Only Serena can beat Serena
The seeds have been announced. And if it always has been Serena Williams' world in imagination, so it is again in deed. As summer approached, the truth was that if she was in the draw and healthy, regardless of seed or ranking, Williams was considered the favorite in every tournament.
This was true even though Williams hadn't won a major since Wimbledon in 2010, but none of the headliners of the women's game -- Caroline Wozniacki, Maria Sharapova, Victoria Azarenka -- could claim a mandate over her.
Today, the imagination and the results have again aligned. A year that began with losses to Ekaterina Makarova at the Australian Open and Virginie Razzano at Roland Garros (in the first round, no less) continues at Flushing Meadows with Williams again holding the title of the dominant figure in the women's game on the court. Wimbledon was hers, and so was Olympic gold, in both in singles and doubles.

The Serena narrative leading up to the London Games centered on the singles gold medal she lacked to complete her trophy case. But her year might not truly be complete until she avenges her past two spectacular disappointments in New York. Serena not only lost to Kim Clijsters (2009 semifinals) and Samantha Stosur (2011 final), respectively, but clashes with officials marred each match. (She withdrew from the 2010 U.S. Open because of injury.)
Williams hasn't won the Open since 2008, but all of it, the infamous meltdown against Clijsters, the loss to Stosur, the defeat to Razzano in Paris, feels so distant in comparison to the Williams supernova that began at Wimbledon, where she served up 102 aces against just 10 double faults in winning the title. This was highlighted by the breathtaking 49-second, four-serve, four-ace game in the third set of the final against Agnieszka Radwanska that righted her momentum. It continued throughout the Olympics in a 6-0, 6-1 total devastation of the shrieking and broken Sharapova in the gold-medal match.
What is left? Serena at the height of her powers (14 singles majors, 13 doubles, four gold medals) and a field that isn't simply trying to discover itself as much as it is attempting to repair itself after being personally scarred by her. Williams' on-the-court prowess makes her so dangerous an opponent, but just as impressive is her ability to detect and humiliate a threat.
In a women's game, in which holding serve is a challenge, Williams possesses the greatest weapon in the sport. For there is no facet of the game either on the men or women's side in which the gap is greater than between Williams' serve and her opponents. John Isner can serve, but so can Ivo Karlovic and Milos Raonic and Roger Federer. No one in the women's game controls serve like Serena Williams.
But Williams also knows whom she must beat. Take, for example, Williams, who's No. 4 in the WTA rankings, versus the rest of the top 10:
No. 1 Azarenka: The world No. 1 and top seed at the U.S. Open has lost to Serena seven straight times, including in the semifinals at Wimbledon and the Olympics. She's lost 10 straight sets to Williams, having not won one since the quarters of the 2010 Australian Open. They've met twice in finals, with each player winning one apiece.
No. 2 Radwanska: The surging Radwanska is 0-3 in her career against Williams, but they've met only once in the past four years. That was in this year's Wimbledon final, where Williams destroyed Radwanska in the first set, then lost her way in the second before serving her way home in the third.
No. 3 Sharapova: She is 2-9 against Williams and hasn't won a match since 2004, but that isn't all: For all of Sharapova's shrieking and screaming and intimidating against the rest of the field, Sharapova and Williams have a nail-hammer relationship. Serena lost consecutive matches to Sharapova in 2004, the Wimbledon final and the final in Los Angeles, but has now won eight straight. Their past three matches, all in the past year, have gone by scores of 6-1, 6-3 (Stanford quarters, 2011), 6-1, 6-3 (Madrid quarters, 2012) and 6-0, 6-1 (London gold-medal match, 2012). Interestingly, they've never met at Flushing Meadows.
No. 5 Petra Kvitova: Kvitova is 0-3 against Serena, having lost to her twice at Wimbledon (including this year's quarters) and once in Melbourne.
No. 6 Angelique Kerber: She beat Williams 4 and 4 in Cincinnati, but Williams controlled the match but not her forehand. Kerber is the fast climber on tour and has the kind of power game that can give Williams problems.
No. 7 Stosur: She trails Serena 6-3 in their head-to-heads, but since beating Williams 6-2, 6-3 in the final here last year, Stosur has lost on hard court and clay to Serena. Stosur has the kind of hard-hitting game that matches well with Williams.
No. 8 Wozniacki: She's 1-5 versus Serena, including a 6-0, 6-3 loss at the Olympics.
No. 9 Li Na: She trails Serena 5-1. Li advanced in Rome when Serena withdrew in May, but the last time she beat the American came at Stuttgart way back in 2008.
No. 10 Sara Errani: She's 0-3 against Williams, but the two haven't met since 2009.
Like Roger Federer at Wimbledon, Williams' dominating tear has resurrected her at or near the top of the greatest-of-all-time leaderboard. The conversation at Flushing will once more be Serena against the field. She is the greatest front-runner of her time, but as Stosur showed last year, the key to beating her is to not buckle under her onslaught of serves and intimidation, to fight and make her feel the pressure of being in a fight.
It is a blueprint easy to devise, but with the way Williams has played since losing at Roland Garros, it's far more difficult to execute.
- Senior Writer, ESPN.com and ESPN The Magazine
- Author of "The Last Hero: A Life of Henry Aaron"
- Author of "Juicing the Game"
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U.S. Open 2012 -- Aug. 27-Sept. 9
Women's singles:
Samantha Stosur
Men's singles:
Novak Djokovic
Women's doubles:
Liezel Huber and Lisa Raymond
Men's doubles:
Jurgen Melzer and Philipp Petzschner
Mixed doubles:
Melanie Oudin and Jack Sock
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Day 15
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• Murray beats Djokovic, wins Open
• Garber: No more baggage for Andy Murray
• McManus: Djokovic runs out of steam
• Wilansky: Andy Murray gets the big trophy
• Stats & Info: A first on many fronts
• SportsNation: Best final ever?
• McManus: Serena chasing history
• Serena: Don't hold out top player
• How many more Slams for Serena?
• Tandon: Djoker-Murray the best rivalry?
• Hot Button: Who will win the final?
• Bodo: No secrets in Djokovic-Murray final
• Digital Serve: Men's final preview
• Murray wins U.S. Open title
• 5 things we learned in men's final
• Digital Serve: Murray's 1st Grand Slam
Day 14
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• Serena Williams wins 15th Slam title
• Djokovic beats Ferrer to reach final
• Errani, Vinci win U.S. Open doubles crown
• Garber: Serena's legacy -- sustained excellence
• Fagan: What a summer for Serena
• Garber: Novak Djokovic shines brightly
• Agassi joins Court of Champions
• Tandon: Separating fat from fitness
• Djokovic reaches U.S. Open final
• Digital Serve: Men's final preview
• Catching up with Capriati
• Chris Evert's take on Serena Williams
• 5 things we learned on Day 14
Day 13
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• Murray in final; Djoker postponed
• Women's final postponed
• Garber: Murray beats Berdych, adversity
• McManus: Azarenka a true test for Serena
• Hair-raising reasons for a roof
• Debate: Who will win the women's final?
• Digital Serve: Can Serena be stopped?
• Murray reaches the U.S. Open final
• Five things we learned on Day 13
Day 12
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• Recaps: Men | Women
• McManus: Azarenka making plenty of noise
• Tandon: The grandest of Slams for the Bryans
• Garber: The day Pete Sampras' fire returned
• Bryant: Djokovic toughest when it matters most
• McManus: Tennis pros lean on partners
• Reason behind Louis Armstrong Stadium
• Playbook: Bryans the best twins ever
• A look back at Sampras' final run
• Get kids in shape
• Adena Andrews has a snack
• Five things we learned
• Digital Serve: Men's semifinal preview
• Digital Serve: Women's final preview
• Williams Cruises Past Errani
• Azarenka Beats Sharapova
Day 11
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• Recaps: Men | Women
• Garber: Novak Djokovic playing carefree
• McManus: Ferrer slugs his way to semis
• McManus: Day 12 Preview
• Fagan: Ball boy's goal is to inspire
• Andrews: Graffiti mecca a must-see
• Grantland: The purity of Roddick
• Grantland: How did Berdych beat Federer?
• 5 things we learned on Day 11
• Ferrer-Tipsarvic battle on
• Will we see a boycott?
• Digital Serve: Day 12 preview
• Adam Sandler lights it up
Day 10
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• Recaps: Men | Women
• Garber: Roddick says goodbye for final time
• McManus: Roddick masters the media
• Ubha: Five things we'll miss about Roddick
• Bryant: Roddick, Clijsters leave void
• Andy Roddick photo gallery
• McManus: Sharapova reigns after the rain
• Garber: Light lift for men, Sharapova rolls
• Rank 'em: Top 10 U.S. tennis players
• Garber: College a good investment for pros?
• McManus: Riding Olympic wave
• Del Potro ends Roddick's run
• Roddick's emotional farewell
• Roddick calls it a career
• Roddick's legacy
• Murray escapes Cilic
• Serena crushes Ivanovic
• Sharapova comes back to beat Bartoli
• Digital Serve: Day 11 preview
• 5 things we learned on Day 10
• Federer stunned by Berdych
Day 9
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• Recaps: Men | Women
• Howard: Anonymous Novak?
• Garber: Andy Roddick's fate will have to wait
• McManus: Azarenka prevails under pressure
• Tandon: Conventional is "in" for Serena
• Fagan: King honors Pat Summitt
• Playbook: American Express shows savvy
• Andrews: Harp player for your entertainment
• Azarenka wins a thriller
• Digital Serve: Day 10 preview
• U.S. Open 5 Things We Learned
• John McEnroe On Roddick
Day 8
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• Recaps: Men | Women
• Garber: Andy Murray's confidence swelling
• McManus: Long drought ends for Ivanovic
• McManus: Radwanska labors, loses to Vinci
• Garber: Serena Williams' near-perfect game
• Garber: Fish pulls out of the Open
• Tandon: Gut-check for Andy Roddick
• Andrews: U.S. Open serving up technology
• Mardy Fish withdraws
• Original home of U.S. Open
• What's next for Mardy Fish?
• Digital Serve
• Digital Serve: Day 8 preview
• Serena Williams perfect in win
• 5 things we learned on Day 8
