is out for you!
That was pretty funny. Although I suppose you could argue that he's focused on the wrong thing - what I say has no effect on what happens on the field. Playing well is the best revenge, right?
Do you see any chance of Oscar Mercado or Chris Okey sneaking into the 1st round?
Any chance, yes. I don't rate either guy as a top 100 prospect, though, so I would consider either such pick a severe overdraft.
Would you be excited about Dom Brown's start this year or no? A sub-.300 seems to cancel out his power production, right?
I'm at least pleased to see some production, but the sub-.300 OBP is not good. This can only be an intermediate step - if this is his ceiling, he's not a guy.
The Royals "re-assigned" Jack Maloof and Andre David today and announced George Brett as the interim hitting coach. Is this just putting lipstick on a pig, or do the Royals actually have a chance to start hitting again? (As an aside, do you think Maloof's comments yesterday forced the Royals' hand?)
Yes, I think Maloof dug his own grave with his comments, and this also feels like the (possible) beginning of the end in KC. If the team doesn't turn around, the dismissals will become more significant as the year goes on. Yost should be next; he's an awful in-game manager and there's no evidence he can develop any kind of young player.
I havent heard anything from you on Missouri State SP Nick Petree?
Because he's not a prospect. And I've actually answered a few people on Twitter about him. Not sure why he's such a popular name.
How locked-in are team's draft boards at this point? I can't imagine much changing in team's assessments over the course of a week.
Most teams are just starting to assemble their boards. They have to get in the room and meld the opinions of as many as a dozen people on each top player.
I see Appel dropping past the Cubs because of Boras. Do the Twins take him? What are the odds that Boras has Appel do something crazy to try and force more money out of a club?
So wait - the Cubs pass on a Boras guy, but the Twins might take him? Did someone lace your coffee this morning?
Who could the Astros target later with the saved money from picking Moran 1-1? Boldt? Connor Jones? Serrano if he falls? Doesn't seem like there are that many options to go overslot on later.
Connor Jones has indicated he has zero interest in signing - I think that's a poor decision, both in financial and baseball terms, but it's his choice. Boldt would fit. Serrano if he falls would fit. Dustin Driver would fit. What if Sean Manaea is there at pick 40 and the Astros can offer him $2.5 million? He's not Appel - Appel had a huge track record behind him and no injury concerns coming into 2013.
Colin Moran + Sean Manaea > Gray or Appel lesser second pick?
If you believe that Manaea's hip injury was the primary reason behind his struggles this year, and that he's a number two starter once he's healthy again, then you've got the right idea - although I think signing Moran at 1-1 would mean getting overslot guys at 40, 74, and maybe even another pick later on.
Anyone impress enough in Sebring to jump up a couple rounds?
I haven't covered that event since 2008. They need to relocate that to a better spot - like the Wide World of Sports complex in Orlando.
Wacha at 19 last year seems to be the steal of the draft. Why did he fall that far?
I don't have a great answer for that - I rated him 15th in my final top 100, and a little higher than that earlier in the spring. It might just have been the lack of an average breaking ball at the time, but that's no longer an issue.
Turn on auto update
I have no control over this. My option to auto update questions in the queue has been on since I began the chat.
Is Klaw 100, version 2 from 2009 still the latest update to your favorite novels list?
No, I did one in February: http://klaw.me/klaw102
What are your thoughts on the draft prospects of Tony Kemp? Do you think he makes it to the big leagues some day?
Org player. Don't see him in the big leagues. Little guy, not enough of a burner, no position.
Why exactly is Pittsburgh's start unsustainable? Their offense has been underachieving, and they have lots of pitching depth. Cardinals have lots of injuries and have been very lucky with RISP.
Do they have lots of pitching depth? I see a lot of pitchers far exceeding their abilities, and I don't see the offensive upside you see.
You've consistently had the Cubs taking one of the two big arms but I've heard a little buzz about them taking Kris Bryant. Is there anything to this and do you think it would be a big mistake to pass on the pitchers?
They've scouted Bryant and Moran as well. I think part of the buzz is because their brass doubled up on Bryant (vs USF) and Appel (home) on the season's final weekend.
Do you think many/any baseball writers will remember, when talking about the Astros taking Correa/Moran over Appel/Gray in 2012/13 that there was an inverse incentive to behave this way created my forward-thinking MLB? Said differently, if Astros drafts don't produce as well as could in 10 years, but the guys they passed on become stars, baseball writers won't remember this system (assuming it gets changed again in the next 10 years, as it seems always to do)? [side note: so much easier to ask Q in chat than twitter]
Yeah, Twitter's becoming less and less ideal for real conversations like this. I don't think there will be enough discussion of your point, which is a strong one. If Buxton becomes a 7-8 WAR player, the Astros will be pilloried for passing on him.
What are your thoughts on Trey Masek at Texas Tech?
Full scouting report here: http://insider.espn.go.com/mlb/draft/player/_/id/19368/trey-masek?
Is Clint Frazier "falling" because of his height, or are there just other players tam preferred. I think if I had bet you a month ago he makes it out of the Top 10, I could have won a free dinner from you.
I think the online hype on Frazier exceeded his actual industry support - not that people in the industry dislike him, but that he somehow became the darling of hardcore draft fans (for good reason, since the bat speed is absurd) even when scouts didn't feel quite the same way. He could still go in the top 10, maybe as high as 7, although I understand Meadows outshone him in Boston's workout this weekend.
I don't understand why an 18 year old kid would turn down millions to go to college. You could always go to college later when your baseball career ends.
I agree with this. Turning down $200K (pretax) to go to college and perhaps increase your stock while getting an education (at the right school) makes sense. Turning down $2 million, which I think Connor Jones could get, strikes me as bonkers.
Astros go Correa deux and take Moran. Cubs take Gray. How far does Appel fall?
Absolute worst case scenario for Appel would be Boston at 7. Doubt that happens, but not out of the question.
Who is more ready for the big leagues right now should Kemp need a replacement? Pederson or Puig?
Puig might be more ready, but Peterson might be the better defensive option. Neither callup is ideal, but a few weeks on the DL for Kemp might help his shoulder as well as his hamstring.
You've mentioned that you want to see how Ryu does his second time around the league. What exactly does second time around the league mean? Is it scouts getting a feel for his tendencies, more tape on his delivery, or literally just guys facing him a second time?
Hitters seeing him enough times to get used to the delivery and pick up the ball earlier out of his hand. That said, he's throwing 90-93 now, not the 87-90 I saw in March. That makes him much better equipped to handle that second time around, more like a number 3 starter than the number 5 I called him in the spring.
What are your plans for the draft? A live chat would be outstanding, for everyone but you.
I'll chat Thursday afternoon, then I'll be on Twitter during the draft, and on Baseball Tonight that evening.
Best school for developing pitchers?
Vanderbilt's got a very good track record. LSU, UNC, and UVA have had a few recent successes too.
Alex Wood called up to Braves Pen. I know you are not a huge Wood fan as a long term starter, but thoughts on his ability to be a good pen arm this year?
Love him in the pen. Plus change, plus fastball, breaking ball might play up a little if he can let it go when he's only in for 20-30 pitches.
What sleep training method did you choose to do with your daughter?
University of Maryland LHP Dan Korentayer a first day guy for you?
Which players in this years draft are candidates to reach the major earliest?
Appel. Any college reliever, like Corey Knebel.
How much of Chris Davis' start this year do you think is "real"?
Much of it. Maybe most. He's chasing far fewer pitches outside the zone, and making more contact on pitches inside the zone. And it's not like he was never a prospect - he made my top 100 one year - or lacks tools, like that little bit of power he has.
Do you agree with recent reports that Gerrit Cole is likely a #2 starter?
I think that's a bit of a copout. It's still number one stuff. It's easy to see a guy with that stuff and try to CYA by calling him a two. If he doesn't project as a one, nobody does.
How close to being ready to join a ML rotation is Marco Gonzales?
A year, maybe a year and a few months.
If Mark Attanasio decides to can Doug Melvin, how worried should Brewers fans be that Attanasio's distaste for rebuilding will just lead to Ed Wade 2.0? Terrified of the long, agonizing slide into mediocrity that we've seen here before.
That is a concern - he needs to accept that the Brewers are a rebuild situation. They've got the third worst record in baseball, and one of the worst farm systems, and no first round pick this year.
Mike Kichham was not very good in his spot start for the Giants the other day. What kind of prospect do you see him as?
Fifth starter. And to be fair, Bochy hung him out to dry with that stupid IBB to load the bases.
Is there any way chi chi falls to the o's at 22?
I don't think so.
Is Riley Unroe at #28 overall a complete reach?
Good grief, yes.
Has Cosart's stock risen much this year with the K/9 numbers finally matching up with his great stuff? Or has it remain basically unchanged because you see him as a reliever?
The reliever concern is more about the cross-body delivery and the resulting lack of fastball command. Walking 7 guys in his last outing doesn't help his cause either, I guess.
Is Colorado married to Bryant at this point?
That's not legal in Colorado yet. They can get a civil union, though. Separate but equal, or something like that.
It's probably tough to answer without knowing who graduates to MLB, but I'm going to ask anyway: How many guys from this year's draft slot into top 100 prospect list?
It's usually around 12-15.
Does George Springer swing at a lot of pitches out of the zone or does he just miss a lot of hitable pitches?
No two-strike approach.
Who's to blame for the Brewer's horrible drafts of the last 5 years? Any reason to believe things can change in the next year or 2?
Looks systemic - like the process hasn't worked for them, unfortunately. I heard last week that the year they took Covey (and he chose not to sign), one of their top alternatives was Jesse Biddle.
Was Aaron Crow originally drafted to be a starter? He was a first round pick twice and it seems odd to draft a reliever that high multiple times.
Yes. Might have stayed as one had he signed the first time around, although the Nats botched that negotiation.
I just read that a member of the women's golf team at an unnamed West Coast Conference school was penalized by the NCAA for using university resources to wash her car. She was ordered to pay the school twenty dollars for the water and use of the hose. I am not making this up - it's on ESPN.com front page. Gotta love the NCAA.
The NCAA answers to no one. Until that changes, they will continue to wage war on their own players.
Heading to New Orleans for first time this weekend, have dinner reservations at Cochon and Commander's Palace, any Klaw recommendations?
Been to Cochon and loved it. Never been to CP. Sentimental favorite is Acme Oyster House, touristy spot but I like their po'boys.
I have to wrap this up a little early - just got a phone call I need to take. I'll chat twice next week - Thursday before the draft, then Friday to discuss day one and the start of day two. Thanks for all the questions!